Hello Friends,
Visibility at RealSurf HQ was down to maybe 300 metres when I grabbed the snap of wind-tossed trees around 0830. Said wind was coming from the SW at 13-22 kts, so south ends like Dee Why should have reasonably smooth surface conditions. Unfortunately the 1.8 metre wind swell was dead south, to a touch S-SSW at a shade under 8 seconds apart as of 0600 at the MHL buoy’s position out at sea off Sydney. You’ll be hard pressed to find anything much above the waist high mark at the magnets. Tide was dropping to the 1015 low. The Bureau says the wind will move around to the south and by midday there should be a noticeable uptick in wave size as the south wind swell dials up.
Beachwatch is showing a water temp of 21 and warning that water quality may be compromised as a result of the rain. And, speaking of which, the Bureau’s latest forecast is currently predicting our next sunny day will be Wednesday next week. Between now and then there will be more cloudy and on-again, off-again showery weather.
Don’t forget to check back later for the Goat’s thoughts on the surf outlook for the coming week, and go well with your day!
Weather Situation
A trough of low pressure is slowly heading to the far northeast of the state with southerly winds in its wake. A low is also forming offshore along the extension of the trough, further strengthening winds along the coast. Airflow will become easterly during the weekend as the trough moves fully offshore and the low moves to the southern Tasman Sea while a ridge of high pressure extends across the south and another trough in far west New South Wales deepens. Another low pressure system should form within the trough over the Victorian side. The second trough and low will become mobile and cross the state during the first half of the next week.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast
- Winds
- Southerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots during the afternoon and evening.
- Seas
- 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
- Swell
- Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres around midday.
- Weather
- Cloudy. 60% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore.
Friday 22 December
- Winds
- Southerly 15 to 25 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots during the evening.
- Seas
- 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
- Swell
- Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
- Weather
- Cloudy. 70% chance of showers.
Saturday 23 December
- Winds
- Southerly 10 to 15 knots turning east to southeasterly during the afternoon.
- Seas
- Around 1 metre.
- Swell
- Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
- Weather
- Partly cloudy.
d, speaking of which,
