Posts in Goat’s Forecast

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on July 19th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.
The Goat’s Surf Forecast
Surf forecast issued Friday 19 July 2109: Seven day outlook for Sydney:
After whipping itself into a frenzy for most of the week, the ocean is about to have a little rest.
Very small through to about Thursday when there might be a little and brief uptick at south facing beaches, but then small again.
Saturday: down considerably from Friday, but still rideable on a longboard, say about 1 metre or so at places open to the South
Sunday: about 1 metre or less at South facing beaches
Monday: 1 metre or less South East
Tuesday: ditto East South East
Wednesday: ditto due South
Thursday: up a little at south facing beaches, maybe 1-1+ metres
Friday:about 1 metre or so due South
Have a good one
TG
Up in the Air
MSLP Analysis for Fri Jul 19 00:00:00 2019 AUTC
Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Fri Jul 19 05:30:00 2019
Winds
Down in the Sea
Water temp is around 18-19
image
Tides
Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Friday

Summary
Max 20
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds west to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h tending south to southeasterly 10 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 11:10 am to 12:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis IconLocationMinMax
Sunny.Sydney20
Sunny.Penrith20
Sunny.Liverpool20
Sunny.Terrey Hills18
Sunny.Richmond20
Sunny.Parramatta20
Sunny.Campbelltown20
Sunny.Bondi18

Saturday 20 July

Summary
Min 7
Max 19
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Areas of morning frost in the west. Light winds becoming northerly 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 11:10 am to 12:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Sunday 21 July

Summary
Min 8
Max 22
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Sun protection recommended from 11:20 am to 12:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Monday 22 July

Summary
Min 9
Max 21
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Tuesday 23 July

Summary
Min 10
Max 23
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 24 July

Summary
Min 11
Max 19
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds westerly 15 to 25 km/h turning southwesterly during the morning.

Thursday 25 July

Summary
Min 8
Max 19
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on July 11th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

Saturday Surf Report

Hey Don – Simon ran out of time to talk this morning on 702! First time that’s happened.

Anyway everyone – here’s the Saturday surf report 🙂 >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

It’s flat as a tack..barely a ripple.

Some blue sky and occasional bright sunshine breaking through the clouds… couple of drops of water.

Wind is West at  around 50kph and while the air temp is 12 the wind chill is keeping the apparent temp down to 2!

Flat, cold, windy… back to bed!

The last few days have been really pretty to look at – blue skies, nice lines on the ocean suggesting swell, but the waves have been a bit deceptive at times – they’ve looked like they’ll break, but don’t. Or they look like you need to take a couple of extra paddles to make sure you’re on, but next thing you’ve fallen over the front of the board down the wave…unless you’re young, fit and agile and you can handle anything, and you don’t have to worry about the wind blowing your wig off.  It has been a bit windy!

The banks are pretty straight across a lot of beaches at the moment so that doesn’t create much of a rideable wave at low or high tide. This has meant frustration, so a lot of people simply haven’t bothered to go in the water, despite it being school holidays.

Today  the Bureau of Meteorology’s Sydney Coastal Waters Forecast has a Gale warning (NW/W/SW), with Seas of 2 to 3 metres, Swell Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres by early evening.

But the Gale force NW/W/SW wind looks like keeping the bigger swell out of the coast, and the due South swell direction means it will go straight past Sydney. The later South West direction will push it out into the Tasman… so I’m expecting the surf to stay flat or less than 1 metre

But there are always other things you can do at the beach on a sunny day if you want to burn off some energy, like take a run or a brisk walk or a paddle in the breeze or a swim… And the BoM says, despite the sunny day, “Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]”… Isn’t that interesting.

If you just want a surf, you might want to stay in bed and plan something else today.

For tomorrow, the BoM forecast is for “Seas of 2 to 3 metres. Swell Southerly 2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening. “
Hmm…TG thinks most of that will stay offshore.
Depending on the battle between the wind and the swell, the surf on Sunday might start to come up into the 1-2 metre range at places open to due South, … some might even get into protected spots… but my guess is the wind is more likely to push it back.

For the week ahead…

Westerly type winds are expected all through the week….

Westerlies initially flatten the surf on the East Coast, until swell that has built up coming over many thousands of kilometres across the Great Australian Bight and the southern ocean refracts to the left around Victoria, and starts either coming up the NSW coast, or heads off in a south westerly direction into the Tasman.

It’s always hard to say but it looks like the alternating W/NW/SW winds across the country will push most of the bigger swell out into the Tasman, or it will go right on up the coast past Sydney … which is fine for the average punter, as there’ll be fun leftover surf from that.

So, while it will be big offshore, right in close to the coast the South swell should be more moderately sized.

It might start to come up possibly Sunday or more likely Monday, and that should last all week.

And with the expected offshore winds there should be some fun times ahead for surfers…depending on the banks… and we’re not talking about the Big 4.

Monday: say in the 1-2 metre range at dead South spots, but there’ll be a lot of SW in the swell; despite the reasonable wave period there’ll be a battle between the wave pulse and the wind, with the wind most likely keeping the swell down

Tuesday:  bigger, southerly swell with a period bigger than 10 seconds could see surf around maybe 2 or 2+ metres at places open to the South, and some getting into other beaches

Wednesday: easing back in the upper 1-2 metre range, still due South

Thursday: down a little in the 1-2 metre range, as the direction turns more South West

Friday: up again 2-3 metres at due South places.

A couple of wind chill days ahead, so stay warm.  Water’s pleasant enough at around 18-19.

TG

 

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 11 July 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Last few days have been really pretty to look at, though waves have been a bit deceptive – look like they’ll break but don’t …look like you need to take a couple of extra strokes, but you’re falling off the front…unless you’re young fit and agile and you handle anything, and you don’t have to worry about the wind blowing your wig off.  The banks are pretty straight at a lot of beaches and could do with some improvement.

Westerly type winds are expected all through next week. Westerlies initially flatten the surf on the East coast, until swell coming across the Great Australian Bight refracts left around Victoria, and comes either up the coast or heads off in a south westerly direction into the Tasman, depending on the wind pushing it along.

It looks to TG that the alternating W/NW/SW winds will push most of the bigger stuff out into the Tasman or it will go right on up the coast past Sydney, which is fine for the average punter.

So big offshore, but right in close to the coast some moderately sized South swell should start to come up from possibly Sunday or more likely Monday, that should last all week. And with the  expected offshore winds there should be some fun times ahead…depending on the banks.

Friday: less than 1 metre or flat

Saturday: less than 1 metre or flat

Sunday: could start to come up into the 1-2 metre range at places open to due South; some might get into protected spots but my guess is the wind is more likely to push it back

Monday: say in the 1-2 metre range at dead South spots, but there’ll be a lot of SW in the swell; despite the reasonable wave period there’ll be a battle between the wave pulse and the wind, most likely keeping it down

Tuesday:  bigger more southerly swell with a pulse could see it around maybe 2 or 2+ metres at places open to the South, with more getting into other places

Wednesday: easing back in the upper 1-2 metre range still due South

Thursday: down a little in the 1-2 metre range as the direction turns more South West

Friday: up again 2-3 metres at due South places.

A couple of wind chill days ahead too so stay warm.  Water’s pleasant enough.

Stay safe

TG

————-~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Up in the Air

Blue skies and more blue skies

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Jul 11 06:30:00 2019

Lots of lines close together from the West ————What can it mean…??

MSLP Analysis for Thu Jul 11 00:00:00 2019 AUTC

You’ve got

Wind

blowing offshore >>>> and lots of it

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8

Down in the Sea

Water temp

The MHL Sydney buoy temperature reader is off the air at the moment, but the last recording was 19.5 on 8 July, and I’d say from the feel of it, it’s about that.

image

Tides

^v^v^v^v

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2019-2020.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Clear.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Clear. Winds west to northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h tending north to northwesterly in the evening.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Friday 12 July

Summary
Min 10
Max 21
Becoming windy. Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds north to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming northwesterly 25 to 40 km/h in the morning.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Saturday 13 July

Summary
Min 10
Max 16
Windy. Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Slight (20%) chance of a shower in the outer west. Winds northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h tending westerly 25 to 40 km/h early in the morning then increasing to 35 to 55 km/h in the morning.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Sunday 14 July

Summary
Min 7
Max 16
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds westerly 15 to 25 km/h turning northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the evening.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Monday 15 July

Summary
Min 8
Max 18
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning west to southwesterly 25 to 35 km/h during the morning then decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon.

Tuesday 16 July

Summary
Min 9
Max 20
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds westerly 15 to 20 km/h turning southwesterly during the morning.

Wednesday 17 July

Summary
Min 7
Max 18
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming westerly 15 to 20 km/h later.

Thursday 18 July

Summary
Min 9
Max 19
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds westerly 15 to 20 km/h.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on July 5th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Friday 5 July 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

The solid Easterly swell that’s been around all week was still pushing in at some places, although was getting somewhat smaller …
The onshore wind of the last couple of days looks like continuing for a little while yet, .so surf quality might be messy and bumpy.
However it might not be too bad early on  if there’s a light offshore early on before the onshore starts up again.
But whatever the quality,  with the school holidays just starting, you can bet there’ll be lots of energetic kids and desperate people out there taking advantage of whatever wave there is available…
The Easterly swell and surf should continue over the weekend then get smaller until about Wednesday when a new southerly swell should start to come up at places open to due South.  Thursday it looks like being around head high and more East South East so will get into more places but size should diminish somewhat by Friday.
Saturday:  should be in the 1-2 metre range from the East… still with some sets at the upper end of the range

Sunday: should be going down more, say around 1.5 metres from the East, but still with sets
Monday: 1-2 metre range going down to around 1 1+ metres East
Tuesday: around 1 metre East
Wednesday:coming up at dead south places in the 1-2 metre range
Thursday: in the 1-2 metre range East South East with sets
Friday: around 1ish metres.
Have fun
TG

Up in the Air

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Fri Jul  5 06:30:00 2019

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8

Down in the Sea

image

Water Temp is around 19

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2019-2020.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Friday

Summary
A few showers.
Chance of any rain: 90% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of showers. Winds easterly 15 to 20 km/h.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Saturday 6 July

Summary
Min 12
Max 20
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Sunday 7 July

Summary
Min 11
Max 19
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. The chance of morning fog in the west. Medium (50%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Monday 8 July

Summary
Min 11
Max 18
Shower or two clearing.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers in the morning and afternoon, then clearing. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Tuesday 9 July

Summary
Min 9
Max 19
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds.

Wednesday 10 July

Summary
Min 6
Max 18
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds.

Thursday 11 July

Summary
Min 9
Max 18
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds north to northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h tending west to northwesterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day.

Friday 12 July

Summary
Min 7
Max 19
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming north to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the morning.


Tge Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on June 28th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.
​Surf forecast issued Friday 28 June 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:
The Goat is in Dorrigo! frolicking around the hills and hasn’t seen the surf for a week after travelling round the bush (very dry west of the Great Divide ) but he’s got his people in Sydney to keep him in touch with what’s happening surfwise…and of course his long range over the horizon binoculars.
😁
Tomorrow looks like it
1. should be a nice day weatherwise
2. could be a nice day for a surf.  Even though it was small today (so I’ve been told,) it looks to me like it could be in the 1-2 metre range tomorrow from East North East.
There’s some Easterly swell on its way which should make for waves all through the week
Sunday 1-2 metre range ENE, sets could have a little power behind them
Monday up a bit around 2ish metres
East
Tuesday1-2 metres ENE
Wednesday 1-2 metre rangeEastish
Thursday and Friday coming up from the East South East could be 2 2+ metres but withsoutherly wind
Water temp is around 19.
Have Fun
TG
Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Friday

Summary
Mostly clear.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly clear. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Saturday 29 June

Summary
Min 10
Max 21
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Fog in the morning, mainly in the west. Light winds becoming northerly 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Sunday 30 June

Summary
Min 13
Max 19
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds northerly 15 to 25 km/h turning west to southwesterly 20 to 30 km/h in the morning.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Monday 1 July

Summary
Min 7
Max 17
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Areas of morning frost in the west. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Tuesday 2 July

Summary
Min 7
Max 18
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds.

Wednesday 3 July

Summary
Min 8
Max 19
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Thursday 4 July

Summary
Min 12
Max 18
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 5 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. Winds southerly 15 to 20 km/h.

Friday 5 July

Summary
Min 12
Max 18
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 5 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. Light winds


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on June 20th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 20 June 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Lumpy, bumpy, windblown waves and cold air do not make me want to go for a surf… So this week I haven’t. Yes there were times when the waves looked ok if you were young and fit, or silly, and the water temp is still ok (for the moment), but ’twas not for me. So I did other things.

This week I’ll be doing more ‘other things’ and you might want to do that on several days too (unless you’re a Hell Man), with colder air, bigger waves (at South spots) and wind to go with them… but conditions might get a little more civilised at some places  later in the week>>>

Friday:: around 2 ish metres at places open to dead South swell; some smaller waves might possibly get into protected corners, maybe

Saturday: up a bit say in the 2-3 metre range dead South; some smaller waves might get into protected corners

Sunday: ditto and should get into protected corners

Monday: ditto, and ditto for sets

Tuesday: around say 2 metres at dead South places, some into corners

Wednesday: easing back into the 1-2 metre range at places open to dead South; some little ones might get around the corner

Thursday: around 1 metre or so South East

Friday: ditto East South East.

Stay warm, stay cool, stay safe.

TG

Up in the Air

MSLP Analysis for Thu Jun 20 06:00:00 2019 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Jun 20 06:30:00 2019

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8

Down in the Sea

Water temp is currently just under 21 but it should start to get cooler soon by the looks of this>>>

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Max 17
Possible late shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny morning. Cloud increasing in the afternoon. Partly cloudy. Medium chance (40%) of a late afternoon or evening shower in the east, slight (20%) chance in the west. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis IconLocationMinMax
Possible late shower.Sydney17
Partly cloudy.Penrith16
Partly cloudy.Liverpool16
Partly cloudy.Terrey Hills15
Partly cloudy.Richmond16
Partly cloudy.Parramatta16
Partly cloudy.Campbelltown16
Possible late shower.Bondi16

Friday 21 June

Summary
Min 7
Max 16
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Saturday 22 June

Summary
Min 9
Max 17
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 4 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers along the coastal fringe, medium (40%) chance elsewhere. Winds southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Sunday 23 June

Summary
Min 9
Max 16
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 10 to 20 mm
Chance of any rain: 90% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm along the coastal fringe in the afternoon. Winds southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h tending southerly during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Monday 24 June

Summary
Min 11
Max 18
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 5 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. Light winds.

Tuesday 25 June

Summary
Min 10
Max 17
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 5 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Light winds.

Wednesday 26 June

Summary
Min 10
Max 19
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Light winds.

 


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on June 13th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 13 June 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Look let’s keep it simple..no sugar coating.. no gloss…no waves.

Oh maybe some little ones from time to time but basically flattish or small most of the week

Friday: 1 metre or less dead South

Saturday: less than 1 metre mostly but maybe a little mal-rideable pulse from time to time at places open to dead South

Sunday: ditto

Monday: 1 metre or less dead South

Tuesday: 1 metre or so South East

Wednesday: 1 metre or so East

Thursday: ditto at dead South places

Or maybe might be different Mon or Tues depending on development of a currently expected to be not too intense Low

Have a good one.

TG

Up in the Sky

Clear, clear across the country… country. Was that an echo…..

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Jun 13 09:30:00 2019

 

MSLP Analysis for Thu Jun 13 06:00:00 2019 AUTC

 

 

Winds

/www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 21… nice for a swim.

Warm water is still being pushed south near the coast by the currents>>>

image

 

Tides

 

 

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Mostly clear.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly clear. West to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Friday 14 June

Summary
Min 10
Max 20
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of an afternoon shower along the coast. Winds westerly 15 to 25 km/h turning southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h in the late morning.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Saturday 15 June

Summary
Min 9
Max 20
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Slight (20%) chance of a shower along the coast. Winds westerly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Sunday 16 June

Summary
Min 11
Max 19
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Monday 17 June

Summary
Min 11
Max 19
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 5 to 20 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming west to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the morning then tending south to southwesterly during the day.

Tuesday 18 June

Summary
Min 11
Max 20
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds.

Wednesday 19 June

Summary
Min 10
Max 17
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Winds westerly 15 to 20 km/h turning southwesterly during the morning.

Thursday 20 June

Summary
Min 9
Max 17
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Winds southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on June 6th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast, http://twitter.com/mr_realsurf/status/634181678185889792.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast issued Thursday 6 June 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Wave size is declining somewhat though there were still some hefty ones around today.

Although it will be going down gradually there looks like being a distinct pulse through the week from time to time from the South…left overs as a result of the length of fetch of waves pushed along by the steady winds of that great big High in the pic… (some sizable swell appears to have even made it all the way up to FNQ and New Guinea)

Friday: around 2-3 metres at places that take dead South swell, maybe more with sets

Saturday: around 2, 2+ metres dead South, with sets

Sunday: down around 1, 1+ metres dead South but maybe some sets

Monday: Only 1ish metre or so but a little pulse continuing from the South

Tuesday: around 1ish metre but there could still be a little power in the waves

Wednesday: ditto

Thursday: around 1 metre or so North East.

Have a good one.

TG.

Up in the Air

MSLP Analysis for Thu Jun  6 06:00:00 2019 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Jun  6 07:30:00 2019

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8,i:pressure,m:cIJaknc

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 21

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly clear. Winds southerly 15 to 25 km/h turning west to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h in the evening.

Large and powerful surf conditions in the evening are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Friday 7 June

Summary
Min 12
Max 20
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Patchy morning fog in the outer west. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Winds southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the morning.

Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

 

Saturday 8 June

Summary
Min 11
Max 19
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower along the coastal fringe. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Sunday 9 June

Summary
Min 11
Max 22
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Monday 10 June

Summary
Min 11
Max 23
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 11 June

Summary
Min 13
Max 24
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming westerly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 12 June

Summary
Min 11
Max 23
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds.

Thursday 13 June

Summary
Min 14
Max 24
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.2 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower, most likely during the morning. Winds northerly 15 to 25 km/h turning westerly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

 

 

 

 


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on May 30th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast issued Thursday 30 May 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Winter has arrived ahead of the calendar.  If you thought it was cold this morning, it was.

The temp at 7am this morning was around 8 or 9, but the apparent temp from the windchill meant it really felt like 1.7.

But it’s an ill wind that brings no one some good, and by this arvo there was an uptick in the swell offshore to around 2-3 metres, at 6-just under 10 seconds.

But the swell direction was spot on the 180 degree line on the chart and except for places that can drag in some of that swell, most was going right on past up the coast. Around dark there were people in the water catching waves… people with no physical feelings I think…

More south swell coming but for most of the time it will be due south, but there’ll also be an uptick in period so more will be getting ashore.

Friday: coming up in the 1-2 metre range at dead South places

Saturday:around 2 maybe 2 and a bit metres South swell

Sunday: around 2, 2+ metres South swell

Monday: easing back in the 1-2 metre range dead South spots. then..

Tuesday: coming up again, bigger, maybe around 3-4 metres dead South

Wednesday: around 3 metres dead South

Thursday: easing back into the 1-2 metre range dead South

Stay warm!

TG

Up in the Air

Have a go at this…

Those lines on the map coming up our way from the direction of Antarctica are what’s making the air feel cold.

MSLP Analysis for Thu May 30 00:00:00 2019 AUTC

And there’s clear sky everywhere…

I’d guess there’ll be a few four or five dog nights coming up out back ‘o beyond the black stump.

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu May 30 06:30:00 2019

Winds??  Yep…

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8

Down in the Sea

Water temp is still around 21-22 off Sydney, but is down to 16 at Eden. 

You might want to start dusting off the heavy duty rubber for later on if you’re that keen. 

image

 

Tides

 

Weather from the Bureau:


TG’s Surf Forecast

Posted on May 23rd, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

TG’s Surf Forecast issued Thursday 23 May 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Well some sets last week were pushing in from a long way out – I know cause they were dropping on my head.

I hope you got a wave, because it’ll be a mixed bag this week!

Friday: around 1 metre or so East

Saturday: around 1 metre or less North East

Sunday: ditto.. maybe a little bigger sets

Monday: getting flattish

Tuesday: coming up during the day into the 1-2 metre range at dead South places, lot of SW in it but sets possibly getting in to protected corners with, then going down

Wednesday: down again towards flatness

Thursday: Pretty flattish.

TG

Up in the Sky

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu May 23 10:30:00 2019

MSLP Analysis for Thu May 23 06:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/?-34.050,150.833,5

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 23

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Mostly clear.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly clear. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 11:00 am to 12:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Friday 24 May

Summary
Min 13
Max 24
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

The chance of fog in the early morning, mainly in the west. Sunny day. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 11:10 am to 12:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Saturday 25 May

Summary
Min 14
Max 26
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 11:00 am to 12:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Sunday 26 May

Summary
Min 15
Max 24
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming west to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the morning.

Sun protection recommended from 11:20 am to 12:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Monday 27 May

Summary
Min 13
Max 20
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h tending westerly 20 to 30 km/h during the morning.

Tuesday 28 May

Summary
Min 10
Max 21
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds westerly 15 to 20 km/h turning northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 29 May

Summary
Min 13
Max 19
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning westerly 20 to 30 km/h during the morning.

Thursday 30 May

Summary
Min 8
Max 18
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds westerly 15 to 25 km/h turning southwesterly 20 to 30 km/h during the morning.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on May 16th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 16 May 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Fabulous weather, fabulous water, and what can you say about the waves??

Sometimes they’ve been ok… sometimes not.

The outlook for the week ahead is for mostly more good weather… and mostly more not so good waves.

But who knows… with mostly light winds expected, you might be able to catch a wave at the right tide, right place with the right board…

Let’s keep it simple:

Friday through Wednesday: 1 metre or less at places open to dead South; flat elsewhere

And then Thursday: smaller still! maybe just flat.

Good Luck!  And just chillax.

TG

Up in the Air

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu May 16 06:30:00 2019

MSLP Analysis for Thu May 16 00:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8

Down in the Sea

Water temp is a balmy 22.

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Clear.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Clear. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 10:40 am to 1:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Friday 17 May

Summary
Min 12
Max 23
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Sunny. The chance of morning fog, mainly in the west. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 10:40 am to 1:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Saturday 18 May

Summary
Min 13
Max 23
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Sunny. The chance of morning fog, mainly in the west. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 10:40 am to 1:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Sunday 19 May

Summary
Min 13
Max 22
Mostly sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 10:50 am to 12:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Monday 20 May

Summary
Min 13
Max 24
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds.

Tuesday 21 May

Summary
Min 14
Max 26
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds.

Wednesday 22 May

Summary
Min 14
Max 25
Mostly sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny morning. Slight (30%) chance of a shower later in the day. Light winds.

Thursday 23 May

Summary
Min 16
Max 23
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds.

The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:45 am EST Friday.


 

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