Posts in Dee Why

Just about flat on Sunday morning

Posted on May 6th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

From Sydney south to the border it looks to be near flat. Dee Why was showing ankle to knee high bumps this morning as the tide was coming back in to a 1.25 m high at 1250. Should be sunny and mild all day with light and variable winds from the north to NE. The MHL buoy was detecting 0.75 m of 10-11 sec SE bump as of 0700 and their nearshore forecast says it’s going to be like this until around midday Wednesday.
Outlook on the long range models points to a significant south swell event next weekend. The Bureau’s model shows swell building into the two metre range Friday morning and then ramping from there into 3-4 m range in our area and up to 5 metres on the far south coast. Other models then project it topping out in the 5-7 m range on Sunday. Of course when it gets that big, the wind is usually blasting. Right now it appears that it’ll be coming from the westerly quarters at 20-30 kts through the weekend.
So flat now, interesting late in the week.
Have a great Sunday everyone!

A few bods poking around for ankle to knee high waves

 

No Mans bomb set at 0825

Weather Situation

A high pressure system is slowly moving over southeastern Australia, extending a ridge to the east. This is directing mostly light southeast to northeasterly winds along the New South Wales coast today. Tomorrow winds will tend northerly as the high moves over the Tasman Sea. Later on Tuesday or Wednesday a trough is forecast to bring a fresh southerly change to southern parts of the coast.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming north to northeasterly in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Monday 7 May

Winds
Northerly about 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots before dawn.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Tuesday 8 May

Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning westerly 10 to 15 knots during the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Near flatness at Dee Why

Posted on May 4th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Light north wind under uniformly cloudy skies this morning at Dee Why. There’s a 1.25 metre 6-sec wind bump coming in from the north, which means it’s pretty much flat everywhere in Sydney. Magnet spots might be nudging the ankle to knee high range, but there’s very little energy in the system right now. Take your longest and floatiest surfing toy if you’re keen.

The outlook? Well, as always, the extraordinarily reliable Goat has gazed at the guts and formulated a forecast just for you.

Have a great Friday everybody and hang in there… the waves will return!

Tiny line at the point

 

Little tiny shories

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea, in combination with a cold front approaching from the west, is generating northerly winds along the New South Wales coast. This front is forecast to bring a gusty west to southwesterly change to southern and central parts of the coast today, extending through to the north early Saturday. In the wake of the front, a new high pressure system will move across from the west, with winds becoming generally light on Sunday as it moves overhead.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast

Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning gusty west to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
East to northeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Saturday 5 May

Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching 25 knots offshore in the morning, becoming variable about 10 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Sunny.

Sunday 6 May

Winds
Variable about 10 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Cool, cloudy, crowded but waves to be had

Posted on April 29th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Definitely surfable this morning at Dee Why both along the beach and at the point – although the latter was hosting around 20 hopefuls as of 0820. I’d call it waist to shoulder with the occasional plus in the mix. Wind was out of the SW at 10-15 kts, so surface conditions were relatively smooth for the 10-sec 1.8 m SSE swell.

The wind will go around to the south and pick up into the 15-20 kt range.  Tide hit a 1.64 m high at 0745 and is now running out to a lowish 0.41 m low at 1450.

Showers are set to increase across the day but it’s not likely to be heavy. We should see a high of 21.

MHL’s model says the swell energy should stay at about the current intensity for another 24 hours before beginning to fade away to flatness midweek. Kinda too bad for your correspondent who’s hitting the road for a trip to Crescent tomorrow. Might be catching up on some reading from the look of it.  Ah, surfing… just the way it is. Have to have the dire days to savour the great ones I guess.

Have a great Sunday one and all!

 

Plenty of folks up the beach at 0820

 

Quite the crew at the point 0820

 

Sets looked to be in the chest high range

 

Weather Situation

A slow-moving high pressure system is centred over the Bight, while a complex low lies over the eastern Tasman Sea. This pattern will bring fresh southerly winds to most New South Wales waters for the next few days, as the high slowly drifts east. By Tuesday, the high is expected to be over the Tasman Sea, bringing a general shift to northerly winds through the second half of next week.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore later tonight.

Monday 30 April

Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers in the morning.

Tuesday 1 May

Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Sunny.

As predicted it’s southerly

Posted on April 27th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Surf conditions are completely unappetizing at Dee Why. I could only see one person in the water. I’d call wave faces waist to chest plus on sets. But it’s so wind-blown and bumpy that catching the close-together wind swell will be a real challenge. Wind was SE 15-20 kts as of 0850, right in line with the forecast. Out at sea the MHL buoy was showing a touch under 3 metres of 9-second south wind swell. There was a 1.7 m high tide at 0610 and it’s now dropping to a very low 0.38 m at 1230. The wind isn’t expected to decrease today or indeed across the weekend.

It’s Friday, so as usual I’ll dispense with speculations about the longer term outlook and refer you instead to the cogitations of the mighty Goat (see down page)

Have a good Friday everyone and keep on smilin’ the waves will get better…eventually!

 

Messy up the beach toward No Mans at 0840

 

One hopeful bobbing around in the junky chaos of the point

 

Forecast issued at 4:10 am EST on Friday 27 April 2018.

Weather Situation

A slow-moving high pressure system southeast of the Bight with a ridge along the New South Wales coast is directing south to southeasterly winds across the western Tasman Sea.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore early in the morning. Winds tending southeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers.

Saturday 28 April

Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres, tending southeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers.

Sunday 29 April

Winds
South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers.

Foggy early with a southerly by noon

Posted on April 26th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Thick fog early. I’ll add pics once it lifts.
Wind was a westerly at 8 kts as of 0720. An hour earlier the MHL buoy was showing less than a metre of east swell at 8 seconds. Tide was a deep 1.7 m high at 0515 and is now dropping to 0.4 m at 1145.
Going by the numbers you’d have to say it’s going to be very small again today, but probably not utterly flat at the magnets. Expect ankle to knee with the odd waist high bomb at the most energetic spots.
The smooth conditions won’t last long though. We’re due to enter southerly world toward midday. Looking at the models I’m not real hopeful about the surf prospects as the predicted periods are in the 6-8 second range, so not much is likely to get into the protected south corners. But we’ll see what the Goat thinks when he posts his latest ruminations later today.
Check back for the pics later, and have yourself a fun Thursday!

Take the SUP 0830

 

Fishing maybe?

 

Weather Situation

A vigorous southerly change associated with a cold front crossing the southern Tasman Sea is moving along the New South Wales far south coat and is expected to reach Sydney Waters on Thursday afternoon and the far north coast in the evening. Southerly winds will gradually ease during Friday and Saturday and tend south to southeasterly as a high pressure system south of the Bight moves very slowly east extending a ridge along the coast.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast

Winds
West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots turning southerly 20 to 25 knots in the late morning and early afternoon. Winds reaching up to 30 knots during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres around midday, then increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Easterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore during this afternoon and evening.

Friday 27 April

Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots during the morning.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1.5 to 2 metres around midday.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.

Saturday 28 April

Winds
South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
1st Swell
South to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers.

Small waves for Anzac Day morning

Posted on April 25th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

A grey and cool start to Anzac Day along the beaches. The sea was comparatively smooth thanks to a light westerly and it looks as though we have another day of smallish but definitely surfable conditions. As the pictures show, waves were waist to maybe chest on the better sets and there were surf options at the point and along the beach.

The MHL buoy was seeing 1.3 metres of 13-sec energy from the SSE (145°) as of 0600. Tide was high at 0415 and is dropping to a 0.4 m low at 1055. It’ll be back to a 1.5 m high at 1710. There’s a 70% chance of a shower or two and the wind will gradually come around to the SE at 10-15kts

Tomorrow the southerly arrives and the Bureau’s hoisted a strong wind warning for up to 30 kts later. The wave energy should be coming up with it, but there has to be a big question mark over the surf options because it looks like average periods will be in the 8 second range – ie close together, weak and choppy. The dominant direction should be east, so maybe protected south corners will see something.

The southerly winds and short period  waves look like dominating through the weekend before fading back early next week.

Have a good Anzac Day and catch you again tomorrow.

No Mans wave at 0700

 

Kiddies wave 0700

 

Set at the point 0700

Weather Situation

A trough off the north coast will weaken today. A significant change is expected on Thursday when a new high, approaching from the west, pushes vigorous southerly winds along the entire coast. Southerly winds will persist into the weekend but moderate, as the high edges towards Bass Straight.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds
Southwest to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres inshore during the morning.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 90% chance of showers offshore, 60% chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm during this afternoon and evening.

Thursday 26 April

Strong Wind Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots in the morning. Winds reaching up to 30 knots during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
2nd Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon.

Friday 27 April

Winds
Southerly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres during the evening.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers

Small to tiny this morning

Posted on April 24th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Lightly offshore again under sunny skies this morning. The wind will come around to the SE at 10-15 kts as we warm up to the 24° high. Tide is dropping to a 0.4 m low at 0955. The MHL reading from 0600 showed 1.2 m of 10 second SSE bump which, as the pictures indicate, was delivering knee to maybe waist high bumps along the beach and very occasionally at the point. Beachwatch says the water is sitting on 20°.
The forecast shows a small uptick from the east later in the day when the wind will be less favourable. Should one wait… or go now for the clean conditions… that is the dilemma.
Speaking of forecasts, the outlook for the rest of the week seems basically to be a touch bigger tomorrow and then around Thursday afternoon Huey throws the switch to crazy windy as the southerly arrives and builds toward peak intensity on Friday. Right now it appears likely the blasting southerlies and junky south wind swell will dominate into next week.
Have a great day and keep on smilin’!

Little wave at Kiddies with no takers

 

Maybe waist high bomb set at the point 0710

 

Small lines at No Mans

Weather Situation

A high pressure system near New Zealand extends a ridge into southern New South Wales, while a trough lies off the northern coast. This pattern is directing southeast to northeasterly winds over most coastal waters, with stronger south to southwesterly winds in the north today due to a nearby low pressure circulation within the trough. A significant change is expected on Thursday when a new high, approaching from the west, pushes vigorous southerly winds along the entire coast.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Winds
South to southwesterly about 10 knots tending south to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the morning.
Seas
Below 0.5 metres, increasing to below 1 metre offshore.
1st Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Wednesday 25 April

Winds
Southwest to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
1st Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Thursday 26 April

Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning southerly 25 to 30 knots during the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the evening.
2nd Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon.

Nice lines on Monday morning

Posted on April 23rd, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Some fun looking lines rolling into Dee Why around 0700 this morning. It was a bit setty looking so I’d say average size is in the waist plus range, but every now and then you could see a shoulder high set. According to the MHL buoy swell was 1.4 m from the SSE at a shade under 12 seconds as of 0600.

Wind was light and surface conditions were smooth as the day kicked off. The wind will pick up from the SE and get to 10-15 kts later. It should be sunny and the Bureau says the swell should hang around at about the same intensity all day. Tide will be a 0.48 m low at 0850 and then it’ll come back into a 1.3 m high at 1500.

From the shape of this morning’s forecasts, we’re heading into an extended period of steadily increasing southerly winds. Tomorrow currently looks okay and Wednesday might not be too extreme but by Thursday it looks like really kicking in for a couple of days (depending on the model). The protected south corners might be seeing surfable size waves when the wind’s at it’s most intense, but the average period predictions are sub-10sec so it may be more big chop than anything resembling clean lines.

Get out there if you can and have a top old Monday one and all.

Set slips past the waiting crew at 0705

 

No Mans lefthander

 

Catching a small one at the point

 

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea extends a ridge into southeast New South Wales, while a trough lies off the northern coast. This pattern is directing southeast to northeasterly winds over most coastal waters, with winds in the north expected to increase as a low pressure circulation develops with the trough later today and Tuesday. A significant change is expected on Thursday when a new high approaching from the west pushes vigorous southerly winds along the entire coast.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Tuesday 24 April

Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
1st Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Wednesday 25 April

Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
1st Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.

Sunny Sunday and waves to play on

Posted on April 22nd, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

There was a murmurer from the SE this morning when I climbed aloft and sure enough, there are waves. Nothing spectacularly big or anything, but as the pictures show there were shoulder plus faces along the beach and waist to maybe occasionally chest for the crew at the point. Seemed to be many people in the water, but then it is a Sunday. And School holidays. And the wind was lightly W-SW so conditions were clean. Given that the forecast is calling for SE wind and swell below a metre, that’s at least a mildly surprising situation.

Tide was low at 0750 and is currently running back in to a 1.3 m high at 1345. Weather should be mostly sunny. Air temp should go to 24° and the water has apparently bumped up to 21°.

The models are suggesting that we’ll have similar swell size to today right through to the arrival of an ECL late in the week. Forecasts for what happens when the low forms up vary from ‘not much’ to chest to head plus at the peak. But we’ll see…

Have a great Sunday everyone!

Set arrives at the point

 

Kiddies stands ope up

 

Busy but interesting

 

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea extends a ridge into southeast New South Wales, while a trough lies off the northern coast. This pattern is directing southeast to northeasterly winds over most coastal waters, with little change expected through the next few days, although a low pressure system potential developing with the trough off the north coast may bring a period of more vigorous winds.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Winds
South to southeasterly about 10 knots tending easterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers offshore.

Monday 23 April

Winds
Southeasterly about 10 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Tuesday 24 April

Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending easterly during the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Little waves as the swell fades

Posted on April 20th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
Sunny skies and light SW breeze at 0715 when I climbed aloft to the RealSurf crows nest to grab a few snaps for your good self. As you can see, it’s down noticeably from this time yesterday. I’d call the point knee high and the beach knee to maybe waist and a bit. And the Bureau says it should drop a little more too. As of 0600 the MHL buoy was detecting a metre from 165° (SSE) at 13.8 sec. Tide was coming in from the 0530 low as it heads to a 1.4 m high at 1135.
Should be a partly cloudy day with a high of 25 and wind should go to the north at 10-15 kts. Water is getting cooler now and is currently around the 20° mark.
And the outlook? Well it’s Friday morning, so we have a piping hot fresh forecast from the Goat to answer your every question.
Have yourself a top old Friday everyone!

Tiny trickle of energy along the rocks

 

Kiddies lines at 0715

 

Maybe something at No Mans, but not much

Weather Situation

A slow-moving high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge towards the New South Wales north coast, while a weak southerly change is expected to reach the far north coast early tomorrow. Winds will slowly turn southeast to northeasterly along New South Wales waters over the next couple of days as the high lingers in the region, while a low pressure trough is expected to develop off the northern coast and deepen over the weekend.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds
Northerly 10 to 15 knots shifting southerly early in the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore.

Saturday 21 April

Winds
Southerly about 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots early in the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore in the early morning.

Sunday 22 April

Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm in the evening.

 

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