Posts in At large

Thursday quickie

Posted on July 5th, 2018 in At large.

Smaller today but great morning conditions . Blue sky, no wind and glassy waves..only prob is that other people are out there ..but they might go to work soon…and there’s a bit of a wait between rides.  Top of 23 today.


Today

Posted on July 4th, 2018 in At large.

Surf’s up from the North East.  About shoulder highish.  Nice clean waves with no wind. Best in protected NE corners or middle of beaches. Should be pretty good all day. Tide is around half tide.


Postcards from LA

Posted on July 2nd, 2018 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Perfect weather in LA but only the tiniest hint of a line showing at places like El Segundo (near LAX) and Redondo Beach. A tiny bit more going on at Palos Verdes, but didn’t see anyone in the water.
Travelling tomorrow, so could be a day or two before you hear from me again…
go well!

Surf report on an El Segundo life guard tower today

El Segundo shories Knee high and sideshore.

El Segundo on a beautiful Sunday afternoon – note the lack of crowd. This is LA!

Lunada Bay slumbers

A ml would go a treat on this little line at Palos Verdes


Near flat for Saturday

Posted on June 30th, 2018 in At large.

Hello Friends,

At daybreak it was a touch under 10C at RealSurf HQ and wind was out of the NW at 5-7 kts. The MHL buoy was detecting only 0.9 m of 9-sec SSE bump.Skies were mostly clear. I did my usual pre-radio report run this morning and can report that it was just about – but not quite – flat.
There were three or four people in the water at Northy where there were knee to maybe waist high bumps sliding in through a glassy sea. From there south to Collaroy and the north side of Long Reef it was essentially flat. Around at Dee Why there were a couple of high tide peaks briefly flickering to life with again knee to waist high bumps. But it was really a case of one or two turns and you’re done.
At report time the tide was running into the 1.34 m high at 0940. It’ll ebb out to a 0.6 m low at 1510.
Looking at the swell models this morning, it would seem Sydney’s facing a week of very small to flat conditions. The very long range projections are currently showing a potential strong south pulse from around next Monday. But they’re also predicting heaps of S-SSW wind with it.
That’ll all be academic for me as by then I’ll be on the other side of the world, from which I hope to send you the periodic postcard (wi-fi gods permitting).
Have a great Saturday everyone!

One turn wonder peak at 0655

No dice for the point

5 seconds of fun at the Pole

Walkers at south Narrabeen

Tiny little peak at Northy 0645

Good morning Saturday

Weather Situation
A high pressure system near New Zealand is slowly moving east as a low pressure trough moves over the Tasman Sea. Winds over New South Wales waters will tend west to northwesterly ahead of a front crossing the region late today and early Sunday, before turning west to southwesterly behind it, as another ridge extends across the state.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Northwesterly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots offshore during the day. Winds turning westerly in the late afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.
Sunday 1 July
Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning south to southeasterly below 10 knots during the day.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southwesterly below 0.5 metres, tending southerly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Monday 2 July
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning easterly during the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers.


Out for a ride

Posted on June 24th, 2018 in At large.

Lots of folks in the water from Cooks to Mona Vale but no one at warriewood and single punter at little Narra. Size about knee to waist. 25 or so chasing slightly bigger ones at Northy.


Fadey day

Posted on June 23rd, 2018 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Looks fun out there. Waves in the shoulder plus range on the biggest sets, but mostly chest to a little less. Lotsa folks in the water at Northy, hardly anyone among the shutdowns south of there, then around the corner at Longy there were heaps of people chasing shutty-downy but head high sets. A bit smaller as you get to Kiddies and the point, but definitely a few to be had there.

Pics up in a bit…

To fill in the other details, at 0500 the MHL buoy was seeing 1.4 m from the SE (135°) at 11-12 seconds. Tide was dropping to the 0.5m low at 1035. It’ll be back to a 1.6 m high at 1710.

Outlook is for tomorrow and Monday morning to be southerly. Swell should be marginal tomorrow, but pushing back up Monday and if the Bureau has it right, the southerly should back off late in the day.  By Tuesday the swell should be settling back again, but the wind is set to be offshore, so there could be some fun ones on tap. Plus the weather should be sunny again.

Well attended at Northy 0700

Pretty one

Not huge but surfable at the point

Another wave at the point for the crew

Kiddies set wave goes uncaught

Toward No Mans the options are live

Lugga sets solid

Party waves aplenty at Longy

Weather Situation
A high pressure ridge over New South Wales will remain through to next week with mostly light to moderate southeast to southwesterly winds along the coast. On Saturday a front will pass through the south bringing fresh to strong southwesterly winds to the far south.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
North to northwesterly about 10 knots tending westerly 10 to 15 knots in the morning then turning south to southwesterly in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.
Sunday 24 June
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers in the morning.
Monday 25 June
Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable below 10 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 2 metres during the evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


It was a dark and stormy morning…

Posted on June 19th, 2018 in At large.

Hello Friends,

You’d want to be keen given the chilly, windy, rainy conditions this morning. There is swell and the wind was 15-20 kts at North Head when I grabbed the snaps. The Bower looked pretty clean but only waist to chest on sets. Plus there was the occasional lightning strike out at sea… a few bods were testing their immune systems up at Queensie where set waves were into the head plus range and surface conditions clean. Freshy was overwhelmed by the swell and no one was silly enough to be in the water. Likewise, Curly was big but somewhat chaotic and therefore empty. A couple of bodyboarders were having a go at the point, but the swell was lumpy and sectiony and again, not a terribly attractive proposition. Didn’t see anyone in the water from there north to Longy. Very small and clean at Collaroy and no takers.
The MHL buoy was showing 4.7 metres at 11 seconds from the SSE (158°) as of 0700. So the bulk of the energy is staying out to sea. Swell should be hitting its peak around now and then it’ll gradually drop back to below the 3 me mark tomorrow. As it fades slowly on Thursday, the models show the direction going more SE, so we should see solid conditions into the weekend. Wind predictions show the velocity dropping as it gets more westerly. Could be good….
Have a great Tuesday everyone!

Little waves at the Bower and swell looking bulky at sea

Water quality will be suss at Queensie for these folks

Pouring rain, freshy

Bomb set at Dee Why point

White rock making pretend rights

Weather Situation
A low pressure system near New Zealand with a trough to the northwest is slowly moving east and weakening and a high pressure system is moving towards Tasmania. The two systems are directing vigorous southwest to southeasterly winds along the New South Wales coast. Winds will ease later today as the high moves over the southwestern Tasman Sea extending a ridge along the coast.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Gale Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southerly 25 to 30 knots, reaching up to 35 knots inshore during the morning.
Seas
2.5 to 4 metres.
Swell
Southerly 3 to 4 metres, decreasing to 3 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Wednesday 20 June
Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots decreasing to about 10 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Swell
Southeasterly 2.5 to 3 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions in the early morning are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Thursday 21 June
Winds
South to southeasterly about 10 knots tending south to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning then becoming variable about 10 knots during the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. Chance of showers.


Clear skies and flat seas

Posted on June 16th, 2018 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Went for a picture run ahead of this morning’s radio spot on 702 ABC. As expected the ocean looks like a lake. I did see an ankle high wave caught at North Narrabeen, but around at Dee Why there was no chance of replicating that feat. So, no surf for us today, sadly.

To put some numbers on it, at 0500 the Sydney region MHL buoy was detecting only 0.7 m of extremely feeble 6-second SSE (160°) wind bump offshore. Just before the sun came over the horizon, wind was 7-10 kts from the NW. Tide was a very low 0.2 m at 0415 and will reach a 1.5 m high at 1020.
Outlook is for the abject flatness to persist all weekend as powering westerlies smash the tiny south bump across the next 48 hours. And then, on Monday the wind is set to go from west to SW but not to back off while at the same time a fresh south pulse tries to get to us. As noted in the Goat’s outlook, it’s an open question as to how much energy will actually make it to the south magnets by Monday afternoon. By Tuesday the wind is forecast to be coming from the south at 25-30 kts as the swell peaks in the 3-4 metre range with a 10 sec period. Right now it looks as though we’ll be waiting until around Thursday for the southerly to blow itself out and for conditions to settle into something more approachable…
Have a great Saturday everyone!

Don’t miss Vivid!

Very quiet at Narrabeen 0700

Up and riding on an ankle high line at Northy

SUP riders out for a glide on a smooth morning sea

Weather Situation
A series of cold fronts are crossing southeastern Australia as a low pressure system slowly moves to the south of Tasmania. Winds will tend south to southwesterly over the weekend and strengthen on Monday as the low moves into the Tasman Sea. By the middle of next week, winds are expected to ease as the low moves closer to New Zealand.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
Winds
West to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Sunday 17 June
Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Westerly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers offshore, near zero chance elsewhere.
Monday 18 June
Winds
Westerly 25 to 30 knots turning southwesterly 25 to 35 knots during the morning.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, increasing to 3 to 4 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
South to southwesterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, increasing to 2.5 to 4 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers. Showers heavy at times. The chance of a thunderstorm.


Quiet and grey Saturday morning

Posted on June 9th, 2018 in At large.

Hello Friends,
(Sorry for the late posting, having issues with the content delivery network. Putting this up for the historical value.)

At 0500 the MHL buoy was seeing only 0.7 metre of SE bump at around 11 sec apart.

Wind was a light NNW of 5-7 kts as of 0630. It should pick up later and stay W-NW until evening when another bout of southerly conditions is set to insue. Tide is dropping to the 0.5 m low at 1020 and then will be back to a 1.5 m high at 1645.

Queenscliff at 1020 Sat

Rain and tiny at Queensie

Hellperson getting a 360 at south Curly 1040

Middle Curly around 1040 – not pumping

Amazing! Tucked into a knee high barrel at south Curly

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the southwestern Tasman Sea is extending a ridge to the north resulting in a northerly flow over the waters. A southerly change is expected to move along the southern half of the coast later today, reaching the north coast on Sunday. This southerly flow will remain into the new week, as a weak low pressure system lingers over the northern Tasman Sea.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
West to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots shifting southerly in the early evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the morning.
Swell
Southeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm this evening.
Sunday 10 June
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots inshore during the morning and early afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1.5 metres offshore later in the evening.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Monday 11 June
Winds
South to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the evening.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Pics from earlier this morning at Northy and Longy

Posted on June 7th, 2018 in At large.

0840 at Longy. This was a bomb set.

Only person in the water at Northy 0815.

Longy about 0830

Not super interesting but not flat either

Paddling out for another little shutdown at Northy

Moody morning sky at Northy

Little flash of juice down the beach from Northy


 

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