Posts in At large

Southerly Saturday

Posted on January 11th, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Nup. Not happening for the early along the Northern Beaches. Wind was south at 15-30 kts with gusts to 45 kt from first light. Tide was coming into a swampy 1.94 metres at a little after 0900. Skies were gloomy and grey with a strong aroma of bushfire smoke. Exposed spots were pretty torn up by the wind and while slightly protected areas such as south Narrabeen or Kiddies at Dee Why were relatively clean, there isn’t much swell energy at all getting in. It was 3.4 metres and dead south at 8 seconds apart out at sea where the MHL buoy is, but wave faces were maybe half that height along the beaches and rather weak looking.

North Narrabeen not happening at 0630

Set at north Collaroy

The point relatively clean but micro

No Man’s to Kiddies too tiny for any takers at 0630

The Pole looking feeble and empty 0630

 
Weather Situation
A vigorous cold front brought a gusty southerly change to southern and central New South Wales waters overnight which is expected to reach the far northern coast late today, weakening as it moves further north. Following this, another high is expected to move from the Bight to the Tasman Sea on Sunday and Monday, bringing a gradual shift back to northeasterly winds during the first half of the new week. The next front looks set to arrive late in the new week.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Gale Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southerly 25 to 35 knots, decreasing to 15 to 25 knots during the morning.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 2 metres around midday.
1st Swell
South to southeasterly below 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 50% chance of showers. The chance of a morning thunderstorm.
Sunday 12 January
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy.
Monday 13 January
Winds
Southeasterly about 10 knots becoming east to northeasterly during the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Cloudy.


Dropping away to very marginal

Posted on January 8th, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Visibility from RealSurf HQ was less than 500 metres at 0730 due to a mix of fog and bushfire smoke pollution, so not possible to get a picture.

Checking the cams, it looks like waves are in the ankle to knee high range along the beaches. The MHL buoy shows 1.6 metres at 5 seconds from the SE out at sea. So there’s not much energy in the system. High tide was at 0715, so that added to the weakness. Beachwatch says the water’s on 18C. Wind was south 10-15 kts at North Head as of 0800.

Outlook is for the next couple of days to be similarly weak and small. The models are currently showing the wind going around to the south quarters on the weekend and early next week it looks like we might possibly have a solid, long period south pulse… be interesting to see what the Goat thinks tomorrow.

Will add a pic or two once visibility improves – so check back later.

Have a good one!

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea will gradually move towards New Zealand over the coming days. Meanwhile, a trough extending from the northern inland is bringing southerly winds to southern and central waters. Winds will gradually turn north to northeasterly on Thursday and Friday ahead of an approaching cold front. This front is forecast to bring a vigorous southerly change along the New South Wales coast later Friday and during Saturday.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds
South to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots, tending north to northeasterly offshore during the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
1st Swell
East to northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Thursday 9 January

Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots turning southeasterly during the morning and early afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and early afternoon.

Friday 10 January

Winds
Northerly 10 to 15 knots turning northeasterly 20 to 30 knots during the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
South to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

 


Smooth little lines for Saturday morning fun

Posted on January 4th, 2020 in At large.

Hello Friends,
If you’re keen, there were little knee to maybe waist high glassy bumps at the best exposure. Wind will kick in as the day heats up to a high of 35C along the coast. Ocean temp has dropped back to 19C. Tide is dropping to the low at 0950. There’s a Poor air quality forecast from the already evident smoke haze.

We swing to southerly tomorrow, so while the surf should push up a little, the biggest stuff will be at most exposed spots because the period will be too short to refract much into corners.

Beyond that, there’s a prospect of more south wind and a possibility of some light precipitation across the front half of the work week.  Surfwise, it looks not too interesting. Basically more short period knee to waist high south wind bump and generally south wind…

Stay safe everyone, particularly those of you facing dangerous fire conditions.

south Narrabeen maybe for bodysurfing

Dee Why knee high and weak

Fat and slow at Longy 0630

 

Weather Situation

A high pressure system is strengthening over the Tasman sea and is directing north to northeasterly winds across the New South Wales coast. A trough associated with a cold front will bring a gusty southerly change to the southern half of the coast later today, which will stall about the north coast on Sunday.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots in the afternoon and evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres in the late afternoon.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Sunny morning. The chance of a thunderstorm with little or no rainfall inshore during this afternoon and early evening.

Sunday 5 January

Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Southerly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 25 knots early in the morning then tending southeasterly 20 to 25 knots in the late evening.
Seas
2 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Monday 6 January

Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots turning easterly during the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre, tending easterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 50% chance of showers.

Barely there on Saturday morning

Posted on December 28th, 2019 in At large.

Hello Friends,

As of 0630 the surface conditions were bumpy and lightly textured along the beaches. There was a weak, close-together looking knee to maybe waist high little wind swell wafting in from E-SE. You could tell it was pretty uninteresting because there were only a handful of people in the water on a nice Saturday morning. The MHL buoy’s 0400 data showed 1.8 metres at 6 seconds from the ESE out at sea. Tide was coming in to the 1.8 m high at 1030. Wind was very light from the NNE under clear skies with good visibility.

The Bureau has a strong wind warning for N-NE wind at 20-25 kts this afternoon. So there might be a little more activity at selected spots on the other side of the low tide at 1715. But between now and then conditions are going to be less than enticing most places.

We’re heading to a high of 29C along the beaches and you can expect ocean temps to be in the 21C range.

The strong wind later today could possibly deliver slightly bigger wind swell bumps for tomorrow morning, but I’m not hopeful of a dramatic improvement over the low intensity stuff we’re seeing now.

It might improve a bit mid-week, so here’s hoping

Only two in the water at Long Reef 0620

Energy focus south Narrabeen but no punters

Northy producing soft but catchable bumps 0615

Solo surfer gets momentary section near the lagoon at DY

Sole hopeful at Dee Why 0620

Weather Situation
A near-stationary high pressure system over the Tasman Sea is expected to remain the dominant feature in the region during the next few days. This will result in east to northeasterly winds along the New South Wales coast, briefly interrupted in the south by a weak southerly change on Sunday. A stronger southerly change is forecast to move though southern and central parts of the coast on Tuesday.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northeasterly 20 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.
Sunday 29 December
Winds
North to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 25 knots before dawn.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Monday 30 December
Winds
Northeasterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny.


B1 through the haze

Posted on December 10th, 2019 in At large.

There were some small, fun north east, short period waves early this morning north of Newport.  Should stay fun for a while yet.  Water temp has dropped a couple of degrees though.

B1 took this snap of Collaroy through the gloom on the way to the city at 8am.

Collaroy


You have to be so keen

Posted on December 9th, 2019 in At large.

Hello Friends,
Well, the pictures tell the story. Monday morning saw grey skies and moderate smoke haze from the conflagration devouring great swathes of the bush in NSW. Surf conditions were not great when I did the Manly to Dee Why trip between 0800 and 0900. The Manly stretch was too small to have any takers and even around the corner at the better exposed Curl Curl there was just one person in the water at the south end and only a handful up north. There was a fat looking little line hiding under the chop, but you’d be lucky to jag anything over the thigh-high mark. And the forecast is for that to fade away. On top of this, the wind was coming steadily from the NE at about 10 kts, so surface conditions will not improve from here on in.
The Bureau warns that tomorrow will be a scorcher with temps up to 36C along the coast and worse inland. A late southerly change should bring some relief. Surfwise both the ECM and Wavewatch models continue to show small swell heights with very short period (6-8 seconds) for the rest of the week. So, don’t expect many surf opportunities.

Catch you again tomorrow!

A POOR Air Quality Forecast alert is issued by the Department of Planning, Industry and Environment (DPIE) due to forecast elevated PM2.5 levels in Sydney for Monday 9 December 2019.

Up and riding at Dee why beach 0830

Dee Why point not showing a thing

Grey skies, onshores, dribbly little bumps, looks good for a swim at Curly 0820

The sole occupant at south Curly 0820 struggles and fails to get into another bump.

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the southwestern Tasman Sea will direct southeast to northeasterly winds along the New South Wales coast, with winds tending north to northeasterly during Monday as the high moves further east. The next trough will bring a southerly change to southern and central coastal parts on Tuesday before the change stalls around the Mid North Coast during Wednesday.

Forecast for Monday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots in the late afternoon. Winds reaching up to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres around midday.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Tuesday 10 December
Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots ahead of a gusty southerly change 20 to 30 knots in the late afternoon or early evening then decreasing to 20 to 25 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Wednesday 11 December
Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots decreasing to about 10 knots during the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon or evening.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning.


Small waves for Saturday but you’ll need to look around

Posted on December 7th, 2019 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Most places were too small to surf this morning, but spots with reasonable exposure to the south were seeing set wave faces into the chest plus range. It was pretty inconsistent and junky though. Tide is currently dropping to a low at 1150 and wind was coming faintly from the SSW as of 0630. Wind is set to pick up as it drifts to the SSE. So, your best bet is to hit it earlier rather than later if you can.

Surf outlook isn’t too exciting for the rest of the weekend and into the new week. Basically we’re looking at mainly straight south swell in the 1-1.5 m range with shortish periods and onshores by late morning.

Have yourself a fun Saturday everyone!

Not really surfable at south Narrabeen as of 0630

Sizable shutdown inside at Longy bombies

Surf boat carnival down the beach at Dee Why and only weak little bumps at Kiddies and No Mans through to the pole

Between the lugga and the pole, a little more size on the infrequent sets than down at the Dee Why end

Surf boat traffic at Kiddies

..
.
Weather Situation
A southerly change will continue to move up the northern half of the New South Wales coast this morning, reaching the far north this afternoon. Behind this, a high pressure system, currently over the Bight, will drift slowly east over the weekend. This high is forecast to reach the Tasman Sea by Monday, bringing a gradual shift to northerly winds in most coastal areas. The next trough and southerly change are expected Tuesday or Wednesday next week.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
South to southeasterly about 10 knots tending east to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the early afternoon then tending southeasterly in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Sunday 8 December
Winds
East to southeasterly about 10 knots tending east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots before dawn.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Monday 9 December
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


South Av fun this am…

Posted on December 6th, 2019 in At large.

South Av was fun again early this morning.   Swell size had dropped a bit from yesterday  but still the occasional 4’ bomb pulsing though.   Good mix of boardriders and bodysurfers sharing the break.  Relaxed vibe.

South Avalon on Friday morning


Weak and knee to waist this morning

Posted on December 6th, 2019 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Did the Manly run again this morning, so herewith a few snaps from the northbound leg (0830-0850). Basically it looked gutless everywhere and the wind was just starting to texture it up too. Still, there were little moments to be had, so it’s definitely not flat.

First stop was North Steyne (acutally between there and Queensie) where a gaggle of hopefuls were wringing the odd knee to waist high section out of the wimpy swell.

Heading out at North Steyne

North Steyne bomb

Swell’s coming from 162° at 10 seconds with heights at sea of 1.6 metres according to the latest MHL data (0700), wind was just coming up from the NE when I stopped by Curly. The most interesting stuff was in the middle of the stretch, but there were people all the way along the beach and set wave faces were getting toward the chest high mark.

North Curly set

Curly 0840

South Curly

Dee Why was kinda half way between Manly and Curly in terms of size, but it did look a bit bigger up toward Long Reef…

Long Reef through the haze. Looks waist and a bit and busy

skimming into a little shorey standup at DY 0850

Weather Situation
A number of cold fronts will cross southeastern Australia over the coming days, bringing a series of wind changes to New South Wales waters, particularly through southern and central parts. A high pressure system will slowly move over the Tasman Sea during Sunday, turning winds northeasterly over the New South Wales waters.

Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots, easing to below 10 knots in the morning. Winds tending east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the early afternoon with a south to southeasterly change moving through in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny. Smoke haze inshore.
Saturday 7 December
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots easing to about 10 knots in the morning then becoming east to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny. Possible smoke haze inshore.
Sunday 8 December
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the day.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


B-Liner checks in on the way to work

Posted on December 5th, 2019 in At large.

 

Some nice waves north of the Bends at first light this morning.   4’ on the sets with occasional bombs

On the way to the city passing through Collaroy on the B1 your reporter took this snap of a small peeler.   2 surfers out.   Friendly.