Posts in Dee Why

Drippy and drizzly start

Posted on January 7th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
Another low-visibility drizzling morning at RealSurf HQ, so while I wait for the murk to lift, a quick tour of the weather data…
As of 0840, North Head was seeing a light 6-8 kt breeze from the SE. The wind should pick up a litle as the day goes along while it also swings around to the NE by this afternoon. At 0600 the MHL buoy was detecting 1.3 metres of 8-second bump from the south (162-164°). First tide of the daylight hours is a 1.77 m high at 1000, the 0.37 m low happens at 1635. Today’s high along the coast is set to reach 24C and Beachwatch is reporting 19C water along with ‘pollution possible’ warnings at Birdwood Park, North Curly and Queenscliff due to the recent and continuing percipitation.
The showery weather looks like lasting through to Friday.
Surf outlook is equally ho-hum. At best the Sydeny region can expect knee to waist high thanks to the short period metre to metre and a bit swell. Direction is expected to swing more to the east tomorrow and to stay that way through midweek before going back again to the south.
I’ll try to post a pic once the murk lifts.
Have a great Monday one and all!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge towards southeast Queensland, generating north to northeasterly winds along the far north coast of New South Wales, while a trough about the Mid North Coast weakening. Southerly winds to the south of the trough will turn east to northeasterly today as the trough dissipates and the high reasserts influence. The next southerly change is expected along the southern and central coast on Wednesday.

Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning east to northeasterly about 10 knots in the afternoon and evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy.
Tuesday 8 January
Winds
Northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the day.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Wednesday 9 January
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots turning south to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the day.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.


Cool and grey with little bumps

Posted on January 6th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Small line appears at the point 0845

Hello Friends,
Wind was straight south at 10-15 kts when I climbed aloft for this morning’s snap, but interestingly Dee Why didn’t look too blown out. As the picture shows, there were a few keen types in the water chasing the small waves coming off the 7-sec 2.4 metre dead south swell out at sea. Size along the beach seemed to be in the waist plus range. Tide was just off its 1.77 m high at 0920. There were a few spitty drops in the wind and the Bureau expects only occasional light showers.
Outlook is for the wind to push up later in the day and unfortunately surf prospects are not great according to the long range models. There should be some residual south bump tomorrow morning, but right now the rest of the week is looking pretty quiet unfortunately. The most optimistic prediction shows a little bump Thr-Fri, but we’re only talking waist to chest at this stage.
Have a top old Sunday everyone!

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southerly 20 to 25 knots, reaching up 30 knots offshore during the morning. Winds decreasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon and turning southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy.
Monday 7 January
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning east to northeasterly during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy.
Tuesday 8 January
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning northerly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon.


Foggy start to Friday

Posted on January 4th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Waiting for the fog to lift at 0800


Hello Friends,
As the picture shows, RealSurf HQ was fogged in this morning, so no ocean shots to begin with (will post something later when it burns off). Wind was coming lightly from the NNW and the latest MHL data from 0500 was showing 1.3 m of 5.6 second bump from the SE (132°). Given those numbers I wouldn’t expect to see much of anything surfable at Dee Why. Throw in a 1.73 m high tide at 0800, and the prospects dim even more.
We’re headed to a high of 29C this afternoon and once the fog clears, skies should be mainly clear.
The Goat delivered his first forecast for 2019 last night and, as always, I commend his wisdom to you.
Have a great Friday everyone!

Forecast issued at 4:10 am EDT on Friday 4 January 2019.

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge towards southeast Queensland. This pattern is maintaining a fresh north to northeasterly wind regime along the entire coast. A trough and associated southerly change looks set to affect the far south coast this evening, and extend to central parts of the coast during Saturday, before stalling over northern parts of the coast on Sunday. Winds shift east to northeasterly across the Waters during Monday as the trough decays and a new high pressure ridge extends along the New South Wales coast.

Forecast for Friday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Saturday 5 January
Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northerly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 25 knots early in the morning then shifting southerly 15 to 20 knots in the late morning and early afternoon.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
East to northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Sunny morning. 50% chance of showers in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.
Sunday 6 January
Winds
Southerly 20 to 30 knots turning southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
Cloudy.


Another little and bumpy morning

Posted on January 2nd, 2019 in Dee Why.

Lots of foam, but not a lot of waves 0820


Hello Friends,
Another very warm day coming up without much in the way of wave activity at Dee Why. As of 0820 the tide was still pretty high (it peaked at 1.63m at 0633) and the waves looked to be in the knee to maybe knee plus range just up the beach from the club. There were only a few people in the water waiting for a go, which also tells you something about the low energy surf situation. As I write this, the wind down at North Head is out of the SSW and various local weather stations were showing air temps of 23C along the coast. The Bureau says we can expect a high of 29 today and Beachwatch says water’s at 20C.
The latest MHL data from 0600 showed 1.3 metres of 5.6-second dribble coming at us from 126-130° (ESE) – ie, almost nothing. The wind should come around to the NE by this afternoon, so maybe it will push up a few windtorn lumps at exposed spots. When I went for a walk yesterday at dusk there were some scrappy, super close together waist plus faces around Gardens or just south of there. But no one was in the water because it looked so dire. The swell models aren’t showing anything of real interest until maybe Friday-Saturday when several predict a little bump up in wave heights for the morning sessions…
Have a great day everyone and see you again tomorrow!

Yet another too-small-to-surf morning at No Mans

Forecast issued at 4:10 am EDT on Wednesday 2 January 2019 by the Bureau of Meterology.

Weather Situation
A stationary high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge towards southeast Queensland, while weak trough lingers in the vicinity of the Sydney and Illawarra coasts. This pattern is maintaining a fresh northerly wind regime over the northern waters, with weaker south to southeasterlies about southern parts. The trough is expected to dissipate during Thursday, resulting in north to northeasterly winds extending along the entire coast. Another trough looks set to affect southern waters on the weekend.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Southeast to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching 25 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1 to 2 metres by evening.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
The chance of morning fog with reduced visibility. Sunny afternoon.
Thursday 3 January
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching 25 knots offshore in the morning and again in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Friday 4 January
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending easterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Sunny.


Foggy start to the last day of 2018

Posted on December 31st, 2018 in Dee Why.

0830 and Dee Why socked in


Hello Friends,
Weird sea fog lapping against Dee Why beach as of 0830 when I tried to get a picture of the conditions. Appears I’ll have to wait until later on that front, so for now all I can do is report on the data. At 0600 the MHL buoy was seeing only 1.2 metres at 6 seconds from the ESE. That’s down by 50% compared to yesterday, so my guess is that it’ll be barely possible to catch anything at Dee Why.
When I grabbed the snap, the wind was just a breath from the SW. The forecast tells us we can expect it to swing N-NE as it comes up to a standard summer 15-20 kts later.
Tide was high at 0445 and is currently running out to a 06m low at 1055.
We’re headed to a high of 29C along the beaches and there’s a 40% chance of a shower by this afternoon.
This morning’s swell models are projecting little change from the current very small conditions for the coming week. If you want waves, I’d head down to western Vicco late in the week because they’re currently looking like getting some long period south around Thursday…
Have a great NYE and maybe check back later for an update pic.

Weather Situation
A high pressure system lies stationary over the Tasman Sea, extending a ridge towards northeast New South Wales and directing north to northeasterly winds over most coastal areas. This pattern will change very little during the next few days. A more persistent southerly change is likely to push into central parts of the coast early in the new week.

Forecast for Monday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore during the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm during this afternoon and evening.
Tuesday 1 January
Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore early in the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
The chance of a thunderstorm in the early morning. Mostly sunny afternoon.
Wednesday 2 January
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots tending south to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots inshore.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Little bumps for Sunday morning

Posted on December 30th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Soft little things at 0800

Set lights up Dee Why at 0800


Hello Friends,

Warming up as we head to a high of 32 along the coast today. Wind was coming from the NW when I grabbed the pics at 0800, but it should swing to north before settling to the NE and ramping up into the 15-20 kt range. There were a few bods in the water at Dee Why chasing soft and gutless little knee to maybe waist high waves on an outgoing tide (low is at 0942). Not exactly crowded (which tells you something about the quality), but nice to be getting wet in the 21° ocean.
Out at sea the MHL buoy was seeing 1.7 m of 7-sec stuff from the ESE along with the residual NE bump from yesterday’s wind.
New Year’s eve and New Year’s day look like being similar to today’s conditions – ie soft and gutless little stuff for the early then blowing out in the afternoon. Beyond that, the long range models are not encouraging, although there does seem to be at least a hope of someting slightly bigger and jucier for Sunday-Monday (wind a factor of course).
Have a great Sunday everyone!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system lies stationary over the Tasman Sea, extending a ridge towards northeast New South Wales and directing north to northeasterly winds over most coastal areas. This pattern will change very little during the next few days, although a couple of troughs will bring a southerly change to southern waters today. A more persistent southerly change is likely to push into central parts of the coast early in the new week.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore during the morning.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Monday 31 December
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore early in the morning and again in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres offshore.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm in the evening.
Tuesday 1 January
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning. Mostly sunny day.


Puny Saturday surf offerings

Posted on December 29th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Out for a practice in the surf boat at 0630

Not much at No Mans 0630

You’d have to be keen to wait at the point for a bump

Up the beach not much

Hello Friends,

Not as much activity as I’d hoped this morning. Looks to be maybe knee to waist on the better ones, but that may be a excessively hopeful. Wind was NNE 8-10 kts as of 0700, but the Bureau says it’ll be 20-25 kts N-NE by this afternoon. That ought to push up the waves but the biggest stuff will be the most blown out. Tide is low at 0830, so it’ll be dumnpy as well as small. By the time it’s back to the 1.6 m high at 1442, the wind should be at full strength.
We’re going to a high of 30C today on the coast (up to 42 out west!) and water is sitting on 21C.
Given the strong wind forecast, there might possibly be a little fun something for the early on Sunday.
Outlook for the rest of the week is pretty ordinary – basically little to near flat and junky weak NE wind bump through the period.
Summer surf in other words.
Have yourself a fine old Saturday everyone!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system lies stationary over the Tasman Sea, extending a ridge towards northeast New South Wales and directing north to northeasterly winds over most coastal areas. This pattern will change very little during the next few days, although a couple of troughs will bring a southerly change to southern waters on Sunday. A more persistent southerly change is likely to push into central parts of the coast early in the new week.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northeasterly 20 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore during the morning and again in the late evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres offshore.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Sunny.
Sunday 30 December
Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northeasterly 20 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore during the morning.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1.5 to 2 metres around midday.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 2 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Monday 31 December
Winds
Northerly 20 to 30 knots turning northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.


Are you really keen?

Posted on December 28th, 2018 in Dee Why.

No activity at No Mans 0750

Smaller than yesterday, so you need to be patient and realistic

Hello Friends,

NNE 11-16kts at North Head as of 0800 under light blue skies. The 0500 report from the MHL buoy showed 1.9 metres at 7.4 seconds from the SE (138°). Tide was low at 0725 and is now filling into a pretty swampy 1.73 m at 1340.
Dee Why looked textured from the wind, but of more concern was the apparent minimal level of wave energy. There were a few bods in just up from the surf club, but I didn’t see them catch anything. I’d say it’s in the knee high range – on sets. Quality at low tide last night was pretty sad, so I’m guessing it’s not a lot better now. If you’re really, really keen…
We’re on track for a high of 30C today along the coast and the Bureau tells us it’ll stay above 30 until Wednesday, when they expect a dip into the high twenties. Ocean’s 21C according to Beachwatch.
If you’re wondering about the surf week ahead, I’d advise referring to the Goat’s latest forecast – which in keeping with our traditions, also features his annual New Year’s message.
Have yourself a fine old Friday everyone!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system lies stationary over the Tasman Sea, extending a ridge towards northeast New South Wales and directing north to northeasterly winds over most coastal areas. This pattern will change very little during the next few days, although a couple of troughs will bring brief southerly changes to southern waters today and again on Sunday. A more persistent southerly change is likely to push into central parts of the coast early in the new week.

Forecast for Friday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching 30 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
North to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Saturday 29 December
Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots tending northeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
North to northeasterly below 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the morning.
Weather
Sunny.
Sunday 30 December
Winds
North to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Mostly sunny.


Warm, sunny and small but not flat

Posted on December 27th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Exciting set wave at 0840

A few folks bobbing around hopefully at DY 0840

Hello Friends,
Another lazy summer morning at Dee Why with little, barely surfable bumps rolling slowly in. Not too crowded and if you were lucky, you might score something approaching waist high. Yesterday’s unexpected little south pulse has faded away. The MHL buoy data from 0600 showed 1.7 m of 7-second east along with some residual longer period south component. So who knows, maybe there are still a few sneaker south sets turning up every now and then…
Wind was out of the NNE at 6-9 kts as of 0850 and tide was coming into a 1.85 m high at 1245. Skies were cloudless and a bit hazy as we head to a high of 29 along the coast (the Bureau is again advising that Ozone levels are high across the Sydney region). Beach watch reports good water quality everywhere and a sea temp of 21°C. Noice.
Outlook is unchanged from yesterday’s forecasts, ie sunny and hot weather with afternoon NE’ly wind into the 15-25 kt range across the next three days. Swell outlook is puny today and then maybe slightly less puny through the weekend. Summer NE wind bump magnets are the go. Longer range outlook is pretty much the same. It’ll be interesting to see what the Goat thinks later today…
Have a top Thursday and keep on smilin’!

Weather Situation
A slow-moving high pressure system over the Tasman Sea will direct north to northeasterly winds along most of the coast for the remainder of this week. A number of weak troughs are forecast to affect the southern coast over the next few days, resulting in brief southerly changes.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots inshore at first, otherwise 15 to 25 knots, locally up to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
East to southeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.
Friday 28 December
Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots becoming northeasterly 20 to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Saturday 29 December
Winds
North to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres offshore.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Sunny.


Warming up for Boxing Day waves

Posted on December 26th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Lines pushing in at 0830

Point wave goes through to the beach 0830

Hello Friends,

I’m jealous. Won’t be able to surf for another month, and we have fun chest plus sets rolling into Kiddies and the Point this morning. Quality is not remarkable, but as of 0830 when I grabbed the pics, the NNE breeze was a lazy 6-7 kts under warm and sunny skies. Classic summer conditions.
The MHL 0600 data showed 1.9 metres of 11.8-sec S-SSE (168°) swell. Tide is coming into a deep 1.95 m high at 1150 and by the time it’s back to low at 1835, the NE wind will be into it.
I thought it looked kinda hazy this morning and it turns out that our air quality is rated as Poor today due to elevated Ozone levels, ie it’s going to be smoggy.
I’d guess that once the wind comes up (forecast is for 15-20 kts NE), those of us on the coast will see air quality improve.
Speaking of NE wind, we can expect it to blow even harder tomorrow afternoon and to be going pretty strongly on Friday as well. So, the usual summer instructions apply – namely, hit it early for the best conditions. Looks from the models as though it’ll be around the metre mark from the ENE tomorrow and then maybe up a touch heading into the weekened. But periods are forecast to be in the 7-8 sec range, so I’d be hoping for waist to chest on sets at magnets…
Have a good Boxing Day one and all!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system in the western Tasman Sea is near stationary. Northeasterly winds, gusty about the coast in the afternoon. A weak trough will move over the far south coast late today, resulting in a brief shift to light southerly winds for some parts of the water. Winds will return northeasterly again on Thursday.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres by early evening.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Sunny.
Thursday 27 December
Strong Wind Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots becoming northeasterly 25 to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.
Friday 28 December
Winds
North to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.


 

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