Archive for May 2020

Postcards from Curly

Posted on May 29th, 2020 in Surf Reports.

20 people sampling the e. Coli levels on a cute chest plus high peak at North Curly where the lagoon empties into the sea. I’d go south of there for the equally attractive offerings. Hope no one gets sick.

Swill from Brookvale heading to the sea…

Nice peak with swill conduit in foreground


Back to small but still surfable

Posted on May 29th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

A line of showers was hanging just offshore as Friday started but that should clear away as the day goes along. Swell’s clicked down another notch and as of 0700 was running about a metre from the east by ESE at around 9 seconds apart. That meant the point was back to near flat but that there were still thigh to waist and a bit little peaks along the beach just north from the club. Not a lot of push on them and many shutdowns, but with something skatey like a twinny or minimal, you could definitely have a moment of fun. Wind was coming from the WNW at 5-7 kts. First tide of the day was the low at 0730 and it’ll be back to high at 1340. Ocean temp is sitting on 20C and we should see a high of 19C later.
The Goat dropped his forecast right on schedule last night, so if you’re making surf plans, have a look.

Lefts and rights on offer at 0730

Weather Situation
A broad high pressure system lies over southeast Australia today, while a weak trough looks set to bring the odd shower to coastal areas through the day. The high will drift slowly east during the next day or two, to be centred over the Tasman Sea by Saturday. A cold front is expected to skim across southern New South Wales during Sunday as the high weakens, before a second, stronger cold front on Monday. This front is forecast to bring a gusty west to southwesterly changes to coastal areas. Behind this, a new high is forecast to move across from the west, bringing a return to generally benign conditions.

Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots decreasing to about 10 knots in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
East to southeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm this morning.
Saturday 30 May
Winds
Variable below 10 knots becoming north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Sunday 31 May
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots turning northwesterly during the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres offshore.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on May 28th, 2020 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 28 May 2020: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Well last week was exciting wasn’t it??… if you wanted to get cold or/ and wet watching people catch big waves… or I suppose if you were ….xyz (you choose the word.. we encourage audience participation) enough to be out in them!

It had calmed down a lot today, and quite a few keen ones were out.  I preferred communing with the dolphins and nature from the comfort of my bike.  A lot of sand has been moved around and it remains to be seen if that’s been good or bad at some places.

For the week ahead there should be waves or some sort for a bit of fun for everyone.

Friday:  down a bit from Thursday…around 1 metre or so South East

Saturday: 1 metre or less South East

Sunday: around 1 metre East North East

Monday: 1 metre or less North East

Tuesday: 1 metre or less dead South

Wednesday: starting to come up in the 1-2 metre range at dead South -friendly places

Thursday: in the 1-2 metre range dead South and building a bit

Friday: then going down in the 1-2 metre range dead South.

TG

Up in the Air

All clear from up here…

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu May 28 07:30:00 2020

MSLP Analysis for Thu May 28 06:00:00 2020 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/?-34.066,150.816,5

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 20.

image

 

Tides https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2019-2020.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower along the coastal fringe at night. Winds southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 11:00 am to 12:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Friday 29 May

Summary
Min 12
Max 19
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Areas of morning fog in the west. Medium (60%) chance of showers near the coast, grading to a slight (20%) chance in the west. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 11:30 am to 12:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Shower or two. Sydney 12 19
Partly cloudy. Penrith 8 20
Partly cloudy. Liverpool 9 19
Shower or two. Terrey Hills 11 17
Early fog. Partly cloudy. Richmond 6 19
Possible shower. Parramatta 9 19
Partly cloudy. Campbelltown 7 20
Shower or two. Bondi 14 19

Saturday 30 May

Summary
Min 11
Max 20
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Areas of morning fog, chiefly in the west. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 11:00 am to 12:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Sunday 31 May

Summary
Min 12
Max 21
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming north to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the evening.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Monday 1 June

Summary
Min 13
Max 21
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Winds north to northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h turning westerly 20 to 30 km/h during the afternoon.

Tuesday 2 June

Summary
Min 9
Max 17
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds westerly 20 to 30 km/h turning southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 3 June

Summary
Min 9
Max 18
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds west to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h.

Thursday 4 June

Summary
Min 9
Max 19
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds.


Smaller, cleaner and crowded

Posted on May 28th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Swell at sea is back down to 1.3 metres at 8-9 seconds from the SE this morning, but there were still chest plusses along the beach for the healthy crew who turned out for the dawn patrol. The point was less consistent and generally smaller, but it was getting the odd fun one. Conditions were smooth thanks to a light offshore breeze and skies are once again sunny. Low tide was a little after 0630 and it will be back to high around half past 12. Skies are set to stay sunny as we head to a high of 22C. Ocean is on 20C and the sunny conditions should knock down many of the pathogens in the surface layer of the inshore waters.
The Goat will be along later today with his usual look ahead for the surf week to come, so check in later. In the meantime, have yourself a good one.

Fun looking peak

Rights and lefts

Smaller at the point

Point set

Flock of birds upstage city

Weather Situation
Winds and waves along the New South Wales coast have eased with the low pressure system over the northern Tasman Sea moving further away. A weak trough will skim the south today, bringing a weak southerly change along the southern half of the coast. In its wake, a high pressure system will gradually move over the state during Friday and Saturday. The next significant cold front is expected on Sunday and Monday, with winds generally increasing about the southern coast ahead of the front.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Westerly 10 to 15 knots turning south to southwesterly in the early afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 metres, tending easterly around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm late this afternoon and evening.
Friday 29 May
Winds
South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending south to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
East to southeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.
Saturday 30 May
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.


Postcards from North Steyne

Posted on May 27th, 2020 in Surf Reports.

Grabbed a few snaps of the clean and juicy waves at Manly around 0900. It was crowded but not crazy and while most sets were shutting down, there were plenty that held up and were open enough to deliver some very exciting moments


Still some energy for Wednesday morning

Posted on May 27th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Swell’s dropped again as expected. Clearing(?) skies and 4-5kts of NW breeze early along with 2.6 m 9 second ESE residual swell as the day got started at a fairly busy Dee Why. Quality along the beach looks to be on the unpredictable side and kinda lumpy. Ocean is on 20C but unsurprisingly Beachwatch hoisted pollution likely warnings all up and down the beaches. I’d let the sun cook the surface water for a day or two before getting in. There can be 10 million viruses in a drop of seawater (most of them are harmless to humans though), and after a rain like we’ve had, they’re joined by lots of interesting bacteria from the run-off.
Hope to post a few more pics later, so check back…

Picking up one on the inside

Still the odd bomb set to catch the crowd out of position

Smaller than yesterday

Finding a peak moment

 
Weather Situation
Winds and waves along the New South Wales coast are slowly easing as the low pressure system over the Tasman Sea slowly moves east and weakens. Following this, a weak trough is expected to slip south of the state during Wednesday and Thursday without significant impact, before a high pressure system moves over the state by the end of the week. The next significant cold front is expected on Sunday and Monday.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming southerly below 10 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre, decreasing below 0.5 metres around midday.
1st Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
2nd Swell
East to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Thursday 28 May
Winds
West to southwesterly about 10 knots tending south to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny. 50% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the evening.
Friday 29 May
Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots decreasing to about 10 knots during the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers.


Kiteboarder carving at Crosswaves……

Posted on May 26th, 2020 in Surf Reports.

Well, some people like all this wind! Couple of kiteboarders out making the most of the midday conditions at Crosswaves.

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This spot has had its moments during this swell. Crumbly today though.
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Sent from my iPhone


Another lumpy and stormy morning

Posted on May 26th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
1000 update
Stopped in Manly to grab a few pics between showers at North Steyne. Some meaty sections with the odd 2x overhead bomb to keep it interesting. A lot of work though, so you needed to be keen and fit because the makeable ones were hard to pick from the hopeless missions. There were waves over at the Bower as well, but the waits were long and size was in the chest plus range. The real energy was at North Steyne. Curly was a write-off and around at Dee Why there were a dozen in the water trying to jag the 1.5x overhead set waves but for some reason the tide, swell angle and period just weren’t working for the point. It was really lumpy and chaotic despite the abundant energy.

Still the odd bomb 0900

north Steyne

Swell is gradually fading. This morning saw 3.7 metres of 11 second energy from the SE, so down about a metre from yesterday. Wind was SW 10-15 kts with the odd gust and it was too rainy to take pictures from the crows nest. So a bit later for those. Ocean temp is sitting on 20C.
The wind is set to come around to the SE soon, so surface conditions aren’t likely to improve today. The models show swell energy fading out over the next 24-48 hours as we return to more typical conditions.
Have a good one and pictures to come…

Weather Situation
A deep and complex low pressure system over the Tasman Sea brought vigorous south to southwesterly winds and large waves to much of the New South Wales coast during the past couple of days. This low is expected to linger offshore, gradually weakening and moving a little further north during Tuesday and Wednesday, before moving away to the east mid-week.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southeasterly 20 to 30 knots, decreasing to 15 to 25 knots in the morning then tending southerly in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
South to southeasterly 3 to 4 metres, tending southeasterly 2 to 3 metres during the day.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Wednesday 27 May
Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre around midday.
Swell
Southeasterly 2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1.5 to 2 metres in the evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.
Thursday 28 May
Winds
South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.


Newport breaking a looonnngg way out…..

Posted on May 25th, 2020 in Surf Reports.

Newport very large and barely surfable. Watched two brave souls try to get into position to catch one for around 20 minutes. Eventually a monster set put an end to proceedings, with the inevitable wash in. Full marks though for having a crack.

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Sent from my iPhone


Postcards from North Steyne

Posted on May 25th, 2020 in Surf Reports.

Swell 2x to 3x overhead on biggest sets around 0900 to 1000. Very few makeable but there were a few to be had…