Tricky conditions

Posted by: on February 20th, 2021

Hello Friends,

Swell has faded a little overnight to around 1.7 metres from 96° (east) at about 9 seconds apart. Wind early was out of the SW at 4 kts under solidly overcast skies. Tide is currently dropping to the 0.7 m low at 0940. There was a band of rain showers out to sea, and the Bureau tells us we have a 90% chance of 5-10mm of the wet stuff later. We’re heading to a high of 28C, so looks like a sticky one coming up.
Conditions were glassy before 0700 and set wave faces were shoulder plus. Quality wasn’t dazzling though. Northy looked pretty good, and there were some crunchy looking dredgers at Surfrider Gardens, but around at Dee Why, the point looked waist to chest and the beach was chest to shoulder, but the big crowds were waiting a fair amount of the time and having to deal with high shutdown to makeable ratios.
Going by the models (and what the Goat says) it would seem we can expect solid east swell and light wind early through Monday. Midweek looks like continuing swell, but southerlies, but the am sessions Thr and Fri currently look somewhat hopeful.
Go well!
 

Near the lugga, after a long wait, a brief section

Busy, busy at Dee Why

Casual at the point

Short but intense at Surfrider Gardens

…three riders were approaching…


 
Weather Situation
A broad low pressure trough lies off the northern New South Wales coast and a high is drifting across the southern Tasman Sea. Southeasterly winds will tend northeasterly along central and southern parts today as the high drifts further east and then stalls. The trough is forecast to deepen and form a low pressure system over the western Tasman Sea, which may bring strong south to southeasterly winds and large waves to parts of the coast from Sunday.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
East to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending east to southeasterly in the morning. Winds reaching up to 20 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore by early evening.
Swell
Easterly 2 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Sunday 21 February
Winds
East to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending south to southeasterly in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Easterly 2 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Monday 22 February
Winds
South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots during the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Easterly 2 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny. 50% chance of showers

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