Posts in Goat’s Forecast

TG’s Quick Forecast

Posted on December 12th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 12 December 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Just a quick one..

Pretty small for the coming week, but at least the air looks like being clear for most days.

Waves mostly at South facing spots, if there’s a wave. But who knows… there could be a little wave from time to time if you’re lucky.

Friday: up briefly in the morning at Places open to the South, maybe 1 metre or so, but then down later

Saturday: 1 metre or less at dead South spots, nothing elsewhere

Sunday: ditto South

Monday: maybe around 1 metre South East

Tuesday: 1 metre or less dead South

Wednesday: less than 1 metre East

Thursday: 1 metre or less North East

Keep smiling

TG

Up in the Air

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Dec 12 09:30:00 2019

MSLP Analysis for Thu Dec 12 06:00:00 2019 AUTC

Down in the Sea

Water temp around 21

image

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Possible smoke haze in the west. Winds southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 4:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Friday 13 December

Summary
Min 18
Max 23
Cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower in the morning and early afternoon. Possible smoke haze in the west. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the evening.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 4:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Cloudy. Sydney 18 23
Possible smoke haze. Penrith 15 26
Cloudy. Liverpool 15 23
Cloudy. Terrey Hills 16 21
Possible smoke haze. Richmond 15 25
Cloudy. Parramatta 15 23
Cloudy. Campbelltown 13 23
Cloudy. Bondi 18 20

Saturday 14 December

Summary
Min 18
Max 26
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower along the coastal fringe, near zero chance elsewhere. Possible smoke haze in the west. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 4:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Sunday 15 December

Summary
Min 19
Max 30
Smoke.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Areas of smoke haze. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 4:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Monday 16 December

Summary
Min 20
Max 26
Smoke haze.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Areas of smoke haze. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the morning then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 17 December

Summary
Min 18
Max 25
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 18 December

Summary
Min 18
Max 30
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Hot and sunny. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h increasing to 30 km/h before shifting southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h later.

Thursday 19 December

Summary
Min 19
Max 32
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Hot and mostly sunny. Winds northwest to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h tending east to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day


The Goats Surf Forecast

Posted on December 5th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goats Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 5 December 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Lots of wind changes ahead according to the BoM forecast below.

That will keep surf levels down and blow smoke back in your face that you thought had gone away… Personally Im limiting my outdoor exercise to times when the smoke isnt around.

But at least youll be able to get in the surf… Its only a few years back that it was unhealthy to go in the surf because of the murky runoff from the Hawkesbury after torrential rains!…

https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/warragamba-dam-set-to-spill-on-monday-as-heavy-rain-falls-on-sydney-20160619-gpmomm.html

There should be some fun waves around from time to time, at the right place, right tide, right wind, right board, for the right rider!

The surf outlook in short..

Friday: around 1 metre or less at places exposed to dead South

Saturday:  around 1 metre or maybe a fraction more on sets at dead South spots

Sunday: ditto

Monday: ditto

Tuesday: ditto North East

Wednesday: ditto East

Thursday: ditto dead South

Stay healthy. Have Fun!

TG

https://mobile.abc.net.au/news/2019-12-02/apostrophe-protection-society-closes-down-john-richards/11756830

https://mobile.abc.net.au/news/2018-10-30/lets-get-rid-of-the-apostrophe/10433990

Up in the Air

Theres a lotta smoke from a lotta gumtrees…

RFS Advice>>>

https://www.rfs.nsw.gov.au/fire-information/major-fire-updates/mfu?id=5365

And Police>>>Report suspicious behaviour to Crime Stoppers on 1800 333 000. To report a fire emergency call Triple Zero (000).

https://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/newslocal/nsw-bushfires-police-strike-force-catch-54-alleged-arsonists-in-69-fires/news-story/5835205c00d01483b410e4848f792256

Heres where your bushfires are along the coast>>>click on this

http://satview.bom.gov.au/

 

MSLP Analysis for Thu Dec 5 00:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/?-33.698,151.034,5,i:pressure

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 20-21

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2019-2020.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Smoke haze.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly clear. Areas of thick smoke haze. Winds westerly 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the late evening.

A POOR Air Quality Forecast alert is issued by the Department of Planning, Industry and Environment (DPIE) due to forecast elevated PM2.5 and ozone levels in Sydney for Thursday 5 December 2019.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 3:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Friday 6 December

Summary
Min 19
Max 28
Possible smoke haze.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Areas of smoke haze. Winds south to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h tending northwest to southwesterly in the morning then tending south to southeasterly in the evening.

A POOR Air Quality Forecast alert is issued by the Department of Planning, Industry and Environment (DPIE) due to forecast elevated PM2.5 and ozone levels in Sydney for Friday 6 December 2019.

Fire Danger – Severe

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 3:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

Saturday 7 December

Summary
Min 18
Max 27
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Areas of smoke haze, particularly in the west. Winds south to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming east to southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 3:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Sunday 8 December

Summary
Min 18
Max 26
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Areas of smoke haze. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the morning then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 3:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Monday 9 December

Summary
Min 19
Max 27
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming northeasterly 25 to 35 km/h during the morning.

Tuesday 10 December

Summary
Min 19
Max 33
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny morning. The chance of a thunderstorm later in the day. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 25 to 35 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 11 December

Summary
Min 19
Max 24
Cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower or thunderstorm. Winds southerly 15 to 25 km/h turning southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the morning.

Thursday 12 December

Summary
Min 18
Max 23
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers, most likely during the morning. Light winds.

The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:45 am EDT Friday


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on November 28th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 28 November 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Some warm, smokey days ahead with flip floppy winds and not much surf.

At least the water temp has gone up a little to make for some comfort…on those warm, smokey days ahead with flip floppy winds and not much surf…

Might get a spot of rain according to the Bureau..that’ll freshen the air a little together with the breeze changes

Friday: 1 metre or less North East

Saturday: around 1 metre North East then smaller

Sunday: maybe around 1 metre or so at dead South places only

Monday: probably less than 1 metre

Tuesday: 1 metre or less at dead South places only.

If the surf outlook’s the worst thing you’ve got to worry about anyway, then you’re laughing 🙂

TG

PS Does worrying about anything ever help>?

Up in the Air

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Nov 28 05:30:00 2019

 

MSLP Analysis for Thu Nov 28 00:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8,i:pressure,m:cIJaknc

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 21.

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2019-2020.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Smoke haze.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly clear. Areas of smoke haze. Winds northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h.

A POOR Air Quality Forecast Alert has been issued by the Department of Planning, Industry and Environment (DPIE) due to forecast elevated PM2.5 levels in Sydney for Thursday 28 November 2019.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Friday 29 November

Summary
Min 19
Max 29
Smoke haze.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Areas of smoke haze. Winds east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h tending north to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h early in the morning then becoming light in the late evening.

A POOR Air Quality Forecast alert has been issued by the Department of Planning, Industry and Environment (DPIE) due to forecast elevated PM2.5 levels in Sydney for Friday 29 November 2019

Fire Danger – Very High

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Smoke haze. Sydney 19 29
Smoke haze. Penrith 16 33
Smoke haze. Liverpool 16 32
Smoke haze. Terrey Hills 17 28
Smoke haze. Richmond 15 32
Smoke haze. Parramatta 16 31
Smoke haze. Campbelltown 15 32
Smoke haze. Bondi 20 25

Saturday 30 November

Summary
Min 20
Max 27
Shower or two. Possible storm.
Possible rainfall: 3 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Possible smoke haze. High (70%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Possible raised dust from the evening. Winds south to southeasterly 25 to 35 km/h turning easterly 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon then tending southeast to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Sunday 1 December

Summary
Min 16
Max 26
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h shifting north to northwesterly during the morning then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Monday 2 December

Summary
Min 17
Max 25
Becoming windy. Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower, most likely in the afternoon. Light winds becoming northwesterly 25 to 35 km/h during the morning then tending westerly 25 to 40 km/h during the day.

Tuesday 3 December

Summary
Min 15
Max 26
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds westerly 15 to 25 km/h.

Wednesday 4 December

Summary
Min 16
Max 30
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds westerly 15 to 20 km/h tending northeast to southeasterly during the day.

Thursday 5 December

Summary
Min 17
Max 29
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on November 21st, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 21 November 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Sick of the bushfire smoke here… imagine what it’s like for people up the coast.

Scientific analysis of How Bushfires start in Oz … “The majority of bushfires are started either intentionally or unintentionally by people.”

https://www.abc.net.au/news/science/2019-11-20/bushfire-ignition-source-how-we-know/11701132

Being aware of the causes can help reduce the risk of fire in hot dry weather conditions.

In between staying inside out of the smoke to stay healthy, and looking at the surf, there hasn’t been much surf to miss out on.

With more flip flopping wind changes and smoke haze forecast by the Bureau, don’t expect much joy in the days ahead.  At least the water’s getting to a more comfortable temperature for a cool down swim.

Friday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range North East

Saturday: 1 metre or so North East, to be chopped around by Southerly and E/SE onshore wind

Sunday: around 1ish metres East North East then South East, and ditto re wind from S/SE

Monday: around 1 metre Eastish

Tuesday: 1 or 1+ metres North East

And, beyond that I can’t see through the pesky smoke haze at the moment…

Leave you with a couple of thoughts:

“The best surfer out there is the one having the most fun” Phil Edwards.

“Stay cool. Have fun!” TG

Up in the Air

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Nov 21 06:30:00 2019

MSLP Analysis for Thu Nov 21 00:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8,i:pressure,m:cIJaknc

Down in the Sea

Water temp is improving… currently around 20

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2019-2020.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Smoke. Windy.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Areas of smoke haze. Winds northeasterly 30 to 45 km/h decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. A POOR Air Quality Forecast alert is issued by the NSW Department of Planning, Industry and Environment (DPIE) due to elevated PM2.5 levels in Sydney for Thursday, 21st November, 2019.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 4:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Friday 22 November

Summary
Min 20
Max 26
Morning smoke and haze.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Areas of haze and smoke haze in the morning. Slight (20%) chance of a shower in the evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the west in the evening. Winds northwest to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h tending southeasterly 25 to 35 km/h early in the morning then tending southerly 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. A POOR Air Quality Forecast alert is issued by the NSW Department of Planning, Industry and Environment (DPIE) due to elevated PM10 and PM2.5 levels in Sydney for Friday 22nd November, 2019.

Fire Danger – High

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 4:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 9 [Very High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Morning smoke and haze. Sydney 20 26
Morning smoke and haze. Penrith 19 33
Morning smoke and haze. Liverpool 18 29
Morning smoke and haze. Terrey Hills 19 24
Morning smoke and haze. Richmond 19 32
Morning smoke and haze. Parramatta 18 27
Morning smoke and haze. Campbelltown 16 30
Morning smoke and haze. Bondi 20 23

Saturday 23 November

Summary
Min 19
Max 25
Possible late shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Areas of smoke haze in the west in the morning. Medium (40%) chance of showers in the evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the outer west in the afternoon and evening. Winds southerly 15 to 20 km/h turning east to southeasterly in the late morning then becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 3:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 9 [Very High]

Sunday 24 November

Summary
Min 18
Max 24
Cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower, most likely in the morning. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds south to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h tending east to southeasterly during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 4:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Monday 25 November

Summary
Min 19
Max 28
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day then tending northerly during the evening.

Tuesday 26 November

Summary
Min 21
Max 34
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny morning. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely later in the day. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds north to northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h shifting south to southwesterly during the day.

Wednesday 27 November

Summary
Min 16
Max 23
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Winds southerly 15 to 20 km/h turning east to southeasterly during the morning.

Thursday 28 November

Summary
Min 17
Max 27
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

##


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on November 14th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 14 November 2019:

Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Waves popped up this morning at places open to dead South swell, but it was short lived and has eased back now. To be precise the swell height didn’t actually pop up, but the period did, so more energy was able to get in to receptive beaches.

The outlook, with variable winds and weather forecast, is not looking too exciting.

Let’s keep it rooly simple… cause that’s what I am>>>

Any waves are likely to get in to places open to dead South… other places aren’t likely to see anything much…

Friday – next Thursday: If it’s 1 metre ish or so dead South, be happy.

If it’s not, still be happy.

TG

Up in the Air

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Nov 14 05:30:00 2019

MSLP Analysis for Thu Nov 14 00:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 19

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2019-2020.pdf

 

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Smoke.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Clear. Smoke haze developing from the north into the evening. Winds northwest to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 4:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Friday 15 November

Summary
Min 17
Max 32
Early smoke then mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Areas of smoke haze. Light winds becoming westerly 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then turning south to southwesterly in the evening. A POOR Air Quality Forecast alert is issued by the Department of Planning, Industry and Environment (DPIE) due to elevated PM2.5 levels in Sydney for Friday 15 November 2019

Fire Danger – Severe

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 4:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Early smoke then mostly sunny. Sydney 17 32
Early smoke then sunny. Penrith 14 35
Early smoke then mostly sunny. Liverpool 13 34
Early smoke then mostly sunny. Terrey Hills 14 30
Early smoke then sunny. Richmond 13 34
Early smoke then mostly sunny. Parramatta 13 33
Early smoke then mostly sunny. Campbelltown 11 33
Early smoke. Becoming windy. Bondi 17 26

Saturday 16 November

Summary
Min 17
Max 24
Possible late shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny day. Slight (30%) chance of a shower in the evening. Winds southerly 25 to 35 km/h tending south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h before dawn then shifting easterly 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 4:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Sunday 17 November

Summary
Min 17
Max 22
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 3 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning, most likely along the coast. Light winds becoming southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 4:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 9 [Very High]

Monday 18 November

Summary
Min 16
Max 26
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the afternoon.

Tuesday 19 November

Summary
Min 16
Max 31
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h shifting south to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h later in the day.

Wednesday 20 November

Summary
Min 18
Max 25
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds southerly 15 to 25 km/h turning easterly 15 to 20 km/h during the morning.

Thursday 21 November

Summary
Min 19
Max 29
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on November 7th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

Revised forecast issued Friday 8 November

How inconvenient Mother Nature can be… I guess it’s her prerogative to change her mind…but it is inconvenient…. sigh…

She still hasn’t decided for sure, and conditions will probably vary throughout each day, but let’s change the Weekend Outlook to>>>

Saturday: starting to come up through the day at places that get dead South swell… hard to say how much will get in to beaches as there’s a lot of SW in it, so if it gets in let’s call it somewhere in the 1-2 metre range at dead South places..

Sunday: down at first then let’s say ditto as above

Monday: could be more consistent in the 1-2 metre range dead South

And we’ll leave the rest as is…

Darned inconvenient of her at times, (some of us are busy), but you can’t tell her what to do … and ain’t Nature grand in all her glory 🙂

TG

…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 7 November 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Warm today, but The Bureau expects the temperature over the week ahead to be bouncing up and down like a yo yo.

Nothing too exciting on the wave front, but if you’re lucky and have a look around there might be something from time to time.

Friday: 1 metre or less South East

Saturday: around 1 metre or so at dead South spots

Sunday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range at dead South spots

Monday: 1 metre or so dead South

Tuesday: 1 metre or less North East

Wednesday: in the 1-2 metre range South East

Thursday: 1 ish metres or less at dead South places.

Enjoy…

TG

Up in the Air

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Nov 7 05:30:00 2019

MSLP Analysis for Thu Nov 7 00:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8,i:pressure

Down in the Sea

Water temp is coolish but warmer than the 17 some were reporting it to be… the Sydney buoy is/was offline for a bit…  I’d say around 18-19, as measured by body immersion..

image

Tides

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday
Summary
Clear.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Clear. Winds westerly 25 to 35 km/h becoming light in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 4:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 9 [Very High]

Friday 8 November

Summary
Min 18
Max 30
Becoming windy. Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming north to northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then tending northwest to southwesterly 25 to 40 km/h in the middle of the day.

Fire Danger – Very High

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 4:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 9 [Very High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Becoming windy. Mostly sunny. Sydney 18 30
Sunny. Penrith 15 31
Mostly sunny. Liverpool 15 30
Mostly sunny. Terrey Hills 16 28
Sunny. Richmond 14 30
Mostly sunny. Parramatta 15 29
Becoming windy. Mostly sunny. Campbelltown 12 29
Becoming windy. Mostly sunny. Bondi 19 30

Saturday 9 November

Summary
Min 12
Max 21
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds southwesterly 20 to 30 km/h turning westerly 15 to 20 km/h in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 4:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

Sunday 10 November

Summary
Min 13
Max 24
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds westerly 20 to 30 km/h turning southerly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 4:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Monday 11 November

Summary
Min 14
Max 25
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 12 November

Summary
Min 15
Max 32
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Winds north to northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h shifting south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h later.

Wednesday 13 November

Summary
Min 17
Max 25
Possible storm.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower, most likely later in the day. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds northeast to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h tending southeast to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning.

Thursday 14 November

Summary
Min 15
Max 24
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming southeast to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day

 


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on October 31st, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 31 October 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Very small today, but at the right tide with the right board it’s amazing at times to watch what young/fit agile people can make of what little is available and have fun, which is after all the object of surfing.

Very smokey hazy and foggy early, then just the smoke haze, now seems to have mostly cleared away. But the Bureau expects it to be back tomorrow, then after a fresh Noreaster which should clear the smoke on Sat and Sun morning the forecast is, hey hey, for rain at times.. . Hope some falls on the fires up the coast.

The surf outlook is for Noreasters to push in a little windswell for the weekend, then a short Southeasterly period, then back to Noreatsers… Spring/Summerlike.

Friday: a tiny bit more than today, still around 1ish metres from the North East… more noticeable on the lower tides with highs being so high and full

Saturday: up more form stronger Noreast wind, into the 1-2 metre range toward the more southern parts of beaches

Sunday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range North East

Monday: in the 1-2 metre range East North East

Tuesday: down a bit in the 1-2 metre range East South East

Wednesday: around 1 metre or less South East

Thursday: ditto North East

TG

Up in the Air

MSLP Analysis for Thu Oct 31 06:00:00 2019 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Oct 31 06:30:00 2019

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8,i:pressure

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 19, 20

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2019-2020.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Smoke haze.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly clear. Areas of smoke haze. Winds east to northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 3:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Friday 1 November

Summary
Min 17
Max 26
Smoke haze.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Patchy morning fog, mainly in the west. Areas of smoke haze. Winds northeasterly 25 to 40 km/h.

Fire Danger – High

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 4:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Smoke haze. Sydney 17 26
Smoke haze. Penrith 15 33
Smoke haze. Liverpool 15 31
Smoke haze. Terrey Hills 16 26
Smoke haze. Richmond 14 32
Smoke haze. Parramatta 15 30
Smoke haze. Campbelltown 13 31
Becoming windy. Bondi 18 25

 

Saturday 2 November

Summary
Min 18
Max 28
Becoming windy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Areas of smoke haze. Winds northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h tending northwest to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h early in the morning then becoming northeasterly 25 to 40 km/h in the middle of the day.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 4:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

Sunday 3 November

Summary
Min 19
Max 28
Rain at times.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny morning. High (70%) chance of rain and the chance of a thunderstorm, most likely in the afternoon and evening. Winds northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h tending northerly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 4:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Monday 4 November

Summary
Min 18
Max 23
Possible storm.
Possible rainfall: 3 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers and the chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 5 November

Summary
Min 15
Max 21
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower, most likely during the morning. Winds southerly 15 to 20 km/h.

Wednesday 6 November

Summary
Min 14
Max 27
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Thursday 7 November

Summary
Min 19
Max 31
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming west to northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day

 


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on October 24th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 25 October 2019

Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Decidedly small today, and the outlook for the week ahead is for no significant change.

But that doesn’t necessarily mean it won’t be okay for some people…. mal riders might be able to find a small wave from time to time, and it’s perfect for learners or for people who just want to sit out there in Nature and have a chat with friends…

Friday: similar to today, say around 1 metre or less Noreastish

Saturday: dittoish, or could be up ever so little bit slightly from wind

Sunday: not much, from dead South

Monday: around 1 metre at dead South palces

Tuesday: ditto

Wednesday: ditto

Thursday: ditto from North East

Enjoy

TG

Up in the Air

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Oct 24 06:30:00 2019

MSLP Analysis for Thu Oct 24 06:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8,i:pressure,m:cIJaknc

Down in the Sea

Water temp is slowly improving.. around 20 or so.

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2019-2020.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Mostly clear.
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers in the afternoon and evening, mainly in the west. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening, mainly in the west. Winds easterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 4:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

Friday 25 October

Summary
Min 18
Max 36
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and early evening. Light winds becoming northwesterly 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening.

Fire Danger – Very High

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 4:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 9 [Very High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Mostly sunny. Sydney 18 36
Mostly sunny. Penrith 16 37
Mostly sunny. Liverpool 15 36
Sunny. Terrey Hills 17 35
Mostly sunny. Richmond 15 36
Mostly sunny. Parramatta 16 35
Mostly sunny. Campbelltown 12 36
Sunny. Bondi 19 33

Saturday 26 October

Summary
Min 22
Max 32
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming northwesterly 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then tending westerly 25 to 40 km/h in the middle of the day.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 4:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

Sunday 27 October

Summary
Min 15
Max 24
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming southeast to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day then tending east to southeasterly during the afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 4:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

Monday 28 October

Summary
Min 14
Max 23
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming east to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 29 October

Summary
Min 14
Max 25
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 30 October

Summary
Min 15
Max 27
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Thursday 31 October

Summary
Min 18
Max 25
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on October 17th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 17 October 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

At last, a touch of Summerish weather, warm, sunny, bit windy ! but not humid… maybe the waves could be better, but better than nothing.

The outlook is as follows… just a quickie for you…

Friday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range at places that are open to dead South swell, then easing back

Saturday: around 1ish metres from dead South

Sunday: ditto

Monday: ditto

Tuesday: ditto

Wednesday: ditto

Thursday: dittoish and Eastish

Could be ideal, or could be ordinary, depending on lots of wind variations and the tides.

How’s that for precision.

It’s the ocean, it’s nature, it doesn’t work by precision.  Just embrace the vibe~~~~~~~~~~

TG

Up in the Sky

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Oct 17 06:30:00 2019

MSLP Analysis for Thu Oct 17 06:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 19… improving, but could do better

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2019-2020.pdf

 

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Windy. Clear.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Clear. Winds westerly 30 to 45 km/h decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 4:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

Friday 18 October

Summary
Min 12
Max 23
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds west to southwesterly 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the morning then becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the late afternoon.

Fire Danger – High

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 4:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Sunny. Sydney 12 23
Sunny. Penrith 10 28
Sunny. Liverpool 10 27
Sunny. Terrey Hills 11 22
Sunny. Richmond 9 27
Sunny. Parramatta 10 26
Sunny. Campbelltown 9 27
Sunny. Bondi 13 21

Saturday 19 October

Summary
Min 14
Max 28
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Slight (20%) chance of a shower along the coastal fringe in the late afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Light winds becoming westerly 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then tending southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 4:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

Sunday 20 October

Summary
Min 12
Max 21
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds west to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light during the morning.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 4:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Monday 21 October

Summary
Min 12
Max 22
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 22 October

Summary
Min 13
Max 23
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 23 October

Summary
Min 15
Max 23
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Thursday 24 October

Summary
Min 15
Max 29
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming north to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on October 10th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 10 October 2019:

Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Well today was very large and out of control with fierce Southerly wind pushing along at places open to the South. Tthe ocean was pretty much unpopulated except for a couple of thrill seekers who like wind, cool water and large uncrowded waves that were quite sketchy.  Most people sensibly choose less exposed activities.

The weekend’s outlook is for the surf to get bigger and turn more SE. Lighter winds forecast might make the waves more attractive looking but will be strictly for the experienced at the large wave locations.  If that’s not you, then stay outta the water. Know your own limitations.

Friday: easing back from today to around 2ish, 2+ metres South East , with sets

Saturday: looking like it could be around 3-4 metres, plus, South East, with sets

Sunday: around 2-3 metres South East with sets

Monday: easing back to around 2ish metres, 1-2 metres, with sets

Tuesday: down to around 1 metre or so East South East

Wednesday: dittoish

Thursday:: around 1 metre East

Me, I’m over this cold wind, cold water October weather, thanks. Bring on Summer.

TG.

Up in the Air

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Oct 10 06:30:00 2019

 

MSLP Analysis for Thu Oct 10 00:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8,m:cIJaknc

Down in the Sea

Water temp is a unwelcome 18-19.. alright for those with no sensitivities

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2019-2020.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Possible shower.
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely along the coast later tonight. Winds south to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 3:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Friday 11 October

Summary
Min 13
Max 18
Showers at times.
Possible rainfall: 6 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 90% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 3:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Showers at times. Sydney 13 18
Showers at times. Penrith 10 19
Showers at times. Liverpool 10 18
Showers at times. Terrey Hills 11 16
Showers at times. Richmond 9 19
Showers at times. Parramatta 10 18
Showers at times. Campbelltown 9 18
Showers at times. Bondi 13 16

Saturday 12 October

Summary
Min 13
Max 17
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 6 to 20 mm
Chance of any rain: 90% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 3:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Sunday 13 October

Summary
Min 13
Max 19
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 4:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Monday 14 October

Summary
Min 12
Max 22
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 15 October

Summary
Min 14
Max 25
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 16 October

Summary
Min 17
Max 23
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.2 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower, most likely later in the day. Light winds becoming east to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Thursday 17 October

Summary
Min 16
Max 28
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming southeast to southwesterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day.