Posts in Dee Why

Choppy and showery start to the day

Posted on March 14th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Mild with 15-20 kts NE wind under solidly overcast skies when I climbed aloft to grab a picture for you this morning. At 0500 the MHL buoy was seeing 1.3 metres of 5-second ENE wind bump. As you can see below, there’s more activity than the last couple of days, but it’s not looking surfable and I couldn’t see anyone trying either. Not that it matters much, but the tide will be low at 0850 this morning – and then back to high at 1445. There’s a 95% chance of showers as we head to a high of 24.

Tomorrow will be rainy as well and from the look of the models, there won’t be any positive change to the surf prospects. The Bureau says we’ll have more swell, but the models show it being short period. As always, I’m keen to see what the Goat’s take is on our prospects later today…

Go well with your day everyone!

Light NE wind plus a metre of east-ish wind swell in the 1.3 metre range at 0735

Quiet looking up the beach at 0730

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the Bight is directing east to northeasterly winds over the New South Wales coast. A trough is expected to develop near the central parts of the coast during Thursday, with a southerly change expected to affect the south coast during Thursday and Friday.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Friday 15 March

Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending easterly early in the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres inshore.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon.

Saturday 16 March

Winds
Easterly 10 to 15 knots tending southeasterly during the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning.

Clouding over early with small waves on tap

Posted on March 13th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

10-15 kts of SE wind by 0730 this morning. There wasn’t much in the way of swell showing at Dee Why when I grabbed the pic, but the 0500 data from the MHL buoy showed 3.7 metres of 11 second, straight south swell. Tide had just come off the low as I wrote this and was heading back to a 1.3 m high at 1345. By that stage the wind should be more around to the east and the swell should, if anything, be smaller than the knee to waist high bump currently visible at the point. Throw in the near certainty of the odd shower from the gloomy skies and you have a good argument for focusing on the non-surfing part of your life today.

From the look of the swell models this morning, we’re unlikely to see any real improvement for at least another week. For what it’s worth, those projections that speculate out 10=14 days are showing a tantalizing prospect for the end of next week. So, who knows… maybe…

Have a great Wednesday everyone!

 

Shaft of sunlight breaks through the clouds to illuminate a scrappy looking Dee Why at 0740

Weather Situation

A weakening southerly change continues through to the northern waters today, after which winds will gradually turn east to northeasterly. Another southerly change looks set to affect the southern parts of the coast late Thursday and during Friday.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots turning easterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre around midday.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers.

Thursday 14 March

Winds
Easterly 10 to 15 knots turning northeasterly early in the morning. Winds reaching up to 20 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Friday 15 March

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots shifting south to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the morning then becoming southeasterly 15 to 25 knots during the day.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers. Thunderstorms.

Go for a paddle but don’t expect much

Posted on March 12th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Nice morning out there with a light breeze from the NW as of 0740. The favourable wind conditions should stick around this morning before wandering around to the easterly quarters for awhile before a 20-30 kt southerly rattles across Sydney this afternoon.
It looks like the sets are pushing into the knee high range – but you have to wait. The MHL buoy is showing a metre of 7-sec stuff from 186° out at sea – so, basically, it’s tiny and running parallel with the coast.
We’re heading to a 33C high ahead of the south change. That’s about 8C above the long term mean max for this month.
It’ll cool off after the change and wave heights will start coming up overnight, but tomorrow is going to be very windy from the south, so quality surf options will be minimal.
Sadly the long range models are not looking very interesting this morning. About the best you can say is that it’ll be small and marginal for the rest of the week and it could be mid next week before we get a bump up into the interesting range.
Oh well, at least we’re another day closer to good waves.
Have a top Tuesday!

Trying to catch a tiny one at the beach

Waves? You want waves?

Weather Situation

Northerly winds ahead of a cold front that is forecast to bring a fresh to strong and gusty southerly change to the southern waters this morning, reaching central parts in the evening. This change will weaken and continue through to the northern waters during Wednesday, after which winds will gradually turn east to northeasterly. Another southerly change looks set to affect the southern parts of the coast late Thursday and during Friday.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northeast to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the early afternoon then shifting southerly 20 to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers this evening.

Wednesday 13 March

Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore early in the morning. Winds turning easterly 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning, then decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 50% chance of showers.

Thursday 14 March

Winds
Easterly 10 to 15 knots turning northeasterly 15 to 25 knots during the day.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.

North ends only hope

Posted on March 11th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

At first light wind was 10-15 kts from the SW under mostly clear skies. Swell was 0.8 m at 12 seconds from the south and tide was just coming off the low at 0600. Next tide is a 1.5 m high at 1210. Wind is set to stay SW until this evening.

Tomorrow should start out with okay wind but by late afternoon we’re set to go into a southerly regime for Wednesday. Surf outlook is not great. Tuesday morning might possibly see a little improvement over the current conditions, but Wednesday while bigger is going to be trashed by the wind. Right now it looks broadly speaking as though we could be waiting until the latter half of next week for a shot at reasonable surf prospects. Maybe.

Have yourself a great Monday one and all!

Weather Situation

Northerly winds tending fresh to strong along the northern waters ahead of a weak trough over the southern Waters. The trough will continue through to the central Waters this morning before weakening in the far north. The next significant cold front and associated fresh to strong southerly change will enter the southern coastal waters Tuesday extending through to the central waters during the day. Late Wednesday and Thursday will see a gradual return to an east to northeast flow throughout.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds
South to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots shifting east to northeast 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Tuesday 12 March

Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
East to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots early morning then becoming south to southeasterly 20 to 25 knots in the late afternoon. Winds reaching up to 30 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore.

Wednesday 13 March

Winds
South to southeasterly 20 to 30 knots turning easterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending easterly below 1 metre during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
Cloudy.

Tiny times at Dee Why

Posted on March 10th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Not too exciting at the Dee Why end of the beach this morning, but there should be knee to waist plusses to be found at north ends. As the pictures show, it was glassy before 0800. Skies were mostly overcast. Air temp was around 20. The MHL buoy 0500 report showed 1.3 metres of 8-second swell from the SSE (156-164°). Water temp is on 24C according to Beachwatch. Next tide is a 1.57m high at 1130.

The Bureau tells us to expect the wind to be variable this morning before settling around to the NE as the day warms to 30.

Outlook is for the little swell to fade as the day goes along and then it looks as though we’ll have to wait until midweek when the models are currently projecting a SE change to bump up the energy levels into the 2 metre range – but only 8-9 seconds apart, so not too exciting looking from here.

For what it’s worth, the long range forecast for week after next currently looks somewhat hopeful in terms of wave energy (wind not so much). That’s a long way out, so I wouldn’t be making any plans just yet.

Have yourself a top old Sunday everyone!

 

A few people in the water at 0740 – but long waits for tiny sets

Hunting around for something to catch

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the central Tasman Sea extends a ridge towards northeast New South Wales, and is directing east to northeasterly winds along most of the northern half of the coast. Over the central parts, a trough has established a southerly flow and a weak low has developed offshore within this trough. This setup will extend the southerly change through the central parts of the coast before dissipating today. The next significant cold front looks set to arrive in the middle of the coming week.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore later tonight.

Monday 11 March

Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots tending southeast to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots early in the morning then tending east to northeast in the 10 to 15 knots early afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore in the afternoon and evening.

Tuesday 12 March

Winds
Northwest to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending northwest to northeasterly during the afternoon then tending southerly 15 to 25 knots during the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
East to northeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Dull old Saturday morning

Posted on March 9th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Light NW wind wafting into the beaches under heavily overcast skies as the day started. The wind will pick up soon and be into the 15-20 kt range from the north ahead of a midday south change. Swell was coming from the ESE at sea as of 0400 – but it was only 1.3 metres offshore at 8 seconds apart. The results were not exciting at Dee Why as of 0700. A few people were in the waster waiting hopefully, but wave faces were struggling to make much above knee to waist. At least the water is around 24.

Tide is coming in to a 1.6 m high at 1055. There’s also a 70% chance of a shower.

Not the most exciting look to the surf prospects for my first week back home. Basically it looks marginal to flat until about Wednesday when all of the models are showing a brief spike into the surfable range (1-2 metres at 8-9 seconds from the SE), which may deliver waist to chest with plusses at magnets. Unfortunately it looks as though there’ll be SE wind with it, so I’m only cautiously hopeful.

The very long range modelling currently suggests that week after next could see a lot of south wind and swell into the 2-3 metre range…

Have a great Saturday everyone, it’s good to be home again.

Only a hint of a bump up the beach toward No Mans at 0700

Too tiny to surf at Dee Why this morning

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the central Tasman Sea extends a ridge towards northeast New South Wales, and is directing east to northeasterly winds along most of the northern half and central parts of the coast. Over the far southern parts, a trough has established a southerly flow and a weak low is expected to develop offshore within this trough today. This setup will extend the southerly change through the central parts of the coast before dissipating on Sunday. The next significant cold front looks set to arrive in the middle of the coming week.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore during the morning. Winds shifting southerly 15 to 20 knots around the middle of the day
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Sunday 10 March
Winds
Southwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the morning then becoming north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the early afternoon. Winds reaching up to 20 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore in the early morning.
Monday 11 March
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots shifting southerly during the morning then tending east to southeasterly during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.


Sunny Sunday summer morning in Sydney

Posted on February 3rd, 2019 in Dee Why.

Wispy fog here and there early South Narra WRL cam

Hello Friends,

Looks like a beautiful Sunday morning along the beaches. Sadly the swell is a barely there little east-ish looking wind bump. The best exposures, eg Curly, should be seeing knee to waist with the odd chest plus when a couple of the short period bumps double up just as they get to a bank. Beachwatch says water’s 21C and quality is good everywhere but maybe Queensie. Tide was a highish 1.7 m at 0825. Wind was coming lightly from the north but should swing more NE and get into the 15-20 kt range by lunch time. Out at sea the MHL buoy reports 1.5 m of ESE-SE bump at 8 seconds apart along with an overlay of smaller north chop.

Given conditions, the best shot today looks like being this morning ahead of the wind. Once it starts blowing, it’ll be hard to tell the wind chop from the underlying swell.

I’m not seeing much in the way of an improvement for the remainder of the week – which is in line with the Goat’s take.

Have a great Sunday everyone!


Smooth little lines

Posted on February 1st, 2019 in Dee Why.

Set wave at Dee Why 0725

 

Hello Friends,

Went for a drive to see what the swell was doing around 0700 and, as the pictures show, it was clean but basically really small most places. I didn’t see anyone in the water on the Narrabeen to Collaroy stretch, although there were at least plausible looking shories at South Narrabeen. Around at the Longy to Dee Why stretch there was more activity, but the north end was choppy and the south end was oddly weak and quite inconsistent. I waited some time to get the snap of a couple folks briefly catching a waist-ish high set just north of the Club.

At around 3pm yesterday, the swell spiked up into the 3 metre range at Batemans Bay. Shortly after midnight the swell pulse came through Sydney, but it was already smaller and the peak intensity only lasted an hour or two. By 0500 when the MHL buoy sampled the situation, it saw 2.6 m of 10-second SSE (153-158°). A couple hours later when I took the pictures, I reckoned it had dropped further.

So, have a look at your favourite south swell spot, but don’t be surprised if it’s a bit sputtery and small. Tide was high at 0700 and is currently dropping to the low at 1450. There’s a 70% chance of a shower as we head to a mild 24C high.

It’s Friday, so your week-ahead outlook from the Goat awaits your inspection!

Crunchy shorey at south Narrabeen

Not much at North Narrabeen 0715

Hopefuls hanging around at the point for very occasional opportunity

Weather Situation

A high pressure system is moving from the Bight to the Tasman Sea today, pushing a ridge along the New South Wales coast as a trough in the north stalls and decays. This high will be the dominant feature in the region through the weekend, drifting slowly east to be near New Zealand by Sunday, and bringing a gradual return to northeasterly winds. The next trough and southerly change look set to affect southern and central parts of the coast on Monday.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds
South to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots tending east to southeasterly in the afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of showers.

Saturday 2 February

Winds
Easterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching 25 knots offshore in the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Cloudy.

Sunday 3 February

Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

High cloud but not high waves

Posted on January 31st, 2019 in Dee Why.

0730 and tiny at Dee Why

Hello Friends,

Was hoping to see a little more energy this morning, but as of 0730 Dee Why was seeing 9-11 kts of NNE breeze and no real sign of anything surfable. The MHL buoy was seeing 1.5 m of 7-sec bump from the NE as well as some equally weak stuff from the SE.

The wind will pick up from the north and get into the 15-25 kt range before a 20-39 kt south change late in the afternoon.  Unfortunately it doesn’t look as though we’ll get any significant improvement to the surf intensity until after dark. Tomorrow should see more south swell out at sea, but period’s predicted to be around the 8 second mark, so we probably won’t see anything much away from the south magnets. And even there, the biggest spots are going to be smashed by onshores too.

It’ll be interesting to see what the Goat says later today….

We’re going to 38 along the coast today and UV will be extreme from 0900 to 1720. So protect your skin, take care and stay hydrated.

 

 

 

Weather Situation

A weakening high pressure system near New Zealand extends a ridge towards the northern New South Wales coast, while a trough extends diagonally from the state’s northwest to southeast. This trough will become mobile today as a cold front passes to the south, bringing a gusty southerly change to southern and central parts of the coast. The trough is expected to stall and weaken on the northern coast during Friday as a new high shifts from the Bight to the Tasman Sea, resulting in a gradual return to northeasterly winds along most of the coast during the weekend.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching 30 knots offshore at first. A gusty southerly change 20 to 30 knots in the late afternoon or evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny day. The chance of a thunderstorm this afternoon and evening.

Friday 1 February

Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast

Winds
South to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots tending east to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the afternoon. Winds reaching 30 knots early in the morning.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 50% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore in the afternoon and evening.

Saturday 2 February

Winds
Easterly 15 to 25 knots tending northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon.

Like yesterday only warmer

Posted on January 30th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Another weak start to a hot summer day

Hello Friends,
Yet another hazy warm morning ahead of a very warm day (going to 30 along the coast) but with no waves for Dee Why surfing interests. As the picture shows, there was only the slightest hint of a little wind bump this morning around 0830. Last night I had dinner in Manly and there seemed to be some very junky waist to chest high things coming in at South Steyne, so I thought there might be a few leftovers this morning. Instead, Dee Why is maybe knee high, weak, junky and being roughed up gradually by a light NE wind. By this afternoon it’ll be pushing along at a summer standard 15-25 kts, so who knows, maybe at a NE magnet spot…

Swell such as it is, is currently wafting in mainly from the NE at a metre or so with a gutless 6 second period.

Tomorrow is shaping to be a hotter version of today with maybe slightly more in the say of bumps for the extra keen dawn patrol

A south change overnight Thursday is still on the cards. And the models continue to show a boost in swell height with it. Should go into the 2-3 metre range as it fills in, but periods are a set to stay around the 8 second mark. Friday should be cooler but southerly all day under cloudy skies with junky waist to chest plusses at standout south spots…maybe!

Have a fine old day everyone!

Weather Situation

North to northeasterly winds have become established over the waters with a ridge extending to the northern coast from a high near New Zealand. Winds will freshen in the southern half today ahead of the next southerly change, expected over southern Waters during Thursday.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots at times.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Thursday 31 January

Strong Wind Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots at times, ahead of a south to southeasterly change 20 to 25 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny day. The chance of a thunderstorm in the late afternoon and evening.

Friday 1 February

Winds
South to southeasterly 20 to 30 knots turning easterly 20 to 25 knots during the evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of showers.

 

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