Posts in At large

Weak and junky for the keen only

Posted on September 10th, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,
If you’re really keen and not put off by weak, small and junky onshore conditions – this is your morning to get amongst it. The 15-20 kt SSE wind was hammering the surface conditions and making the anemic 1.5 metre 7-second period SSE wind bump look, well, bumpy. But good on those hearty few folk in the water for not letting the stoke fade. Great to see such indomitable enthusiasm.
The Goat will be along later today with his weekend/week ahead thoughts, but I have to say, looking at the models, I’m not super hopeful we’ll see any significant improvement in the near term…
Go well with your day, keep on smilin’ and keep on maskin’ inside public spaces.

Weather Situation
A trough of low pressure is moving along the northern coast today, bringing a fresh to strong southerly change. Winds are then expected to gradually tend east to northeasterly by Friday as a high pressure system moves over the Tasman Sea. The next southerly change is forecast to arrive along the southern waters late on Sunday.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1.5 metres.
1st Swell
South to southeasterly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Friday 11 September
Winds
East to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots turning northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
1st Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
South to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Saturday 12 September
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the evening.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Sleepy Saturday surf options

Posted on September 5th, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,
Sunny skies and a smooth sea on a cool Spring Saturday morning with only ankle to knee and a bit high waves at best NE exposures. That pretty much leaves out Dee Why but there are a few peaks from about Surfrider Gardens to North Narrabeen. Wind was out of the west at 5-7 kts and the buoy data showed 0.7 metres of 7-second wind bump from 113°. First tide of the daylight hours is a 1.46m high at 1005. By the time it’s back to low at 1600, the southerly should be up and likely extinguishing the last hope of any surf for the day.Not a great outlook on the ECM and Wavewatch models this morning. Swell seems likely to hover around the metre mark with periods in the sub-10 second range through the coming week. It looks as though we could see a small uptick toward the end of the week, but it could be pretty south (both wind and swell) and weak (short period), so my expectations are for soft knee to waist at magnets in the mornings from about Wednesday.

Have a top old Saturday and catch you again tomorrow!

Soft little bump at North Collaroy

Crew on the tiny peaks of Surfrider Gardens

Knee high at Northy

Longy too tiny to attract any takers as of 0645

Millpond at Dee Why

Thundering set rolls into Dee Why beach

Weather Situation
A cold front entering the far south coast early this morning will bring a southerly wind change along the coast today, and continues heading north to reach the far north coast by early Sunday. A high pressure system will move across the south during the weekend in the wake of the front, then northerly winds are forecast to develop from Monday as the high pressure system moves into the Tasman Sea and another cold front approaches from the west.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots, turning south to southeasterly 10 to 20 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, reaching up to 2 metres offshore during the morning.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southeast to southwesterly around 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of a thunderstorm offshore early this morning. Mostly sunny afternoon.
Sunday 6 September
Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 20 knots, tending east to southeasterly around 10 knots in the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Monday 7 September
Winds
Northeasterly about 10 knots tending north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.


Lots of surf options at south favourables

Posted on August 29th, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Super clean, lightly offshore and head high plus on the bomb sets at south magnets on Saturday morning. It was kind of missing Dee Why point but the peak north of the club and several focal points between there and the bombies at Longy were all keeping the crowds entertained. Swell was showing from just south of Marquesas almost to Northy. It was busiest at Surfrider Gardens but a patient attitude and enough time should see you scoring something worthy.

Swell at sea was 1.6 metres at 12 seconds from 166°, so definitely down from yesterday evening’s peak. The forecast tells us to expect the energy to dribble away as the day goes along. Tide was high at 0530 and is back to low at 1100 as we head to sunny high of 21. Water is 17C and clean everywhere.

Outlook? Well, like the Goat said, there could be some waves around tomorrow morning, then it may fade back…

Surfrider Gardens busy

Narrabeen

Marquesas

Longy

Longy Bombies set

That peak at Dee Why

Weather Situation
A recent cold front is bringing fresh to strong southwesterly winds to New South Wales waters today. Following this, a strong high pressure system will drift across from the west during Saturday, reaching the Tasman Sea by Sunday. Winds will ease then shift northerly in most coastal areas as the high passes overhead. The next cold front looks set to arrive on Monday.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Northwesterly about 10 knots tending northerly 15 to 20 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Sunny.
Sunday 30 August
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.
Monday 31 August
Winds
Northwesterly 10 to 15 knots shifting southerly 15 to 20 knots during the morning.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Little waves at selected spots

Posted on August 27th, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,
Sunny skies, light and variable breezes, low tide at 0850 and high at 1535, plus 1.3 metres of 9-second SE swell meant magnet spots were seeing the odd waist high set or even a touch bigger. But it was inconsistent and close to flat between sets. So, you can get wet, but just take a buoyant water toy to play.
On a schedule so will leave it there. Check back later for the mighty Goat’s weekend surf forecast!

Kiddies set

Kiddies crowd waiting

Bomb set at the point

South Curly set

South Curly

South Curly

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over southeastern Australia extending a ridge across the northern Tasman Sea. Coastal winds will increase across the south on Thursday ahead of a cold front, which is expected to bring a strong southerly change to much of the New South Wales coast during Friday. On the weekend, winds will tend northerly as the high pressure system reaches the Tasman Sea and another cold front approaches from the west.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming west to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Sunny.
Friday 28 August
Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northwesterly 20 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore early in the morning. Winds shifting south to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots during the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing below 1.5 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 2 to 4 metres around midday.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Saturday 29 August
Winds
West to southwesterly about 10 knots tending west to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning then turning northerly during the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Sunny.


Ultra micro Saturday

Posted on August 22nd, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Chilly, breezy, sunny and almost perfectly flat this morning. The only wave I saw ridden was the one shown below. So, if you were in exactly the right spot at exactly the right moment with exactly the right equipment… swell is about half a metre out at sea and wind is out of the NW at 16-22 kts. Ocean is 18C.
There’s really no hope of an improvement today, however tomorrow should see the swell coming up at spots that like a dead south swell. And then Monday it should really get going as it builds into the 3-4 metre range by the afternoon. Wind is set to stay cold and westerly to SW’ly right across the period.
Go well everybody and keep those masks handy.

A wave! Clean little peeler at Longy

Beautiful mouse surf at No Mans

Chilly morning, Long Reef

Hardy specimens wading in for a dip (air temp @ 10)

Narrabeen looked like a lake

Out for a paddle


Weather Situation
A complex low pressure system near Tasmania is directing a series of cold fronts and troughs across southeast Australia, bringing vigorous westerly winds to New South Wales waters. Conditions are expected to gradually ease later Sunday and Monday as the low moves away to the east and is replaced by a high pressure system. This high looks set to become the dominant features over the state during the coming week, promoting a return to lighter winds.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Westerly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers.
Sunday 23 August
Gale Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Westerly 20 to 30 knots, reaching 35 knots offshore.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, reaching 4 metres offshore.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres around midday.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm from the late morning.
Monday 24 August
Winds
Westerly 20 to 30 knots turning southwesterly 15 to 25 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 2 metres during the evening.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres, increasing to 3 to 4 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.


Posted on August 15th, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Knee to maybe waist high at spots picking up the last little scraps of swell. It has a longish period, so the lines are clean and well defined. Not a lot of people in the water for the early, but these cute little waves will no doubt attract more takers in due course.

Out at sea the waverider buoy was seeing just 0.8 metres of 12-second period SE swell. Tide was high at 0510 and will be back to low at 1045. There’s a medium chance of the odd shower, but at day break the skies were partly cloudy with lots of clear breaks. Wind was coming from the WNW at 9-10 kts as of 0645.

According to the models our surf prospects for the next few days are either blah (ECM) or might be pretty fun (Wavewatch). Going with the hopeful take, tomorrow could be a touch bigger than today and then Monday could be into the shoulder high range at south magnets. We shall see…

Go well with your Saturday and take the mask for those crowded indoor public spaces.

Weather Situation
A trough is moving into the Tasman Sea early this morning, with a low pressure system expected to develop within this trough off the southern New South Wales coast during this morning. This system will bring a fresh to strong southwesterly wind change along the coast today. The low is expected to move away to the southeast during Sunday and Monday, with southwesterly winds expected to ease from the north as the low moves away. Winds will then tend back to the northwest later Monday.

Grey Butcherbird (Cracticus torquatus) between songs to the new morning

Little right zippers into the beach at Long Reef

No Mans bomb set

Little and clean line at Surfrider Gardens

A little crew at Northy

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning westerly 15 to 25 knots during the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres offshore.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm from late this morning.
Sunday 16 August
Winds
Westerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Monday 17 August
Winds
Westerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny.


Slab shots

Posted on August 11th, 2020 in At large.

Stopped by Surfrider Gardens to see what the swell was doing this morning. There were a few people out chasing some fairly heavy and brief waves. At that particular tide there was a particularly slabby bank working, so slabby that hardly anyone made it over the ledge and into the pit.

Near Surfrider Gardens


Saturday surfin’

Posted on August 1st, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Beautiful, if chilly morning out there with some fun waves to be had. Swell was focusing near Surfrider Gardens on the Collaroy-Narrabeen stretch and there were lots of folks on it too. But there should be waves most everywhere this morning. The Dee Why to Longy stretch had knots of surfers dotted along the beach from from the life guard hut at Longy to the point. As the pictures show, sets were in the chest to shoulder plus range. Out at sea swell was 1.6 metres at 11 seconds from the east. Wind was out of the west as of 0720 at 6-7 kts. It should stay at about that intensity and direction all day. Tide was high at 0630 and will be back to low a little after noon. We’re going to a high of 19C today and Beachwatch reports the water is currently 17C.
Go well, have fun and mask up when you go into enclosed public spaces. I know it’s not the law (yet) or anything, but you don’t have to be ordered to protect others do you?

Tucked into a little barrel at the point

Kiddies

No Mans

The Pole

Surfrider Gardens

Far north Collaroy


 

Weather Situation
A low pressure system over the Tasman Sea continues to decay as it slowly moves further east. Meanwhile, a ridge of high pressure is pushing across inland New South Wales from the west. Fresh southerly winds will ease by the weekend as the high moves across and becomes established in the Tasman Sea by Sunday.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
West to northwesterly about 10 knots becoming northerly in the middle of the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Sunday 2 August
Winds
North to northwesterly about 10 knots becoming west to southwesterly around dawn then becoming north to northeasterly in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre around midday.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.
Monday 3 August
Winds
North to northwesterly below 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots during the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 metres during the evening.
Weather
Mostly sunny.


Messy, rainy and smaller but not small

Posted on July 28th, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,

0900: Swell definitely smaller but set wave faces at South Steyne and the Bower were still head and a bit

Water looked suss but surface conditions were relatively smooth. The low tide was making it crunchy and shuttydowny but that wasn’t deterring folks.

The MHL buoy off Sydney reported 3.8 metres at 10 seconds mainly from the south (168°). Wind was 13-21 kts SSW as of 0730. Tide hits low at 0820 and will be back to high at 1450. Weather should see the showers backing off across the day as we head to a high of 18C. Beaches north from Long Reef were rated as ‘pollution likely’ by Beachwatch yesterday.

Prospects look a little more hopeful for tomorrow and Friday morning as the weather clears up and the swell drops back into the more approachable range. For today, I’d be skipping it.

South Steyne

Queenscliff barrel

South Steyne

Bower set

Weather Situation
A low pressure system off the coast is bringing gale force southerly winds and large, powerful surf along the southern and central parts of the coast. The winds are expected to ease below gale force during the later part of today as the low gradually weakens and moves east, but fresh to strong southerly winds will remain along parts of the coast through to Thursday.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southwesterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly 2 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Wednesday 29 July
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 25 knots turning southerly 15 to 20 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres by early evening.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Thursday 30 July
Winds
Southwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending southerly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny.


Little but rideable

Posted on July 25th, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,

The quiet before the storm this morning. Not much change to surf options since yesterday. It looked inconsistent and around knee to maybe waist high at Narrabeen and along the Longy-Dee Why stretch. So a good morning to go for a paddle if you’re a beginner. The clouds and rain are due later, as is the NE sea breeze, so earlier is better if you can manage it. Water is 17C, so not bad in a steamer.

As of 0400, the MHL buoy was showing 1.1 metres at 11.8 sec from 158°. Tide was low at 0545 and will be back to high at noon.

Current outlook is for the swell to gradually start building tomorrow as it heads to a peak in the 3 metre range Tuesday afternoon. Right now the wind looks like being southerly across Sun-Mon but as the swell peaks, it could be a fairly stiff  20+kts from the SW with showery weather. Wednesday is currently predicted to be partly cloudy with swell dropping into the 2 metre range. Could be the go…

Take care, mask up when you go into shared internal spaces and keep washing those hands!

Kiddies set

Lone hunter near the Pole

Surfrider Gardens peak

Good morning Saturday

Weather Situation
A high pressure system lies over the southern Tasman Sea, while a low pressure trough is deepening off the northern New South Wales coast. This trough is forecast to deepen to a low pressure system from late Saturday or early Sunday before heading south. Depending on its position, strong winds and large surf to some coastal areas are possible from the later part of the weekend into early next week.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning easterly in the late evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm from late this morning.
Sunday 26 July
Gale Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Easterly 15 to 25 knots shifting south to southwesterly 30 to 45 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, increasing to 2.5 to 4 metres by early evening.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending easterly 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. Near 100% chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon.
Monday 27 July
Winds
Southerly 30 to 40 knots turning southwesterly 30 to 40 knots during the morning.
Seas
3 to 5 metres.
1st Swell
Below 0.5 metres, tending southerly 2 to 4 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Easterly 2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning.

Forecast for the rest of Saturday

Summary
Max 19
A few showers developing.
Possible rainfall: 4 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Areas of morning fog. High (80%) chance of showers, most likely during this afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm from late this morning. Light winds becoming northeast to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the evening then becoming light in the late evening.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Sunday 26 July

Summary
Min 12
Max 18
Rain. Becoming windy.
Possible rainfall: 40 to 60 mm
Chance of any rain: 100% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (near 100%) chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm in the late morning and afternoon. Winds east to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h turning south to southwesterly 35 to 55 km/h in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 11:50 am to 12:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Monday 27 July

Summary
Min 13
Max 18
Showers. Windy.
Possible rainfall: 5 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. Winds southwesterly 35 to 55 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 11:10 am to 12:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]