Posts in Goat’s Forecast

TG’s Surf Forecast

Posted on October 19th, 2017 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 19 October 2017: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Fab weather today… Sunny, 26, Noreaster pushing in some waves at the right places/ right tides.

But if you’re making hay, then you might want to get stuck into it, because the Bureau is saying there’s a 100 % chance it’ll get wet tomorrow!  That’s a pretty big call.

Meanwhile, what’ll it do for the surf??  In the morning it’ll still be NE windswell, then as the forecast Southerly arrives it’ll be all chopped up and messy, then later when you’re going to bed it’ll start to pick up a bit. But don’t fret…Then it’ll settle into a windy dead southerly swell day and you might decide to stay in bed.

Maybe come out of hibernation Sunday, but with onshore conditions making it pretty ordinary you might want to have a fallback activity to surfing.

If you’re lucky enough there might be some little waves and better weather during the week.

Friday: in the 1-2 metre range from the North East, ahead of a Southerly change that’ll just mess things up

Saturday: upper end of the 1-2 metre range, choppy and windy and cool at dead South spots

Sunday: lower end of the 1-2 metre range South East

Monday: ditto

Tuesday: about 1 metre or so South East

Wednesday: 1 metre or less South East

Thursday: ditto East.

Nice little story Don found here>>>

Hang ten (decades): Walter Munk, inventor of the surf forecast, turns 100

Have fun!

But not yet if you’re makin’ hay!

TG

Up in the Sky

MSLP Analysis for Thu Oct 19 00:00:00 2017 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Oct 19 05:30:00 2017

Winds

https://www.windy.com/?-33.861,151.198,5

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 18 according to the MHL buoy but it’s warmer than that in the surf.  You can see from the BoM satellite pic: warm water (about 20) nearshore, then a cooler stretch (where the MHL buoy would be) then warmer water further out from that.  (No, the water isn’t really coloured yellow).

image

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2017-2018.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Becoming cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Becoming cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of rain later tonight. Winds northeasterly 25 to 35 km/h decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 4:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 9 [Very High]

Friday 20 October

Summary
Min 18
Max 20
Rain. Becoming windy.
Possible rainfall: 15 to 25 mm
Chance of any rain: 100%

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (near 100%) chance of rain, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming northwest to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the morning, then tending southerly 25 to 35 km/h in the middle of the day and reaching 35 to 45 km/h near the coast.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 4:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 9 [Very High]

 

Saturday 21 October

Summary
Min 14
Max 20
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower along the coastal fringe in the morning afternoon. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h tending south to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 3:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

Sunday 22 October

Summary
Min 13
Max 22
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower in the afternoon and evening. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 3:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

Monday 23 October

Summary
Min 15
Max 22
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 24 October

Summary
Min 14
Max 26
Mostly sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds northwest to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h tending east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 25 October

Summary
Min 16
Max 28
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds.

Thursday 26 October

Summary
Min 20
Max 31
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers later in the day. Winds north to northwesterly 20 to 30 km/h shifting south to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.


TG’s Surf Forecast

Posted on October 12th, 2017 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 12 October 2017: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

While I was avoiding a seal in the surf here last week, Wazza was swimmng in Hawaii and there was a seal on the beach there…   What’s going on??? Huh???  The lifeguards marked out an area around it to avoid an unfortunate incident.

A welcome drop of overnight rain followed by a pleasantly warm, sunny day today.  Almost perfect except there was no surf.  Then this arvo a fresh SE change blew through… Will it blow up some surf?? I hear you ask through my speakers… The answer is:

Not really… well maybe a little something, and there could be more of a little something later

Friday: about 1 metre South East

Saturday: about 1 metre or so East South East, with maybe a little pulse from due South from time to time

Sunday: about 1 metre at places that like dead South swell, with sets that are a little bigger

Monday: coming up in the 1-2 metre range East/ South East

Tuesday: upper end of the 1-2 metre range East South East

Wednesday: ditto and more East

Thursday: in the 1-2 metre range North East.

Have a good one

TG

Up in the Air

MSLP Analysis for Thu Oct 12 06:00:00 2017 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Oct 12 05:30:00 2017

Winds

https://www.windy.com/?-33.888,151.123,5

Down in the Water

Water temp is around 19 mostly, trying hard to get to 20. As far as I’m concerned it’s not trying hard enough.  Maybe this weekend…

image

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2017-2018.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Mostly clear.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly clear. Winds southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 3:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Friday 13 October

Summary
Min 15
Max 24
Late shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Patchy fog in the west in the early morning. Mostly sunny day. Medium (40%) chance of showers in the evening. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon then turning south to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the evening.

Fire Danger – High

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 3:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

 

Saturday 14 October

Summary
Min 16
Max 20
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 3 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 90% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of showers. Winds south to southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 3:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Sunday 15 October

Summary
Min 16
Max 21
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Winds southeast to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h tending southeasterly during the morning then becoming light during the afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 3:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

Monday 16 October

Summary
Min 16
Max 23
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming east to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day then becoming light during the afternoon.

Tuesday 17 October

Summary
Min 17
Max 23
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 18 October

Summary
Min 16
Max 25
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds northwest to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day.

Thursday 19 October

Summary
Min 17
Max 28
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.2 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on October 5th, 2017 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 5 October 2017: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

The good news is the water has finally started to warm up…It’s bearable in boardshorts, as opposed to freezing.

And swirling along with the East Coast Current there are now some more whales to be seen in closer. Saw a cute little calf cavorting with its mother today, flopping and splashing all over the place.  He/she started heading north again until mum brought it back into line: ‘Hey Dopey. ..have you got water in your ears?? We go south now. Stick with me or else!’  Whale mothers have to be cruel to be kind….

Because there are bound to be other critters around too… like the seal that surfed down the face of the wave toward me today .. Very cutesy, but these are all wild animals. They can bite, so when it was getting a little too friendly I let it have the waves all to itself.  NPWS advice:

http://www.environment.nsw.gov.au/news/npws-says-give-seals-space-to-recover-and-rest

So, there were small waves at the right tide today, when the wind went to the NE, and it was sunny with warm air.  But all that’s about to change for tomorrow

Friday: about 1 metre or so East/North East ahead of a Southerly change which will just make it a windblown mess. It’ll start to come up more overnight

Saturday: pretty dead South swell so let’s call it 1-2, 2+ metres …at places that like dead South swell, hmm maybe some will get into protected corners

Sunday: looks more interesting for the punters, probably in the 1-2 metre range South East , with a light Northerly

Monday: ditto but with bigger sets

Tuesday: low end of the 1-2 metre range South East

Wednesday: ditto but dead South

Thursday: about 1 metre or so dead South

Steer clear of all marine creatures that have teeth, or might squash you.

No matter how cute you might think they are…they don’t like to be hugged. And they think they own the place. Tsss..

Lion Island Challenge is on this Saturday.  Details here

Lion Island Challenge

Up in the Sky

MSLP Analysis for Thu Oct  5 00:00:00 2017 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Oct  5 06:30:00 2017

Winds>>>>>>>>>>>>>

https://www.windy.com/?-33.883,151.167,5

Down in the Sea

MHL still having problems getting the water temp off the buoy, but as if to confirm my own reading by sacrificing my body to the elements for you, the satellite via the BOM shows that the warmer water is now here.  Lots of whales out offshore apparently, probably where the red stuff is… No wonder Junior wanted to go back north.  He was probably wondering where all his mates are. (they’re way out the back toward NZ)

imagetemp

Tides ~~~~~~~~~~~~~

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2017-2018.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 3:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Friday 6 October

Summary
Min 18
Max 23
Cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Winds south to southwesterly 20 to 30 km/h turning southeasterly in the late morning then tending southerly 25 to 35 km/h in the evening.

Fire Danger – High

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 3:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

 

Saturday 7 October

Summary
Min 13
Max 21
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds southerly 20 to 30 km/h becoming light early in the morning then becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 3:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Sunday 8 October

Summary
Min 13
Max 23
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming northerly 15 to 25 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 3:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Monday 9 October

Summary
Min 17
Max 30
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the outer west in the afternoon. Winds north to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h tending west to northwesterly 20 to 30 km/h during the morning then tending west to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the evening.

Tuesday 10 October

Summary
Min 16
Max 21
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Winds southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h turning south to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the morning.

Wednesday 11 October

Summary
Min 15
Max 25
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day.

Thursday 12 October

Summary
Min 16
Max 28
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers, most likely during the morning. Winds north to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h shifting southerly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on September 28th, 2017 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 28 September 2017: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

First really cloudy day with a cool breeze I’ve had in quite some time, and already I’m looking for some blue sky…

And I Do Not like that cold water! Such a woos I know, but I know what I like.  Yeah yeah we need rain too.

The good news is,… warmer water is on its way down the coast and is getting closer to us. Might even be a bit warmer for the long weekend.

Surf’s been a bit all over the place and none too exciting except for brief moments of fun, depending on tides and winds.  Barton’s Kidssurffest has had challenging conditions, but that’s what its all about.  He and I are as one>>> What it’s all about is having fun in the surf, whatever you’re on, however you can.

So the outlook for fun, is

Friday: somewhere in the lower end of the 1-2 metre range at places that like dead South swell, only, with maybe a little pulse from time to time, and light offshore

Saturday: small early, up a little later, low end of the 1-2 metre range dead South spots with occasional sets, and offshore

Sunday: up a little bit, in the 1-2 metre rnage dead South places, and ditto, but onshore

Monday: back down around 1-1+ metres dead South places, with an occasional set, and light winds

Tuesday: 1 metre or so dead South

Wednesday: around 1 metre or so East

Thursday: starting to come up into the 1-2 metre range dead South places

 

Up in the Sky

MSLP Analysis for Thu Sep 28 06:00:00 2017 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Sep 28 06:30:00 2017

Wind

https://www.windy.com/?-33.883,151.217,5

 

Down in the Sea

Water temp is…?? MHL is having probs. Chloe and Jas’ Big Toe in the Water measurement today said it was “Freezing”.  But the good news for those like me who want warmer water is that the Bureau is showing that water around 20 degrees is on its way and could be here over the weekend.

Current-ly (hoho, get it?? I crack myself up) it’s just north of Sydney, swirling down with the East Coast Current, which is carrying whales, great white sharks, and all manner of things wanted and unwanted along with it.  Keep your eye out for a $50 bill… I ‘might have’ lost one up the coast… Let me know if you find one.

image

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2017-2018.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Clear.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Clear. Winds westerly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 2:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Friday 29 September

Summary
Min 13
Max 26
Sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming westerly 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening.

Fire Danger – Very High

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 2:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

 

Saturday 30 September

Summary
Min 14
Max 24
Mostly sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds west to northwesterly 20 to 30 km/h turning southwesterly 25 to 40 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 2:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Sunday 1 October

Summary
Min 11
Max 23
Sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming east to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:40 am to 3:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Monday 2 October

Summary
Min 12
Max 23
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds.

Tuesday 3 October

Summary
Min 15
Max 25
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 4 October

Summary
Min 16
Max 22
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. Winds south to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h.

Thursday 5 October

Summary
Min 15
Max 22
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. Light winds.


Goat’s over-the-horizon edition

Posted on September 22nd, 2017 in Goat's Forecast.

(The Goat’s on the road, but he’s pulled over and examined the entrails for our surf prospects from afar)
TGs Surf Forecast
Surf forecast issued Thursday 21 September 2017. Seven day outlook for Sydney.

Warm weekend ahead, then a bit if a cooler change for the start of the NSW school holidays. Qld kids have been on hols for a week already.

And, I believe it’s the start of SLSA Patrols. So please, stay in the flags if you’re swimming / bodysurfing and stay outside the buffer zone flags if you’re on a hard board. That way less experienced, younger, and older people can safely get wet, and everyone has fun.

Friday: smaller than today, say lower end of the 1-2 metre range East North East

Saturday: 1 metre or less Eastish

Sunday: 1 metre or so North East

Monday: 1 metre or less North East

Tuesday: ditto

Wednesday: 1 metre or so due South places

Thursday: ditto

Water temp is around 18 or so.

Weather is here

http://www.bom.gov.au/nsw/forecasts/sydney.shtml


Surf forecast Thursday pm 14 Sept 2017

Posted on September 15th, 2017 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 14 September 2017

Seven day outlook for Sydney
Currently on the Sunshine Coast, where the surf’s no better than Sydney, but it’s a bit warmer in the air and in the water ☺
Just a quickie…
Westerlies a blowing it flat, then maybe it’ll come up a little, then it looks like going down through the week.
Friday: 1 metre or less at dead South places
Saturday: ummm…ditto
Sunday: gradually coming up in the 1-2 metre range at dead South places
Monday: around 2-2+ metres dead South
Tuesday: in the 1-2 metre range South East
Wednesday: going down in the 1-2 metre range dead South
Thursday: 1 metre or less dead South.
Water temp down there 18..
Up here 21, but the surf outlook is not looking flash. Never mind…  plenty of fun things to do.
Stay warm.
TG
Weather from the Bureau:

TG’s Surf Forecast from afar

Posted on September 7th, 2017 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 7 September 2017: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

In recent weeks he’s been to the Far North Coast, Sydney, Central Oz, Sydney, and now the Far North Coast again…different time zones, weather zones, temperature zones, air pressure zones, speed zones…

How does TG’s body manage to hold up??? Well the short answer is: he’s not made of plastic, so he doesn’t break to bits. And neither does his crystal ball, which is telling him there seems to be some swell starting to arrive down in Sydney from dead South just now.

Tomorrow it might look like it’s not going to happen, and it might even seem to be easing back.

But it should be up on Saturday and Sunday/Monday at places open to dead South swell, before easing back after that..

There might even be some waves up here… 🙂

Friday: in the 1-2 metre range at dead South places, with some sets

Saturday: coming up around 2-3 metres dead South, with sets the might get into protected corners

Sunday: in the 2-3 metre range dead South, with sets and ditto

Monday: say around 2 metres or so South South East, with sets and ditto

Tuesday: going down in the 1-2 metre range dead South

Wednesday: around 1 metre or so South East

Thursday: ditto

Have fun!

TG

In the Sky

MSLP Analysis for Thu Sep 7 06:00:00 2017 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Sep 7 07:30:00 2017

Wind is here

https://www.windy.com/?-33.834,151.146,5

In the Sea

Water temp in Sydney is around 18-19; in Byron around 22, which is more acceptable.

image

Tide is here

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2016-2017.pdf

 

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Clear.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Clear. Winds westerly 25 to 35 km/h decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:50 am to 2:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 5 [Moderate]

Friday 8 September

Summary
Min 10
Max 21
Mostly sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds westerly 15 to 25 km/h tending west to southwesterly 25 to 40 km/h in the morning.

Fire Danger – High

Sun protection recommended from 9:50 am to 2:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

 

Saturday 9 September

Summary
Min 8
Max 20
Sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds southwesterly 25 to 35 km/h tending southeast to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:40 am to 2:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 5 [Moderate]

Sunday 10 September

Summary
Min 8
Max 19
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 2:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 6 [High]

Monday 11 September

Summary
Min 9
Max 23
Sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds.

Tuesday 12 September

Summary
Min 12
Max 28
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds north to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h tending west to northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 13 September

Summary
Min 15
Max 29
Sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning westerly 20 to 30 km/h during the day.

Thursday 14 September

Summary
Min 9
Max 18
Mostly sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds westerly 25 to 35 km/h.


TG’s Surf Forecast

Posted on August 24th, 2017 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 24 August 2017: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Fairly consistent weather outlook for the week ahead… showers, cool air, and mostly Southerly type winds to make it feel even cooler and to set the scene for an up and down week surfwise. It’s coming up today, currently in the 1.7-3.6 metre range offshore SSE being pushed along by the strong Southerly~~~~~~

Friday: 2-3 metres at dead South places, windblown

Saturday: down a bit, say in the 1-2 metre range going down dead South spots

Sunday: around 1 metre but with occasional long period sets dead South

Monday: coming up.. 2-3 metres dead South places

Tuesday: easing back through  2-3 metres through the day dead South

Wednesday: 1-2 metre range dead South

Thursday: 1-2 metre range South East.

Stay Cool. Stay Warm.

Up in the Sky

MSLP Analysis for Thu Aug 24 00:00:00 2017 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Aug 24 04:30:00 2017

Winds

https://www.windy.com/?-33.917,151.200,5

Down in the Sea

Water temp is 17-18 which is cool in my book, and I don’t mean Cool.

image

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2016-2017.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Max 17
Shower or two. Windy.
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers developing in the afternoon along the coastal fringe, medium (50%) chance elsewhere. Winds southerly 25 to 40 km/h turning southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 10:20 am to 2:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis IconLocationMinMax
Shower or two. Windy.Sydney17
Possible shower.Penrith18
Possible shower.Liverpool18
Shower or two.Terrey Hills15
Possible shower.Richmond18
Possible shower.Parramatta17
Possible shower.Campbelltown18
Shower or two. Windy.Bondi16

 

Friday 25 August

Summary
Min 10
Max 18
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers along the coastal fringe, slight (20%) chance elsewhere. Winds southwesterly 25 to 35 km/h tending southerly in the morning then becoming light in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 10:10 am to 2:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

Saturday 26 August

Summary
Min 8
Max 19
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Areas of morning frost in the outer west. Slight (20%) chance of a shower along the coastal fringe, near zero chance elsewhere. Light winds becoming east to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day then becoming light during the afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 10:00 am to 2:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 5 [Moderate]

Sunday 27 August

Summary
Min 9
Max 19
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 5 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day then tending south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 10:00 am to 2:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

Monday 28 August

Summary
Min 10
Max 17
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 5 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. Winds southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning south to southeasterly during the day.

Tuesday 29 August

Summary
Min 10
Max 18
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 4 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. Light winds.

Wednesday 30 August

Summary
Min 10
Max 19
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, most likely later in the day. Light winds becoming southeast to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.


TG’s Surf Forecast

Posted on August 17th, 2017 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 17 August 2017: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

The weekend looks like being pretty wild and wooly, if a Low does what it’s expected to do off the south coast.  Surf will be up but should be only for the fit and experienced, if it’s rideable at all with a lot of wind behind it for most of the time. Otherwise, everyone else can stay out of the water and do something else till early in the week when it should be more manageable.

Friday: Slow and smallish for most of tomorrow daytime, but starting to build later in the evening/ night at places that get dead South swell

Saturday: Up into the 3-4 metre region dead South, with enough of a period to see waves at eg DY Point and The Bower, but with windy Southerly type winds and cool air temps

Sunday: Let’s call it 4-5 metres early on, easing back to say 3-4 metres later, and with those windy S type winds and cool air temps continuing

Monday: 3-4 metres South East early on, with NW winds knocking it down slowly to 2-3 metres later

Tuesday: Easing back through the 1-2 metre range dead South with occasional SE sets

Wednesday: Around 1 metre or so South East

Thursday: Around 1 metre dead South.

Vale Steve Parkes. Rest in peace.

TG.

In the Sky

MSLP Analysis for Thu Aug 17 00:00:00 2017 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Aug 17 06:30:00 2017

Winds

Oh, how they’ll blow>>>

https://www.windy.com/?-33.861,151.198,5

In the Sea

Water temp is currently 18, but should warm up a bit as the southerly swell comes through.

image

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2016-2017.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Windy. Clear.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Clear. Winds westerly 25 to 35 km/h decreasing to 15 to 25 km/h in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 10:20 am to 2:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

Friday 18 August

Summary
Min 12
Max 16
Windy. Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds westerly 35 to 50 km/h.

Large and powerful surf conditions in the afternoon and evening are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing.

Sun protection recommended from 10:30 am to 1:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

 

Saturday 19 August

Summary
Min 9
Max 16
Windy. Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower along the coastal fringe, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds southwesterly 25 to 40 km/h turning southerly 30 to 45 km/h in the middle of the day then tending south to southwesterly 20 to 30 km/h in the evening.

Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing.

Sun protection recommended from 11:10 am to 1:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Sunday 20 August

Summary
Min 7
Max 18
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Areas of morning frost in the outer west. Winds southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h turning south to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the morning then becoming light during the afternoon.

Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing.

Sun protection recommended from 10:30 am to 1:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

Monday 21 August

Summary
Min 9
Max 19
Cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Light winds becoming northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 22 August

Summary
Min 10
Max 21
Sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming west to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 23 August

Summary
Min 9
Max 20
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Winds westerly 15 to 20 km/h.

Thursday 24 August

Summary
Min 8
Max 20
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds.


TG’s Surf Forecast from Afar

Posted on August 10th, 2017 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 10 August 2017: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

From the wilds of Mullumbimby on the Far North Coast where TG has his long range over the horizon binoculars out, to see what’s coming your way and his…

Managed to jag a little wave at Byron yesterday before the swell started to fade up here. Water is quite cool here at around 19, which is little different to Sydney.

The weather looks like being High on Highs over coming days, warm and N NW winds up to Wednesday when it’ll be Hot.  Similar up here on the coast, but ever so slightly inland it’s much hotter…around 27 in Mullum town centre today, but cool overnight with early mornings of around 2 with an apparent temp of say zero.

Surf prospects down there over coming days look a little better than up here, but hey a change is as good as a holiday, and TG is having a change of scene and a holiday.

Sydney:

Friday: a slight and brief uptick from today, in the lower regions of the 1-2 metre range as the swell direction turns more South East

Saturday: down to around 1 metre or so at dead South spots

Sunday: similar

Monday: up a little into the 1-2 metre range at dead South places

Tuesday: ditto

Wednesday: down the around 1 metre or so South East

Thursday: 1 metre or less at dead South spots.

Up here:

Similar but pretty much dead South swell which will take it straight past the points that I like. Doesn’t matter.

In the Sky

MSLP Analysis for Thu Aug 10 00:00:00 2017 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Aug 10 04:30:00 2017

In the Sea

Water temp in Sydney is around 19, and similar at Byron…Warmer water off the coast just needs to swirl in.

image

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Max 24
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny, just some high cloud at times. Winds north to northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 10:30 am to 1:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis IconLocationMinMax
Mostly sunny.Sydney24
Mostly sunny.Penrith24
Mostly sunny.Liverpool24
Mostly sunny.Terrey Hills22
Mostly sunny.Richmond24
Mostly sunny.Parramatta24
Mostly sunny.Campbelltown24
Mostly sunny.Bondi23

 

Friday 11 August

Summary
Min 14
Max 23
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds northerly 15 to 20 km/h turning westerly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning.

Sun protection recommended from 10:50 am to 1:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Saturday 12 August

Summary
Min 9
Max 21
Sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds westerly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 11:00 am to 1:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Sunday 13 August

Summary
Min 10
Max 21
Mostly sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 10:50 am to 1:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Monday 14 August

Summary
Min 10
Max 24
Mostly sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds.

Tuesday 15 August

Summary
Min 12
Max 24
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming northerly 15 to 20 km/h later.

Wednesday 16 August

Summary
Min 17
Max 28
Sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds northerly 15 to 20 km/h turning northwesterly during the morning.


 

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