Posts in Dee Why

Sunny, bumpy and tiny

Posted on November 3rd, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
It’s starting out sunny this morning along the beaches, but the forecast tells us there’s a 90% chance of precipitation by this afternoon. Surf situation at Dee Why is underwhelming, to say the least. As the pictures show, there really isn’t much in the way of a distinct line. Size looks to be in the knee high range. As of 0830, wind was 7-8 kts from the NNE, but there’s a strong wind warning for it to swing N-NW 15-25 kts. Out at sea as of 0600 the bump was 2 metres and 8 seconds apart. It was coming mainly from the SE, but there’s a similar amount coming from the NE too.
Tide was low at 0710 and will be back to high at 1440. Water has dropped back to 18C and we’re headed for a high of 27 on the coast.
Outlook is for the short period metre-ish wind bump from the E-NE most of the time. Wind will swing back and forth from the SSE to NNE across the coming week. So, a kind of typical spring surf week ahead.
Have a great Sunday!

Ski rider get a little one along the rocks

Kiddies has a few takers for the tiny


 

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea is directing north to northeasterly winds along the New South Wales coast while a trough and cold front slowly move across the state. This system is forecast to bring a southerly change to the South Coast today, and then continue northwards to reach central parts on Monday morning before weakening and stalling as it approaches the far north coast by the end of Monday.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots early in the morning.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Becoming cloudy. 95% chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm during this afternoon and evening.
Monday 4 November
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots shifting southerly early in the morning then becoming southeast to northeasterly about 10 knots in the late afternoon and evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Tuesday 5 November
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning southerly 15 to 25 knots during the morning then decreasing to about 10 knots during the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers. A thunderstorm likely.


Super smoky

Posted on October 31st, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

UPDATE from Longy

Bomb set at Longy 0800

Crew at Longy under heavily smoky skies 0800

Micro and probably equivalent to smoking a ciggie or two

Very heavy smoke pollution this morning. So polluted in fact that I couldn’t see the beach from a kilometre away. The MHL buoy is showing 1.2 metres of SE at 11 seconds apart as of 0400. Wind was N-NE at 2 kts as of 0730. Next tide is a high at 1115.

Today’s Goat’s forecast day, so I shall defer to his mightyness and await his words of surf wisdom later today…

I’ll try to update with a picture or two from the beach in the next hour.

A POOR Air Quality Forecast alert has been issued by the Department of Planning, Industry and Environment (DPIE) due to elevated PARTICLE levels in Sydney for Thursday 31 October 2019.

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea will direct north to northeasterly winds over New South Wales waters for most of the week.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny. Inshore sea fog this morning.
Friday 1 November
Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres around midday.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.
Saturday 2 November
Winds
North to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Max 27
Smoke haze.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Areas of fog early this morning. Areas of smoke haze during the morning and afternoon. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h tending east to northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h in the early afternoon.

A POOR Air Quality Forecast alert has been issued by the Department of Planning, Industry and Environment (DPIE) due to elevated PARTICLE levels in Sydney for Thursday 31 October 2019.

Fire Danger – Very High

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 3:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

 

Friday 1 November

Summary
Min 17
Max 27
Becoming windy. Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the morning then becoming northeasterly 25 to 40 km/h in the middle of the day.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 4:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Saturday 2 November

Summary
Min 18
Max 29
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Slight (20%) chance of a shower in the outer west in the afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds north to northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 4:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

Sunday 3 November

Summary
Min 19
Max 29
Shower or two. Possible storm.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 6 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light during the morning then becoming northerly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 4:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]


Very smoky morning along the coast

Posted on October 30th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Not a good day for organisms that enjoy breathing, but it must be particularly bad for those with asthma etc. There’s very little wave activity at Dee Why, so passing on a paddle won’t involve missing much.
The MHL buoy was seeing 1.4 metres of 7-second wind bump from the south as of 0500 and the swell models are saying we shouldn’t expect any real change until maybe Friday-Saturday. If the predictions are right we’ll see a burst of NE wind that should push up some short period but potentially fun size stuff at the usual spots.
Have a great Wednesday everyone.

Micro at No Mans and no takers as of 0730

No dice for the point, but a couple of hopefuls at Kiddies 0730

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea will direct north to northeasterly winds over New South Wales waters for most of the week, apart from a brief southerly change along the south coast on Wednesday as a trough moves through.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Northerly 10 to 15 knots, tending easterly from the early afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Thursday 31 October
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Friday 1 November
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 25 knots increasing to 20 to 30 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.


Small to tiny but not flat for Tuesday morning

Posted on October 29th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

We had light breezes for the early. Skies were hazy but mostly free of cloud and there seems to be a little south swell trickling in. It didn’t look too consistent at Dee Why and size was in the knee high range with maybe the odd bigger one. Out at sea the MHL buoy observation from 0400 was seeing 12 seconds of 1.5 metres from the S-SSE.

The Bureau’s website is among a number of major sites offline here in Australia and around the world. So no forecast info to share for now. From the models it would appear we can expect NE wind this afternoon. And tomorrow may offer similar marginal surf conditions under cloudy skies. Next tide is a high at 0845.

Longer range outlook is for weak and small through the rest of the week with perhaps a little NE windswell influx on Saturday.

Have yourself a top old Tuesday everyone!

 

Set at the point 0635

Set at 0630

Hanging out, waiting for a little something along the beach at 0630


Little Monday but not flat Monday

Posted on October 28th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
Small lines coming into Dee Why this morning were delivering knee high waves at the point and maybe a touch bigger up the beach. A light westerly was giving the ocean a little texture and out at sea a few hours earlier, the MHL buoy was seeing 1.3 metres from the S-SSE at 8 seconds apart. So don’t expect much energy. Tide’s high at 0900 and will be back to low about 1515. By the time we hit low, the wind will have been onshore for hours. Hit it early if you can. Ocean temperature is 20C and today’s high will be around 23 along the coast.
Outlook is for swell conditions to fade closer to flatness over the next couple of days. From Wednesday it looks as though we might have a bit more energy in the system. I’m not seeing anything dramatically interesting, but from here it seems as though we could have waist to waist and a bit at south magnets, grading toward chest high sets as we get to Saturday.
Have a great Monday!

Tiny wave up toward No Mans at 0700

Knee high rock runner at 0700

Set at 0700

 
Weather Situation
In the wake of a cold front a large high pressure system continues to move into the state from the west, bringing a generally south to southeasterly flow. By Tuesday a northerly flow will return as the high becomes established over the Tasman Sea.

Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning east to northeasterly below 10 knots in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Tuesday 29 October
Winds
North to northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots before dawn then becoming northerly 20 to 25 knots in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Sunny.
Wednesday 30 October
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots during the morning then tending northeasterly during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.


Sunny Sunday with little waves too

Posted on October 27th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Looks as though there are a few fun little knee to waist plus sets along the beach at Dee Why. No one was in the water at the point, although I did see a set wave that looked mal-able. Wind was coming lightly from the SW at 0900. Tide was high at 0815 and is currently running out to the low at 1425. The MHL data from 0600 was showing a mix of dead south and NNE swell. The latter was around 1.5 m at 10 seconds apart. Yesterday afternoon I happened to be down at Curl Curl and there were definitely some nice looking NE lines coming in. Around at Dee Why though it was a lot quieter. So, start your hunt by checking your fave NE spots. Beachwatch says the water’s jumped from 19 to 21C too. Wind should be favourable this morning, but out of the NE from about midday.

The Bureau is calling for the swell settings to hang in there today and then for both to come up a bit tomorrow. Unfortunately the models show the period decreasing, plus the wind call is for it to go SE. So maybe hit it for the early. The next pulse looks like turning up midweek along with cloudy weather. At this stage the modelling shows it getting to around a metre at 10-11 sec.

Go forth and enjoy!

 

No Mans wave 0845

Empty point on a sunny Sunday morning

Set arrives for the waiting crew at No Mans

Weather Situation
A cold front over far northeastern New South Wales is moving out to sea while a large high pressure system approaches the state from the west, bringing a generally southerly flow. By Tuesday a northerly flow will return as the high becomes established over the Tasman Sea.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Southwesterly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots during the morning. Winds shifting east to northeasterly in the early afternoon then tending north to northeasterly in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre around midday.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Sunny.
Monday 28 October
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots shifting south to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the morning. Winds reaching up to 30 knots in the late morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Tuesday 29 October
Winds
East to southeasterly below 10 knots becoming north to northeasterly during the morning then increasing to 15 to 20 knots during the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Sunny.


Hot and micro

Posted on October 25th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
Less than a metre of 10-sec SSE bump out at sea means that we go into Friday with no surf prospects at Dee Why – or anywhere else in Sydney.
We’re headed to a high of 36C along the coast. Water is sitting on 19C.
Outlook you ask? Ah, we have the wisdom of the Goat to consider…
Have at great Friday and keep cool!

Sunny, heating up and flat at the point as of 0725

Only a tiny line up the beach


 
Weather Situation
A high pressure system centred over the northern Tasman sea and a cold front approaching from the west are directing northerly winds over New South Wales waters. A weak southerly change will move through southern coastal waters late Friday and early Saturday ahead of the front, while a stronger west to southwesterly change will sweep through most New South Wales waters on Saturday with the passage of the front.

Forecast for Friday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending northwesterly about 10 knots inshore early in the morning. Winds tending then tending north to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the afternoon, reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny day. The chance of a thunderstorm late this afternoon and evening.
Saturday 26 October
Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northerly 20 to 30 knots shifting west to southwesterly in the afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre around midday, then increasing to 1 to 2 metres by early evening.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore in the afternoon.
Sunday 27 October
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning south to southeasterly below 10 knots during the day then tending east to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 2 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Sunny.


Not too surfable looking this morning

Posted on October 24th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Heavy cloud around when I grabbed the pics this morning, but as I write this it already seems to be lifting. However, whether monochromatic or colourful, the lack of surf situation is what it is. There seemed to be a couple of people in the water just north of Kiddies, but as you can see, there’s no real line and surface conditions were already textured by the light SW breeze. The 0500 MHL data showed a touch over a metre of 6-sec chop from the SE. I’ll be on my bike for today’s exercise.

The Goat should be along later with thoughts about our prospects, I’m hoping he’ll spot something of interest that I’ve missed in this morning’s modelling.

Have a top old day everyone and check back this afternoon for week ahead forecast.

Hopefuls at Kiddies

Nothing for you at the point 0720

South end of No Mans looks good for boating

Weather Situation
A high pressure system centred over the western Tasman sea is directing north to northeasterly winds across the New South Wales coastal waters. Winds will strengthen and turn more northerly on Friday ahead of a cold front, which will bring a southerly change into the southern coastal waters late Friday and early Saturday.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots, tending northerly offshore at first. Winds becoming east to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon then turning north to northeasterly in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Friday 25 October
Winds
North to northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots early in the morning. Winds reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres around midday.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny day. The chance of a thunderstorm at night.


Really tiny

Posted on October 23rd, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

There were chest high plus sets yesterday morning at Dee Why, but they’re gone today. At best it’s maybe knee high at the south end and possibly waist up the beach. Surface had a little texture thanks to a light ENE breeze. Interestingly the swell data coming from the MHL buoy at 0500 isn’t much different from yesterday morning. Swell out at sea was 1.5 metres SSE at 12 seconds, so the puny conditions are curious. Given the swell direction, I’d expect it to be a little bigger up at the Long Reef end of the beach. Tide is dropping to the low at 1020. By the time it bottoms out, the wind should be building up into the 15-20 kt range from the N-NE. So, north corners are the go for any hope of a wave.

Outlook is for marginal to flat for the rest of the work week, but according to this morning’s run of the models, there could be a boost in size on Saturday…

Guess we’ll see!

 

No waves at the point 0700

Tiny at Kiddies

Knee to maybe waist at No Mans 0700

Weather Situation
A high pressure system centred over the western Tasman sea is directing north to northeasterly winds across the New South Wales coastal waters. Winds will strengthen and turn more northerly on Friday ahead of a cold front, which will bring a southerly change into the southern coastal waters early Saturday.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
East to northeasterly about 10 knots tending north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloud clearing.
Thursday 24 October
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots. A 10 to 15 knot west to southwesterly change moving through in the late morning. Winds returning to north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Friday 25 October
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending north to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots during the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny day. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.


Whadya know still some waves this morning

Posted on October 22nd, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

I’d expected it to be really tiny this morning to be honest, but happily there are still some waist plus sets (maybe even shoulder plus on the bombs) on offer. At 0715 there were a fair number of people in the water at the point as well as a scattering of plucky types along the beach.  Surface conditions had a little texture thanks to a light NW breeze. Tide hits low at 0900 and will be back to high at 1535. The MHL buoy was seeing 1.5 metres of 13 seconds from the SSE (156°) as of 0500.
The Bureau says the wind will swing through the north to the NE as the day goes along, so the bumpy conditions at the point will not improve. On the other hand the swell is supposed to pick up, so if you have to go this afternoon, head for the north ends.
Weather should be sunny with a high of 24C and water’s on 19 according to Beachwatch.
The swell models are pointing toward tiny to flat over the next week, but given that they’ve undercalled the energy of the last couple of days, maybe they’ll be proven pessimistic again.
Have yourself a great Tuesday and get wet if you can!

 

Sets at the point are definitely surfable

Shutdowns the go up the beach

Bomb set for the crowd at 0715

Weather Situation
Winds will tend easterly on Tuesday and northerly around the middle of the week as a high pressure system becomes established over the Tasman Sea. A cold front will bring a southerly change to the south on Friday.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
Northerly 10 to 15 knots turning northeasterly in the early afternoon. Winds reaching up to 20 knots inshore in the late afternoon.
Seas
Below 0.5 metres, increasing to around 1 metre around midday.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Wednesday 23 October
Winds
North to northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Thursday 24 October
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the morning then becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.