Posts in Dee Why

Another barely there surf day

Posted on September 21st, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Not much of anything to be seen at Dee Why this beautiful morning. Couldn’t see anyone in the water, nor any reason for them to be there for that matter. Swell was sitting on 1.2 m at 9 seconds from the south (162-164°). Tide was high at 0555 and is now dropping to a 0.6 m low at 1135. According to Beachwatch, the water temp is up to 18C.

Outlook is for conditions to remain tiny through the weekend, but next week’s outlook has improved on some models this morning. From around Monday – if they’re right – we could start to see some improvement at south spots. The problem is that the wind could be southerly into Tuesday. Right now Thursday is shaping to be the tip for south spots.

Have a great Friday everybody!

No sign of surf at Dee Why

 

Tiny lines hint at possibilities

0530 WRL cam

Weather Situation

A high pressure system will drift slowly across southeast Australia today, and is expected to be over the Tasman Sea by the weekend. This should result in a gradual return to northerly winds in most coastal areas, before the next cold front and southerly change on Sunday.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the morning then becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon and evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Saturday 22 September

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots tending north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Sunday 23 September

Winds
North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots shifting southerly 20 to 25 knots during the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the evening.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers.

Rain to start the day

Posted on September 20th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Light but steady rain this morning along with light westerly wind. There was a little wave activity, but it looked weak and disorganised at Dee Why. The MHL data from 0600 showed 2.3 metres of 9-sec swell from the south (160-162°).

The radar was still showing a fair amount of precipitation as of 0730 but it should fade by this afternoon. By then the wind should be around to the south at 15-20 kts. So not the most attractive day for a surf.

Nothing much of interest in the near-term forecast. Several of the models are showing some long period but very small SSE bump for early Saturday. Beyond that there seems to be some hope of an improvement, particularly when we get to mid next week – according to several models. At the more optimistic end of the predictions they’re talking chest to head plus at south magnets thanks to some very long period swell around Weds-Thrs.

Here’s hoping…

Have a top old day everyone!

Not much showing at 0720

 

Messy and weak looking at No Mans

 

Weather Situation

A cold front, which brought a southerly change to southern and central parts of the New South Wales coast earlier today, is continuing along the northern coast tonight, and will reach the Queensland border Thursday morning. Behind this, a high pressure system is expected to drift slowly across from the west during the next day or two, to be over the Tasman Sea by the weekend. This should result in a gradual return to northerly winds in most coastal areas on Friday and Saturday, before the next cold front and southerly change on Sunday.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers during the morning and afternoon.

Friday 21 September

Winds
South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Saturday 22 September

Winds
North to northwesterly about 10 knots tending north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Little wind swell bumps

Posted on September 19th, 2018 in At large, Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Back from my adventures talking to pollies in Canberra about climate bipartisanship (hey, one can dream). Surf situation has not improved in my absence. Stopped by Collaroy for a look and then wandered past Long Reef before heading back to the RealSurf wheelhouse to check in. As the pictures show, there are only soft little windswell bumps coming in from the NE. Collaroy had no takers, although I think if you were really keen, you could have a splash with a bodyboard maybe. Definitely more activity around the corner at Longy where a dozen or so folks were picking up very soft and slow waist high bumps just north of the lugga. There were a few more down at Kiddies, but they didn’t seem to be finding much.

To put some numbers on the situation, as of 0600, the MHL buoy was seeing about 7-sec, 2 metre bump from 60° (NE). As of 0720, North Head was detecting 5-7 kts from the north. Tide was dropping to the 0.7 low at 0940. By the time the it’s back to the 1.4 m high at 1620, the southerly could be with us.

Tomorrow’s shaping to be southerly and – unlike today – cloudy. Swell could come up a little, but the models show periods in the windswell range, so I’m not expecting much of interest in spots out of the wind. That said, the Bureau predicts a mix of swell, including some bump out of the NE. We could have more favourable winds for Friday morning, but the swell settings are not encouraging. I’m hoping for some mal-able bumps.

Have a top old Wednesday!

Very quiet at Kiddies this morning

Moseying along on a soft one at Longy 0800

Crew enjoying the slo-mo conditions at Longy

Bomb set wall at Longy 0800

Not too exciting looking north from Collaroy

Fluffy little windswell bump at Collaroy 0750

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea is slowly moving east as a cold front approaches the coast from the west. Fresh to strong northerly winds will continue over the New South Wales coast ahead of the front. A southerly change is forecast with the passage of the front today up to the Mid North Coast and early Thursday in the far north. Winds will then gradually shift northerly on Friday or Saturday ahead of the next front.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots shifting southerly in the late afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing below 1.5 metres during the afternoon, then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Thursday 20 September

Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the late morning and afternoon.

Friday 21 September

Winds
South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots shifting north to northeasterly below 10 knots during the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Grey, still and small this morning

Posted on September 14th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Barely a breath of wind at 0700 under overcast skies this morning at 0700. A tiny set rolled through the point when I grabbed the pictures this morning. It looked too small to be rideable and up the beach there was only the barest suggestion of a line. I think we can call it flat. MHL’s Sydney buoy hasn’t reported in since late yesterday afternoon but the other buoys up and down the NSW coast are all telling the same, sad story of sub-metre swell heights. Average periods reported by the stations south of us are below 8 seconds, while up north, they’re seeing about 13 sec from the east.

There isn’t much hope of an improvement to conditions today and tomorrow there’s a gale warning for winds in the 15-25 kt range starting from the NE and then swinging SW. At the same time, swell is set to bump up into the 1.5 metre range from the NE. Unfortunately, the models suggest that the period will be in the 7-8 second range, so I don’t expect much of an improvement in the waves.

Sunday looks equally ordinary but Monday’s currently shaping to be possibly fun at spots that like dead south swell.

Have a great Friday everyone!

Hint of a line up the beach

 

The point sees a little set

Weather Situation

A slow-moving high pressure system near New Zealand extends a ridge towards southern Queensland, while a trough is stalled and decaying on the New South Wales coast. The Tasman high will become dominant today, directing northerly winds over most coastal waters. A strong cold front is expected to bring a vigorous west to southwesterly change to southern and central parts of the coast during Saturday, reaching the northern coast early Sunday.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds
Northwest to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots tending northeasterly in the early afternoon then tending northerly in the late evening. Winds reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Saturday 15 September

Gale Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northeast to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots shifting west to southwesterly 25 to 35 knots in the evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the morning.
Weather
Sunny.

Sunday 16 September

Winds
Southwesterly 20 to 30 knots turning southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Sunny.

Still on hold at Dee Why

Posted on September 13th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

A cool and steady 5-10 kt SSW breeze when I climbed aloft for the morning pictures. Skies were sunny but hazy. But we’re still waiting for swell. The MHL data from 0600 this morning was showing 1.6 metres of 7-second wind bump from the S-SSE (168-172°). Tide is running into a 1.6m high.

The wind should peak from the south at 15-20 kts this morning before decreasing and drifting around to the easterly quarters in the afternoon. But there’s no expectation of an improvement to the waves, indeed, it looks as though it might even get smaller over the day. And right now things aren’t looking too special through Saturday. Some models show swell heights perking up on Sunday and Monday, so here’s hoping…

Have a great Thursday one and all!

 

Faint lines at 0720

 

No surfin’ this morning at Dee Why

Weather Situation

A stationary high pressure system near New Zealand extends a ridge towards the northern New South Wales coast, while a trough has brought a southerly change to southern and central parts. This trough is expected to stall and decay on the Macquarie Coast during today, with northerly winds again extending along the entire coast on Friday as the Tasman high becomes dominant. The next cold front looks set to bring a southerly change during Saturday and early Sunday.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots, becoming east to southeasterly 10 to 15 10 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Friday 14 September

Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the early afternoon then tending northerly in the late evening. Winds reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres by early evening.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Cloud clearing.

Saturday 15 September

Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots shifting southwesterly 20 to 30 knots during the late afternoon or evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres during the evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Minimal surf options at Dee Why this morning

Posted on September 12th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Another mild and breezy morning along the beaches. Wind was coming from the NNE at about 10 kts a little before 0800. There didn’t appear to be much of anything in the way of surf at Dee Why. No one was in the water when I grabbed the snaps and I’d say it’s probably not much above knee high anyway. Tide’s high a little after 1000, so that’s not helping much. Plus the sideshore is texturing it up. Out at sea the MHL buoy tells us there’s around 1.3 metres of 8-sec stuff from just off dead south (170°).

So when does this situation turn around? Well, the long range models currently suggest we’re in for another week of this barely-there stuff. That’s spring time for ya I guess.

Keep on smilin’, we’re another day closer to good waves!

Not much evidence of energy at No Man’s

 

Maybe… if you were really keen at 0740

Weather Situation

A trough over inland New South Wales is moving east and will bring a southerly change to southern parts of the coast this morning, then central coastal areas this evening, before moving over northern parts of the coast during Thursday. Later Thursday the trough decays and a high pressure system over the Tasman Sea becomes the dominant feature. Northerly winds increase once again on Friday and Saturday ahead of a strong cold expected to cross the coastal waters later during the weekend.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots. Winds shifting southerly 15 to 25 knots in the south in the late evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
East to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny morning, cloud increasing during the afternoon.

Thursday 13 September

Winds
South to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots tending south to southeasterly below 10 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Friday 14 September

Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the evening.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloud clearing.

Can you dial the expectations down any further?

Posted on September 11th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Swell perked up into the two metre range at 9 seconds from the SE yesterday afternoon, but it faded away overnight. As of 0400 it was back to 1.3 metres at 8 seconds from the south. From the look of Dee Why you’d be doing well to find something in the knee high range. At report writing time the wind was coming from the NW at 4 kts. However the Bureau tells us to expect the wind to come around to the NE and to ramp up to 15-25 kts. For the record, the next tide is a high at 0920 and it’ll be back to low at 1515. Ocean temperature is 17C according to Beachwatch. I wonder if it’ll drop after those NE winds….

Tomorrow is shaping to be windy too (N→NE→NW) and there doesn’t look like much hope for an improvement to the energy levels. So, if you have to miss a day, tomorrow might be a good choice. That isn’t to say later in the week will be much better, because this morning’s swell models are uniformly uninspiring. There does seem to be some hope for an improvement early next week… maybe….

Have a top old Tuesday one and all!

Nothing doing at No Mans 

A couple of folks hanging out at Kiddies as of 0740

 

Weather Situation

Winds tend northerly as a high pressure system over eastern New South Wales moves into the western Tasman Sea this morning. A trough and southerly change look set to affect the southern half of the coast on Wednesday, before stalling and decaying as the Tasman high returns to dominance later Thursday.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
North to northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 25 knots in the morning. Winds reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday, then increasing to 2 to 2.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Morning cloud clearing.

Wednesday 12 September

Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore early in the morning. Winds tending northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the early afternoon then shifting southwesterly in the late evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning, then decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Swell
East to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Thursday 13 September

Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots shifting east to southeasterly below 10 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
Sunny.


Minimal activity Monday

Posted on September 10th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

A beautiful morning for the start of another work week – and it doesn’t look like you’ll be distracted from your duties by the surf. At least where Dee Why’s concerned, there isn’t any.

Out at sea, the MHL buoy was showing a metre of 9 second swell from the S by SSE (154-160°). At report time the wind was coming from the west.

The coastal waters forecast says we can expect the swell to come up into the two metre range from the south. For what it’s worth I’m not seeing anything obvious in the MHL data from stations to the south of us, but I’ll keep a hopeful eye on it.

Wind is expected to go south later this morning, so there is that.

High tide’s at 0830 and it’ll be low again at 1430.

A quick scan of the long range swell prediction models suggests that we’re in for tiny to marginal energy levels through to next weekend – at least. Typical spring conditions I’d say.

Have a great Monday everyone!

A sunny morning but no waves

 

Looking clean but too small to surf at 0740

Weather Situation

A high pressure system is drifting over New South Wales, and is expected to reach the Tasman Sea on Tuesday, bringing a gradual shift to northerly winds in most coastal areas. A trough and southerly change look set to affect the southern half of the coast on Wednesday, before stalling and decaying as the Tasman high returns to dominance.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds
Southwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending southerly 15 to 25 knots in the morning then decreasing to 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning, then decreasing below 1 metre by evening.
1st Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Tuesday 11 September

Winds
Southerly below 10 knots becoming north to northeasterly before dawn then increasing to 15 to 25 knots in the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday, then increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres by evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending southeasterly below 1 metre in the evening.
Weather
Sunny.

Wednesday 12 September

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Very quiet on the surf front

Posted on September 9th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

This morning’s picture tells the story. Even with four on the oars, it was a struggle to get into the tiny waves at Dee Why beach this morning. Not too surprising when you consider the swell was only a metre at 7 seconds from the south as of 0700.
Skies were bright thanks to high clouds and wind was out of the WSW at 10-15 kts. Beachwatch reported a ocean temperature of 16C with water quality being good along the Northern Beaches (apart from Queenscliff where pollution is rated as possible).
High tide was at 0745 and we’ll be back to low at 1335. It should be sunny and breezy from the SW with a high of 21.
There’s not much prospect of an improvement to the surf prospects today, but from the models, it looks like maybe there’s a little improvement coming our way tomorrow morning. I’d say maybe knee to waist if we’re lucky (as opposed to the current ankle to knee)
Have a top old Sunday everyone!

Even a surfboats had trouble getting into waves this morning

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over central Australia is extending a ridge over New South Wales in the wake of a trough which delivered a southerly change to the coast. This high will drift slowly east during the next few days, to be over the Tasman Sea by Tuesday, bringing a gradual shift to northerly winds. The next trough and southerly change looks set to affect the southern half of the coast mid-week, before stalling.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the late afternoon then becoming west to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning, then decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.
Monday 10 September
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning south to southeasterly below 10 knots during the day. Winds reaching up to 30 knots offshore during the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre by early evening.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday, then decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Tuesday 11 September
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots during the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending southeasterly around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Weather
Sunny.


Very small but there were bumps early

Posted on September 8th, 2018 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Pretty quiet out there this morning. Solid overcast skies and a light breeze from the SSW as of 0630. The MHL data from 0500 showed 1.9 metres from dead south at just 6 seconds apart. So, as the pictures show, it was in the knee to maybe waist high range and very weak. Conditions were not being improved by the incoming tide (1.46m high at 0655). The only people I saw in the water were 3 or 4 at Kiddies.

The marine forecast tells us to expect the wind to be S-SE 15-25 kts today along with an 80% chance of showers.

Water’s still sitting on 16C.

Sunny conditions are set to resume tomorrow, plus the wind should be more SW. The Bureau and most of the models are indicating a 10-11 Sec half-metre east swell too, so there could be the odd little line on mid-tide. Monday-Tuesday mornings’ outlook is about the same. Beyond that the only hope for an improvement doesn’t appear on the predictions until Sunday-ish.

Have a top old Saturday and stay happy everyone!

Weather Situation
A low pressure trough, moving along central parts of the New South Wales coast this morning, will reach the far north tonight, accompanied by a southerly change. Behind this, a new high pressure system will push across the state from the west, to be centred over the coast by Monday.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
South to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres decreasing to 1 metre later in the evening.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore this morning.
Sunday 9 September
Winds
South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending west to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots before dawn then tending south to southwesterly in the middle of the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Monday 10 September
Winds
West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending south to southwesterly during the day then becoming variable about 10 knots during the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the morning.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.


 

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