Archive for August 2020

Waves for Wednesday morning

Posted on August 12th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

After blustery conditions yesterday, the wind’s backed off this morning and the swell, while smaller, is still in the interesting range. Tide was low at 0755 and will be back to high at 1435. Wind is coming lightly from the north just before 0800 and the Bureau says it’ll pick up into the 15-20 kt range. Once that happens, the south corners, such as Dee Why will likely see surfer populations drop with the increasing chop. Swell at sea is around the 2 metre mark at 8-11 seconds from the ESE. Ocean is still on 17C and despite the rain, is rated as pretty clean up and down the Northern Beaches coastline.
Swell should decline steadily across the day, be pretty small tomorrow and probably pretty close to flat by Friday.
Go well with your day and mask up for the shops and other enclosed public spaces – as NZ shows, the virus isn’t going away any time soon.

Point doing its thing at 0730

Plausible left

Up the beach

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over eastern New South Wales will shift to the Tasman Sea today, with northerly winds freshening in most coastal areas before a trough brings a brief westerly change overnight. A weak pressure pattern in the region should see winds becoming generally light later Thursday, turning northerly again on Friday as a cold front approaches from the west. This font is forecast to bring a more significant change to southern and central parts of the coast Friday evening, and northern parts on Saturday.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
1st Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Thursday 13 August
Winds
Northerly 10 to 15 knots tending northwesterly before dawn then becoming variable about 10 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Friday 14 August
Winds
North to northeasterly about 10 knots tending north to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.


Slab shots

Posted on August 11th, 2020 in At large.

Stopped by Surfrider Gardens to see what the swell was doing this morning. There were a few people out chasing some fairly heavy and brief waves. At that particular tide there was a particularly slabby bank working, so slabby that hardly anyone made it over the ledge and into the pit.

Near Surfrider Gardens


Manly going big

Posted on August 11th, 2020 in Manly.

Sets looking impressive at North Steyne and Queenscliff this morning. You had to wait though. South Steyne was head and a bit as was the Bower.

Bower set
Freshie bomb
Queenscliff

Big this morning

Posted on August 11th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Chilly and cloudy but the wind backed off overnight so surface conditions were reasonably smooth. There might have been one or two in the water near the point this morning, but sets looked to be at the upper limit of surfable. Out for a closer look, for more pics and words later…

Empty mauler at the point

If you could get out the back…

Weather Situation
A low pressure system off the northern New South Wales coast is currently generating vigorous southerly winds and large seas. The low will weaken and move steadily away to the east today, with conditions easing as a high pressure ridge becomes dominant over the state’s east. This high is expected to move to the the Tasman Sea on Wednesday, with coastal winds shifting northerly before a trough brings a brief westerly change to most coastal areas on Thursday. A more significant change looks set to arrive on the weekend.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable below 10 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Wednesday 12 August
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending northerly in the morning, and reaching 20 knots offshore during the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.
Thursday 13 August
Winds
Northwesterly 10 to 15 knots decreasing to below 10 knots during the morning then becoming north to northeasterly during the day.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny


Sydney Water: Warriewood warning

Posted on August 10th, 2020 in Surf Reports.

“Partially treated discharge at Warriewood at 20:01 on 9 August 2020. Flows receiving wet weather treatment.”

 


Too stormy

Posted on August 10th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

An easy day to give it a pass. Grey skies, gale force wind and heaving seas are not a recipe for fun. Tomorrow morning’s not looking any better, but maybe by late afternoon the wind will have backed off enough for the keen. Energy levels are predicted to tail off pretty quickly, so we might get a few fun ones Wednesday morning before it goes marginal on us for the remainder of the week.

Weather Situation

A trough of low pressure is anchoring about the central part of the coast, and looks set to move north as a low pressure system embedded within the trough moves toward the northern coast. The system is currently bringing strong to gale-force winds and large waves to the central and southern parts of the coast, and these conditions are forecast to extend to the northern coast as the system moves north. Conditions should gradually ease from early Tuesday as a high pressure ridge moves over the state. A front is then expected to enter the state on Wednesday, then slips to the south on Thursday.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Gale Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast

Winds
South to southeasterly 25 to 35 knots, tending southerly 20 to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
2.5 to 4 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres.
2nd Swell
East to southeasterly 2 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm this morning.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Tuesday 11 August

Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots tending south to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the morning then becoming variable below 10 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre around midday.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
2nd Swell
East to southeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions in the morning are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Wednesday 12 August

Winds
Northerly 10 to 15 knots tending northwesterly during the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
2nd Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 50% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.

Sunday morning waves happening

Posted on August 9th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

What a weekend for Sydney surfers. Again we have fun size waist to head high waves at Dee Why on a brilliant sunny morning. The focus seems to be more along the beach than at the point, but both were well attended when I checked a little before 0900. Wind was out of the WNW at 9-11 kts and out at sea, the buoy data showed 2.3 metres of 7-10 sec swell from the ESE (126°). Tide is coming into the high at noon, when it may have clouded over and be getting ready to rain. Wind should pick up and go south west soon as we head toward peaks speeds into the 25-30 kt range as the rain arrives. The swell’s due to ramp up as well, so timing will be all…

There’s a gale warning for tomorrow when were set to get lashing rain, howling SE wind and a peak in the swell energy. Not looking the best prospect for a surf, but perhaps by Tuesday afternoon, conditions will settle into something more approachable.

Go well, stay safe and mask up in enclosed public spaces.

Busy at the point

Bomb peak

Weather Situation
A trough lying near the southern or the central part of the coast, with a series of lows embedded within the trough making landfall, is bringing increased winds and waves to the southern half of the coast today. These conditions look set to extend to the northern parts of the coast on Monday as the trough and the lows move north along the coast.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Gale Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast
Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots tending northwest to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots in the middle of the day, increasing to 30 to 40 knots in the late afternoon, then turning northeast to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres around midday.
1st Swell
East to southeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres, tending southeasterly 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm from late this morning.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Monday 10 August
Gale Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southeasterly 20 to 30 knots increasing to 25 to 35 knots before dawn, then becoming southerly 20 to 30 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
2 to 4 metres.
1st Swell
Southeasterly 3 to 4 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Tuesday 11 August
Winds
South to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots easing to 10 to 15 knots in the morning and becoming variable below 10 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southeasterly 2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy


Glassy start

Posted on August 8th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Definitely waves around this morning. And pretty clean too. As the pictures indicate, faces on the bigger ones were solidly shoulder to head high. They had a slowish look, but I don’t think there’ll be many complaints on that score. Consistency seemed on the long-waitish side. Wind early was a light westerly and out at sea the waverider buoy was seeing SSE swell at 2 metres at 10-11 seconds. Tide was coming in to the 1.38m high at 1120.
Should be waves all day with favorable wind direction too. Lot of cloud about, so the prediction of more showers is definitely plausible.

Lugga peak

Kiddies and the point

Lugga

Less than appetizing Longy bombies

South of Surfrider Gardens

Peaky situation at Narrabeen

Weather Situation
A trough lying near the coast, extending from a low over inland New South Wales, is forecast to deepen and form a low pressure system near the southern coast later this afternoon or evening. This low looks likely to linger throughout the weekend, bringing increased winds and waves to southern waters. These conditions look set to extend to central and northern parts of the coast on Monday, as the low centre moves north along the coast.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming west to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 metres later in the evening.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Sunday 9 August
Winds
Westerly 15 to 20 knots turning southwesterly 15 to 25 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1 to 2 metres by early evening.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres, tending southeasterly 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Easterly 1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. Near 100% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore in the early morning.
Monday 10 August
Winds
Westerly 15 to 25 knots shifting south to southeasterly 25 to 35 knots during the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, increasing to 2.5 to 4 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southeasterly 2 to 3 metres, increasing to 3 to 5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.


Small under heavy cloud and approaching rain

Posted on August 7th, 2020 in Surf Reports.

Hello Friends,

Wind was light from the SW as Friday got started. There are little waves in the knee to waist and a bit range this morning at Dee Why. Swell at sea was 1.9 metres from the south at 11 seconds apart. The next tide is a 1.38 m high at 1045 (low will be at 1625). We’re going to a high of 16 today with a 100% chance of rain. The Bureau’s advising that it’ll be 15-30mm of the wet stuff.
Outlook you ask? Well, >the ever reliable Goat has you covered.
Go well one and all!

Weather Situation
A ridge of high pressure extends along the New South Wales coast today as a complex low moves away to the east and another low approaches from the west. A trough is forecast to cross the coast early Saturday, deepening a low centre off the southern coast later Saturday and during Sunday. This low looks set to bring increased winds and waves to southern parts of the coast during the weekend.

Forecast for Friday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning northeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the afternoon. Winds reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 2.5 to 3 metres, decreasing to 2 metres later in the evening.
Weather
Cloudy. Near 100% chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore later tonight.
Saturday 8 August
Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore early in the morning. Winds becoming variable about 10 knots in the middle of the day then becoming northwesterly 15 to 20 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre around midday.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Easterly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 95% chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Sunday 9 August
Winds
Westerly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
1st Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres, tending southeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny. 95% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on August 6th, 2020 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 6 August 2020: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Good news ! for those who like some solid waves. It looks like there’ll be plenty of wind and wave direction changes too and variety is the spice of life.

But it may turn out not to be all that pleasant, with lots of Lows on the map swirling around, to end up who knows where. The weather forecast has changed for tomorrow since yesterday, with rain now expected later in the day. So don’t be surprised if the weather and the wave outlooks change over coming days.

At present the surf outlook is

Friday: around 2ish metres, 2+ maybe South East

Saturday: ditto East

Sunday: upper end of the 1-2 metre range Eastish

Monday: dittoish

Tuesday: 3ish metres South East

Wednesday: 2ish metres East

Thursday: in the 1-2 metre range East

Stay safe and Have Fun in and out of the water.

TG

Up in the Air

That looks complicated >>>

MSLP Analysis for Thu Aug  6 00:00:00 2020 AUTC

And so does this >>>

http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/4day_col.shtml

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Aug  6 05:30:00 2020

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.764/150.924?-34.283,150.924,8,m:cISakmH

Down in the Sea

Water temp is a bit on the cool side at around 17.

image

 

 

Tides

Click to access tide-tables-2020-2021.pdf

 

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 10:50 am to 1:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Friday 7 August

Summary
Min 8
Max 16
Rain developing.
Possible rainfall: 15 to 30 mm
Chance of any rain: 100% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (near 100%) chance of rain, most likely in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then shifting east to northeasterly in the afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 10:40 am to 1:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Rain developing. Sydney 8 16
Rain developing. Penrith 5 14
Rain developing. Liverpool 5 15
Rain developing. Terrey Hills 7 14
Rain developing. Richmond 3 14
Rain developing. Parramatta 5 15
Rain developing. Campbelltown 3 15
Rain developing. Bondi 10 16

Saturday 8 August

Summary
Min 10
Max 18
Showers easing.
Possible rainfall: 3 to 5 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers, most likely in the early morning. The chance of a thunderstorm, chiefly near the coast. Winds east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the morning.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Sunday 9 August

Summary
Min 9
Max 18
Showers increasing.
Possible rainfall: 6 to 15 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. Winds northwest to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light during the morning then becoming westerly 20 to 30 km/h during the day.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Monday 10 August

Summary
Min 10
Max 17
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 5 to 15 mm
Chance of any rain: 100% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (near 100%) chance of showers. Winds west to northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light during the morning then becoming south to southwesterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day.

Tuesday 11 August

Summary
Min 11
Max 18
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely during the morning. Winds southerly 20 to 30 km/h turning southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning.

Wednesday 12 August

Summary
Min 10
Max 19
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower, most likely later in the day. Light winds.

Thursday 13 August

Summary
Min 12
Max 22
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly