The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted by: on December 17th, 2020

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Update Friday 18 December 2020

Forget the beach and the surf for the next three days as per State Government COVID Health Advice ..stay home. Watch surf movies, read surfing mags, books…you know, etc.

TG

Surf forecast issued Thursday 17 December 2020: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

The hits just keep on comin’, don’t they eh?

Just when people thought they could finally start to relax, go places, have fun, enjoy the school hols, start to wind down for Chrissy, and even walk anywhere local without a mask on… some thing comes along to spoil their fun.

I’d like to be able to tell you how good or not good the surf was today, what the water felt like etc etc, but along with thousands of northern beaches residents, TG followed official Health Department advice, had a Covid test and then went straight home to self isolate till he gets the results!

Not to grab a coffee, get a bite to eat, have a surf or a swim on a hot day!! To say he was irritated would be to understate what he was thinking… free of Covid all through this year, and it’s now right here in our backyard!

But the inconvenience and cost caused to so many people standing in line for hours to get tested, cancelling their plans for coming days and nights, although major, is minor in comparison to potential alternative scenarios.

The community spirit, goodwill and friendliness evident among those in the lines was uplifting. Thanks to all those doing the right thing!  The only way to get on top of this is to follow the official health advice for the northern beaches – see latest below, and check for updates as new venues and times get added.  Check venues for closures.

https://www.nsw.gov.au/covid-19/latest-news-and-updates

Surf outlook

As far as the Surf  goes, TG can say he glanced from the car on his way home and saw a big crowd of people in the water enjoying – he thinks – some reasonable – he thinks – waves~~~~~~~~~~~~~

He can say that the surf outlook is looking pretty good – for those not in self isolation ~~~~~~~~~~~~

Friday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range North East

Saturday: ditto

Sunday: easing back a little, lower end of the 1-2 metre range from the East

Monday: ditto

Tuesday: coming up, 1-2 metres, 2-3 metres Eastish

Wednesday: backing off a little,  1-2 metre range,  2 + metres Eastish

Thursday: in the 1-2 metre range East

Stay safe, get tested and then Have Fun!

TG

Up in the Air

MSLP Analysis for Thu Dec 17 06:00:00 2020 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Dec 17 06:30:00 2020

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 21.

image

Tides

Click to access tide-tables-2020-2021.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Possible shower or storm.
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers and the chance of a thunderstorm. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Friday 18 December

Summary
Min 21
Max 33
Showers. Possible storm.
Possible rainfall: 20 to 60 mm
Chance of any rain: 90% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of showers and the chance of a thunderstorm. Severe thunderstorms are possible. Light winds becoming southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then tending southerly 25 to 40 km/h in the late afternoon.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Showers. Possible storm. Sydney 21 33
Showers. Possible storm. Penrith 21 35
Showers. Possible storm. Liverpool 21 34
Showers. Possible storm. Terrey Hills 20 32
Showers. Possible storm. Richmond 20 34
Showers. Possible storm. Parramatta 20 33
Showers. Possible storm. Campbelltown 19 33
Showers. Possible storm. Bondi 22 33

Saturday 19 December

Summary
Min 19
Max 24
Cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower in the early morning. Winds southerly 25 to 40 km/h decreasing to 20 to 30 km/h before dawn then turning southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the late morning.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Sunday 20 December

Summary
Min 19
Max 26
Cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Monday 21 December

Summary
Min 19
Max 27
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 22 December

Summary
Min 19
Max 28
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 8 to 25 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h shifting south to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h later in the day.

Wednesday 23 December

Summary
Min 18
Max 26
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning.

Thursday 24 December

Summary
Min 19
Max 27
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming east to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

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