"Stay happy and you'll be perfectly fine" - Jack Norris

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

  • Posted: 9:02pm Thu 02 Jan 2020
The Goat’s Surf Forecast
The surf outlook
With more variable winds ahead, the outlook is again for more variable surf.  If you head to the beach not expecting to find great conditions, then you won’t be disappointed!
I wouldn’t expect anything approaching good quality, but there should be something from time to time if you feel the need to get wet, or are desperate, or both. And the surf is very tide dependent in places.
Friday: smaller than today, say around 1 metre East
Saturday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range North East windswell (bigger at southern ends, where it’ll be windier
Sunday: similar or up a bit ahead of a forecast Southerly change
Monday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range but only at places that get dead South swell
Tuesday: ditto in the 1-2 metre range South East
Wednesday: ditto and going down East
Thursday: around 1 metre East South East
With tourists being told to leave bushfire zones on the South Coast, https://www.rfs.nsw.gov.au/fire-information/dangerous-fire-conditions/predicted-fire-spread-for-new-years-eve, it goes without saying but I’ll say it anyway, that if you were thinking of heading away in the present circumstances… Don’t.
https://www.nsw.gov.au/news-and-events/news/nsw-government-declares-state-of-emergency/
Air quality from smoke is likely to become a bit how do you do….
Stay Healthy. Stay Safe.
TG
Up in the Air
There’s a lot of smoke up high and down low in parts..the greyey brownie smudge on the satellite view… being blown around from the various wind changes…the whiter puffy bits are clouds…
http://satview.bom.gov.au/
image.png
Winds
On the positive side …Amazingly we had 0.6 mils of rain overnight, and it’s good to see there are some heavy falls just now in parts of the North of the State that are really dry, to lift spirits a little
Down in the Sea
Water temp is around 22 off Sydney.
Just for a change, here’s the Whole of Oz view..
image.png
Tides
https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2019-2020.pdf
Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Cloudy. Smoke haze.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Areas of smoke haze. Winds easterly 15 to 20 km/h increasing to 25 km/h before turning southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 4:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Friday 3 January

Summary
Min 21
Max 28
Cloudy. Possible smoke haze.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower in the morning. Areas of smoke haze. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h in the early afternoon.

Fire Danger – High

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Cloudy. Possible smoke haze. Sydney 21 28
Partly cloudy. Smoke haze. Penrith 20 33
Smoke haze. Liverpool 20 31
Partly cloudy. Possible smoke haze. Terrey Hills 19 27
Partly cloudy. Smoke haze. Richmond 19 33
Partly cloudy. Possible smoke haze. Parramatta 19 30
Partly cloudy. Smoke haze. Campbelltown 18 32
Partly cloudy. Possible smoke haze. Bondi 22 24

Saturday 4 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 34
Smoke haze. Becoming windy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Very hot and mostly sunny. Areas of smoke haze. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h tending northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then tending north to northeasterly in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 4:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 9 [Very High]

Sunday 5 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 24
Smoke haze. Wind easing.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Becoming cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Areas of smoke haze. The chance of a thunderstorm in the evening. Winds southerly 30 to 45 km/h decreasing to 20 to 30 km/h during the morning then turning southeasterly 25 to 35 km/h during the day.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 3:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

Monday 6 January

Summary
Min 20
Max 24
Shower or two. Smoke haze.
Possible rainfall: 4 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. Areas of smoke haze. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h turning easterly during the afternoon.

Tuesday 7 January

Summary
Min 21
Max 28
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 8 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 28
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Thursday 9 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 29
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm later in the day. Winds southerly 15 to 20 km/h tending southeasterly during the day

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