Posts in Dee Why

Very small Monday

Posted on October 30th, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Headed for a hot day before a gusty southerly change late this afternoon. In the meantime we should see northerly wind springing up over the next few hours. As you can see from the pictures, there’s no hint of a wave at the Dee Why end of the beach. A quick scan of the cams along the beaches confirms that everywhere is pretty much in the same situation. And it’s highly likely the micro conditions will last all day.
Once the southerly comes through we can expect the swell to start filling in. The models which had looked so-so yesterday are now predicting around 3 metres of south energy by tomorrow afternoon. Wind outlook isn’t great for the morning, but by late afternoon we could see the southerly swinging more SW, in which case there could be waves at the point. The SW’ly flow looks like continuing through Wednesday and the Bureau’s modelling is joining in with the others to predict 3-4 metres of south energy. Could be interesting!
In the meantime, have a great Monday and fingers crossed for a midweek pulse.

Little rime of whitewater along the rocks at the point, but no waves as of 0730

Up the beach… no waves to be seen


Weather Situation
A front will bring a strong and gusty southerly change to the southern coast this morning, continuing through central areas in the afternoon and evening, before reaching the Queensland border early Tuesday. This system is expected to spawn a deep low pressure circulation over the western Tasman Sea during Tuesday. In combination with a high developing over the Bight, this looks set to maintain fresh to strong southerly winds over most waters through much of the week, with the potential to generate large seas.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Gale Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots ahead of a gusty southerly change 25 to 35 knots in the late afternoon or early evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres in the evening.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny morning. 40% chance of showers in the late afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon.
Tuesday 31 October
Gale Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
South to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots, reaching up to 35 knots offshore early in the morning.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers offshore, 30% chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon.
Wednesday 1 November
Winds
South to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Southerly 2.5 to 3 metres, increasing to 3 to 4 metres during the evening.
Weather
Cloudy. 50% chance of showers.


Waves for Sunday morning

Posted on October 29th, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
Contrary to expectations there were little waves to be had at Dee Why this morning. Nothing amazing of course, but if you can have fun on knee to waist high wind bumps, you’d be having fun.
Wind was light from the NW and swell was around the 1.4 m mark and coming from the E by ESE (113°) at 9-sec apart.
Tide was dropping to the low at 0950 and then it’ll run back in to a 1.4m high at 1615.
By the time we’re back to high tide, the NE’r should be pushing in at 15-20 kts and the surf conditions will be summer marginal (ie choppy, close together and gutless wind waves)
Tomorrow morning could see a rinse and repeat of today, but then from Tuesday onward we get into a southerly regime. Yesterday’s hopeful features on the models for midweek have become today’s less interesting prospects. The latest run of the models points to short period, choppy wind from the south with south wind for Weds-Thursday.

Little activity at the point as of 0730

 
Weather Situation
North to northeasterly winds will continue over New South Waters waters today, as a vigorous cold front approaches from the southwest. This front will bring a strong and gusty southerly change to the southern coast Monday morning, continuing through central areas in the afternoon and evening, and reaching the Queensland border early Tuesday. This system is expected to spawn a deep low pressure circulation off the southern coast during Tuesday. In combination with a high developing over the Bight, this looks set to maintain strong southerly winds over most waters through much of the week, with the potential to generate large seas.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Weather
50% chance of showers this morning. Sunny afternoon.
Monday 30 October
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots shifting southerly 20 to 30 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres by evening.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny. 60% chance of showers offshore, 30% chance elsewhere.
Tuesday 31 October
Winds
Southwesterly 20 to 30 knots turning southerly 25 to 30 knots during the day.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning.


Where are the waves Huey?

Posted on October 27th, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

For much of the last week the swell models have been showing a little south pulse this morning, but as of 0700 it wasn’t really evident at Dee Why. The MHL buoy was showing a slight uptick from the S-SSW into the 1.7 m range. Unfortunately, the average period was a meagre 6 seconds. About the best one can hope for is that there might be a knee high set every now and then, but only at the optimally aligned spots. And just to add to the dour outlook, the wind forecast says we can expect 15-20 kts of S-SE wind later this morning. Tide is low at 0730 and back to a 1.4 m high at 1400.
And the outlook? Well we have a fresh forecast from the Goat!

Hopefuls at No Mans

No activity at the point as of 0645

.
.
Weather Situation
A low pressure system off central parts of the New South Wales coast is moving east and extending a trough to the north coast. The low is directing southeast to southwesterly winds to the south of the trough, while northwesterly winds along the far north coast will turn southerly as the trough moves north, reaching Queensland waters this afternoon. During Saturday winds are expected to turn northerly ahead of an approaching front, which is forecast to bring a southerly change to the New South Wales coast during Monday.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds
South to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots tending south to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the late morning then decreasing to about 10 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing below 1.5 metres around midday.
1st Swell
South to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly about 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and early afternoon.
Saturday 28 October
Winds
Variable below 10 knots becoming north to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the morning then tending north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending southerly below 1 metre during the morning.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre, tending southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then decreasing to around 1 metre around midday.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Sunday 29 October
Winds
Northerly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Southeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 40% chance of showers.


Murky and micro morning

Posted on October 26th, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
Heavy overcast and light WSW wind as Thursday kicked off. A very faint wind bump is dribbling in from the south, but as far as Dee Why’s concerned, it’s too weak and tiny to catch. Swell is about a metre out at sea, but it’s dead south and only 5-6 seconds apart. Could be a good day for the Garden if we get the showers as expected, but surfin’ is off the agenda for today.
Wind is set to go southerly tomorrow and that ought to chase the swell up, but I don’t like our chances for anything much in the way of quality. I wonder if the Goat will have a different view…
Have a top old Thursday and take the brolly!

Waiting mode at the point

Lowering skies over Sydney at 0700

No Mans not doing a thing at 0710


Weather Situation
A complex low pressure system over the southern inland of New South Wales extends a trough to central parts of the coast. Winds today will tend south to southeasterly south of the trough, and northerly to its north. The low pressure is forecast to move east, reaching the Tasman Sea overnight, and causing winds to shift south to southeasterly throughout during Friday. A ridge will briefly develop in the wake of the low, ahead of a return to northerly winds on the weekend ahead of an approaching front.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots, tending variable about 10 knots offshore during the morning and early afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe.
Friday 27 October
Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots tending southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre by early evening.
1st Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, tending southeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres around midday.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers in the morning and early afternoon.
Saturday 28 October
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming north to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning then tending north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
1st Swell
Southeasterly 1 to 2 metres.
2nd Swell
Southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending southerly below 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


Very small lines on Tuesday morning

Posted on October 24th, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Another beautiful morning for Sydney. At 0630 we had clear skies and light NNW breezes along the beaches. The MHL buoy was detecting 1.2 m of 10 sec of SSE swell which, as the pictures show, was turning into ankle to knee high little lines at the point and maybe knee and a bit up the beach. Tide is running into a 1.6 m high at 1145.
We’re going to a high of 26 and as the day warms up, the NE wind will kick up into the 15-20 kt range this afternoon.
The swell’s unlikely to improve over the next 2-3 days and the prospect of a late week uptick seems to be fading too. Right now it seems the best we can hope for is knee to waist SSE wind bump on Friday and then we could be back to flat – or near enough – for the weekend. For what it’s worth, one of the long range predictions was showing a south pulse around Tuesday… so maybe…
In the meantime, stay stoked, stay happy and have a great day!

Up and riding at the point!

Hint of a line at No Mans around 0630

Weather Situation
A high centre is developing over northern Tasman Sea, which will see coastal winds gradually turning northeasterly, though a weak southerly change may affect the south coast during today. A trough will move through western parts of the state on Wednesday, continuing to the coast during Thursday and bringing southeast to southwesterly winds to most waters. A weak low circulation developing within the trough is expected to move away across the Tasman Sea on Friday, with another ridge briefly developing in its wake.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
North to northwesterly about 10 knots tending north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Sunny.
Wednesday 25 October
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending north to northeasterly in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 40% chance of showers in the evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.
Thursday 26 October
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning southeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.


Pretty morning

Posted on October 23rd, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
Still a few raindrops sparkling from among the gum leaves after last night’s rain. Skies were clearing and the wind coming lightly from the west as the morning got started. The wind is set to swing south this morning and then back to the easterly quarters by this afternoon. Swell was up slightly from yesterday to 1.3 m from the SE at 8 seconds apart. Tide was low at 0445 and will be back to a 1.6 m high at 1110. Should be a mild day too, with a high of 22.
As you can see from the pictures, there is a tiny bit more energy than yesterday, but it’s still too small to draw any interest at the Dee Why end of the beach. Spots with better exposure should be in the knee to waist high range but there’s no real prospect of an improvement until maybe late in the week. So, another morning for alternate forms of exercise.
Have a top old Monday and stay happy!

Faint line at the point at 0640

Hopeful in the water at No Mans but waves…?

Weather Situation
A high pressure system south of the Bight with a ridge to the east is directing south to southeasterly winds along New South Wales coast. The high is moving east and will move over the Tasman Sea during Tuesday extending the ridge to the northwest establishing a northeast to northwesterly flow.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots offshore during the morning. Winds turning east to southeasterly below 10 knots in the late afternoon then becoming east to northeasterly in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
20% chance of a shower early this morning. Mostly sunny afternoon.
Tuesday 24 October
Winds
North to northwesterly below 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots early in the morning then tending north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Wednesday 25 October
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots tending west to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots briefly during the day.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 40% chance of showers.


Quiet Sunday morning

Posted on October 22nd, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
Light westerly breeze under mostly cloudy skies as of 0730 Sunday morning at Dee Why. Yesterday’s little south pulse has faded away to pretty much nothing. Out at sea swell is about a metre from the SE at 7-8 sec, but along the beach and at the point in Dee Why, there didn’t appear to be any sign of a catchable wave. There could be ankle to knee high mal or SUP’able bumps at optimally aligned stretches, but that’s about it for us this morning.
Have to say that I’m not liking the look of the swell models this morning. They’re pretty much all showing flat to near flat to at least Thursday evening-Friday morning.
Wish it was otherwise everybody, but that’s surfin’ in Sydney springtime.
Keep on smiling and have a top old Sunday!

No sign of activity at No Mans

You could have the point to yourself this morning

Weather Situation
A high pressure system south of the Bight with a ridge to the east is directing south to southeasterly winds along the New South Wales coast. The high is moving east and it will move over the Tasman Sea during Tuesday extending the ridge to the northwest and winds are expected to turn northeast to northwesterly.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming southerly 10 to 15 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers.
Monday 23 October
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots turning east to southeasterly below 10 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning, then decreasing to 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 30% chance of a shower offshore in the morning and early afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere.
Tuesday 24 October
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots tending north to northwesterly during the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny.


Junky and chunky but not flat

Posted on October 21st, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Slightly chilly and breezy under mostly cloudy skies around 0630 when I did the Saturday radio report check out run. Quality, as the pictures show, was not great. It was inconsistent, choppy and around the waist to chest high range on the biggest ones. There were a couple bods chasing lumps at Northy, but that was it from there south to Collaroy. Around at the Long Reef to Dee Why stretch there were a few hopefuls scattered along the beach and a small crew at the point. Again, the quality is not great and the swell looks pretty much as you’d expect when the forecast says it’s going to fade this morning. So, expect lulls and a challenge when you try to catch one.
According to the 0400 data from the MHL buoy off Sydney, it was close to 3 metres from the south with a period of 9 seconds – but I definitely wasn’t seeing anything remotely in the 3 metre range. Tide is running into a 1.7 m high at 1000.
Wind was out of the WSW early but it should go around to the south as the day goes along. At the same time the swell’s going to fade and right now the outlook for the rest of the week is less than inspiring. Basically it looks like being knee high at south magnets when the tide’s just right for the early part of the week. After that… not too exciting I’m afraid.
Ah well, it is spring.
Have a great Saturday!

Northy at 0630

Bodyboarder picks one up at the point 0640

Messy peaks near the Pole

Narrabeen looking less than spectacular at 0630

Shutdown at south Narra


Weather Situation
Southerly winds along the New South Wales coast are easing as a high pressure system south of the Bight strengthens a ridge to the east. The high will move over the Tasman Sea during Tuesday extending the ridge to the northwest and winds are expected to turn northeast to northwesterly.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots decreasing to about 10 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre around midday.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy.
Sunday 22 October
Winds
Variable about 10 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.
Monday 23 October
Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 40% chance of showers.


Rainy morning at last

Posted on October 20th, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Good to see the rainy weather at last. But no real energy showing at Dee Why as of 0715. Three hours earlier, the MHL buoy was showing 1.8 metres of 8-sec NE wind swell as the dominant influence. The directional spectrum plot was also showing similar levels of energy out of the south and the Bureau is calling for an increase in that component later today. Wind was lightly from the SW at picture taking time and tide was coming into a 1.66 m high at 0925. Unfortunately the wind is going ramp up from the south and get into the the 20-30 kt range  by midday. So, not a great prospect for surfing.

The Goat unveiled his forecast for the weekend last night and as always, I commend his wisdom to you.
Have a great Friday everyone!
 

Quiet this morning

Nup

Weather Situation

A trough and associated cold front is moving through the south coast of New South Wales. A vigorous southerly change associated with the frontal system should reach the central parts of the coast during the afternoon, and continue to the Queensland border early Saturday. fresh to strong northerly winds are expected to continue ahead of the front. Behind the front, a new high in the Bight will extend a ridge into New South Wales during the weekend before the high moves into the Tasman Sea in the early part of next week.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast

Winds
West to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending north to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots in the morning then shifting southerly 20 to 30 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning, then increasing to 2 to 3 metres around midday.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 2 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly below 0.5 metres, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Weather
Cloudy. Near 100% chance of rain.

Saturday 21 October

Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots decreasing to about 10 knots in the evening.
Seas
2 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then decreasing to 1 metre around midday.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 30% chance of a shower.

Sunday 22 October

Winds
Variable about 10 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 30% chance of a shower.

More activity, but is it surfable?

Posted on October 19th, 2017 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,
Wind was a light but steady northerly at 0700. It should swing around to the NE later and should be a strong 20-25 kts by dusk. The MHL spectrum analysis was showing both a small south component and two metres of 6-sec NE wind swell as of 0400. Tide was coming into the 0845 high when I grabbed the snaps around 0700. I couldn’t see anyone in the water at the point or up the beach toward No Mans. I imagine if you were really keen there’d be the odd knee to waist high bit of semi-catchable chop in that zone, but given the dominant NE direction, Curly might be a better choice, or possibly North Narra.
The Goat should be along with his outlook late today and as always I’ll be keen to see what he thinks about the prospects. My reading of the runes suggests we’re in for another quiet week surfwise, but we’ll see what the guy with half a century of experience thinks.
Looks like an otherwise nice day coming up, so keep the stoke alive and have a good one!

More activity than yesterday

No sign of significant energy at 0700


Weather Situation
A strong high pressure system lies over the Tasman Sea, while a trough and associated cold front approach New South Wales from the west. This pattern is bringing east to northeasterly winds to coastal parts, fresh to strong in many areas. A vigorous southerly change associated with the frontal system should reach the southern coast early Friday morning, continuing through central parts during the afternoon, and continue to the Queensland border early Saturday. Behind this, a new high in the Bight will extend a ridge into New South Wales during the weekend.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northeasterly 20 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Friday 20 October
Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northerly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 25 knots before dawn then shifting southerly 20 to 30 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
1st Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 2 metres.
2nd Swell
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by evening.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of rain.
Saturday 21 October
Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots tending southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres.
2nd Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy.


 

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