Posts in Goat’s Forecast

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on January 17th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 17 January 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

360 degree view…not a cloud in the deep blue sky. The sea is sparkling. The sun is shining. Pretty as a picture. A great day for the beach today..except for.. well, you know… waves~~~

Now you might say the surf hasn’t been great, and you might be right.

But I couldn’t help but notice – because there’s 10 of ’em right in your face whenever you go in the water – that the kids are having a ball!

They think it’s great!!

And believe it or not, there are occasional waves that you’re happy to catch, among the rubbish, if you fluke being in the right spot at the right tide and are patient. If you’re not, cool down with a swim.

For the coming week… stay cool…some more hot days are forecast. If you’re lucky enough to be able to get wet, then just getting wet is likely to be the most excitement you can expect at the beach.  Or, you could just be lucky enough to fluke that occasional freak wave – ie, one that’s rideable.

Watch out for blueys… there were a few biggies floating around today.

Stay happy!

TG

Friday: continuing North East windswell, somewhere in the 1-2 metre range depending on where you are along the beach

Saturday: an early morning southerly change – starting out at 25-40 kph according to the BoM – will knock that down and chop it up and generally make it unpleasant on the beach (kids, and visitors, and anyone else)

Sunday: small end of the 1-2 metre range at places that get dead South windblown waves, and onshore

Monday: 1 metre or less at dead South places

Tuesday: 1 metre or less East South East

Wednesday: 1 metre or less North East, then another Southerly wind change to chop that up

Thursday: back to NE wind and small waves

Up in the Sky

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Jan 17 05:30:00 2019

MSLP Analysis for Thu Jan 17 00:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.889,151.216,7,i:pressure,m:cIJaknc

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 22ish.

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Friday 18 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 33
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Very hot and mostly sunny. Slight (20%) chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the outer west in the afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h tending northwest to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming northeasterly 25 to 35 km/h in the late afternoon.

A Poor Air Quality Forecast is issued by the Office of Environment and Heritage due to elevated OZONE pollution in Sydney for Friday 18 January 2019.

Fire Danger – Very High

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Saturday 19 January

Summary
Min 23
Max 29
Wind easing. Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Hot. Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower in the outer west. Winds southerly 25 to 40 km/h turning southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day then decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Sunday 20 January

Summary
Min 21
Max 27
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower, most likely in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Monday 21 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 28
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 22 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 31
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower, most likely later in the day. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 23 January

Summary
Min 23
Max 34
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny morning. Slight (30%) chance of a shower, most likely later in the day. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Thursday 24 January

Summary
Min 24
Max 34
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. The chance of a thunderstorm later in the day. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on January 10th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 10 January 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

All that huffing and puffing today won’t bring up much surf, but there should be waves of varying sorts all week for those still on holiday.  A few wind changes, but some more warm weather ahead to.

I can sympathise with those who had to go back to work this week. Last night I had a terrible dream. I was driving round and around and couldn’t find a damn parking spot in Manly to catch the ferry to work.

Proving that things always look better in the morning… when I woke up I remembered that I’m retired!  Haha.

Surf outlook:

Friday 11/1: in the 1-2 metre range South East/East, easing back through the day

Saturday: as a Noreaster picks up so will the surf, somewhere in the 1-2 metre range North East… might be some little sets from Eastish

Sunday: change in direction again with the wind .. somewhere in the 1-2 metre range South East, with maybe occasional sets from the East

Monday: in the 1-2 metre range at dead South places..not much elsewhere

Tuesday:  1-2 metre range East South East

Wednesday: 1-2 metre range Eastish

Thursday: 1-2 metre range East North East.

Enjoy, if you’re on holidays.

If you’ve gotta go to work… earn some money for your next holiday :

TG.

Up in the Air

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Jan 10 05:30:00 2019

MSLP Analysis for Thu Jan 10 00:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.889,151.216,7,i:pressure,m:cIJaknc

Down in the Sea

Water temp is currently pleasant…CURRENTly haha.. Get it? at around 21.

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Light shower or two.
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of light showers or drizzle. Winds southerly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Friday 11 January

Summary
Min 21
Max 28
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers in the east, grading to a high (70%) chance in the west, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of afternoon thunderstorms, chiefly in the west. Light winds becoming northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h in the afternoon.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Saturday 12 January

Summary
Min 21
Max 31
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Slight (20%) chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the west during the afternoon or early evening. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Sunday 13 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 27
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Winds south to southeasterly 25 to 35 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Monday 14 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 28
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Tuesday 15 January

Summary
Min 21
Max 31
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 16 January

Summary
Min 23
Max 35
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h tending northeast to southeasterly later.

Thursday 17 January

Summary
Min 23
Max 30
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds

 


The Goat’s First Surf Forecast for 2019

Posted on January 3rd, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s First Surf Forecast for 2019:

22nd year of TG’s Forecasts:

Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Some variations in wind direction ahead for the coming week to give you a little variety, and hopefully some small to medium rideable waves.

But this arvo, (an Aussie word whose meaning is unknown to all those foreign visitors, so use it at will just to confuse ’em), a gentle onshore breeze, warm sun and background music of cicadas provided the perfect opportunity to kick back in the shade, chill out and recuperate from days of surfing or paddling, and nights of refreshments and socialising.

It’s been congested in the ocean – one more area to add to the list – but hey kids, I think I just heard mum say you should take a few days off out of the sun now.

I will give those thousands of visitors a helpful tip (as apparently they aren’t aware)…

Barrenjoey Road to Palm Beach is a Dead End Road. It’s not a Through Road… It’s a Cul de Sac.

And there’s nowhere for thousands of visitors to park… anywhere..

Just so you know why you’ve been stopped or crawling in traffic from Mona Vale.

A Community Service Announcement by TG.

Water temp has been bouncing around from nice to freezing with consistent Noreasters dragging cold water up, to ? It should improve when the next southerly comes by.

Waves:

Friday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range North East.. biggest at southern ends of beaches

Saturday: ditto

Sunday: ditto

Monday: around 1 metre or so Eastish

Tuesday: ditto to that

Wednesday: around 1 – 1+metres North East

Thursday: in the 1-2 metre range North East/ South East

Hope 2019 is good to us all!

TG.

Up in the Sky

MSLP Analysis for Thu Jan  3 00:00:00 2019 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Jan  3 04:30:00 2019

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.881,151.216,7,i:pressure,m:cIJaknc

Down in the Sea

Water temp offshore is around 22.  Variable inshore.

image

Tide

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Max 28
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower in the outer west, most likely in the afternoon and early evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the middle of the day then becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the late afternoon.

Fire Danger – High

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis IconLocationMinMax
Partly cloudy.Sydney28
Possible shower.Penrith34
Partly cloudy.Liverpool32
Partly cloudy.Terrey Hills28
Partly cloudy.Richmond33
Partly cloudy.Parramatta31
Partly cloudy.Campbelltown31
Partly cloudy.Bondi25

Friday 4 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 31
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h tending east to northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 14 [Extreme]

Saturday 5 January

Summary
Min 23
Max 33
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Hot. Mostly sunny morning. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon. Winds northwest to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h tending west to northwesterly during the day then shifting south to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Sunday 6 January

Summary
Min 21
Max 25
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Winds south to southeasterly 25 to 40 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Monday 7 January

Summary
Min 20
Max 25
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. Winds southerly 15 to 20 km/h tending southeasterly during the morning.

Tuesday 8 January

Summary
Min 21
Max 28
Morning shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers, most likely during the morning. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 9 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 29
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning.


The Goats Surf Forecast and New Year Message

Posted on December 27th, 2018 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 27 December 2018:

Seven day outlook into 2019:

Warm days continuing into 2019. Surf pretty much as it’s been. Continuing short period North East windswell.  Bigger at southern ends of beaches, where the wind will be heading but there are some light wind periods forecast by the Bureau.

If you can get in the water count yourself lucky.

If you can catch a wave count yourself lucky.

Hey.. You’re Here and it’s Summertime.. count yourself lucky.

Remember to keep an eye on the weather – couple of possible Thunderstorms are forecast.

Friday: in the 1-2 metre range North North East

Saturday: Ditto

Sunday: Ditto, North East

Monday: New Year’s Eve… Ditto

Tuesday: New Year’s Day… Ditto, East North East

Wednesday:  Ditto, East

Thursday: around 1ish metres East.

Stay safe ..stay cool.. stay hot.. stay well.  Have Fun.

Happy New Year from TG!

Up in the Sky

MSLP Analysis for Thu Dec 27 06:00:00 2018 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Dec 27 07:30:00 2018

Winds

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Down in the Sea

Water temp is very pleasant around 22

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Mostly clear.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly clear. Winds northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h, increasing 25 to 35 km/h near the coast this evening.

An Air Quality Forecast alert of POOR for the Sydney region has been issued as ozone levels are forecast to exceed national air quality standards today. The alert has been posted on the NSW OEH web site (http//www.environment.nsw.gov.au/aqms/aqiforecast.htm)

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Friday 28 December

Summary
Min 21
Max 31
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Hot and mostly sunny. Winds northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light early in the morning then becoming northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h in the late afternoon.

Fire Danger – High

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Saturday 29 December

Summary
Min 21
Max 31
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Hot and sunny. Winds northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the morning then becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Sunday 30 December

Summary
Min 23
Max 34
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Hot and mostly sunny. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the afternoon then tending north to northeasterly during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Monday 31 December

Summary
Min 22
Max 31
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm, mostly in the outer west in the afternoon and evening. Light winds.

Tuesday 1 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 30
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning.

Wednesday 2 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 28
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.2 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely later in the day. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Thursday 3 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 29
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely later in the day. The chance of a thunderstorm later in the day. Light winds


The Goat’s Christmas Surf Forecast and Christmas Message

Posted on December 20th, 2018 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 20 December 2018: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

How about that.. Rain, Hail And Shine all in less than an hour … And now dark clouds are coming over again and I hear the rumble of thunder again. I wonder if Mother Nature enjoyed that so much she wants to do it all over again??  By George By Jingo By Jove I think she is …and she’s sharing it around a few other places as well this time by the look of it… with some gusty wind. Oh how Tropical of her…

Most people have been busy finishing up work or school for the year and haven’t had much time for a surf. If that’s you, you haven’t been missing an awful lot… unless you were lucky enough to get it at the right tide, before a wind change, before it got crowded, or you didn’t really care anyway.

And the outlook is for an up and down week ahead with mixed blessings (oh TG can be so verbally apt)

So, just take it as it comes…relax.. it’s holiday time, chill out, get wet and have fun when you can.

Friday: up from the South East, could be 2 metres or so.. with S/SE wind

Saturday: around 2 metres or so at dead South places and with S wind

Sunday: easing back into the 1-2 metre range South East (S/SW/SE wind)

Monday: down around 1 metre or so East South East

Tuesday: Chrissy Day – around 1 metre or so of Easterly surf for you and the kids or you and mum and dad or you and your matesto try out the new surf toys in.

Wednesday: Boxing Day – up ever so slightly say 1- 1 + metres  from persistent Noreast wind… which btw looks like giving the Sydney Hobart yachts a slowish run up the Harbour, and then a nice tailwind for the early part of the race at least

Thursday: around 1 metre or so East at first, then coming up a little later.

Merry Christmas to everyone. Stay safe in the surf and out of it.  Not a plug but if you’re heading away I do like this ad for its road safety message.  We all need reminders at times.

Have Fun!

TG.

 

 

Weather from the Bureau:

Summary
Showers. Possible storm.
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers. Thunderstorm likely, possibly severe. Winds east to southeasterly 20 to 25 km/h turning southerly 20 to 30 km/h in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Friday 21 December

Summary
Min 20
Max 24
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. Winds southerly 15 to 25 km/h tending southeasterly in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late afternoon.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Saturday 22 December

Summary
Min 18
Max 22
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and early afternoon. Winds southerly 15 to 20 km/h increasing to 20 to 30 km/h early in the morning.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Sunday 23 December

Summary
Min 17
Max 23
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning southeasterly during the afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Monday 24 December

Summary
Min 17
Max 26
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day then tending north to northeasterly during the evening.

Tuesday 25 December

Summary
Min 17
Max 28
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 26 December

Summary
Min 19
Max 29
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Thursday 27 December

Summary
Min 20
Max 30
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day

 


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on December 13th, 2018 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 13 December 2018: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Sydney’s about to cop a heap of rain as I put hoof to keyboard and there’s thunder and lightning coming too..  Don’t run around like a headless chook..get your washing in! Don’t play tennis.  Get inside and stay inside for about half an hour or so. Don’t go out if there’s Thunder about.

Nasty Severe TC Owen way up north but the Bureau expects it to be Ex TC Owen by late Saturday and make a lot of rain up north.

Outlook for the weekend looks like good rainfall here, and for the surf? well

Friday: in the 1-2 metre range North East

Saturday: ditto East North East

Sunday: up a bit into the 2, 2+ maybe 3 metre area East North East

Monday: down into the 1-2 metre range East North East

Tuesday: down again to around 1 metre or so North East

Wednesday: coming up into the 1-2 metre range at dead South places

Thursday: in the 1-2 metre range East South East

RIP Scott Dillon.. passed away at 90.  Bought a few boards off him in my younger days.  Once watched him and Dave Jackman go out at North Steyne to ride the Queenscliff Bombie.  No one else in the water.  I gave them no chance of even getting out through the monster surf. The sea seemed to make a gentle winding passageway as they casually paddled between giant waves.  You couldn’t see them the waves were so big and I was expecting to see their gun boards washed end over end to shore. Then Scott caught a monster all the way to shore and just strolled up the beach  It was absolutely amazing to watch the whole thing It was like it was stage managed for them.

Pretty to watch.

TG.

Nice story on him here

https://www.pacificlongboarder.com/news/RIP-Scott-Dillon/?siteregion=AU

Up in the Sky

 

MSLP Analysis for Thu Dec 13 06:00:00 2018 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Dec 13 07:30:00 2018

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.889,151.216,7,i:pressure

 

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 21

image

Tide

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Friday 14 December

Summary
Min 21
Max 27
Rain increasing.
Possible rainfall: 8 to 20 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Patchy fog in the early morning. High (80%) chance of rain, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Winds east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h tending east to southeasterly in the evening then tending east to northeasterly in the late evening.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Saturday 15 December

Summary
Min 20
Max 27
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and early evening. Winds northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Sunday 16 December

Summary
Min 21
Max 29
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Monday 17 December

Summary
Min 21
Max 29
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny morning. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 18 December

Summary
Min 21
Max 26
Cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 19 December

Summary
Min 20
Max 26
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.2 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower, most likely later in the day. Light winds.

Thursday 20 December

Summary
Min 21
Max 29
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 4 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h shifting south to southeasterly later.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on December 6th, 2018 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 6 December 2018: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Coming up: Some warm days, balmy breezes and some small to medium  waves to keep you entertained… what more could you want? 🙂

Friday: around 1 metre or so Eastish

Saturday: up a little into the 1-2 metre range Eastish

Sunday: ditto

Monday: ditto North East

Tuesday: ditto down a little

Wednesday: ditto East South East

Thursday: and just ditto.

The water’s nice, the air’s warm and it’s Summertime 🙂

TG

Up in the Sky

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Dec 6 11:30:00 2018

MSLP Analysis for Thu Dec 6 06:00:00 2018 AUTC

Wind

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.889,151.216,7,i:pressure,m:cIJaknc

Down in the Water

Water temp is around 21… pleasant enough for a swim.

image

Tide

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast updated at 9:01 pm EDT on Thursday 6 December 2018.

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Clear.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly clear. Winds northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Friday 7 December

Summary
Min 17
Max 26
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming northeasterly 25 to 35 km/h in the morning.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Saturday 8 December

Summary
Min 18
Max 28
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds north to northeasterly 25 to 35 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Sunday 9 December

Summary
Min 18
Max 28
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds east to northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Monday 10 December

Summary
Min 19
Max 28
Mostly sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny morning. Medium (40%) chance of showers in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the evening.

Tuesday 11 December

Summary
Min 20
Max 23
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 6 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. Winds southerly 15 to 25 km/h turning southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 12 December

Summary
Min 20
Max 25
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. Winds southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h tending easterly during the day.

Thursday 13 December

Summary
Min 21
Max 25
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 4 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on November 29th, 2018 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 29 November 2018: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

That delightful Low that gave a a nice drop of rain and a free hairstyle has moved offshore, and we can expect some sunny days for a little bit at least.

The other good thing was that all that rain, besides topping up the dams, watering some crops etc, gave my car a free wash and cleaned off all the red dust from the dust storm the week before.

See, it really is an ill wind that blows no one some good… Never mind the surf… which has been pretty atrocious most of the time.

Tomorrow you still might want to do something else, and maybe rest up ! till  Sunday, or later Monday maybe, but don’t get your hopes up.

If you have low expectations you won’t be disappointed.

Friday: around the upper end of the 1-2 metre range or 2, 2+ East South East but who cares

Saturday: around the upper end of the 1-2 metre range East South East

Sunday: in the 1-2 metre range East

Monday: in the 1-2 metre range at dead South places after an overnight southerly change

Tuesday: lower end of the 1-2 metre range dead South increasing through the day

Wednesday: in the 1-2 metre range dead at South spots, with some sets

Thursday: let’s call it ditto

Sigh

TG

Up in the Sky

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Nov 29 06:30:00 2018

MSLP Analysis for Thu Nov 29 00:00:00 2018 AUTC

Wind

https://www.windy.com/?-33.632,151.324,5,i:pressure

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 20

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Winds southerly 25 to 35 km/h tending southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 4:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Friday 30 November

Summary
Min 16
Max 23
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the west in the afternoon. Winds southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning south to southeasterly in the morning then becoming light in the middle of the day.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Saturday 1 December

Summary
Min 16
Max 25
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Sunday 2 December

Summary
Min 18
Max 33
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds north to northwesterly and light increasing to 20 to 30 km/h during the day then shifting southerly 25 to 35 km/h during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Monday 3 December

Summary
Min 17
Max 28
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds southerly 15 to 20 km/h shifting west to northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 4 December

Summary
Min 17
Max 24
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 5 December

Summary
Min 17
Max 23
Cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds.

Thursday 6 December

Summary
Min 17
Max 24
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm during the morning. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on November 22nd, 2018 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 22 November 2018: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

How’s that wind!? 40-50 ks with 70-80 k gusts NW / WNW. Blew my hat off a couple of times! and gave my hair and car a light dusting of red soil from someone’s paddock out west, to mix in with the drops of water from a sudden shower.. ahh the Marvels of Nature.

Timed my visit to the beach just as the wind was really picking up and everyone was getting out because no one likes spray in their eyes… so missed out.  Memo to self: Must try harder. Maybe tomorrow…?

Hmm.. more wind and smaller surf.  We’ll see.

Oh you’ll see so many different estimates of the surf outlook from looking at computer models and that Low down south

But here’s TG’s best guess to help you…

Friday: down from today… 1 metre or less South East

Saturday: around the middle of the 1-2 metre range at dead South spots..not much elsewhere

Sunday: in the 1-2 metre range at dead South places

Monday: coming up into the 2-3 metre range South East

Tuesday: down into the 1-2 metre range South East

Wednesday: 1-2 metre range East South East

Thursday: coming up 2- 2+ metres only at dead South places.

Enjoy.

TG.

Up in the Air

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Nov 22 03:30:00 2018

MSLP Analysis for Thu Nov 22 00:00:00 2018 AUTC

Wind

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.889,151.216,7,i:pressure,m:cIJaknc

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 20

image

Tide

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Max 26
Windy. Morning shower. Dust haze.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Dust haze. Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of a shower mainly in the north and east this morning. Winds northwesterly 20 to 25 km/h tending westerly 25 to 30 km/h in the morning then increasing to 30 to 45 km/h in the middle of the day.

An Air Quality Alert of POOR for the Sydney region has been issued by NSW OEH today as PM10 levels are forecast to exceed national air quality standards.

Fire Danger – Very High

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 4:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis IconLocationMinMax
Windy. Morning shower. Dust haze.Sydney26
Windy. Dust haze.Penrith26
Windy. Dust haze.Liverpool26
Windy. Morning shower. Dust haze.Terrey Hills24
Windy. Morning shower. Dust haze.Richmond26
Windy. Morning shower. Dust haze.Parramatta26
Windy. Dust haze.Campbelltown25
Windy. Morning shower. Dust haze.Bondi26

Friday 23 November

Summary
Min 15
Max 25
Becoming windy. Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds westerly 25 to 35 km/h increasing to 30 to 45 km/h in the morning.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 4:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Saturday 24 November

Summary
Min 15
Max 24
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds westerly 20 to 30 km/h tending southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 4:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Sunday 25 November

Summary
Min 15
Max 23
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day then tending south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Monday 26 November

Summary
Min 15
Max 23
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning southeasterly during the day.

Tuesday 27 November

Summary
Min 16
Max 26
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Winds north to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning westerly later.

Wednesday 28 November

Summary
Min 17
Max 26
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower during the morning. Winds westerly 25 to 35 km/h.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on November 15th, 2018 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 15 November 2018: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Well that doesn’t look very nice does it.. water’s got a tad cooler, air’s got a tad cooler, waves are blhh at most places, and that looks like what it’ll be like for the weekend and into early next week.  Hard to get excited about that, and there’s water falling from the sky as I write.. which is of course good but not if you want to do things outside. Tsk it’s so hard to please everyone.. anyone?? Oh well…

 

Friday: in the 1-2 metre range South East without quality or power, and accompanied by a S wind to chop it up

Saturday: in the 1-2 metre range East South East and ditto S/SE wind

Sunday: ditto, maybe up a little on sets, and onshore

Monday: dittoish, and mostly onshore, with NE wind later

Tuesday: ditto down a little, NE Wind

Wednesday: ditto up a little East South East/East North East

Thursday: ditto at dead South places only, might be small Ok if forecast offshore comes good.

Keep smiling

TG

Up in the Sky

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Nov 15 04:30:00 2018

MSLP Analysis for Thu Nov 15 00:00:00 2018 AUTC

Wind

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.889,151.216,7,i:pressure

Down in the Sea

Water temp is just under 20… gone backwards a little as warmer water is staying out offshore

image

 

Tide

 

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast issued at 4:20 pm EDT on Thursday 15 November 2018.

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Shower or two.
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. Winds southerly 20 to 30 km/h decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 4:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Friday 16 November

Summary
Min 16
Max 22
Cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower in the early morning. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light early in the morning.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 4:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Saturday 17 November

Summary
Min 16
Max 22
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 5 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h in the morning.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 4:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Sunday 18 November

Summary
Min 16
Max 21
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day then becoming light during the afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 4:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Monday 19 November

Summary
Min 15
Max 23
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 20 November

Summary
Min 15
Max 25
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 21 November

Summary
Min 19
Max 26
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 6 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. Winds northerly 15 to 25 km/h.

Thursday 22 November

Summary
Min 17
Max 23
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Slight (20%) chance of a shower, most likely during the morning. Mostly sunny afternoon. Light winds becoming westerly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning


 

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