"Stay happy and you'll be perfectly fine" - Jack Norris

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Friday 26 April 2024: Seven day outlook for Sydney

Heeyy… Just so you know… a Large Surf Warning doesn’t necessarily mean it’ll be good. Not if the reason for it is wind generated  by a great big High, with the wind and swell coming up from a long way down south together, at the same time, coinciding with each other – if you get my drift?

Admittedly conditions earlier today when the wind was an unexpected offshore brought out plenty of crowds. But later on there was plenty of cold S/SE wind making conditions look less inviting. Yet there were still punters in the water at places. Either situation had the more.. hmm.. discerning people reconsidering getting wet.

Don’s second photo on Realsurf today says it all.. Nine people paddling onto the same long straighthander in nice conditions at DY beach!.. You can almost hear the calls.. I’m going right ..I’m going left.. Haha oh what fun. I suppose they have to learn about real world outcomes on the job sometime.

The Surf Outlook >>

Saturday: Easing back from Friday, somewhere in the 1-2 metre range, but still some sets

Sunday: down a bit more in the 1-2 metre range dead South

Monday: around 1 ish metres South/South East

Tuesday: starting to come up again from dead South, say 1-2, 2+ metres… check the wind forecast

Wednesday:  dittoish..ditto

Thursday: around 2 metres or so South East,,ditto

Friday:  ditto..ditto

Some facts and advice for you…gratis and free of charge:

Know your limitations.

Crowds aren’t fun.

Surf that looks like a washing machine is not good for learning to surf.

Look after yourself and each other.

Stay safe and Have FuN!

TG.

Up in the Air

MSLP Analysis for Fri Apr 26 06:00:00 2024 AUTC

http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/4day_col.shtml

Latest Colour Mean Sea-Level Pressure Analysis and Infrared Greyscale Satellite

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Fri Apr 26 08:30:00 2024

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.850/151.220?-34.364,151.221,8

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 24

image

Tides

https://www.nsw.gov.au/sites/default/files/2023-06/nsw_tides_2023%E2%80%932024.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Friday

Summary
Clear.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Clear. The chance of smoke haze in the west. Winds south to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the evening.

Large and powerful surf conditions for the rest of the day are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing.

Sun protection recommended from 9:50 am to 1:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

Saturday 27 April

Summary
Min 13
Max 23
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. The chance of morning fog in the west. The chance of smoke haze in the west. Slight chance of a shower. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the early afternoon.

A POOR Air Quality Forecast alert is issued for Sydney by the Department of Climate Change, Energy, Environment and Water (DCCEEW) due to elevated PM2.5 levels for Saturday 27 April 2024

Fire Danger – No Rating

Sun protection recommended from 9:50 am to 1:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

Sunday 28 April

Summary
Min 13
Max 25
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. The chance of morning fog in the west. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:50 am to 1:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

Monday 29 April

Summary
Min 14
Max 27
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. The chance of morning fog in the west. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 9:50 am to 1:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

Tuesday 30 April

Summary
Min 16
Max 21
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High chance of showers, becoming less likely in the evening. Winds southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h tending southerly 25 to 35 km/h during the morning.

Wednesday 1 May

Summary
Min 13
Max 20
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 15 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers. Winds south to southwesterly 25 to 35 km/h.

Thursday 2 May

Summary
Min 13
Max 21
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 15 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers. Winds south to southwesterly 20 to 30 km/h.

Friday 3 May

Summary
Min 12
Max 20
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 15 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers. Light winds becoming south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the morning

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25 April 2024. Yesterday’s Update>>>

Only an update cause it’s Anzac Day, and we’ve got a man down still by the look of things.

First … today started out OK with an uptick from yesterday’s small conditions, light wind, sunshine. Was looking pretty good till the southerly picked up. Then things just went bllrrgh or something like that.  Keensters stayed out till things got worserer.

Tomorrow the Bureau’s warning says

Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing, particularly for south facing beaches.

TG is cheering because the last bit is something he’s suggested to the BoM to include..over quite some time.. to indicate swell direction to improve surf warnings. Great stuff.

More tomorrow

Great to see large crowds pay their respects for the sacrifices of our Diggers.

TG