Posts in Goat’s Forecast

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on October 22nd, 2020 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 22 October 2020: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Lovely weather right now.

Waves have been smallish and wind affected this week, but I did see some people taking advantage of the right tides occasionally.

The outlook for the weekend and week ahead is for some rain and showers according to BoM, which might dampen the enthusiasm of some, and there will be wind as well. But if you’re keen, you’re going to get wet anyway…

Friday: around 1 metre or less North East

Saturday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range at Southern wind blown ends of beaches, smaller in NE sheltered corners

Sunday: coming up with Southerly wind say around 2 – 2+ metres at places that get dead South swell

Monday: similar but more South East and still with Southerly wind to mess it up

Tuesday: in the 1-2 metre range East South East

Wednesday: dittoish

Thursday: coming up say 2 metres East South East

Stay well and look out for each other.

TG

Up in the Air

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Oct 22 05:30:00 2020

MSLP Analysis for Thu Oct 22 00:00:00 2020 AUTC

http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/4day_col.shtml

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8,m:cIJaknc

Down in the Sea

Water temp is appraently around 20 according to MHL…

image

Tides

Click to access tide-tables-2020-2021.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Mostly clear.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly clear. Slight (20%) chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the west. Winds easterly 15 to 25 km/h turning northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 4:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

Friday 23 October

Summary
Min 16
Max 26
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h increasing to 25 to 35 km/h in the afternoon.

Fire Danger – High

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 4:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Partly cloudy. Sydney 16 26
Partly cloudy. Penrith 15 31
Partly cloudy. Liverpool 15 29
Partly cloudy. Terrey Hills 15 25
Partly cloudy. Richmond 14 30
Partly cloudy. Parramatta 14 29
Partly cloudy. Campbelltown 13 29
Partly cloudy. Bondi 18 23

Saturday 24 October

Summary
Min 19
Max 26
Showers. Possible storm.
Possible rainfall: 4 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 90% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe. Light winds becoming northerly 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then tending northwesterly in the evening ahead of a southerly change overnight.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 4:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 9 [Very High]

Sunday 25 October

Summary
Min 14
Max 19
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 10 to 15 mm
Chance of any rain: 90% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of showers. Winds southerly 25 to 35 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 4:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

Monday 26 October

Summary
Min 14
Max 19
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 8 to 20 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers. Winds southerly 25 to 40 km/h.

Tuesday 27 October

Summary
Min 13
Max 21
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 6 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. The chance of thunderstorms in the outer west later in the day. Winds southerly 20 to 30 km/h turning southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 28 October

Summary
Min 15
Max 22
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 4 to 15 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning.

Thursday 29 October

Summary
Min 15
Max 23
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 5 to 15 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming southeast to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on October 15th, 2020 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 15 October 2020: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Today the weather was beautiful, but the surf when I saw it was very windy and ordinary with few takers.

The surf outlook is for small to medium surf over the weekend and into next week, while the weather outlook according to the BoM is for lots of wind changes and a mixed bag of showers and partly cloudiness.

Which means there could be some OK waves at times, but quality will likely  depend on the fickleness of the winds, so stay alert for your opportunities..

Friday: down a little from Thursday, say around 1- 1+ metres East then coming up a little with southerly winds, say in the 1-2 metre range at places open to the South

Saturday: down in the 1-2 metre range South East, then up a bit later in the 1-2 metre range South East

Sunday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range East North East, down at first, then up

Monday: around 1ish – 1+ metres East South East

Tuesday: around 1ish metres or less East South East

Wednesday: ditto South East

Thursday: ditto East, then starting to come up later.

Stay cool… Chillax… Be kind to others, in and out of the water.

TG

Up in the Air

MSLP Analysis for Thu Oct 15 00:00:00 2020 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Oct 15 06:30:00 2020

Winds

Down in the Sea

Water temp… When is this cold water going away! It’s a PITB and is making the wind at the beach cold too. Inshore it’s still around 18… out a bit it’s 19-20. Maybe the current will swirl some of the warm water inshore soon.

image

Tides

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Mostly clear.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly clear. The chance of a thunderstorm in the northwest in the afternoon and early evening. Winds northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h in the evening then becoming north to northeasterly and light in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 4:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Friday 16 October

Summary
Min 17
Max 22
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the outer west in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming west to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h early in the morning then turning south to southeasterly 25 to 35 km/h in the morning.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 4:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Possible shower. Sydney 17 22
Shower or two. Penrith 16 24
Possible shower. Liverpool 15 22
Cloudy. Terrey Hills 17 21
Possible shower. Richmond 15 24
Cloudy. Parramatta 15 22
Shower or two. Campbelltown 13 22
Possible shower. Bondi 18 20

Saturday 17 October

Summary
Min 15
Max 26
Late shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Areas of fog in the west in the early morning. Medium (50%) chance of showers in the evening. Winds northerly 15 to 25 km/h turning west to northwesterly 20 to 30 km/h in the late afternoon then tending north to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 3:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Sunday 18 October

Summary
Min 17
Max 24
Showers. Possible storm.
Possible rainfall: 6 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Winds north to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light during the morning then becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 4:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Monday 19 October

Summary
Min 14
Max 22
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Winds southerly 15 to 25 km/h tending southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 20 October

Summary
Min 14
Max 23
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.2 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds.

Wednesday 21 October

Summary
Min 13
Max 25
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Thursday 22 October

Summary
Min 15
Max 26
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on October 8th, 2020 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 8 October 2020: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

There were a few waves around today with the keen out there having a go. But the quality wasn’t enough to tempt many people away from going to work, or even entice the more experienced (read ‘older’) participants with more available leisure time into the chilly water.

Instead people coming to do a surf check chose to have a quick chat to their mates about all manner of topics de jour, with well informed and sensible objective commentary, but today we’ll just stick to the

Surf Outlook

Waves all week…. for you to pick and choose your days>>>

Friday: down from Thursday into the 1-2 metre range East

Saturday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range East /South East

Sunday: around 1 ish or less South/East

Monday: up a bit into the 1-2 metre range East

Tuesday: ditto

Wednesday: ditto

Thursday: ditto

Stay well stay safe…

TG

 

MSLP Analysis for Thu Oct  8 06:00:00 2020 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Oct  8 07:30:00 2020

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8,m:cIJaknc

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 18ish

image

 

 

Tides

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Mostly clear.
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Mostly clear. Slight (20%) chance of a shower late this afternoon or early this evening. Winds northwesterly 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 4:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Friday 9 October

Summary
Min 13
Max 25
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming westerly 20 to 30 km/h in the morning.

Fire Danger – High

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 3:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 6 [High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Sunny. Sydney 13 25
Mostly sunny. Penrith 10 24
Mostly sunny. Liverpool 11 23
Sunny. Terrey Hills 13 23
Mostly sunny. Richmond 10 24
Mostly sunny. Parramatta 11 24
Mostly sunny. Campbelltown 9 23
Sunny. Bondi 15 24

Saturday 10 October

Summary
Min 12
Max 23
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds west to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h tending northeast to southeasterly in the early afternoon then tending north to northeasterly in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 3:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Sunday 11 October

Summary
Min 13
Max 25
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny day. Slight (20%) chance of a shower in the evening. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 3:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Monday 12 October

Summary
Min 14
Max 22
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming east to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 13 October

Summary
Min 14
Max 24
Mostly sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 14 October

Summary
Min 13
Max 24
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Thursday 15 October

Summary
Min 14
Max 25
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on October 1st, 2020 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 1 October 2020: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Hey hey looks like a long weekend coming up that will actually feel like a nice start to Summer, But… there’s always Buts… Sigh you say.. TG say C’est la vie, and he knows how to butt heads with the best of ’em.

First But… you might want to take advantage of the nice weekend weather, because it’ll change again after that..

Second But… you may feel like you want to dive in the ocean on one of the warm days, but if you haven’t been in before this and you don’t want an ice cream headache/heart attack etc because of the difference between the air and water temps, you might want to hold off a bit longer yet.

Heey you’ve all been so patient this year, you know how to handle it…

In fact TG has decided to name 2020 The Year of everyone being patient… (better than being the year of being a patient!).. or, The Year of Patience for short… and you know that patience is a virtue… (too much??)

Third But…the surf is also heading into a Summer surf situation, with Nor East winds predominating (that’s a big word) on some days

Fourth But.. you’ll have a good time anyway 🙂

Surf outlook

Friday: going down from today through the 1-2 metre range at dead South spots

Saturday: around 1 metre or less North East at first then increasing in size with the wind behind it during the day

Sunday: around 1 metre or less North East at first, then around 1 ish or so metres East North East

Monday: around 1 ish metres East North East

Tuesday: around 1 ish metres Eastish direction

Wednesday: coming up in the 1-2 metre range East (But, of course, with onshore wind)

Thursday: ditto with the surf, maybe up a bit later.

Have a good one. Stay safe and Enjoy yourself in and out of the water, and don’t get a surprise when you look at the time on Monday morning if you went to bed late.

TG 🙂

Up in the Air

MSLP Analysis for Thu Oct  1 00:00:00 2020 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Oct  1 06:30:00 2020

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.764/150.924?-34.283,150.924,8,m:cISakmH

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 17, 18 depending on the currents

image

Tides

Click to access tide-tables-2020-2021.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Clear.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Clear. Winds southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late evening.

Surf conditions in the afternoon and evening may be more powerful than they appear and are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing and swimming.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 2:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 6 [High]

Friday 2 October

Summary
Min 12
Max 25
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Fog in the early morning, mostly in the west. Sunny day. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the evening then becoming light in the late evening.

Fire Danger – High

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 2:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Sunny. Sydney 12 25
Early fog then sunny. Penrith 8 29
Early fog then sunny. Liverpool 9 28
Sunny. Terrey Hills 11 24
Early fog then sunny. Richmond 8 29
Early fog then sunny. Parramatta 10 28
Early fog then sunny. Campbelltown 7 28
Sunny. Bondi 14 23

Saturday 3 October

Summary
Min 13
Max 26
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. The chance of fog in the west in the early morning. Light winds becoming northerly 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon then tending northeasterly 25 to 35 km/h in the late afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 2:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Sunday 4 October

Summary
Min 14
Max 27
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h increasing to 20 to 30 km/h during the afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 3:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 7 [High]

Monday 5 October

Summary
Min 16
Max 29
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny day, but increasing cloud in the evening. Slight (20%) chance of a shower, most likely in the afternoon and evening. Winds northerly 15 to 20 km/h shifting south to southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the afternoon.

Tuesday 6 October

Summary
Min 13
Max 20
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. Winds southerly 20 to 30 km/h.

Wednesday 7 October

Summary
Min 13
Max 22
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Thursday 8 October

Summary
Min 14
Max 22
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 6 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. Winds north to northeasterly 20


The Goat’s Surf Forecast and More

Posted on September 24th, 2020 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast and More

Surf forecast issued Thursday 24 September 2020: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Surf outlook

We’ve had a lot of westerly winds lately….pretty much unrelenting..

And the short term outlook is…

Yes.. pretty much more of the same for the next coupla days, but then there might be a little surf when the westerlies ease off.

Some lines were starting to show at places open to the South, today.

Friday: might be a little something, say around 1ish metres at the right tide, at places open to dead South… and not much elsewhere

Saturday: not expecting much at first, maybe 1ish at dead South spots later

Sunday: starting to come up gradually in the 1-2 metre range at dead South places with wind behind it

Monday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range at dead South places

Tuesday: ditto

Wednesday: ditto South East

Thursday: ditto more Eastish.

But wait, there’s more

This weekend is the start of the school holidays, and the start of the “swimming season”.. ie the flags go up to show the safe areas to swim.

With people’s thoughts turning more to the beach, and with families and others taking holidays, there’ll be plenty of opportunities to spread the virus (you know the one) around Sydney, the rest of the State and elsewhere… unless people follow the official health advice… Which of course you already know, unless you’re a Complete Boofhead.

Sick of hearing about it?  Hey… Guess what!!!!  We’re doing great here right now, but the point is, it only takes one person.  You’ve got the examples of Europe and the US and Victoria, of what can happen when people relax their guard a little too much.  It hasn’t gone away, and there’s no excuse for ignorance at the beach or elsewhere. There’s this thing called the internet… You’re on it right now!

To help us all stay safe over Summer,  local governments have calculated in advance, the maximum Covid safe beach crowds for individual Sydney beaches… you know, for them to decide if a beach needs to be closed for public health reasons.

Northern Beaches Council info, with crowd numbers they’ve calculated for individual beaches, is here…

https://www.northernbeaches.nsw.gov.au/covid-19/general-information/summer-action-plan-outdoor-public-spaces

Go to “Helpful Documents” (could be even more helpful if it were easier to find!)

Surf lifesavers will not be enforcing public health regulations.

That will be the job Council Rangers and the Police if necessary.

But hey, let’s not make any of it necessary…

TG’s Simple Tips for everyone this summer

  1. If you’re driving to the beach and you’re in a line of traffic… then turn around and go somewhere else!
  2. If you get to the beach and it looks crowded… then go somewhere else!
  3. Relax.. Stay Safe… and Have Fun!!

TG.

Up in the Air

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Sep 24 05:30:00 2020

MSLP Analysis for Thu Sep 24 00:00:00 2020 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/?-33.859,151.200,5

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 19..might still feel a bit fresh if you want a swim without having a heart attack

image

Tides

Click to access tide-tables-2020-2021.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Max 21
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds westerly 20 to 30 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 2:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 6 [High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Sunny. Sydney 21
Sunny. Penrith 22
Sunny. Liverpool 22
Sunny. Terrey Hills 20
Sunny. Richmond 21
Sunny. Parramatta 22
Mostly sunny. Campbelltown 21
Sunny. Bondi 20

Friday 25 September

Summary
Min 11
Max 24
Shower or two. Windy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny morning. Medium (50%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. Winds northerly 15 to 25 km/h increasing to 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then turning west to northwesterly 25 to 40 km/h in the afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 2:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 6 [High]

Saturday 26 September

Summary
Min 8
Max 20
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds west to northwesterly 20 to 30 km/h becoming westerly 25 to 35 km/h during the morning then decreasing to 20 to 30 km/h during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 2:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 5 [Moderate]

Sunday 27 September

Summary
Min 9
Max 19
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds westerly 20 to 30 km/h tending southeast to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 2:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 6 [High]

Monday 28 September

Summary
Min 10
Max 19
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds.

Tuesday 29 September

Summary
Min 11
Max 21
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 30 September

Summary
Min 12
Max 23
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming north to northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the morning.

 


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on September 17th, 2020 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 17 September 2020: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

There’s a Sydney Southerly Buster for you…

3pm 32 degrees and low humidity 28% light N wind,

5pm 18 degrees and 78% and strong S wind.

If you were lucky enough to get to the beach today… and were at the right place at the right tide, there were some nice cruisey waves around.

There are so many factors and variables to consider, it’s a wonder that those who pick it aren’t all rocket scientists!

So will all that wind that’s blowing around outside now do some good??? you ask.

For all its huffing and puffing, the general answer is:

Not really.

If you don’t set your expectations too high, you shouldn’t be disappointed, and

who knows, you might even be pleasantly surprised after a few days.. at the right tide.. and right places>>>

Friday: in the low end of the 1-2 metre range at places open to dead South… nothing much elsewhere

Saturday: ditto, a bit more South East

Sunday: ditto and North East

Monday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range North East

Tuesday: down a bit in the 1-2 metre range North East

Wednesday: around 1 metre or less North East

Thursday: Ditto

Have fun.

TG

Up in the Air

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Sep 17 06:30:00 2020

MSLP Analysis for Thu Sep 17 06:00:00 2020 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8

Down in the Sea

Water temp is now around 18

image

Tides

Click to access tide-tables-2020-2021.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Possible shower. Gusty change.
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers this evening. Winds southerly 25 to 40 km/h reaching 45 to 55 km/h along the coastal fringe.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 2:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 6 [High]

Friday 18 September

Summary
Min 14
Max 20
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers, most likely in the late afternoon and evening. Winds southerly 15 to 25 km/h tending southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 2:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 6 [High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Possible shower. Sydney 14 20
Shower or two. Penrith 12 20
Shower or two. Liverpool 13 20
Shower or two. Terrey Hills 14 19
Shower or two. Richmond 12 20
Shower or two. Parramatta 13 20
Shower or two. Campbelltown 10 20
Possible shower. Bondi 16 19

Saturday 19 September

Summary
Min 15
Max 22
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Winds northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 2:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 6 [High]

Sunday 20 September

Summary
Min 15
Max 23
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning. Winds northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h turning northerly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 2:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 6 [High]

Monday 21 September

Summary
Min 15
Max 27
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the outer west in the morning. Light winds becoming northerly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning.

Tuesday 22 September

Summary
Min 17
Max 25
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Slight (30%) chance of a shower, most likely during the morning. Mostly sunny afternoon. Winds northerly 15 to 20 km/h.

Wednesday 23 September

Summary
Min 12
Max 24
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming westerly 15 to 20 km/h during the morning.

Thursday 24 September

Summary
Min 11
Max 22
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the morning.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on September 10th, 2020 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 10 September 2020: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Sigh.. the trouble I have to go to…

I told TG it was time to do the forecast and he just whinged>>>

“It’s too cold… Don’t feel like it…. Who’d be surfing now anyway? It feels like Winter has returned!”

He just  rolled over..

I told him he had to, because people were relying on him.

He then challenged me to name names… So I did.   Three or four at least, but he can’t count.

He started to whine again… he’s so immature.

So I asked, would he like me to take him back to where I found him?? >>>

>>>Floating in the surf after an overflow malfunction at the Warriewood sewerage treatment plant???!>>>

That woke him up … Nothing like incentivisation.

I gotta admit, current conditions and the outlook ahead don’t look very appealing to me either, with 17 degree water,  various onshore winds to chop the surf and chill the air temp, and smallish surf~~~~ But, for the keen ones ~~~~~~~

Friday: low end of the 1-2 metre range East South East

Saturday: ditto East

Sunday: ditto North East

Monday: 1 metre or less East

Tuesday: low end of the 1-2 metre range South/South East

Wednesday: ditto South

Thursday: ditto ditto, repeato

If you’ve gotta go in just to get wet, best not do it at dawn or dusk, or when the water’s windchopped to confuse the sea creatures.

Surf with a mate and keep your eyes open… The whales have started coming back down the coast up north, and their  PITB camp followers won’t be far behind.

TG

Up in the Air

MSLP Analysis for Thu Sep 10 00:00:00 2020 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Sep 10 07:30:00 2020

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8,m:cIJaknc

Down in the Sea

Water temp is only 17 ish

image

Tides

Click to access tide-tables-2020-2021.pdf

 

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 2:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 5 [Moderate]

Friday 11 September

Summary
Min 12
Max 20
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Possible early fog patches in the west. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 2:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 6 [High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Partly cloudy. Sydney 12 20
Partly cloudy. Penrith 8 21
Partly cloudy. Liverpool 9 20
Partly cloudy. Terrey Hills 11 18
Partly cloudy. Richmond 8 20
Partly cloudy. Parramatta 9 20
Partly cloudy. Campbelltown 6 20
Partly cloudy. Bondi 14 19

Saturday 12 September

Summary
Min 10
Max 22
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Early fog patches, mainly in the west. Light winds becoming north to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then north to northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h in the afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 2:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 6 [High]

Sunday 13 September

Summary
Min 11
Max 23
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Possible early fog patches in the west. Winds northerly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light during the morning.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 2:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 5 [Moderate]

Monday 14 September

Summary
Min 12
Max 21
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds.

Tuesday 15 September

Summary
Min 11
Max 21
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower, most likely later in the day. Light winds.

Wednesday 16 September

Summary
Min 13
Max 24
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower, most likely during the morning. Light winds becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning.

Thursday 17 September

Summary
Min 14
Max 27
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming north to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the morning.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on September 3rd, 2020 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 3 September 2020: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Time flies when you’re having fun! and here it is September already.

Surf?? No, not really much happening over the next few days, unless you’re lucky enough to get a small mal wave at the right tides.

But by now you’re ready to roll with the punches, take it as it comes, be flexible, and know that it is what it is… And the water’s cold!  Good on you!

Friday: around 1ish metres from North East, with rideable waves dependent on the tide

Saturday: 1ish metres or less North East

Sunday: around 1ish metres North East

Monday: 1 metre or less Eastish

Tuesday: dittoish.. no point trying to be precise in these conditions

Wednesday: leftover small North East windswell at first before it might start coming up into the 1-2 metre range at dead South places, to be blown out by the wind behind it…yayy

Thursday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range , maybe 2 metres at places that like dead South swell, with S wind.

TG had some hayfever but did what the health authorities say and got tested, just to be sure, to be sure. All good…

Getting tested if you’re not sure, is all the go! It’s free. Don’t miss out!!

And wear a mask in crowded places… It’s not hard and it’s not rocket science.

Stay well. Stay Safe. Just keep smiling. At least the weather looks nice for some days.

We haven’t had a musical surf forecast for a while…  so thump along with this!!!

Guaranteed to make you feel good 🙂

TG

Up in the Air

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Sep  3 06:30:00 2020

Winds

Down in the Sea

Water temp is a chilly 17… chilly, judging by the young fit bloke who dived in and dived straight out without swimming a stroke

image

Tides

Click to access tide-tables-2020-2021.pdf

Something cool

Have a look at the Continental shelf and how it drops off around the coast – follow it down to the Great Australian Bight… How impressive does that look///

https://www.google.com.au/maps/place/Sydney+NSW/@-33.8469756,150.3714537,134434m/data=!3m2!1e3!4b1!4m5!3m4!1s0x6b129838f39a743f:0x3017d681632a850!8m2!3d-33.8688197!4d151.2092955?hl=en&authuser=0

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Clear.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Clear. Winds northerly 20 to 30 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 2:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 5 [Moderate]

Friday 4 September

Summary
Min 15
Max 23
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 3 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds north to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 2:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 5 [Moderate]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Shower or two. Sydney 15 23
Shower or two. Penrith 13 24
Shower or two. Liverpool 13 23
Shower or two. Terrey Hills 15 21
Shower or two. Richmond 13 23
Shower or two. Parramatta 14 23
Shower or two. Campbelltown 11 23
Shower or two. Bondi 17 21

Saturday 5 September

Summary
Min 12
Max 21
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Slight (20%) chance of a shower in the early morning. Sunny day. Light winds becoming west to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the middle of the day.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 2:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 5 [Moderate]

Sunday 6 September

Summary
Min 11
Max 20
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 2:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 5 [Moderate]

Monday 7 September

Summary
Min 14
Max 22
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day then tending northerly 15 to 20 km/h during the evening.

Tuesday 8 September

Summary
Min 13
Max 26
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny day. Slight (20%) chance of a shower later in the day. Winds northerly 15 to 25 km/h.

Wednesday 9 September

Summary
Min 13
Max 19
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 3 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers. Winds southerly 25 to 35 km/h.

Thursday 10 September

Summary
Min 12
Max 19
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Winds southerly 15 to 25 km/h turning southeasterly during the morning


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on August 27th, 2020 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 27 August 2020: Seven day outlook for Sydney

How was that weather today??? Freezing this morning (7 degrees at 7am with an apparent temp of 3) then 22 and hot at 2 pm… TG didn’t know if he was hot on the inside/ cold on the outside, or vice versa.

Anyhoo, variety is the spice of life, and you’ll get some spice from the surf this week. (is that possible? you’re wondering)

TG has read how students are doing it tough this year with everything else that’s going on, especially those studying for the HSC.  TG feels for them. He’s done one or two tests in his life too… jump this fence… eat this hat etc etc.

So to help the kids out, he’s provided some sample exam questions and answers scattered in the forecast. That way you learn to keep some balance in your life … you know… study, play, study,… – just make sure you keep alternating. There are some tricky questions here, but hey… don’t worry if you get some wrong.. Just do your best. Some of you older kids may have even seen them before, so don’t give the answers away.

Friday:

Surf: Smallish to start – say around 1 metre or so at places that are open to the South, then coming up through the day to around 2ish metres, but messy and pushed along by the S wind.

Sample Q: Briefly explain what hard water is…

Saturday:

Surf: Well that was a short lived uptick in the surf…back to around 1ish – 1+ metres only at dead South spots.

A: Ice.

Are you coping with the format so far??

Sunday:

Surf: Around 1ish metres or less from South East

Q and A: To give you a little break, here’s the next question and answer…

Monday:

Surf: Ditto East/ North East

Q: Name one of the early Romans’ greatest achievements…

Tuesday:

Surf: Chopping and changing again.. little uptick to 1 – 1+ metres but only at dead South places

A: Learning to speak Latin.

Wednesday:

Surf: dittoish South East

Q: Don is driving at 2 metres per second and the speed limit is 60 kph. Is Don speeding?

Thursday:

Surf: similar

A: Don could find out by checking his speedometer.

PS: bonus marks if you said, Don would never exceed the speed limit.

I think that’s enough hard work for today..

Take a break, have the weekend off, surf if you can, and laugh a lot.

TG.

Up in the Air

On a High High High generally means nice weather and temps

MSLP Analysis for Thu Aug 27 00:00:00 2020 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Aug 27 05:30:00 2020

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.764/150.924?-34.283,150.924,8,m:cISakmH

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 18 offshore.  I’ve had some people tell me it’s a nice temp inshore and others say it’s freezing… guess it depends where you are and what currents are swirling around your tootsies

image

Tides

Click to access tide-tables-2020-2021.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast updated at 10:19 am EST on Thursday 27 August 2020.

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Max 22
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 10:00 am to 1:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Sunny. Sydney 22
Sunny. Penrith 23
Sunny. Liverpool 22
Sunny. Terrey Hills 21
Sunny. Richmond 23
Sunny. Parramatta 22
Sunny. Campbelltown 22
Sunny. Bondi 20

Friday 28 August

Summary
Min 11
Max 18
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds southwesterly 20 to 30 km/h tending southerly 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:50 am to 2:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

Saturday 29 August

Summary
Min 8
Max 21
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Areas of morning fog in the west. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 9:40 am to 2:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

Sunday 30 August

Summary
Min 11
Max 25
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:40 am to 2:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 4 [Moderate]

Monday 31 August

Summary
Min 13
Max 19
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Winds west to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning south to southwesterly during the day.

Tuesday 1 September

Summary
Min 9
Max 19
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 2 September

Summary
Min 11
Max 25
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming northerly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning

 


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on August 20th, 2020 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 20 August 2020: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Ahh The Westerly Winds of August …  Nature’s harbingers telling those of us who prefer warmer weather that Spring can’t be far away.

They can clear the air, blow dust up your nose, cause a bit of damage here and there, and sometimes after a few days of huffing and puffing across the Bight, bring up some swell from way down south>>>

Will they this time??>>

Well that depends on how a Low develops over the weekend, and where it locates itself… Apparently, it’s still deciding.

But based on what it’s current intentions look like to TG, the surf outlook could be something like this>>>

Friday: less than 1 metre or flat

Saturday: less than 1 metre or flat, or maybe starting to show less than 1 metre at places open to the South

Sunday: Depending on how the Low tracks, it could be starting to show 1 – 1+ metres at dead South places

Monday: Ditto the first bit, into the 1-2 metreish range dead South

Tuesday:  1-2 metre range, 2+ metres maybe South East, but with wind

Wednesday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range South East

Thursday: Ditto

Wouldn’t it be nice if it could just blow that silly virus out to sea with it…

In the meantime I’m really proud of you all washing your hands regularly, staying 1.5 m apart where possible, wearing masks where it’s not, and not whinging too much. Colds and flu stats are way down on what they would normally be, I see.

Keep up the good work!

TG

Up in the Air

MSLP Analysis for Thu Aug 20 00:00:00 2020 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Aug 20 04:30:00 2020

Winds… it’s windy

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-33.381,151.475,5

Down in the Sea

Water temp… The MHL Waverider buoy offshore from Long Reef is reading around 18… Reliable sources have told me that inshore it’s Cold (a technical term).

image

Tides..still going up and down

Click to access tide-tables-2020-2021.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Max 19
Windy. Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds westerly 30 to 45 km/h decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 10:30 am to 1:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Windy. Sunny. Sydney 19
Windy. Sunny. Penrith 18
Windy. Sunny. Liverpool 18
Windy. Sunny. Terrey Hills 17
Windy. Sunny. Richmond 18
Windy. Sunny. Parramatta 18
Windy. Sunny. Campbelltown 17
Windy. Sunny. Bondi 18

Friday 21 August

Summary
Min 9
Max 19
Partly cloudy. Windy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a brief shower. Winds west to northwesterly 20 to 35 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 10:20 am to 1:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Saturday 22 August

Summary
Min 8
Max 16
Windy. Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower along the coastal fringe. Winds northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning westerly 25 to 40 km/h during the morning.

Sun protection recommended from 10:30 am to 1:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Sunday 23 August

Summary
Min 8
Max 17
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower along the coastal fringe. Winds westerly 25 to 40 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 11:00 am to 12:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Monday 24 August

Summary
Min 8
Max 17
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds west to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h turning south to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Tuesday 25 August

Summary
Min 8
Max 18
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Winds southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning south to southeasterly during the day.

Wednesday 26 August

Summary
Min 8
Max 17
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming southerly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.