Posts in Goat’s Forecast

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on August 6th, 2020 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 6 August 2020: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Good news ! for those who like some solid waves. It looks like there’ll be plenty of wind and wave direction changes too and variety is the spice of life.

But it may turn out not to be all that pleasant, with lots of Lows on the map swirling around, to end up who knows where. The weather forecast has changed for tomorrow since yesterday, with rain now expected later in the day. So don’t be surprised if the weather and the wave outlooks change over coming days.

At present the surf outlook is

Friday: around 2ish metres, 2+ maybe South East

Saturday: ditto East

Sunday: upper end of the 1-2 metre range Eastish

Monday: dittoish

Tuesday: 3ish metres South East

Wednesday: 2ish metres East

Thursday: in the 1-2 metre range East

Stay safe and Have Fun in and out of the water.

TG

Up in the Air

That looks complicated >>>

MSLP Analysis for Thu Aug  6 00:00:00 2020 AUTC

And so does this >>>

http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/4day_col.shtml

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Aug  6 05:30:00 2020

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.764/150.924?-34.283,150.924,8,m:cISakmH

Down in the Sea

Water temp is a bit on the cool side at around 17.

image

 

 

Tides

Click to access tide-tables-2020-2021.pdf

 

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 10:50 am to 1:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Friday 7 August

Summary
Min 8
Max 16
Rain developing.
Possible rainfall: 15 to 30 mm
Chance of any rain: 100% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (near 100%) chance of rain, most likely in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then shifting east to northeasterly in the afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 10:40 am to 1:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Rain developing. Sydney 8 16
Rain developing. Penrith 5 14
Rain developing. Liverpool 5 15
Rain developing. Terrey Hills 7 14
Rain developing. Richmond 3 14
Rain developing. Parramatta 5 15
Rain developing. Campbelltown 3 15
Rain developing. Bondi 10 16

Saturday 8 August

Summary
Min 10
Max 18
Showers easing.
Possible rainfall: 3 to 5 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers, most likely in the early morning. The chance of a thunderstorm, chiefly near the coast. Winds east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the morning.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Sunday 9 August

Summary
Min 9
Max 18
Showers increasing.
Possible rainfall: 6 to 15 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. Winds northwest to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light during the morning then becoming westerly 20 to 30 km/h during the day.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Monday 10 August

Summary
Min 10
Max 17
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 5 to 15 mm
Chance of any rain: 100% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (near 100%) chance of showers. Winds west to northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light during the morning then becoming south to southwesterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day.

Tuesday 11 August

Summary
Min 11
Max 18
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely during the morning. Winds southerly 20 to 30 km/h turning southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning.

Wednesday 12 August

Summary
Min 10
Max 19
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower, most likely later in the day. Light winds.

Thursday 13 August

Summary
Min 12
Max 22
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on July 30th, 2020 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf Forecast issued Thursday 30 July 2020: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Woooooo… that fresh southerly breeze on the coast is chilly.  It brought the size up a little this arvo but no one wanted to be out in it as far as I could see.

Down a little tomorrow, similar Saturday, then waves all week while gradually easing back in size and swinging direction.

Friday: upper end of the 1-2 metre range South/South East

Saturday: ditto East South East with some oomph

Sunday: down a little more in the 1-2 metre range but still with some push East South East

Monday:  around 1 metre or so East

Tuesday: ditto East North East

Wednesday: ditto again North East

Thursday: similarish North East

On better understanding >>>

Drove my bike, that I mostly ride to the beach and back sometimes, to a bike shop to get a new tube for a flat tyre.

I pushed it in to the shop, and the guy checked it out and said:

Really the two rims are wearing down to unsafe levels. They could split while you’re riding, which is dangerous. (Agreed). You’re looking at around $400 for two new wheels, but there’s a few other things that need attention.

You’re better off getting a new bike for around $500.

But we don’t have one of those to suit you at the moment.

We’ve got like this for $700, or this for a thousand.  (Hmmm.. expensive flat tyre).

Decided I’d think about it…

I pushed my bike back out to the car.

Now I have a better understanding of why they are called push bikes>>>

TG.

Up in the Air

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Jul 30 06:30:00 2020

MSLP Analysis for Thu Jul 30 00:00:00 2020 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/?-33.859,151.200,5

Down in the Sea

image

Water temp is around 17-18.

Tides

Click to access tide-tables-2020-2021.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds southerly 20 to 30 km/h turning southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h in the late evening.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Friday 31 July

Summary
Min 9
Max 17
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h tending southerly 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the early afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 11:20 am to 12:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Mostly sunny. Sydney 9 17
Sunny. Penrith 5 18
Sunny. Liverpool 6 17
Mostly sunny. Terrey Hills 8 15
Sunny. Richmond 3 17
Sunny. Parramatta 6 17
Sunny. Campbelltown 3 18
Mostly sunny. Bondi 11 17

Saturday 1 August

Summary
Min 7
Max 19
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Patchy fog in the early morning. Areas of morning frost in the outer west. Sunny day. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 10:50 am to 1:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Sunday 2 August

Summary
Min 8
Max 18
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 10:40 am to 1:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Monday 3 August

Summary
Min 8
Max 20
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds.

Tuesday 4 August

Summary
Min 9
Max 21
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds.

Wednesday 5 August

Summary
Min 10
Max 19
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower, most likely later in the day. Light winds.

Thursday 6 August

Summary
Min 10
Max 17
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 6 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming north to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h later.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on July 23rd, 2020 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 23 July 2020: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Nice day today,,, and tomorrow, but after that…you might be looking for something else to do  mostly indoors.

A Low is expected to develop off the Far North Coast of NSW late Sunday, then move quickly down the NSW coast on Monday. So swell direction and size will depend on where it ends up, but it doesn’t look like it’ll be pleasant. As it looks at the moment>>>

Friday: around 1 metre ish South/ South East

Saturday: around 1 metre or so South/East

Sunday:  1 ish metre South East

Monday: coming up into the 2-3 metre range at this stage South East

Tuesday: 3 ish metres South/South East, could have oomph

Wednesday: around 2 -3 ish metres East, ditto

Thursday: somewhere in the 2-3 metre range East.

Stay safe, stay aware, don’t share anything around that you wouldn’t want shared with you, if it’s already been shared with you…Sharing ain’t cool just at the moment.  Have Fun!! Focus on what you can do.. not what you can’t.

TG

Up in the Air

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Jul 23 06:30:00 2020

MSLP Analysis for Thu Jul 23 06:00:00 2020 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.850/151.220?-34.283,150.924,8

 

Down in the Sea

Water temp is a round 18…

image

Tides https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2020-2021.pdf

Here’s something for the nerds 🙂  Starts from 1992.

Click to access sydney_StormHistoryTable.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast issued at 4:20 pm EST on Thursday 23 July 2020.

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Clear.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly clear. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Friday 24 July

Summary
Min 8
Max 18
Possible fog then mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Morning fog. Mostly sunny afternoon. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Possible fog then mostly sunny. Sydney 8 18
Morning fog then mostly sunny. Penrith 2 20
Morning fog then mostly sunny. Liverpool 3 19
Early fog then mostly sunny. Terrey Hills 7 17
Morning fog then mostly sunny. Richmond 1 19
Morning fog then mostly sunny. Parramatta 4 19
Morning fog then mostly sunny. Campbelltown 2 19
Possible fog then mostly sunny. Bondi 11 18

Saturday 25 July

Summary
Min 10
Max 18
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 8 to 15 mm
Chance of any rain: 100% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Areas of fog in the early morning. Very high (near 100%) chance of showers, most likely from the late morning. The chance of a thunderstorm from the late morning. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Sunday 26 July

Summary
Min 12
Max 18
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 15 to 35 mm
Chance of any rain: 100% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (near 100%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the morning then tending south to southwesterly during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 11:40 am to 12:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Monday 27 July

Summary
Min 12
Max 18
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 6 to 15 mm
Chance of any rain: 95% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers. Winds southwesterly 25 to 35 km/h.

Tuesday 28 July

Summary
Min 11
Max 17
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. Winds southwesterly 25 to 35 km/h.

Wednesday 29 July

Summary
Min 9
Max 19
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Slight (20%) chance of a shower, most likely during the morning. Mostly sunny day. Winds southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h.

Thursday 30 July

Summary
Min 9
Max 18
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on July 16th, 2020 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 16 July 2020: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

It’s big, and wild and woolly, and big and cold and wet and windy too.  Did I say it was big and out of control? Currently around 4 metres from South East with a hefty 12 second period.

And it’ll be bigger and etc and etc tomorrow too.

I didn’t see anyone out today. And I’d be surprised if I did tomorrow, but you never know.

Conditions are only suitable, if that’s the appropriate word, for very experienced, highly fit, crazy people.

Hey cheer up! You can still exercise away your frustrations… and doesn’t everyone have those at the moment, crazy or not… Exercise is good for you. You might get yourself fitter for when the surf is more human friendly.

Friday: around 4 – 5 metres East South East and as mentioned above

Saturday: easing back slightly to around 3 metres East South East with punch. Maybe cleaner looking lines to watch, but still ditto

Sunday:  back a little more to around 2 metres East South East with some oomph

Monday: eased back early on, might be ok. But with a change in swell direction after the wind turns SW, starting to come up at places open to dead South, somewhere in the 1-2 metre range

Tuesday: coming up in the 1-2 metre range at places open to dead South

Wednesday:around 1 metre or so dead South

Thursday: around 1 metre dead South

Keep smiling. Be positive. Stay safe.

TG

Up in the Air

MSLP Analysis for Mon Jul 13 12:00:00 2020 AUTC at Mon Jul 13 12:00:00 2020 UTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Jul 16 07:30:00 2020

Look at all that open space and blue sky. But you see those white lines that you can’t really see from space (or can you???), well you might want to check here before trying to cross some of them at the moment >>>

https://www.health.gov.au/news/health-alerts/novel-coronavirus-2019-ncov-health-alert/coronavirus-covid-19-advice-for-travellers#travel-within-australia

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 19.. went up a notch in line with the swell increase from the South

image

Tides

Click to access tide-tables-2020-2021.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Shower or two. Windy.
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Mostly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers along the coastal fringe. Winds southwesterly 25 to 40 km/h.

Large and powerful surf conditions in the afternoon and evening are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Friday 17 July

Summary
Min 11
Max 17
A few showers. Windy.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Mostly cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers along the coastal fringe, slight (30%) chance elsewhere. Winds south to southwesterly 25 to 35 km/h decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h in the evening.

Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing.

Sun protection recommended from 11:50 am to 12:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
A few showers. Windy. Sydney 11 17
Partly cloudy. Penrith 7 18
Mostly cloudy. Liverpool 7 18
Shower or two. Terrey Hills 9 15
Partly cloudy. Richmond 6 18
Shower or two. Parramatta 8 17
Mostly cloudy. Campbelltown 6 18
A few showers. Windy. Bondi 13 17

Saturday 18 July

Summary
Min 11
Max 18
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a morning shower along the coast. Winds southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the morning.

Large and powerful surf conditions in the morning are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing.

Sun protection recommended from 11:00 am to 12:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Sunday 19 July

Summary
Min 9
Max 20
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 10:50 am to 12:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 3 [Moderate]

Monday 20 July

Summary
Min 9
Max 17
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds westerly 15 to 25 km/h turning southwesterly during the morning.

Tuesday 21 July

Summary
Min 8
Max 17
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h.

Wednesday 22 July

Summary
Min 8
Max 17
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds.

Thursday 23 July

Summary
Min 8
Max 18
Mostly sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.2 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on July 9th, 2020 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 9 July 2020: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Fine now, but a Low’s on its way from Dubbyuh Eh?.. Currently forecast to sit off our coast from late Monday >>>

Until then there could be a few noice little waves around for the weekend… then it’s a case of watch this space. Low’s are precocious and often just do what they want, so this is based on the crystal ball as it currently looks … foggyness notwithstanding…

I love it = a new word and a big word all messing up the sentence together at once.

So with the foregoing in mind…

Friday: around 1 metre or less South East

Saturday: ditto East

Sunday: ditto ditto

Monday: around 1-1+ metres East

Tuesday: Now here’s where it gets interesting.. From where TG currently sits. or stands it looks like>>>: around 3 – 3+ metres East South East.  If the Low changes course or whatever, it won’t be like that at all 🙂  But if it is, it’s gunna be windy and rainy so you probably won’t care, being inside.

Wednesday: around the 3-4 metre range East South East, with ditto proviso

Thursday: similar.

 

Up in the Air

Fine now, but a Low’s on its way from Dubbyuh Eh?.. Currently forecast to sit off our coast from late Monday >>>

MSLP Analysis for Thu Jul  9 06:00:00 2020 AUTC

http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/4day_col.shtml

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.850/151.220?-34.283,150.924,8

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 18.  TG is Cool. But that’s what he calls: Gettin’ cool.

Haven’t seen any whales for a week. They’re smart … frolicking way out wide where the current is warmer…

image

Tides https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2020-2021.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds northwest to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Friday 10 July

Summary
Min 10
Max 18
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Areas of morning fog possible in the west. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely from the late morning. Light winds becoming northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late afternoon.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Possible shower. Sydney 10 18
Shower or two. Penrith 6 18
Cloudy. Liverpool 7 18
Shower or two. Terrey Hills 9 16
Shower or two. Richmond 5 18
Possible shower. Parramatta 7 18
Cloudy. Campbelltown 5 18
Possible shower. Bondi 12 17

Saturday 11 July

Summary
Min 11
Max 20
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 6 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the late morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming north to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the middle of the day.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Sunday 12 July

Summary
Min 9
Max 19
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Monday 13 July

Summary
Min 10
Max 17
Showers or rain.
Possible rainfall: 25 to 45 mm
Chance of any rain: 100% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (near 100%) chance of showers, possibly tending to rain. Heavy falls possible. Winds southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning westerly 15 to 25 km/h during the afternoon.

Tuesday 14 July

Summary
Min 11
Max 18
Showers or rain. Windy.
Possible rainfall: 25 to 70 mm
Chance of any rain: 100% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (near 100%) chance of showers, possibly tending to rain. Heavy falls possible. Winds westerly 20 to 30 km/h turning south to southwesterly 25 to 40 km/h during the morning.

Wednesday 15 July

Summary
Min 12
Max 19
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 8 to 20 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. Winds southerly 25 to 40 km/h.

Thursday 16 July

Summary
Min 13
Max 19
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on July 2nd, 2020 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 2 July 2020: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Beautiful offshore conditions this arvo, with some pretty little lines rolling in.  It was nice to see someone out there enjoying them.

Not for me though … I decided I’d take this week off surfing, as it seemed like a good time to get some maintenance work done on the equipment… It had to be done sometime.

The usual stuff that comes from wear and tear having fun in the sun … have a few dings repaired, patching up some stuff that needs fixing, and so on, in the hope that it might improve my surfing and peace of mind at least.

It’s not my board’s fault…. It’s in A1 condition…

I was talking about me!                 Gotcha didn’t I.                Hahaha

Anyhoo… let’s see if TG has made the right decision…

Friday: around 1 metre or so South East

Saturday: swell showing outside but with a lot off SSW, so not much on the coast.. say 1 metre or so at places open to dead South

Sunday: coming up from dead South, with a bit of attitude.. let’s say 1-2 metres, 2 metres or maybe more at dead South spots

Monday:  around 1-2, 2 ish metres dead South

Tuesday: say 2 ish, and it should be getting into protected South corners – which will be crowded of course for the school hols

Wednesday: ditto with some oomph behind it

Thursday: dittoish and with a bit of grunt.

Did TG make the right decision choosing this week to stay out of the water???

Audience participation is invited… It’s a game for the whole family! 🙂

Say “Yes” or “No”… (to yourself if no one else can hear you.)

Those who said “No, he should get out there”… clearly haven’t seen TG surf for quite a while eh?  That would include young X who said he saw me get a great wave off rocks the other day – except I haven’t been in the water. Bless his heart… he’s confusing me with a TG of some years back maybe.

Those who said “Yes”, agree with me.  I don’t think it would be suitable or enjoyable for TG anyway, dings fixed or not.  And it should be all about Having Fun … Right??!  He’ll watch you maybe.

A final word before everyone goes off to enjoy the school holidays here or elsewhere in NSW>>>

I had someone who I hadn’t seen for a while greet me this week and he was about to shake my hand.. I backed off and said “no can do”. He looked surprised and said: “Have you got it??” (!!)

No I haven’t got it!!… But I don’t think he “gets it”.. any more than the people in Victoria who are now back in lock down again “got it” last week!!

Let’s not go back there eh??  Just follow the official advice. It’s not that hard.

Have fun. Stay safe.

TG

Up in the Air

Yes…exactly

MSLP Analysis for Thu Jul  2 06:00:00 2020 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Jul  2 07:30:00 2020

Winds

Down in the Sea

Water temp is getting cooler and the whales are hurrying north past us closer inshore now cause the warmer current is way offshore… Isn’t that interesting…

image

Tides for 2020-21

Click to access tide-tables-2020-2021.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Mostly clear.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly clear. Winds north to northwesterly 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Friday 3 July

Summary
Min 10
Max 19
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Early fog patches in the west. Winds west to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Sunny. Sydney 10 19
Sunny. Penrith 6 19
Sunny. Liverpool 7 18
Sunny. Terrey Hills 9 16
Early fog then sunny. Richmond 5 18
Sunny. Parramatta 8 18
Sunny. Campbelltown 5 17
Sunny. Bondi 12 17

Saturday 4 July

Summary
Min 7
Max 16
Morning shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Medium (40%) chance of showers in the morning. Mostly sunny afternoon. Light winds becoming southwesterly 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then tending westerly 15 to 20 km/h in the evening.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Sunday 5 July

Summary
Min 8
Max 18
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds west to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light during the afternoon.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Monday 6 July

Summary
Min 8
Max 17
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds.

Tuesday 7 July

Summary
Min 8
Max 17
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming southerly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 8 July

Summary
Min 9
Max 17
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds.

Thursday 9 July

Summary
Min 8
Max 19
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds.


Posted on June 25th, 2020 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 25 June 2020: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Lovely sunny day today with lots of blue sky.

Cool days coming up then a little warmer… Could get some cool waves  from time to time if you’re lucky~~~~~~~

Friday: up from today…say into the 2-3 metre range South East, with some oomph at times but with S wind to chop it up .. swell could get into protected corners ok

Saturday: easing back into the upper end of the 1-2 metre range East South East, with sets at times

Sunday: easing back more into the lower end of the 1-2 metre range South South East, but with some sets from the East

Monday: around 1 ish metres at places that get dead South swell

Tuesday: coming up into the 1-2 metre range South East

Wednesday: same

Thursday:around 1 ish metres, more or less, South East

Have a good one and Stay Happy.

TG

Up in the Air

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Jun 25 06:30:00 2020

MSLP Analysis for Thu Jun 25 00:00:00 2020 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/?-34.066,150.816,5

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 18, 19… not cold just makes the wind feel a bit cool after a while.

image

Tides

Click to access tide-tables-2019-2020.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Clear.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Clear. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Friday 26 June

Summary
Min 9
Max 18
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds west to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning south to southeasterly in the middle of the day.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Mostly sunny. Sydney 9 18
Mostly sunny. Penrith 5 18
Mostly sunny. Liverpool 6 18
Mostly sunny. Terrey Hills 7 16
Mostly sunny. Richmond 3 18
Mostly sunny. Parramatta 6 18
Mostly sunny. Campbelltown 5 18
Mostly sunny. Bondi 11 17

Saturday 27 June

Summary
Min 11
Max 17
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Sunday 28 June

Summary
Min 10
Max 17
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers along the coastal fringe, slight (20%) chance elsewhere. Light winds becoming southerly 15 to 20 km/h during the day then becoming light during the afternoon.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Monday 29 June

Summary
Min 9
Max 17
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds.

Tuesday 30 June

Summary
Min 7
Max 18
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds.

Wednesday 1 July

Summary
Min 9
Max 20
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds.

Thursday 2 July

Summary
Min 9
Max 20
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming westerly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

 


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on June 18th, 2020 in Goat's Forecast.
The Goat’s Surf Forecast
Surf forecast issued Thursday 18 June 2020: Seven
day outlook for Sydney:
Been warm, cold, cool, warm, cool… TG doesn’t know where he is.
The ocean has started to come alive with more whales headed up the coast. They’re mostly out wide and are traveling in groups, but if you see one spout you’ll see more.  If they start to come closer inshore, keep an eye out for their camp followers.
There should still be some waves around of varying quality, depending on the winds, in the coming week.
Friday:  somewhere in the 1-2 metre range South East
Saturday: ditto
Sunday: in the 1-2 metre range East
Monday: around 1 metre South East
Tuesday: heey ditto
Wednesday: starting to come up say 2. 2+ metres at dead South spots
Thursday: somewhere in the 2-3 metre range based on the current outlook (but that can always change over a week)
You’re all doing very well. Keep up the good work!…so TG might be able to go somewhere it’s more consistently warmer!!
Keep smiling and stay happy. 🙂
TG.
Up in the Air
MSLP Analysis for Thu Jun 18 06:00:00 2020 AUTC
Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Jun 18 11:30:00 2020
Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Friday 19 June

Summary
Min 10
Max 19
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Areas of fog mainly in the west in the early morning. Mostly sunny afternoon. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Partly cloudy. Sydney 10 19
Mostly sunny. Penrith 7 20
Mostly sunny. Liverpool 7 19
Partly cloudy. Terrey Hills 9 17
Early fog then mostly sunny. Richmond 6 19
Early fog then mostly sunny. Parramatta 8 19
Early fog then mostly sunny. Campbelltown 6 19
Partly cloudy. Bondi 12 19

Saturday 20 June

Summary
Min 10
Max 20
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny morning. Patchy fog in the morning, mainly in the west. Medium (40%) chance of showers at night. Light winds becoming northerly 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Sunday 21 June

Summary
Min 11
Max 18
Showers easing.
Possible rainfall: 4 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 90% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Monday 22 June

Summary
Min 8
Max 17
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Winds westerly 15 to 20 km/h.

Tuesday 23 June

Summary
Min 8
Max 17
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 4 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely later in the day. Winds westerly 15 to 25 km/h.

Wednesday 24 June

Summary
Min 10
Max 18
Shower or two. Windy.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 6 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely during the morning. Winds southwesterly 30 to 45 km/h.

Thursday 25 June

Summary
Min 11
Max 19
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h turning southerly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on June 11th, 2020 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 11 June 2020: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Funny old week.. The Bureau forecasts seemed to be a day ahead or behind themselves at times, so TG didn’t know what day it was. But some people say that about him all the time anyway…

Wind’s cold, shade’s cold, rain’s cold… Yet there are still people who want to throw themselves into the ocean… Weird huh?

Saw a pod of nine whales headed North today… They didn’t look like they were gonna stop at the Border – having traveled all the way up from Antarctica with the kids saying: Are we there yet? Are we there yet? (in Whale Talk of course).

Surf outlook for the coming week is not spectacular, in fact pretty ordinary in the Smallish to Medium category. so you’ll really have to think about if you want to get wet. But there should be something around most of the time if you do, and it’ll be good for beginners and other folks.  Size at individual beaches will depend on wave direction each day, and that looks like chopping and changing.

Friday: around 1 metre or so North East

Saturday: ditto East

Sunday: similar North East

Monday: and again East North East

Tuesday: down a bit… ie 1 metre or less East North East

Wednesday: Same same East

Thursday: Same same same.

Stay well by keeping your distance, so you won’t be sick when there are good waves around eh.

TG.

Up in the Air

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Jun 11 09:30:00 2020

Who’d think there were any showers up there

MSLP Analysis for Thu Jun 11 06:00:00 2020 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 19-20

image

Tides

Click to access tide-tables-2019-2020.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Mostly clear. Slight (20%) chance of a shower along the coastal fringe later this evening. Winds south to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h tending south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h in the evening.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Friday 12 June

Summary
Min 13
Max 19
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Areas of morning fog. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Possible shower. Sydney 13 19
Early fog. Partly cloudy. Penrith 10 19
Possible shower. Liverpool 10 19
Possible shower. Terrey Hills 11 17
Partly cloudy. Richmond 9 18
Early fog. Possible shower. Parramatta 10 18
Early fog. Partly cloudy. Campbelltown 8 19
Possible shower. Bondi 15 19

Saturday 13 June

Summary
Min 12
Max 20
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Patchy morning fog in the west. Slight (20%) chance of a shower in the late afternoon and evening. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Sunday 14 June

Summary
Min 14
Max 21
Shower or two clearing.
Possible rainfall: 4 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

High (80%) chance of showers with the risk of a thunderstorm, most likely in the morning, clearing to a mostly sunny afternoon. Light winds becoming westerly 15 to 25 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Monday 15 June

Summary
Min 9
Max 19
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds.

Tuesday 16 June

Summary
Min 10
Max 20
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds.

Wednesday 17 June

Summary
Min 11
Max 18
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds.

Thursday 18 June

Summary
Min 11
Max 18
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on June 4th, 2020 in Goat's Forecast.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 4 June 2020: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

A bit of a mixed bag of weather and waves coming up for the Long Weekend and next week.

Friday: 2-2.5 metres South South East

Saturday: 1.5-2 metres South East

Sunday: around 1 metre or so dead South

Monday: coming up again  around 2 metres or so at dead South spots, but waves will possibly get into protected corners >>

Tuesday: >> but short lived, and down again in the 1-2 metre range South South East

Wednesday: about 1 metre due South

Thursday: 1 metre or less South East

If you’re learning, don’t go into surf that looks rough.  It is. And there are plenty of rips around. The cold air and wind will sap your energy faster than you might think.  So stay safe. Surf within your ability, fitness and age range.

Have a good one.

TG

Up in the Air

MSLP Analysis for Thu Jun  4 06:00:00 2020 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Jun  4 07:30:00 2020

Winds

https://www.windy.com/?-33.859,151.200,5

Down in the Sea

Water temp is about 19 – 20

image

Tides

Click to access tide-tables-2019-2020.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Mostly clear. Slight (20%) chance of a shower along the coastal fringe. Winds southerly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the late evening.

Large and powerful surf conditions in the afternoon and evening are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Friday 5 June

Summary
Min 8
Max 19
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Areas of morning frost and patchy fog, mainly in the west. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon Location Min Max
Sunny. Sydney 8 19
Sunny. Penrith 2 19
Sunny. Liverpool 3 18
Sunny. Terrey Hills 5 17
Sunny. Richmond 1 19
Sunny. Parramatta 3 18
Sunny. Campbelltown 1 19
Sunny. Bondi 10 18

Saturday 6 June

Summary
Min 8
Max 18
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Areas of morning frost and patchy fog in the west. Sunny day. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Sunday 7 June

Summary
Min 9
Max 17
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 6 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers along the coastal fringe, medium (40%) chance elsewhere. Light winds becoming southerly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then tending southwesterly during the evening.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Monday 8 June

Summary
Min 10
Max 18
A few showers.
Possible rainfall: 4 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers along the coastal fringe, medium (60%) chance elsewhere. Winds southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h tending southerly during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 9 June

Summary
Min 12
Max 19
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of a shower along the coast, slight (20%) chance elsewhere. Light winds.

Wednesday 10 June

Summary
Min 11
Max 19
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds.

Thursday 11 June

Summary
Min 10
Max 18
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 4 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Light winds.