"Stay happy and you'll be perfectly fine" - Jack Norris

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 4 March 2021: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Lots of variety with the weather but hey it’s the changeover season.  Still some nice days ahead.

Waves have been plentiful but not necessarily good at some places, while others haven’t had much surf if they were too sheltered from the swell direction. So if you got good surf, lucky you!

More variabilty ahead, and they say variety is the spice of life. If you’re lucky enough to get in the water, go for it, but surf within your capabilities.

The Bureau has issued Large Surf warnings for Friday, Saturday, Sunday and Monday… see Weather from the Bureau below>>> But BoM doesn’t tell you the swell direction in the daily weather forecast.

TG can tell you the swell will be coming from due South/ South East.

So the dangerous surf conditions will apply mainly to beaches open to the South/ South East, while others sheltered from the South, like say Manly, won’t see a lot of that on the beach; along the beach; Queensie will likely see some. Wave quality will depend on the wind conditions on the day. You’ll probably have to pick that combination of enough of a wave without too much wind… Stating the bleeding obvious to the experienced, but for learners best for you to look and learn.

For swimmers, expect some beaches to be closed, others open.

Friday: say lower 1-2 metre range early on, coming up from due South through the day, at places open to the South

Saturday: somewhere around the 3-4 metre range dead South, at places open to the South

Sunday: around 3-4 metres maybe, 2-3 metre range South/ South East, at places open to South /South East

Monday: easing back through the day, somewhere in the upper, moving to lower, 1-2 metre range South/ South East

Tuesday: easing back a little more in the 1-2 metre range East South East

Wednesday: ditto, then up a little, from South /South East

Thursday: in the lower end of the 1-2 metre range South East.

Have a good one.

If surf conditions on any given day aren’t for you… doesn’t matter. That won’t last forever.

Stay safe.

TG.

Up in the Air

MSLP Analysis for Thu Mar 4 00:00:00 2021 AUTC

http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/4day_col.shtml

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Mar 4 06:30:00 2021

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.850/151.220?-34.371,151.221,8,m:cIKaknd

Down in the Sea

Water temp is a very pleasant stayinableforalongtime 25, 25 plus

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2020-2021.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Clear.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Clear. Winds northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 4:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 9 [Very High]

Friday 5 March

Summary
Min 18
Max 24
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower, chiefly in the afternoon or evening. Winds southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h turning south to southeasterly 25 to 45 km/h in the late morning.

Large and powerful surf conditions in the afternoon and evening are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 4:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 9 [Very High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Partly cloudy. Sydney 18 24
Becoming cloudy. Penrith 16 26
Partly cloudy. Liverpool 16 25
Partly cloudy. Terrey Hills 16 22
Becoming cloudy. Richmond 15 26
Partly cloudy. Parramatta 16 24
Partly cloudy. Campbelltown 15 25
Windy. Partly cloudy. Bondi 19 23

Saturday 6 March

Summary
Min 17
Max 24
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds south to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the evening.

Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 4:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 9 [Very High]

Sunday 7 March

Summary
Min 16
Max 26
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 4:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 9 [Very High]

Monday 8 March

Summary
Min 17
Max 28
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny morning. Medium (50%) chance of showers in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm, mainly in the west. Light winds becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Large and powerful surf conditions in the morning are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing.

Tuesday 9 March

Summary
Min 20
Max 28
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 5 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers, most likely later in the day. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 10 March

Summary
Min 20
Max 26
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 4 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. Winds southerly 15 to 20 km/h turning southeasterly during the morning.

Thursday 11 March

Summary
Min 19
Max 26
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 4 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.