The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted by: on August 20th, 2020

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 20 August 2020: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Ahh The Westerly Winds of August …  Nature’s harbingers telling those of us who prefer warmer weather that Spring can’t be far away.

They can clear the air, blow dust up your nose, cause a bit of damage here and there, and sometimes after a few days of huffing and puffing across the Bight, bring up some swell from way down south>>>

Will they this time??>>

Well that depends on how a Low develops over the weekend, and where it locates itself… Apparently, it’s still deciding.

But based on what it’s current intentions look like to TG, the surf outlook could be something like this>>>

Friday: less than 1 metre or flat

Saturday: less than 1 metre or flat, or maybe starting to show less than 1 metre at places open to the South

Sunday: Depending on how the Low tracks, it could be starting to show 1 – 1+ metres at dead South places

Monday: Ditto the first bit, into the 1-2 metreish range dead South

Tuesday:  1-2 metre range, 2+ metres maybe South East, but with wind

Wednesday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range South East

Thursday: Ditto

Wouldn’t it be nice if it could just blow that silly virus out to sea with it…

In the meantime I’m really proud of you all washing your hands regularly, staying 1.5 m apart where possible, wearing masks where it’s not, and not whinging too much. Colds and flu stats are way down on what they would normally be, I see.

Keep up the good work!

TG

Up in the Air

MSLP Analysis for Thu Aug 20 00:00:00 2020 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Aug 20 04:30:00 2020

Winds… it’s windy

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-33.381,151.475,5

Down in the Sea

Water temp… The MHL Waverider buoy offshore from Long Reef is reading around 18… Reliable sources have told me that inshore it’s Cold (a technical term).

image

Tides..still going up and down

Click to access tide-tables-2020-2021.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Max 19
Windy. Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds westerly 30 to 45 km/h decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 10:30 am to 1:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Windy. Sunny. Sydney 19
Windy. Sunny. Penrith 18
Windy. Sunny. Liverpool 18
Windy. Sunny. Terrey Hills 17
Windy. Sunny. Richmond 18
Windy. Sunny. Parramatta 18
Windy. Sunny. Campbelltown 17
Windy. Sunny. Bondi 18

Friday 21 August

Summary
Min 9
Max 19
Partly cloudy. Windy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a brief shower. Winds west to northwesterly 20 to 35 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 10:20 am to 1:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Saturday 22 August

Summary
Min 8
Max 16
Windy. Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower along the coastal fringe. Winds northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning westerly 25 to 40 km/h during the morning.

Sun protection recommended from 10:30 am to 1:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Sunday 23 August

Summary
Min 8
Max 17
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower along the coastal fringe. Winds westerly 25 to 40 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 11:00 am to 12:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Monday 24 August

Summary
Min 8
Max 17
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds west to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h turning south to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Tuesday 25 August

Summary
Min 8
Max 18
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Winds southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning south to southeasterly during the day.

Wednesday 26 August

Summary
Min 8
Max 17
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming southerly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

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