Posts in Dee Why

Little waves to be had on Wednesday morning

Posted on August 28th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
Didn’t expect to see much of anything this morning when I stopped by Longy for a look at the beach around 0745. But, as the pictures show, there were knee to waist plus sets showing up from Longy to Kiddies. Wind was light westerly but should be around to the eastern quarters soon.
Tide was high at 0620 (low’s at noon), so there appeared to still be some high water fatness happening. Waves would wobble up on the banks and sort of spill over, offering (briefly) enough face to do something. Often as not, they then disapated in the gutter between the bank and beach.
The MHL buoy was picking up 1.2 metres of 9-second SSE (154°) as of 0600. Ocean temp is about 17C.
Tomorrow will see SE both wind and shortish period but slightly bigger (out at sea) south wind swell. From a surf perspective, the models are pointing to ho-hum prospects from tomorrow through Saturday. Around Sunday conditions could be a little better as the wind goes back to the westerly quarters and swell gets more east with a bit longer period. My modest hope is for waist to chest high faces at magnets for Father’s Day morning.

Go well with your Wednesday plans everyone!

 

Little bumps at Kiddies

Lugga bomb set

Maybe longboardable on the sets at Longy

Weather Situation
A high pressure system lies over the central Tasman Sea, with another in the Bight. Between these systems, a complex trough lies near the New South Wales coast, within which there are multiple weak low pressure circulations. This trough is expected to move away from the coast tonight and Thursday as a cold front crosses southeast Australia, although a new trough is forecast to develop off the central and northern coasts on Friday while a high passes to the south.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
South to southeasterly about 10 knots becoming east to northeasterly in the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of a thunderstorm this morning. Mostly sunny afternoon.
Thursday 29 August
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming west to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots before dawn then shifting southeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre, 1.5 to 2.5 metres by evening.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres in the evening.
Weather
Cloudy. Near 100% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Friday 30 August
Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeast to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. Near 100% chance of showers and the chance of a thunderstorm.


Gloomy skies, bumpy little waves

Posted on August 27th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

10-17 kts of SE wind and lowering skies to start the day at Dee Why. Swell was about 1.5 m out at sea and coming from the SE at a choppy 7 econds apart. As the pictures show, this meant lumpy, choppy and just barely big enough to catch waves. I’d call it waist on sets.
Tide was high at 0520 and is currently dropping to the low at 1100. Ocean temp has dropped a bit more and is now 16C according to Beachwatch.
Outlook is for conditions to bumble along at around the current intensity for the next few days at least. There’s a virtual certainty of rain today and we can expect the percipitation to wax and wane right through to Sunday.
Surf prospects look pretty ordinary until about Sunday – at the earliest.
Good weather for the bush and our gardens though.
Have a top old Tuesday everyone!

Little wave at No Mans 0650

Sydney in the gloom

Keen rider oars into one at Kiddies 0650

Possible activity at the point 0700

Weather Situation
A weak high pressure system is centred over the central Tasman Sea, with another over the Bight. Between these systems, a broad trough lies near the New South Wales coast, within which a low is expected to develop today. A cold front skimming across the state’s south on Wednesday is expected to push the trough eastwards across the Tasman Sea, although a new trough is forecast to develop off the central and northern coasts on Thursday.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
Easterly 15 to 20 knots turning southeasterly during the morning, reaching 25 knots offshore in the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. Near 100% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm during the morning and afternoon.
Wednesday 28 August
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers.
Thursday 29 August
Winds
West to northwesterly below 10 knots tending south to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning then turning southeasterly during the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
South to southwesterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. Near 100% chance of showers. A thunderstorm likely in the afternoon and evening.


Weak and tiny Monday

Posted on August 26th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
Although it was still close to 2 metres out at sea this morning, the average period was under 10 seconds and direction was 162°, so what swell’s getting into the beaches is around knee high and gutless looking. Wind was 7-8 kts from the SE too. An early shower delayed me getting a picture of the ocean and the Bureau tells us to expect a cloudy, showery day with 5-15mm of percipitation.
Tomorrow looks like more of the same, ie very little swell energy and showery weather with steady onshores. Beyond that it currently seems likely that we’re in for tiny, weak south wind bump into the weekend. Both the ECM and WAM models show a southerly event Friday-Saturday, but there’s a big questionmark over the quality. If it plays out as the models predict right now, we’re probably looking at weak to gutless waist to chest high faces with lots of south wind.
A good week to get on with things not involving wave chasing.
Have a great Monday!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system is centred over the northern Tasman Sea will gradually move southwards. A weak cold front will dissipate on the north coast today as a trough of low pressure develops along the coast today. A stronger cold front is expected to affect the New South Wales coast on Thursday which will deepen the trough.

Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending easterly in the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre later in the evening.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers.
Tuesday 27 August
Winds
East to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending east to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots during the morning and early afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1 to 2 metres around midday.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore at night.
Wednesday 28 August
Winds
Variable about 10 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning.


Back to sunny and tiny

Posted on August 25th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Beautiful morning as Sunday kicked off. But the waves have faded away to almost nothing. There are little lines showing, but they’re struggling to make waist high. There might be a little more activity at the Long Reef end or around at Curly, but the MHL buoy was seeing a metre of 11-second stuff from the SE, so I’m not overly hopeful. Tide hits low at 0850 and then comes back to the high at 1535. By then a south change should have come through and it could be cloudy (there’s a 40% chance of light percipitation later). Ocean is on 17C according to Beachwatch.

From tomorrow it looks as though we head into a period of much needed showery weather that on current reckoning will last into next weekend. It also seems we’re in for a good week to be at work or school as there won’t be much in the way of waves – if the models have it right.

So enjoy your sunny morning and have a great day!

Little waves along the beach at 0730

Maybe if you waited long enough (on a mal or a SUP) you could get something at the point this morning

Weather Situation
A high pressure system is centred over the northwest Tasman Sea. A cold front has begun to move through the southwest of the state and will bring a southerly change which will push north during the day and reach the Mid North Coast in the evening. The front will dissipate on the north coast on Monday as a trough of low pressure develops along the coast. Southeast winds are expected to tend back to the northeast ahead of the next cold front forecast to affect the southern half of the coast during Wednesday.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
West to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots shifting southerly 15 to 20 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres by early evening.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Monday 26 August
Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending east to southeasterly below 10 knots during the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then decreasing to around 1 metre by early evening.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers.
Tuesday 27 August
Winds
East to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending east to northeasterly below 10 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers.


Energy building this morning

Posted on August 22nd, 2019 in Dee Why.

Bodysurfer slotted

Watching the crew at Dee Why point at 0900. Sets are overhead but not unusually big or anything. Wind is gusting into the 20+ kt range. Will hang out here to watch and snap, so more pics in due course.


Little lines for the early

Posted on August 21st, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

There were half a dozen in the water at the point a little before 0700 this morning. Every now and then a little waist and a bit high line would turn up, but there was no obvious sign of the anticipated big swell. The MHL buoy was showing a little over a metre of 10-second SSE (169°) swell as of 0500.

Wind was WNW at 10-17 kts as of report time, but it, like the swell is expected to come up significantly over the next 24 hours. Tide was low at 0535 and will be back to high a little before noon. Beachwatch says the ocean’s 17C along the Northern Beaches.

Outlook is for the wind to hit 25-30 kts from the west later today, but tomorrow when the swell blows up there’s a gale warning for W-SW 25-40 kts.

As you can see below, the Bureau is telling us we can expect 6-7 metres (!!) by noon tomorrow and it’ll still be in the 5-7 metre range on Friday morning. Apart from Collaroy or the Bower, I’m not sure there’ll be anywhere for ordinary surfers to take part. Here’s hoping the coastal infrastructure rides it out okay. It’s hard to believe there won’t be some pretty noticable impacts on the beaches and dunes. At least they’re fairly wide at the moment.

I’m planning to be out and about with the camera to document the events, so check in for piccies over the next couple of days.

Go well and stay safe!

 

Small line up toward No Mans around 0700

About the same size as yesterday morning – but it should be bigger this afternoon…

Weather Situation
A strong high pressure system lies near the Bight while a number of fronts, moving across the Southern Ocean, approach New South Wales waters over the coming days. The first of these fronts will clip southern waters this morning, with a second stronger front moving along the entire New South Wales coast on Thursday. These systems will bring periods of vigorous winds until Friday accompanied by very powerful swells.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Westerly 25 to 30 knots.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres by early evening.
Weather
Sunny.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions in the afternoon and evening are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Thursday 22 August
Gale Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast
Winds
West to southwesterly 25 to 40 knots.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, increasing to 3 to 4 metres around midday.
Swell
Southerly 3 to 4 metres, increasing to 6 to 7 metres around midday.

Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers in the morning.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Friday 23 August
Winds
Southwesterly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 10 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Southerly 5 to 7 metres, decreasing to 3 to 5 metres during the morning.

Weather
Partly cloudy.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.


Tiny Tuesday morning but Thursday looking interesting

Posted on August 20th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Another breezy and chilly day coming up with only a hint of a south line showing at Dee Why as of 0730. There is some dead south swell according to the MHL buoy but while it’s around the 1.5 metre mark at sea, the period is a touch under 8 seconds, so even exposed spots will be struggling to be much above waist high this morning. Tide was low at 0500 and will be back to a 1.4m high at 1115. The tidal push may help the swell a bit, but with 15-20 kts of SW wind expected, I’m not overly hopeful of anything much in the way of an improvement.

Tomorrow may or may not see an uptick in swell. The ECM model shows swell staying at about the same or even slightly smaller size and period across the day, while the Wavewatch model reckons size could come up a touch and the period could move out to 12 seconds.

But on Thursday Huey looks like getting off his backside in a big way. Wavewatch says dead south 3.4 metres at 14 seconds for the early, while ECM says naw, only 1.7 m at 12 seconds from the south. By midnight both are predicting 4+ metres. The Bureau says 4-5 m in the morning Wednesday, increasing to 5-7 m in the afternoon. Ulp. Wind is set to be powering along at 20-30kts from the west early, then swinging SW and stepping up into the 30-40 kt range during the morning. So, challenging conditions that pretty obviously are only for the most experienced and fittest riders. The rest of us can watch.

Friday both the ECM and Wavewatch are saying it’ll still be 4+ metres at 12-13 sec (having peaked overnight) and that it’ll be closer to 3 m by dark. Wind could be SW early but then fading during the morning and coming around to NE later. Saturday morning the call is for S-SE swell 2 metres at 11-12 sec with 8-10 kts of NW early, going west and maybe around to the east, but light for the afternoon.

So, rather interesting outlook.

Have a great Tuesday everyone!

 

Teaser set 0720

Weather Situation
A strong high pressure system lies near the Bight while a number of fronts moving across the Southern Ocean will approach New South Wales waters over the coming days. The first of these fronts will clip southern waters Wednesday morning, with a second stronger front moving along the entire New South Wales coast on Thursday. These systems will bring periods of vigorous winds, and from Wednesday to Friday, very powerful swell.

 

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore early in the morning and again in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres offshore.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Sunny.
Wednesday 21 August
Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Westerly 25 to 30 knots.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Sunny.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions in the afternoon and evening are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Thursday 22 August
Winds
Westerly 20 to 30 knots turning south to southwesterly 30 to 40 knots during the morning.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, increasing to 3 to 4 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 4 to 5 metres, increasing to 5 to 7 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.


No surfin’ Sunday

Posted on August 18th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Nothing happening at the Dee Why end of the beach this morning. If you want a wave, maybe look up toward Longy or pop around to Curly where you could probably get a groveller or two. Wind is due to go around to the NE, so that may not help.

A change is headed our way, but it doesn’t look like changing the prospects of a wave. This morning’s model updates are showing flatness again tomorrow but then maybe a little uptick Tue-Wed before we cop some 3-4 metre south swell Thursday morning – but with a lot of wind. Friday the models tell us should still be big but the wind could be lighter and offshore. Saturday currently looks as though it could be pretty fun as the swell fades out.

Have a great Sunday!

All quiet at the point as of 0840

Tiny wave with no takers at Kiddies

 

Weather Situation

A cold front will sweep across southeast Australia today and into Monday. In its wake a slow moving high pressure system will move across the Bight bringing a strong west to southwesterly flow across the south of the state.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 25 knots early in the morning. Winds reaching up to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2.5 to 3 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Monday 19 August

Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northerly 20 to 30 knots shifting west to southwesterly 25 to 30 knots before dawn.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
1st Swell
South to southeasterly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
The chance of a thunderstorm in the early morning. Sunny day.

Tuesday 20 August

Winds
Westerly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres offshore.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

A few sets left in the tank this morning

Posted on August 14th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Sets at the point and along the beach were still in the shoulder plus range at around 0700 this morning. Once again, the point was busy but the beach had few takers – evidence that the lack of decent banks continues. Wind was out of the west at 10-12 kts which made the 13C air temp feel sharper. Skies were clear and tide was coming into a 1.3m high at 0740 (it’ll be back to low at 1315).

Outlook is for waist to chest high waves and benign wind conditions to last all day. Tomorrow the predictions are all in agreement – it’ll be smaller but (hopefully) still in the surfable range. Beyond that the prospects are looking less than exciting. So might be a plan to get in today if the schedule permits.

Have a great day everyone!

Ok size but shutting down along the beach

Set rolls into the point a little after 0700

Up the beach, a little line


 

Weather Situation

A high pressure system is moving steadily across the south of the state and will become established over the Tasman Sea by Wednesday night. It will be the dominant influence on the weather for the rest of the week. A cold front is expected to bring a south to southwesterly change along the southern half of the coast on Friday.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds
Westerly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Thursday 15 August

Winds
Northerly 10 to 15 knots tending northwesterly early in the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Weather
Sunny.

Friday 16 August

Winds
Northwesterly 10 to 15 knots turning southwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Tuesday morning cold and clean waves

Posted on August 13th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Another cold and sunny morning with nice swell along the beaches. There were around 30 people in the water at the point by the time I checked it for the first time around 0730. Even with a consistent swell as this one looks to be, 30 folks is probably too many. Much of the problem comes down to the beach not having many peaks to offer surfers alternative choices. Maybe the last few days of activity will improve things…

Wind looks like being benign all day as it stays out of the westerly quarters. Tide was high at 0700 and is now dropping to the low 1230. The MHL buoy for Sydney is still out of action, but it looks as though swell at sea will be around the two metre mark from the SSE-SE at 11-12 seconds.  That extra touch of east is helping it wrap around the point I’d say. Beachwatch says ocean is 17C.

The models show swell energy fading out pretty rapidly across the day, but with luck we should have a few scraps in the waist high range tomorrow morning. Beyond that it appears that we’re potentially in for a week or so of really small to flat conditions.

So get out there and find a wave if you can!

 

 

The point at 0720

Typical set

Possibilities along the beach?

Another set arrives

Weather Situation

Fresh to strong south to southwesterly winds are affecting the far south only this morning as a high pressure ridge extends across the north. Light winds will then prevail for most of the coast from Wednesday onwards as the large high associated with the ridge moves slowly across the region.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Winds
West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming south to southwesterly about 10 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Wednesday 14 August

Winds
South to southwesterly below 10 knots tending west to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots before dawn then becoming variable about 10 knots in the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Thursday 15 August

Winds
North to northwesterly about 10 knots tending west to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Sunny.