Hello Friends,
The first haze free morning in weeks saw smooth seas at Dee Why with only a very tiny little line evident. The point’s not on the menu, but if you wander up the beach toward Longy, it looks as though you might find the odd knee high bump.
As of 0700, there was a light NW breeze and the air temp was 20C. Skies were partly cloudy.
The MHL buoy was showing 1.8 metres of 11 seconds from the SSE as of 0400.
Outlook is for the tiny conditions to switch over to easterly wind tomorrow and a very slightly bigger south swell. However, it doesn’t look as though we can expect better waves for awhile yet. The models are showing a gradual increase in wave heights at sea, but the underlying swell height is another thing. The ECM model reckons swell will get into the 2+ metre range from late Friday, but projects that periods will get shorter. On the other hand, Wavewatch shows the opposite, ie decreasing swell heights but improving periods. Good thing we’ll have the Goat to weigh in tomorrow with his outlook.
Have a great Wednesday everyone!
Weather Situation
A high pressure system is moving from the Bight to the Tasman Sea as a front continues to move away to the east. This high is forecast to remain over the southern Tasman Sea through the coming week, bringing onshore winds to the New South Wales coast. A trough looks set to deepen near the coast during this period, although there is currently some uncertainty over its strength and position.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
East to northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the early afternoon. Winds reaching up to 20 knots inshore during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Thursday 6 February
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning easterly 15 to 20 knots early in the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Caution
Surf conditions may be more powerful than they appear and are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Friday 7 February
Winds
Easterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
1st Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending northeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm.
