Posts in Dee Why

Swell and sunny skies for now

Posted on May 5th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Stiff 13-17 kts of SSW wind under sunny skies as Sunday got started at Dee Why. But better than that, the predicted swell is beginning to fill in. Sets at the point and along the beach had wave faces into the shoulder high range and it’s going to come up through the day. Might be a plan to hit it earlier than later as the wind is expected to go more south later. Out at sea the MHL buoy was seeing 2.5 metres of 9-second dead south swell as of 0700. High tide of 1.56 m was at 0830. It will be back to low at 1420.

The current swell settings are already bigger than some of the models are predicting, so it looks hopeful across the next couple of days for fun waves at south spots.

Dee Why 0815

Shories and the point on offer

Set arrives at the point

Lines along the beach

Serious storm just offshore

Weather Situation

A low pressure system is deepening over the central Tasman Sea, while a high approaches from the west. Between these systems, a vigorous south to southwesterly airstream is affecting the New South Wales coast today. Winds should ease later Monday or Tuesday as the low weakens and moves away, although swell generated by this system may linger another day or so. The next cold front is expected to cross southeast Australia mid-week, followed by another at the end of the week, both bringing periods of windy weather to coastal areas.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Southwesterly 20 to 30 knots turning southerly in the afternoon.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning and 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Monday 6 May

Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast

Winds
South to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots tending west to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 2 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon.

Tuesday 7 May

Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending northwesterly during the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
1st Swell
Southerly 2 to 2.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Posted on May 4th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Up and about early for my report on ABC Radio Sydney this morning and I can reassure surfers that you’re missing nothing because there is nothing. Well, to be strictly accurate, I did get a picture of an ankle high wave being ridden at Kiddies, so if you have the right equipment, it is technically possibe to “surf”.

Wind is set to be 15-25 kts from the S-SW later. The MHL buoy was showing only 0.8 m of 6.5-sec NE wind bump as of 0500. Tide was coming in to a 1.57 m high at 0745 (it’s back to low at 1345) and ocean temperature was sitting on 21C according to Beachwatch’s Friday report. There’s a 50% chance of the odd light shower today. There’s nothing much showing in the MHL data from stations south of us, so I’m thinking no waves today.

The forecasts have been pretty erratic lately. As recently as a couple of days ago, they were showing a south pulse into the chest plus range by tomorrow. Now though the most pessimistic is predicting nothing much until Tuesday, and then it’s currently expected to only get into the knee to waist range at exposed spots. Happily the Bureau is saying we could indeed have a pulse from tomorrow (see below), so here’s hoping the BoM knows a bit more than the dour models.

Have yourself a top old Saturday one and all!

Micro at Dee Why point 0645

Up and riding at Kiddies on a bomb set

Optimist in the water at No Mans before 0700

Tiny wavelets at North Narrabeen

South Narrabeen tiny line

Weather Situation

A cold front is moving along central parts of the New South Wales coast this morning, and will continue northwards through the day, reaching the Queensland border in the evening. A vigorous south to southwesterly airstream behind this front will be bolstered during Sunday as a low pressure system develops over the central Tasman Sea and a high approaches from the west. Conditions should ease early in the new week as the low weakens and moves away, allowing the high to become briefly dominant. The next front is expected to cross southeast Australia mid-week, followed by another at the end of the week, both bringing periods of windy weather to most coastal areas.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds
South to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm this afternoon and evening.

Sunday 5 May

Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast

Winds
South to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre, tending easterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Monday 6 May

Winds
Southwesterly 20 to 30 knots tending southerly 15 to 25 knots during the morning.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
1st Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning.

Grey sky Friday and only tiny waves to be had

Posted on May 3rd, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Really small waves and a textured sea surface inshore greeted early risers on a cloudy Friday morning. I’d call it ankle to knee at Dee Why. Wind was coming from the NNE at 9-10 kts. It should pick up into the 15-20 kt range later and swing more to the north. There’s an 80% chance of 2-8 mm of rain too. We have a 1.6 m high tide at 1000 and that won’t help the 6 second 1.6 metre easterly bump. Water’s on 21C.

So, if you can’t get in today, rest assured that you aren’t really missing much.

You may be wondering when or if things will change in coming days; happily this morning sees the Goat’s surf guidance for the week ahead.

Go well with your Friday!

 

Ankle to knee at Kiddies 0715

Barely showing

Weather Situation

A slow moving high pressure system over the Tasman Sea is directing north to northeasterly winds over most coastal areas. A trough and associated cold front is forecast to cross the coast from the west today and Saturday, bringing fresh southwesterly changes in its wake. A southerly airstream is then likely to remain in the region until the early part of the new week as the front reaches the western Tasman Sea and deepens into a slow moving low pressure system by Saturday, while a ridge of high pressure becomes a dominant feature over the western parts of the state from the weekend.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots turning northwesterly 15 to 20 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres offshore.
Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Saturday 4 May

Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots shifting south to southwesterly during the day. Winds reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then increasing to 2 metres by early evening.
1st Swell
South to southwesterly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Sunday 5 May

Winds
South to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
2 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 95% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Pretty sky early, but ocean choppy

Posted on May 2nd, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Spectacular sky at sunrise this morning for early risers. The ocean isn’t looking all that fabulous but there does seem to be a bit more swell activity. There were a few people in the water before 0700. I’d call it knee to waist high and weak and messy. Wind was NNE 7-9 kts by 0700 and the forecast says we can expect that to build into the 15-25 kt range later. The MHL buoy was seeing 1.3 metres of 6 second east wind bump, so it’s interesting that we have anything remotely surfable. Looking at the wave spectral data, there appears to be some southerly component in the mix, so maybe that’s giving things a little lift.

First tide of the daylight hours is a 1.56m high at 0630. It’ll be back to low at 1245.

I’ll leave the forecasting to the Goat who should be along with his thoughts this evening. But, at least some of the modelling for early next week looks interesting…

Have a great Thursday one and all!

Burgery little bump at the point

Some activity but not much at 0645

Red sky in the morning… 

Weather Situation

A slow moving high pressure system over the Tasman Sea is directing north to northeasterly winds over most coastal areas. Little change is expected until a trough and associated cold front crosses the coast from the west on Friday and Saturday, bringing fresh west to southwesterly changes in its wake.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres around midday, then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Friday 3 May

Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast

Winds
North to northeasterly 20 to 25 knots tending north to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots during the morning. Winds reaching up to 30 knots offshore early in the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
East to northeasterly below 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore by early evening.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of rain from the late morning. The chance of a thunderstorm from the late morning.

Saturday 4 May

Winds
West to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots shifting southerly 15 to 20 knots during the morning.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Posted on May 1st, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Pulled the pin on the surfari after looking at the forecasts for the far north coast, so back in Sydney for the rest of the week. At 0700 wind was coming from the north at Dee Why. Surf looked very small and as far as I could tell there were only a couple of people in the water (at the point). Out at sea the MHL buoy was seeing 2 metres of 7-second mainly easterly wind bump. The 1.5 m high was at 0545 and is currently dropping to low at 1210. Water is still on 22C – amazingly.

The dribbly conditions look like continuing for the next couple of days but they could improve a bit for Friday – which would be nice. Beyond that, the latest modelling is showing a solid, if shortish period south pulse early next week. Both the ECM and Wavewatch models are showing the influx of south energy coming into our region Saturday night. The predictions are for around 3 metres of dead south at 7-8 seconds along with 20 kts of southerly wind. It currently looks as though the wind could get a more favourable SW inflection by Monday morning while the swell continues to hang in there. Best looking prospect we’ve had in some time.

Have a great Wednesday everyone!

Hopefuls at the point on a grey Wednesday

 

Weather Situation

A slow moving high pressure system over the Tasman Sea has established northerly winds over most coastal areas. Little change is expected in this pattern until the end of the week, when a trough and associated cold front crosses the coast from the west on Friday and Saturday, bringing fresh west to southwesterly changes in its wake.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Thursday 2 May

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Friday 3 May

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots turning west to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Smoke pollution to start the day

Posted on April 29th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
Taking off on surfari today, but hoped to have a pic to share of conditions posted before I took off. Unfortunately while the skies along the beaches were clear higher up, a strong inversion layer was trapping so much smoke pollution in the first 200 m or so that I couldn’t see the beach from RealSurf HQ. Can’t imagine how these conditions are for people with respiratory problems.
So, I’ll have to make do with the data points for now and hope that I’ll be able to sling a pic up from my travels later.

Wind was light westerly as of 0740 and out at the MHL buoy off Sydney, there was 1.5 metres of 10 second SSE swell. That’s up just a touch over yesterday at this time when south magnets were getting the odd waist high set. Tide was low at 0400 and will be back to a 1.3 m high at 1050.

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over southeastern Australia will mainly bring light winds to the Waters today. This high will drift east over the Tasman Sea by this evening, where it will remain slow moving for most of the week, directing north to northeasterly winds over the Waters from Tuesday onwards.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds
South to southwesterly about 10 knots becoming southeasterly in the early afternoon then becoming east to northeasterly in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Tuesday 30 April

Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
East to northeasterly below 10 knots tending north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots before dawn then becoming northerly 15 to 25 knots in the middle of the day. Winds reaching up to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday, then increasing to 2 to 2.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Wednesday 1 May

Winds
Northerly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 20 knots during the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Curses, hoped for waves this morning

Posted on April 28th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

From nearly 3 metres yesterday morning to 1.3 metres for Sunday’s early session saw wave faces back in the knee to maybe waist high range at Dee Why. Swell was close to 11 seconds apart, but dead south and not very consistent. A couple of bods in the water at the point when I checked for the first time around 0800, but they didn’t catch anything and along the beach it didn’t look much more promising. Wind was 8-10 kts from the west. Tide is currently heading toward the low at 1000. It’ll be back to a 1.28 high at 1630. Beachwatch says water quality’s good and temp is sitting on 22C.
Outlook is for it to stay really small today, but it might bump up a little tomorrow – when your correspondent will be on surfari and heading up the coast. Expect more postcards!

Back to tiny at the point

Knee high at Kiddies – on sets

Up the beach it’s good for paddling 

Weather Situation

A high pressure system near Adelaide is extending a ridge into the state from the west. This high will drift across southeast Australia today before reaching the Tasman Sea on Monday, where it will remain slow moving for most of the week, directing north to northeasterly winds over the Waters from Tuesday onwards.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Winds
Northwest to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending south to southwesterly in the middle of the day then tending south to southeasterly in the late afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Sunny.

Monday 29 April

Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots turning east to southeasterly below 10 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Tuesday 30 April

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots during the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Zippo on the surf front this morning

Posted on April 26th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

We’re still in a holding pattern. There’s a strong wind warning for later in the day, but it’s not going to improve the surf situation. Out at sea the bump is under a metre and coming from the SSE at 10 seconds. But inshore, as the pictures show, it’s in the ankle to shin high range. Tide was low at 0800 and will be back to a 1.2 metre high at 1400. We’re due to reach a 28C high today which isn’t record breaking but is around 10C above historical averages.

If you’re wondering about the week ahead, may I defer to the deep wisdom of the Goat

Have a great Friday everyone!

 

Another microscopic morning at Dee Why

Out for a paddle up the beach

Weather Situation

A weakening high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge to the northern New South Wales coast, while a strong cold front approaches from the southwest. This front will bring a vigorous south to southwesterly change to southern and central waters today, extending to the Queensland border early Saturday. Winds should gradually ease later Saturday and Sunday as a ridge of high pressure drifts across from the west. This high is expected to remain the dominant feature in the region for a number of days.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northwesterly 10 to 15 knots turning west to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots in the middle of the day, then south to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres by evening.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Saturday 27 April

Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots, reaching 25 knots offshore in the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Sunday 28 April

Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the day then becoming south to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Sunny

Fine and waveless for Anzac Day

Posted on April 25th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

A perfect morning for the Anzac ceremonies in Sydney. Wind was coming faintly from the west before 0800. The MHL buoy was seeing 0.8 of a metre from the east at 9 seconds apart. As the pictures show, the consequence at Dee Why was smooth but flat conditions.

The forecast says we can expect sunny conditions all day as we go to a high of 25. The ocean is 21C according to Beacthwatch and all beaches are suitable for swimming. Tide was low at 0705 and will hit a moderate 1.24 m high at 1300.

The Goat should be along later with an outlook for the week ahead. I hope he sees something encouraging because it’s been a dire start to autumn after an equally dire summer. We’re all getting lots of practice on tiny waves and it’d be nice to have something more challenging…

Go well with your Thursday!

Micro at Dee Why

Smooth sea 0730 

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge to the northern New South Wales coast, while a trough is bringing a southerly change to southern waters today. This trough will weaken overnight, although a strong cold front is forecast to bring a vigorous south to southwesterly change to southern and central waters on Friday, extending to the Queensland border early Saturday. Winds should gradually ease later Saturday and Sunday as a ridge of high pressure from the west becomes the dominant feature over New South Wales.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northerly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Friday 26 April

Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast

Winds
North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots shifting west to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots in the middle of the day, reaching 30 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 2 to 2.5 metres by evening.
1st Swell
Southerly below 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore in the evening.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Saturday 27 April

Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending southerly 15 to 25 knots during the morning then becoming variable about 10 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon or evening.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy

Beautiful morning but not if you want a wave

Posted on April 24th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Home again for a few days, and hoping for a wave like everyone else, but it looks like we’re outta luck. Ocean at Dee Why looks to be ankle to knee high – on the bigger ones. Swell is about a metre from the east at 8-9 seconds. Wind’s out of the WNW as of 0830, but it should go around to the NE soon.

Be interestng to see what the Goat says about our prospects for the coming week. His words of wisdom should be up by this evening.

Have a top old day, and if you go looking for surf, may you find more than I’m seeing right now!

Tiny wavelet peels into the beach at 0800

Dee Why basking waveless in the sun 

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea is directing east to northeasterly winds over much of the coast while a southerly change is forecast to cross the southern half of the coast later Wednesday and during Thursday in association with a front slipping to the south. Then a more significant front is forecast to cross the state on Friday, bringing a fresh to strong south to southwesterly change in its wake. Winds should gradually ease from Saturday as a ridge of high pressure from the west becomes the dominant feature over New South Wales.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds
North to northeasterly about 10 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Thursday 25 April

Winds
North to northwest about 10 knots turning southerly 10 to 15 knots from the late morning or early afternoon, becoming east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Friday 26 April

Winds
North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots turning west to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots during the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the evening.
1st Swell
Southerly below 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the evening.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.


 

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