Posts in Forecast

The Goat’s Forecast

Posted on July 24th, 2008 in Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thrursday 24 July 2008: 4 day outlook for Sydney.

No idea where this will end up… or what it will look like… but what the hey… there’s this tune running through my head: “things can only get better… :)”

Might be sort of OK for the weekend.  Swell around 1- 2 metres from the SE with some westerly winds…But with the air and water temps around 17, and the breeze likely to be on the fresh side at times, it’s not for me… I’m out of it just for the moment. 

Friday: in the 1-2 metre range from the South East.

Saturday: (let me just cut and paste that)… in the 1-2 metre range from the South East.

Sunday: (and again)…in the 1-2 metre range from the South East.

Monday: coming up! 2-3 metres South East.

Water temp is 17…(did I say that already??)

Btw, as a public service announcement for anyone thinking of going to Bali to escape the cold:  Did you know there’s an epidemic of dengue fever there?… That’s what a mate was told when he spent several days on a drip in hospital with dengue fever and 10 days recovering before coming home, and telling me… I’m not a doctor or a travel agent, but you might want to check it out.  And the dfat advice at

Have yourself a bonzer time!

Here’s what the Bureau says about the weather:

Forecast for Thursday
Showers. Moderate south to southeast winds, fresh at times near the coast.
Precis: Showers.

City:          Max:   15  Parramatta:  Max:   15
Terrey Hills:  Max:   14  Penrith:     Max:   15
Liverpool     Max:   15  Richmond:    Max:   15


UV Alert: Nil , UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Forecast for Friday
A few showers. Moderate southwest to southeast winds, fresh at times near the coast.

Precis: A few showers.

City:  Min:   10  Max:   16
West:  Min:    6  Max:   16


Saturday Mostly fine.

City:  Min:    8  Max:   17
West:  Min:    0  Max:   17


Sunday Chance late shower.

City:  Min:    8  Max:   17
West:  Min:    1  Max:   16


Monday Shower or two.

City:  Min:    9  Max:   16
West:  Min:    3  Max:   16


Tuesday Shower or two.

City:  Min:    9  Max:   16
West:  Min:    3  Max:   16


Wednesday Fine.

City:  Min:    7  Max:   18
West:  Min:    1  Max:   17

The Goat’s surf forecast

Posted on July 19th, 2008 in Forecast.


Little wave tomorrow, but
For the weekend – FLAT…
Westerlies will be a blowin’…
That don’t rhyme but I don’t care.

Friday: in the 1-2 metre nage but only at beaches that like dead South swell.

Saturday: small remnants before heading to flat.

Sunday: Flat…

Monday: Flat…

Tuesday: coming up in the 1-2 metre range at dead South friendly places.

Water temp is 18.

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for Thursday evening
Fine. Light north to northwest winds.
Precis: Fine.

Forecast for Friday
The chance of an early light shower, then a fine mostly sunny day. Light to moderate west to northwest winds freshening in the afternoon.
Precis: Fine. Mostly sunny day.

City: Min: 9 Max: 20 Parramatta: Min: 6 Max: 19
Terrey Hills: Min: 8 Max: 18 Penrith: Min: 6 Max: 19
Liverpool: Min: 4 Max: 19 Richmond: Min: 3 Max: 20

UV Alert: Nil , UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Saturday Fine. High cloud.

City: Min: 9 Max: 18
West: Min: 3 Max: 18

Sunday Windy. Chance afternoon shower/thunderstorm.

City: Min: 11 Max: 19
West: Min: 5 Max: 19

Monday Windy. Mainly fine.

City: Min: 9 Max: 17
West: Min: 5 Max: 17

Tuesday Fine.

City: Min: 8 Max: 16
West: Min: 2 Max: 16

Wednesday Shower or two.

City: Min: 9 Max: 17
West: Min: 3 Max: 17

Thursday Chance rain developing

City: Min: 9 Max: 15
West: Min: 5 Max: 14

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Strong wind warning.
Thursday until midnight: Wind: N 10/15 knots, freshening to 15/20 knots chiefly offshore. Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell: S/SE 1 to 1.5 metres.
Friday: Wind: W/NW 15/20 knots strengthening to W/SW 25/30 offshore knots in the evening.Sea: 1.5 to 2 metres rising to 2 to 3 metres later. Swell: SE about 1 metre.
Saturday Outlook: Wind: W/SW 10/20 knots, tending N/NW.
Sunday Outlook: Wind: N/NW increasing to 25/35 knots.

And here’s the snow outlook…
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

Covering Southern Tablelands and Southwest Slopes above 1200 metres
Issued at 4:30pm on Thursday the 17th of July 2008

Warning Summary:

Current Weather Situation and Future Developments
A cold front will cross the region tonight bringing isolated snow showers. These
will become scattered on Friday in the cold air behind the front, with snow
settling down to 1100 metres. Mainly fine weather will return on Saturday ahead
of a more significant cold front, which will move through on the weekend
bringing widespread snowfalls and strong winds to the region on Sunday.

Forecast for the remainder of Thursday
Cloud increasing tonight with isolated snow showers above 1300 metres. Moderate
northwest winds freshening at higher elevations.

chance of snow 1500 m 1900 m
Night (6 pm/6 am) 60 % 80 %

Forecast for Friday
Scattered snow showers, mainly on the western slopes, settling down to 1100
metres. Freshening northwest winds, strong about the peaks.
UV Alert: Nil , UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]
Thredbo Top Station Snow showers. Min: -4 Max: -1
Perisher Valley Snow showers. Min: -4 Max: 1
Cabramurra Snow showers. Min: 0 Max: 2

chance of snow 1500 m 1900 m
Day (6 am/6 pm) 60 % 80 %
Night (6 pm/6 am) 40 % 70 %

Forecast for Saturday
Becoming fine with snow showers contracting above 1600 metres and clearing
during the day. Freshening northwest winds, strong about the peaks at times.
Thredbo Top Station Snow shower or two. Min: -6 Max: 1

Forecast for Sunday
Snow showers above 1700m at first, lowering to 1400m. Fresh to strong northwest
to westerly winds, possibly reaching gale force about the peaks.
Thredbo Top Station Snow showers, windy. Min: -2 Max: -1

Forecast for Monday
Partly cloudy with isolated snow showers down to 1200 metres. Winds tending
Thredbo Top Station Chance snow shower. Min: -3 Max: -1

Snow Depth Observations Depth (cm)
Spencers Creek (1830 m – out from Charlotte Pass) 100.0
Deep Creek (1620 m – SW of Cabramurra)) 44.5
Three Mile Dam (1460 m SW of Kiandra) 9.3
Source: Snowy Hydro, updated weekly, Last updated: 17 July 2008

Quantitative rainfall Cabramurra Perisher Valley
Tonight (3 pm/9 am) 1 0
Friday (24 h from 9 am) 1 1
Saturday (24 h from 9 am) 1 0