Thunder, dark grey skies, spitty rain and 10-15 kts of east wind, combined with 1.4 metres of 9 second SE swell. Throw in a 1.6 m high tide at 0855 and you have a recipe for dire surf prospects this morning. In fact it looks like being ordinary all day weatherwise, but the Bureau says the wind should get around to the westerly quarters by noon as the swell perks a little, so it might be worth keeping an eye on things, just in case it comes together…
Outlook is for gale force SW wind tomorrow with a bit more swell, so there might be a surf option for the super keen in the morning. The models show a return to southerly wind from around lunchtime Sunday which will then last through Monday. Tuesday looks like being the day, at least according to the Wavewatch model. It’s calling for light southerly with close to 2 metres of ESE bump at a short 9 second interval, so surf may not be much above the waist high mark at magnets.
Go well with your Saturday and take the mask if you’re going into public spaces.
A low pressure system is deepening over NSW, and will move east to reach the Tasman Sea later today, and then will move further east on Sunday, allowing a freshening southerly flow to extend along the NSW coast. A high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea will extend a ridge over NSW on Monday.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
Northeast to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots during the morning. Winds tending west to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots in the middle of the day then tending west to southwesterly in the evening.
2 to 3 metres.
Easterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning, then tending east to northeasterly 1.5 metres by early evening.
South to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Cloudy. Near 100% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon.
Sunday 1 November
Gale Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast
Westerly 20 to 30 knots turning south to southwesterly 25 to 30 knots during the morning. Winds reaching up to 35 knots during the day.
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 4 metres during the morning.
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Northeasterly 1.5 metres, tending easterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Monday 2 November
Southerly 20 to 30 knots.
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, tending southeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.