Posts in Dee Why

Better visibility this morning

Posted on January 9th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Six to 8 kts of SSW wind early at Dee Why under grey skies this morning. Happily the dense bush smoke of yesterday has disappeared. Only a tiny hint of wave energy evident at the beach as we come into the 1.78m high tide a little before 0800. I’d call it ankle to knee and weak. Earlier this morning the MHL buoy was showing 1.6 m of 11-second swell from the SSE (162°).

Wind should swing to the south soon before going NE in the afternoon. It doesn’t look as though we can expect any improvement on the wave front though. As always I’ll be interested to see what the Goat thinks of our prospects for the weekend and beyond. My reading of the models makes me a little hopeful about prospects for the north corners in a couple of days…

Go well with your Thursday!

Nothing doing at the point 0715

Ankle to knee high at Kiddies. On sets.

Set scuds in just north of Kiddies

 

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea will gradually move towards New Zealand over the coming days. Meanwhile, a trough extending from the northern inland of New South Wales is bringing southerly winds to southern and central waters. Winds will gradually turn north to northeasterly today and into Friday ahead of an approaching cold front. This front is forecast to bring a vigorous southerly change along the New South Wales coast later Friday and during Saturday, reaching the far northern coast by Sunday.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots inshore in the afternoon. Winds becoming northeasterly to southeasterly about 10 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then tending south to southeasterly around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Weather
Cloudy.
Friday 10 January
Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 25 knots increasing to 25 to 30 knots in the afternoon then tending northerly in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then increasing to 2 to 3 metres around midday.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre, tending northeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres by early evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Saturday 11 January
Winds
Northerly 25 to 35 knots shifting southerly 30 to 35 knots during the morning then tending southeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Southeasterly below 1 metre, tending southerly 1.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
Cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning.


Waves to be had this morning

Posted on January 7th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Although smaller than yesterday, it was much cleaner at Dee Why when I grabbed the pics at around 0700. Lots of folk in the water chasing fairly consistent waist to chest plusses both at the point and along the beach to at least No Mans. Beachy looked to be shutting down a fair bit and at the point it didn’t seem that too many were winding all the way in.

Tide was high at 0630 and is currently running out to the low at 1305. Beachwatch says the ocean temp has cogged down to a chilly (for summer) 18C.

As of 0500 the MHL buoy was detecting 1.9 metres of 12.5 second energy from the SSE (158°). Wind was NW 8-13 kts. It’ll go NE later as the swell backs off a little. The rest of the week looks like being small thanks to decreasing periods… but with luck it won’t go flat.

It was cloudy and even a little drippy early, but the Bureau says it’s going to warm up to 27C later.

Have a great day!

Some energy at No Mans 0700

Cute shorey 0700

Up and riding at the point 0700

Point and Kiddies producing

Weather Situation
A high pressure system is developing over the southern Tasman Sea where it will gradually move towards New Zealand over the coming days. This is bringing a return to northeasterly winds for most coastal areas, although a southerly change looks to affect the southern and central waters during Wednesday. Later on Friday or during Saturday a vigorous southerly change is forecast to move along much of the New South Wales coast as a cold front crosses southeastern Australia.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the late afternoon, then increasing to 15 to 25 knots in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore in the evening.
1st Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm this morning.
Wednesday 8 January
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 25 knots tending northerly before dawn then shifting southerly in the morning. Winds possibly reaching up to 30 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the morning.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm in the late afternoon and evening.
Thursday 9 January
Winds
Southeast to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon.


More activity but junky this morning

Posted on January 6th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Nice cool and grey morning with 8-10 kts of ESE onshore roughing up a couple of metres of 8 second S-SSE wind swell. Set wave faces at Dee Why as of 0830 looked to be into the chest plus range at the point and waist to chest along the beach. There was a small crew on it at the former and it looked as though you typically got off a turn before the lumpy bumpy conditions made it section. Low quality, but at least you can have a moment on your feet with some face in front of you.

Tide was high at 0540 and will be low again at 1210. We’re going to a high of 25C and there’s a 70% chance of a light sprinkle. Visibility is around 3-5 km from RealSurf HQ and the Bureau has issued a forecast alert for Poor Air Quality.

The forecast models show wave energy staying about the same tomorrow but then fizzling out from Wednesday onward. There seems to be hope of a slight uptick into the surfable range for the weekend though.

Have a good Monday!

 

Small and junky looking up toward No Mans at 0830

Sets at the point showing some size but quite junky

Set hits the point

 
Weather Situation
A low pressure trough is lingering on the northern New South Wales coast today, while a new high pressure system develops over the southern Tasman Sea. This high will become dominant during Tuesday, bringing a gradual shift back to northeasterly winds in most coastal areas, before the next southerly change affects southern and central waters during Wednesday.

Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
Easterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching 25 knots offshore during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
2nd Swell
Northeast to southeasterly around 1 metre, tending southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Weather
Cloudy. 50% chance of showers.
Tuesday 7 January
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching 25 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
1st Swell
Easterly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre around midday.
2nd Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Wednesday 8 January
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots tending north to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning then tending southeast to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the day.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
East to northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening


Blowy southerly day

Posted on January 5th, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

10-15 kts of south wind under grey and smoky skies this morning in Dee Why. As the pictures show, the ocean’s bumpy and choppy inshore and waves are around the waist high range. The wind will keep coming from southerly quarters over the next couple of days, but it’ll go more SE from late today. The latest MHL data from 0600 shows the swell at sea is dead south and 2 metres at 10 seconds. Tide is dropping to the low at 1100. We should see a high of 25 along the coast and Beachwatch says the water’s 20C.

A quick scan of the swell models suggests that the coming week is unlikely to deliver us much in the way of quality surf options along the Sydney coast. In that respect, it’s pretty much the usual summer ho-hum outlook. There’s a prospect of some light precipitation tomorrow, so here’s hoping it’ll help the firefighters get on top of things.

Go well with your Sunday!

Waist high sets but quality…

Kiddies action 0700

Weather Situation
A low pressure trough which brought a southerly change to southern and central parts of the New South Wales coast during Saturday is expected to stall and weaken on the north coast later today. A new high pressure system will develop over the Tasman Sea during Monday, bringing a gradual shift back to northeasterly winds in most coastal areas by Tuesday. The next southerly change is forecast to affect southern and central waters during Wednesday and Thursday.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots tending southeasterly in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Cloudy.
Monday 6 January
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots, reaching 20 knots offshore in the afternoon, tending northeast to southeasterly in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre, tending easterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of showers.
Tuesday 7 January
Winds
East to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning northerly during the morning then tending northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
2nd Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning.


Grey and tiny

Posted on January 3rd, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

A very light sprinkle overnight at RealSurf HQ. Skies are grey again and there was a faint SE breeze when I grabbed this morning’s picture. As you can see, conditions didn’t improve overnight on the surf front. There were a few people in the water right in the corner, but it looked to be ankle to knee high and gutless. According to the MHL data, there was a mix of NNE and SSE swell coming at us. But it was about a metre out at sea and although typical periods were 12 seconds in the south component, there was no obvious sign of longer period energy at Dee Why.
The Goat’s latest forecast came in last night, so check that out to see what the wise one says about the coming surf week.
Stay safe folks.

 

Weather Situation

A high pressure system is strengthening over the Tasman sea and is directing northeasterly winds across the New South Wales coast. A trough associated with a cold front will bring a gusty southerly change to the southern half of the coast on Saturday, which will stall about the north coast on Sunday.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds
East to northeasterly about 10 knots, tending south to southeasterly inshore at first. Winds increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon and reaching up to 20 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore by early evening.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Saturday 4 January

Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 increasing to 20 to 25 knots in the afternoon and reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
East to northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Sunny.

 


Unprepossessing

Posted on January 2nd, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Grey and mild with 10-13kts of SSE wind under overcast skies as of 0830 on Thursday morning. Ankle to knee and a bit high waves every now and then at the point, and presumably along the beach north from there. Only people I could see in the water were doing what they could with the sloppy, tiny bumps along said point. The MHL buoy was seeing 1.4m of 6 second period dribble from the S by SSE. Outlook is for the wind to luff along at about the current intensity for the rest of the day and for the swell, such as it is, to dribble away into the unsurfable range. Tide was low at 0740 and will be back to high at 1350. There wasn’t much smoke haze when I grabbed the pics, but the forecast says we could see some by late morning… We’re due to see a high of 25C along the beaches. Beachwatch reports that water has bounced up to 23C, so at least if you go for a swim it should be nice.

The Goat should be along later with his thoughts on the surf prospects across the next week. From what I can see on the models, things look like staying much the same as they are…

Go well and stay safe.

 

Up and riding 0830

Nothing showing up the beach

.

Weather Situation
A trough of low pressure is weakening about the lower Mid North Coast, with winds tending southeast to northeasterly in most coastal areas today. Northeasterly winds will extend throughout the New South Wales coast during Thursday and Friday as a new high pressure system develops over the Tasman Sea. The next southerly change looks set to affect much of the coast later Saturday or Sunday.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending east to southeasterly in the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Weather
Cloudy.
Friday 3 January
Winds
Easterly 10 to 15 knots becoming northeasterly about 10 knots before dawn then increasing to 15 to 25 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Cloud clearing.
Saturday 4 January
Winds
Northeasterly 20 to 30 knots turning northerly during the day.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.


Smoky & tiny for New Year’s Day

Posted on January 1st, 2020 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
The smoky grey skies and the smell of bush fires silently remind those of us safe in the beachside suburbs that away from our refuge there are thousands of our fellow Australians facing another anxious day. Thanks again to all those working to save lives and property on the front lines of the climate emergency.
If you were hoping for a little soul surfin’ mood lift from our Mother Ocean, I can report that she’s at a pretty low ebb energy-wise, but if you’re patient and happy for any little pulse that comes your way, there are ankle to knee high bumps here and there.
Wind has settled back from yesterday evening’s blowy conditions. As I write this around 0945, it’s south 3-5 kts and out at sea there’s 1.9m at 8 seconds from the SSE. Tide was low at 0650 and is gradually coming into the high at 1310. Weather should remain cloudy with areas of smoke haze and will get to 26C along the coast. Water is 21C according to Beachwatch.
Outlook on the surf front appears to be for conditions to bumble along at about the current, marginal settings for the next week at least.
Stay safe everyone.

Small bumps along the beach for day one of 2020

Three or four paddling about at the point


 

 

Weather Situation
A trough of low pressure continues to decay about the Mid North Coast with winds tending onshore during across the waters by the later afternoon. Northeasterly winds will re-established in most areas during the second half of the week as a new high pressure system develops over the Tasman Sea.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
South to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the late morning and early afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Thursday 2 January
Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning easterly in the late morning and early afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Weather
Cloudy.
Friday 3 January
Winds
Northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 25 knots during the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.


Scrappy but there are waves

Posted on December 31st, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

9-12 kts of NNE wind at 0740 with smoke haze reducing visibility to about 5 kms along the beaches. Sets at the Dee Why end of the beach were around the waist high mark, close together and looking pretty soft. Out at sea as of 0500 the MHL buoy was seeing 2.4 m of 8 seconds from the north and SSE. Tide was low at 0600 and is currently coming into the high at 1230.

As I write this, the radio’s on with the latest fire reports from Vicco and the far south coast. Scary stuff on a day when up here in Sydney we’re going to a high of 34C ahead of a late gusty cool change and the smoke haze will be making air quality poor all day.

2019 is going out on a rather somber note. Naturally we’re all hoping for a New Year with fewer fires and a break in the drought. But however it plays out, we can help each other – while demanding much more science-based policy from political leadership.

See you tomorrow one and all.

 

Waist high sets at the point 0730

Waiting for something at No Mans

Set at the point 0730

A POOR Air Quality Forecast alert is issued by the Department of Planning, Industry and Environment (DPIE) due to forecast elevated particle and ozone levels in Sydney for Tuesday 31 December 2019.
Weather Situation
A slow-moving high pressure system lies over the Tasman Sea bringing northeasterly winds along the New South Wales coast. A strong and gusty southerly change moves though southern and central waters on Tuesday, which will weaken on the Mid North Coast during Wednesday. Northeasterly winds are expected to re-establish along the New South Wales coast in the second half of the week as another high pressure system moves over the Tasman Sea.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots ahead of a gusty southerly change 20 to 30 knots in the early evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres inshore, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Sunny day. The chance of a thunderstorm in the evening. Smoke haze may reduce visibility.
Wednesday 1 January
Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots increasing to 20 to 30 knots before dawn then tending southeast to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots early in the morning.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 metre around midday.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
2nd Swell
South to southwesterly below 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore in the afternoon and evening.
Thursday 2 January
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning easterly during the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
Cloudy.


Smoke haze and dribble waves

Posted on December 30th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Smoke was pretty bad when I grabbed the shots around 0730. I’d say we were down to 4-5km visibility. According to dpie air quality monitoring, we’re probably looking at fair PM10 right now – but we don’t know for sure as there are no monitors on the Northern Beaches. Surfwise it looks remarkably similar to yesterday. There were a couple of people in the water at the point where set waves might occasionally get into the waist high range for a few moments. But the 6-9 kt NNE wind was making the 2m, 7sec E-ESE wind bump look pretty messy and gutless. Not a quality morning out there sadly.

Wind’s going to ramp up into the 20-30 kt range from the N-NE this afternoon, so the bumps will get bigger, but if yesterday afternoon is any guide, it’ll still be really weak and slow – along with being really windy.

We’re going to a high of 28 along the beaches today and then looking at 33C tomorrow ahead of a late southerly change for NYE. Right now New Year’s Day is shaping to be strongly southerly with a potentially useful east swell in the 1.5m, 10-second range… south corners ahoy.

Stay safe and best wishes to our firefighters facing the hellish conditions out west.

 

 

Like yesterday only smokier

Couple of folk hanging around at the point 0715

 

Weather Situation
A slow-moving high pressure system over the Tasman Sea is expected to remain the dominant feature in the region during the next couple of days. This will result in northeasterly winds along the New South Wales coast until a strong southerly change moves though southern and central parts on Tuesday, which will weaken on the Mid North Coast during Wednesday.

Forecast for Monday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Tuesday 31 December
Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots ahead of a gusty southerly change in the evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
Weather
Sunny day. The chance of a thunderstorm in the evening.
Wednesday 1 January
Winds
Southerly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon then tending southeasterly during the evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the afternoon or evening.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
2nd Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy.


Grey skies, smoke haze, hot later tiny waves

Posted on December 29th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Up early for a Sunday, so grabbed the pics at 0600 or so. Temperature was a pleasant 22C, but it’ll go up 9 degrees today. Skies were gloomy and the sun was a menacing red through the smoke haze from the fires. Surfwise, well the pictures tell the story – it’s bumpy and tiny basically. Tide was low at 0440 and is coming in to a 1.78m high at 1110. Wind was out of the north at 4-7 kts, but as the day heats up, it’ll accelerate into the 15-25 kt range from the N to NE. As it does, the Bureau tells us that we can expect the NE wind swell to build a little. Typical summer in that respect anyway.  The MHL buoy was showing 2m at 8 seconds from the north around to east. Water’s on 21C.

The hot weather will last through Tuesday and so will the NE wind. New Year’s Day could see cloudy skies and temps in the low 20’s as the wind regime flips to southerly for the remainder of the work week.

The ECM forecast model shows sub 8-second periods and swell heights in the 1.5 m range all week, but the Wavewatch 3 modelling predicts closer to 2 metres at 9 seconds Tues-Weds, then a bit smaller but into the 11-12 second range for the back half of the week. For what it’s worth, Wavewatch’s prediction for right now is closer to the MHL data than ECM’s (shorter period and smaller) numbers.

Go well with your Sunday everyone!

Up the beach toward No Mans, nothing doing 0600

The point and Kiddies hints of activity but no takers

Grey start to Sunday

Grim looking sun at 0600