Archive for March 2020

Cool visualisations

Posted on March 23rd, 2020 in Surf Reports.

It can be a challenge to get one’s head around how quickly the coronavirus is spreading. Here are a couple visualisations I’ve come across that may help ‘visual’ learners like myself…

and,

Don’t wait to be told, minimize your exposure to others by only going out when absolutely essential.


Posted on March 23rd, 2020 in Dee Why.

Alert
In response to new measures introduced by the State Government that limit the number of people on any beach to 500, some beaches and harbour pools are closed until further notice. This is to encourage appropriate social distancing (1.5m between people) and to reduce the spread of coronavirus (COVID-19). Northern Beaches Council COVID-19 pages.

Hello Friends,

8th day of your correspondent’s self-isolation. Grey and southerly this morning but there are waves in the corner at Dee Why. Size looks to be in the waist to chest high range and surface conditions are scrappy but not bad. Wind was SSE at 13-22 kts as I tapped this out. Out at sea swell is dead south and 3 metres at about 8 seconds apart. First tide of the day is a high at 0845.

Conditions are likely to get junkier as the morning goes along thanks to the wind swinging more SE.

Take care of yourselves everybody. Minimise trips outside home, wash your hands with soap and water frequently, clean high touch surfaces regularly, cough into your elbow, don’t touch your face and maintain distance from others.

Couple of bods in the water at the point 0800

Waves along the beach

Weather Situation
A southerly change that crossed the southern and central parts of the coast yesterday is heading north and will reach the Queensland border late this morning. Following this, a ridge of high pressure is forecast to extend along the coast through the first half of the week, with cold fronts passing well to the south. Mid-week a trough over inland New South Wales is expected to shift east, bringing a southerly change to coastal waters.

Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots tending southeasterly 10 to 15 knots from midday.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre around midday.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Tuesday 24 March
Winds
Southeasterly about 10 knots becoming east to northeasterly in the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Wednesday 25 March
Winds
North to northeasterly about 10 knots tending southerly 10 to 15 knots during the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.


Beautiful Sunday morning at Dee Why

Posted on March 22nd, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

14 seconds, 1.7 metres, 166° – adding up to glassy waist to chest high fun ones for Dee Why surfers. People looked to be maintaining distance (easy when surfing), which is a good thing. Wind was light and tide was just past the 0810 high so conditions were coming together nicely.
Going to a high of 28C today along the coast and wind should be southerly by this afternoon. Beachwatch says water’s 22C and good for swimming at all of Sydney’s beaches.
Have a good one and stay away from crowds, wash your hands, cough/sneeze into the crook of your arm, don’t touch your face and always maintain at least 1.5m distance from others.

Fun looking peak at 0900

Maintaining distance?

The odd rideable one rounds the point

Weather Situation
A cold front clipping the far southeast of New South Wales will bring another surge of southerly winds to southern and central parts of the coast today, extending north on Monday. Then a ridge of high pressure is forecast to extend along the coast through the first half of the new week, with cold fronts passing well to the south.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Northwesterly about 10 knots shifting southerly 15 to 25 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres inshore by early evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Monday 23 March
Winds
South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots tending east to southeasterly below 10 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Tuesday 24 March
Winds
Variable about 10 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Weak, small but sort of surfable

Posted on March 21st, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Breeze was light as of 0700 and waves were in the knee to waist high range thanks to the 1.7 metre, 7 second south wind bump. First tide of the daylight hours is the high at 0730. Water is around 21C and quality should not be a problem.

Wind was out of the WSW early but should wander around to the south for the middle part of the day.

Outlook is for surf conditions to generally bumble along at the current intensity across the coming week. Today could see a slight uptick in size this afternoon, but my hunch is that the dropping tide will keep it slow until pretty late in the day.

As for the rest of the week, may I refer you to the very excellent Goat!

Bomb set at Dee Why

Up the beach, a few little bumps

Weather Situation
A southerly change associated with a cold front will continue through northern coastal waters today, with a second surge of southerly winds expected for coastal waters during Sunday and Monday as another cold front clips the far southeast of the state. By the start of the new week, a new ridge of high pressure is forecast to extend along the coast, with cold fronts slipping well south.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots, decreasing to 10 to 15 knots in the morning and tending easterly by evening.
Seas
1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Sunday 22 March
Winds
North to northwesterly about 10 to 15 knots shifting southerly 20 to 25 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Monday 23 March
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots tending southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the day.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to about 1 metre during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy.


Burst of heat coming

Posted on March 20th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Looks like a few little waves still happening this morning at Dee Why. It’s dropped overnight and the latest data from offshore is showing 1.2 metres from the ESE at 10 seconds apart. Wind will ramp up from the NW and be 25-35 kts by the middle of the day as we head to a high of 35C. A south change will roll through this evening. Water is on 21C.

Get wet and have fun if you can.

Plausible peak

A few waiting out at the point as of 0800

Lines at the beach


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on March 19th, 2020 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 19 March 2020: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

With all the grim news around, which is likely to get grimmer before it gets better, it’s important to remember there’s always The Surf.

Going for a surf or just getting wet – even at the worst of times, even if the surf is rubbish – can help lift the spirits, clear the head, and generate positive endorphins from the exercise.

https://edition.cnn.com/2016/01/13/health/endorphins-exercise-cause-happiness/index.html

Provided you’re healthy and you keep the required separation from others, you might even share a joke (I just saw a back headline from the NT News – “Vomiting man stuck to windscreen” (!?)… intriguing… or share some advice.

TG’s only advice is to get official health info and stick to it.  If you’ve returned from an O/S surf or any trip, Stay Home! Your friends won’t appreciate you sharing your stories face to face.

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-03-17/covid19-coronavirus-australia-how-do-i-self-isolate/12063002

Stay positive, and also remember that eventually – whenever that is – things will get better.

Now for some more not bad, not good, just ordinary surf news… It’s easing back, then it will come up, then go down, then come up again.

Friday: going down from the little growth spurt on Thursday, to around 1 metre or so East North East, maybe with occasional sets

Saturday: coming up a little during the day into the 1-2 metre range at dead South places only and messy windy

Sunday: dittoish with some possibly getting into protected corners

Monday: around 2-2+ metres dead South with the pulse getting into protected corners

Tuesday: easing back in the 1-2 metre range dead South with some sets possible

Wednesday: easing back more and ditto

Thursday: coming up1-2, 2 + metres at dead South places only.

Stay well.

TG.

Up in the Air

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Mar 19 05:30:00 2020

MSLP Analysis for Thu Mar 19 00:00:00 2020 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/?-34.066,150.816,5

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 22.  OK for a swim

image

Tides

Click to access tide-tables-2019-2020.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Clear.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Clear. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 4:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 9 [Very High]

Friday 20 March

Summary
Min 19
Max 36
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming west to northwesterly 25 to 35 km/h in the middle of the day, then a cool south to southeasterly change 25 to 40 km/h in the evening.

Fire Danger – High

Sun protection recommended from 9:40 am to 4:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 9 [Very High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Sunny. Sydney 19 36
Sunny. Penrith 18 37
Sunny. Liverpool 17 36
Sunny. Terrey Hills 17 35
Sunny. Richmond 17 37
Sunny. Parramatta 17 36
Sunny. Campbelltown 16 36
Becoming windy. Sunny. Bondi 19 35

Saturday 21 March

Summary
Min 19
Max 25
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.2 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower in the morning and early afternoon. Winds southerly 15 to 25 km/h tending east to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h before dawn then becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:40 am to 4:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

Sunday 22 March

Summary
Min 18
Max 27
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then tending southerly during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:50 am to 4:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

Monday 23 March

Summary
Min 18
Max 22
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Winds southerly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light during the day.

Tuesday 24 March

Summary
Min 17
Max 23
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 4 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Light winds.

Wednesday 25 March

Summary
Min 16
Max 24
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 4 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely during the morning. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Thursday 26 March

Summary
Min 17
Max 24
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 6 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Light winds.


Swell jumped today

Posted on March 19th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

For one reason or another it wasn’t until I was catching up with the Goat earlier today that I learned the swell had popped up significantly over this morning. So, climbed up to the crowsnest and grabbed a few shots to share…
Conditions looked pretty setty when I watched and the north wind was chopping up the surface too.

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea is maintaining a ridge along the New South Wales coast and directing northerly airstream while slowly moving east. A cold front is forecast to bring a vigorous southerly change to southern coastal waters on Friday, and will continue through to the northern waters on Saturday.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Clear.
Friday 20 March
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots shifting southerly 15 to 25 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.
Saturday 21 March
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots tending east to southeasterly below 10 knots during the day.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Sunday 22 March
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming southerly 15 to 20 knots during the late afternoon or evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Another beautiful morning

Posted on March 19th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
Again we have light wind and some waves along the beach and at the point. Latest data from offshore was showing 1.3 metres of 12-13 sec energy from the east. Wind was around 8 kts from the NNW. Tide was dropping to the low at 1245. Ocean temp is on 22C according to Beachwatch and they are reporting good water quality at all beaches.
As for the outlook, well, today should hang in there at the current settings where swell’s concerned. Wind is set to pick up from the north as the day warms up to 29C along the coast.
Go well with your day and wash those hands, maintain distance, don’t touch yer face, cough and sneeze into your elbow!

Little peak up the beach

A few folks in the water at the point, but smaller than yesterday

Sydney Coastal Waters Forecast: Broken Bay to Port Hacking
View the current warnings for New South Wales

Forecast issued at 4:10 am EDT on Thursday 19 March 2020.

Weather Situation
Winds will tend northerly today as a high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea gradually moves east, maintaining a ridge along the New South Wales coast. On Friday a cold front is forecast to bring a vigorous southerly change to southern waters, which is expected to weaken as it continues through to the northern waters on Saturday.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds
Northerly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots in the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Sunny.
Friday 20 March
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots shifting southerly 15 to 25 knots in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the morning.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Sunny.
Saturday 21 March
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots turning east to southeasterly below 10 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Gorgeous morning at Dee Why

Posted on March 18th, 2020 in Surf Reports.

Beautiful, mild morning with almost no breeze and waist to chest high waves along the beach as of 0800.

 

Waist plus at the point

Cruisy left

Shutdowns of course

Weather Situation
Winds will tend northerly during Wednesday and Thursday as a high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea gradually moves east, maintaining a ridge along the New South Wales coast. On Friday a cold front is forecast to bring a vigorous southerly change to southern waters, which is expected to weaken as it continues through to the northern waters on Saturday.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Northwesterly about 10 knots tending northerly 10 to 15 knots in the middle of the day, then increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the evening.
1st Swell
South to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Thursday 19 March
Winds
Northerly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots during the morning and evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Sunny.
Friday 20 March
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots shifting southwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Sunny.


Classic Autumn Sydney surf…….

Posted on March 18th, 2020 in Surf Reports.

Mona Vale peak at 7.30am. Today is one of those days that surfers live for. Head high waves, sunny skies, light offshore winds and warm water. Definitely a perfect day to be ‘working from home’.

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Sent from my iPhone