Posts in Goat’s Forecast

Saturday and beyond

Posted on February 25th, 2017 in At large, Goat's Forecast, Surf Reports.

Something for you to read on a wet day

Waves are currently around 2.3 m offshore from dead South at 9 seconds.  Tide is high at 8.20am. It’s raining heavy at times, windy at 30-40 kph overcast and dull to dark to poor visibility…

And there are some keen ones in the water! Me… I’ll have a shower instead.

The surf doesn’t look too promising for Saturday at the moment….likely to start coming up at places open to due South, but which will also be open to the S wind … And only shortish period swell, so it’s not likely much will get into protected corners.
If you’re keen you’ll have to look hard to find that place with a sweet spot between the wind being too much, and the waves not breaking.
For the following days, not much joy at this stage… Although there’ll be waves pretty much all week it looks like most days with have onshore/onshoreish wind, so wave quality isn’t likely to be high.
Never mind.  Might be ok for a get fit swim in protected corners, or in beach rock pools
Water temp was 22 from the Noreasters yesterday…Already back up to 24 after the southerly came through.
The Bureau is forecasting several days with the chance of a Thunderstorm… Being on the open ocean, or an open beach if there’s lightning around is not the places to be then.
The Goat’s Surf Forecast 
Surf forecast issued Thursday 23 February 2017: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Well we’ve had some nice weather …and ordinary waves. ..

Now, based on the Bureau’s current weather outlook, and after TG has digested the info he swallowed from his long range over the horizon binoculars and crystal ball (there’s a picture for you),  it looks like we might have coming our way ….some ordinary weather…and some ordinary short period low quality waves!  Yum.
I can either tell you what you want to hear, or I can tell you the truth…
No use sugar coating it for you..
Friday: around the middle of the 1-2 metre range East North East, might be alright in the morning before the wind turns S / SE
Saturday: starting to come up at places that get dead South swell,  but with little quality, no pulse to it and windy and choppy
Sunday: in the 1-2 metre range East North East with onshore wind
Monday: pretty much ditto
Tuesday: down a bit in the 1-2 metre range East North East onshoreish
Wednesday: and ditto
Thursday: 1-2 metre range East with onshore
Have fun.  Keep smiling!
TG 😊

In the Air

MSLP Analysis for Fri Feb 24 18:00:00 2017 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windytv.com/?-33.875,151.228,5

In the Sea

image

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2016-2017.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Saturday

Summary
Max 24
Showers. Possible storm.
Possible rainfall: 6 to 20 mm
Chance of any rain: 90%

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very High (90%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds southerly 25 to 40 km/h decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h in the evening.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis IconLocationMinMax
Showers. Possible storm.Sydney24
Showers. Possible storm.Penrith23
Showers. Possible storm.Liverpool23
Showers. Possible storm.Terrey Hills22
Showers. Possible storm.Richmond24
Showers. Possible storm.Parramatta23
Showers. Possible storm.Campbelltown23
Showers. Possible storm.Bondi24

 

Sunday 26 February

Summary
Min 20
Max 23
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 25 to 40 mm
Chance of any rain: 90%

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds southerly 15 to 20 km/h turning east to southeasterly during the afternoon and evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:40 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Monday 27 February

Summary
Min 20
Max 26
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 5 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 70%

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the evening. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day then tending southerly during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:40 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Tuesday 28 February

Summary
Min 20
Max 27
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 5 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 80%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers, most likely during the day. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Wednesday 1 March

Summary
Min 21
Max 27
Showers increasing.
Possible rainfall: 3 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 80%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming east to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Thursday 2 March

Summary
Min 21
Max 27
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 3 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 80%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm later in the day. Light winds.


Posted on February 23rd, 2017 in Goat's Forecast.

 

The Goat’s Surf Forecast
Surf forecast issued Thursday 23 February 2017: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Well we’ve had some nice weather …and ordinary waves. ..

Now, based on the Bureau’s current weather outlook, and after TG has digested the info he swallowed from his long range over the horizon binoculars and crystal ball (there’s a picture for you),  it looks like we might have coming our way ….some ordinary weather…and some ordinary short period low quality waves!  Yum.
I can either tell you what you want to hear, or I can tell you the truth…
No use sugar coating it for you..
Friday: around the middle of the 1-2 metre range East North East, might be alright in the morning before the wind turns S / SE
Saturday: starting to come up at places that get dead South swell,  but with little quality, no pulse to it and windy and choppy
Sunday: in the 1-2 metre range East North East with onshore wind
Monday: pretty much ditto
Tuesday: down a bit in the 1-2 metre range East North East onshoreish
Wednesday: and ditto
Thursday: 1-2 metre range East with onshore
Have fun.  Keep smiling!
TG 😊

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on February 16th, 2017 in Goat's Forecast.

20 Years of TG’s Surf Forecasts !!

Surf forecast issued Thursday 16 February 2017: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Yep, TG has officially done 20 years of surf forecasts, and is now into his 21st year (I wonder if he’ll ever grow up??)…

The first forecast went up on 30 January 1997 and there has been a forecast on realsurf.com for the week ahead almost every week since then 🙂

TG’s Surf Forecasts were the first publicly available surf forecasts on the internet in Australia!  We know that was the case – because there wasn’t anyone else!

And they are still provided free, and gratis, and without charge to the viewing public. Talk about value for money.

To all those who’ve said nice things about them and how helpful they’ve been over the years (amazingly a lot of people) Thank you…It’s appreciated and a pleasure.  But don’t let that stop you… Keep on sending ’em :)… TG thrives on praise.

To those (remarkably few) others who’ve felt inclined to nitpick when the forecast for a particular day was out by say a metre.. or three (quite rare, amazingly)… You can go umm… make your own arrangements 🙂  The forecasts come to you with the proviso:  You can’t tell Mother Nature what to do.

http://www.realsurf.com/the-goat-faq/

Now for the week ahead…

Not much in store, unless you ride a longboard or SUP… and at the right tides, you might get a fun little wave.  If you don’t, and you don’t like onshores when the surf is slightly bigger, then Suck it up! (that’s harsh love I know) and Relax.

Friday: around 1 metre or so North East, maybe a little more

Saturday: about 1 metre North East

Sunday: coming up in the 1-2 metre range from South South East, and windy.  Not much is likely to get into protected corners

Monday: going down already to about 1 metre at dead South places, and windy

Tuesday: hmm, ditto

Wednesday: 1 metre or less East South East

Thursday: about 1 metre East South East

Have fun! Keep smiling!

In the Air

MSLP Analysis for Thu Feb 16 00:00:00 2017 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windytv.com/?-33.879,151.219,5

In the Sea

image

Water temp is around 23.

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2016-2017.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Max 31
Possible afternoon shower.
Chance of any rain: 30%

Sydney area

Sunny morning. Slight (30%) chance of a shower in the afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the west in the afternoon. Light winds becoming northerly 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then tending northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h in the late afternoon.

Fire Danger – High

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis IconLocationMinMax
Possible afternoon shower.Sydney31
Possible shower.Penrith37
Possible shower.Liverpool35
Possible afternoon shower.Terrey Hills30
Possible shower.Richmond37
Possible afternoon shower.Parramatta34
Possible shower.Campbelltown36
Possible afternoon shower.Bondi29

 

Friday 17 February

Summary
Min 23
Max 33
Afternoon shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 50%

Sydney area

Hot. Sunny morning. Medium (60%) chance of showers in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the morning then becoming north to northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Saturday 18 February

Summary
Min 24
Max 27
Showers. Possible storm.
Possible rainfall: 15 to 35 mm
Chance of any rain: 95%

Sydney area

Becoming cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds northwest to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h tending south to southeasterly 25 to 35 km/h during the morning.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Sunday 19 February

Summary
Min 19
Max 23
Showers. Becoming windy.
Possible rainfall: 10 to 25 mm
Chance of any rain: 90%

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of showers. Winds southerly 25 to 40 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Monday 20 February

Summary
Min 18
Max 24
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 6 mm
Chance of any rain: 70%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, most likely during the morning. Winds south to southwesterly 25 to 35 km/h.

Tuesday 21 February

Summary
Min 17
Max 25
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning southeasterly during the day.

Wednesday 22 February

Summary
Min 19
Max 28
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on February 9th, 2017 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 9 February 2017: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Some more hottish days ahead, and then some cooler, and then some hotter, according to the BoM.

Nothing like variety… and there’s also variety in your wind and wave directions ahead…

Friday: down from today, but in the 1-2 metre range, and still with sets from the East North East

Saturday: 1-2 metre range East North East, and watch for sets

Sunday: ditto and ditto at first, but going down as the forecast Southerly hits it

Monday: coming up at places open to the South, say 2-3 metres at dead South spots, but not much at all in protected corners (as it’ll be from SSW)

Tuesday: still up, say around 2 metres dead South, and slowly going down

Wednesday: around 1 metre or so..and with occasional oomph

Thursday: ditto and ditto, but going down.

Stay safe. Have Fun!

In the <Pacific is Terrific> Ocean~~~~~~~~~~~

The Water Temp is very pleasant at around 23.

image

Tides will go up and down~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Have a look here……….

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2016-2017.pdf

In the <Great Southern Land> Sky

Hi Ivor  >>>>> Hope all’s well….http://www.icehouse-ivadavies.com/tourdates.html

MSLP Analysis for Thu Feb  9 00:00:00 2017 AUTC

Winds are a blowin’ )))  )))) ………….all over the place……….

https://www.windytv.com/?-33.888,151.123,5

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Mostly clear.
Chance of any rain: 0%

Sydney area

Mostly clear. Winds northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 5:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 14 [Extreme]

Friday 10 February

Summary
Min 23
Max 38
Hot and mostly sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 0%

Sydney area

Very hot and mostly sunny. Winds northwest to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h tending westerly in the middle of the day then turning southerly 25 to 35 km/h in the evening.

Fire Danger – High

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 5:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 14 [Extreme]

 

Saturday 11 February

Summary
Min 24
Max 39
Hot and mostly sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 0%

Sydney area

Very hot and mostly sunny. Winds southerly 20 to 30 km/h turning westerly in the morning then becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 14 [Extreme]

Sunday 12 February

Summary
Min 25
Max 30
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 5%

Sydney area

Hot. Partly cloudy. Winds south to southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 14 [Extreme]

Monday 13 February

Summary
Min 19
Max 25
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 5%

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day.

Tuesday 14 February

Summary
Min 19
Max 24
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 50%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. Winds southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h.

Wednesday 15 February

Summary
Min 19
Max 27
Early shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 50%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Thursday 16 February

Summary
Min 20
Max 31
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 40%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers, most likely later in the day. Winds northerly 15 to 20 km/h turning northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.


TG’s Surf Forecast

Posted on February 2nd, 2017 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 2 February 2017: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

The gusty Southerly change that came through this morning huffed and it puffed but it didn’t really do anything, and while it has eased off considerably, the present smallish surf is WCNG (Windy, Choppy, No Good).

Wind is expected to be light North Easter by tomorrow, with some more hot weather on the way. The surf outlook for the coming weekend and week is, shall we say, somewhat subdued.. but have no fear there will be little waves at some places at the right tides…and with the appropriate surf craft.

Friday: about 1 metre or so South East

Saturday: about 1 metre or so ..little bit of South East…little bit of North East direction

Sunday: ditto..ditto..and ditto

Monday: in the 1-2 metre range North East

Tuesday: in the 1-2 metre range South East after an expected southerly change, but WCNG

Wednesday: a bit bigger and dittoish.. small swell period so not much is likely to get into protected corners

Thursday: in the 1-2 metre range East.

Have fun!

Look…Up in the Sky…

MSLP Analysis for Thu Feb 2 00:00:00 2017 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windytv.com/?-33.879,151.219,5

See…Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 22 or so

image

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2016-2017.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 30%

Sydney area

Cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Winds southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Friday 3 February

Summary
Min 22
Max 29
Shower or two clearing.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 60%

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers during the day. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 14 [Extreme]

 

Saturday 4 February

Summary
Min 24
Max 32
Possible afternoon shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower in the afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 14 [Extreme]

Sunday 5 February

Summary
Min 25
Max 36
Hot. Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 20%

Sydney area

Hot. Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower in the afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the west in the afternoon. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 5:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 14 [Extreme]

Monday 6 February

Summary
Min 25
Max 31
Possible late shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers in the evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the outer west in the afternoon. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the evening.

Tuesday 7 February

Summary
Min 23
Max 28
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 6 to 15 mm
Chance of any rain: 90%

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of showers. Winds southerly 20 to 30 km/h.

Wednesday 8 February

Summary
Min 23
Max 28
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 5 mm
Chance of any rain: 70%

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. Winds southerly 15 to 20 km/h turning east to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Thursday 9 February

Summary
Min 23
Max 32
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.


TG’s Surf Forecast

Posted on January 26th, 2017 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 26 January 2017: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Happy Australia Day…hope you all enjoy it wisely.

Variable winds so not much chance for waves to build up over the coming weekend and week.  But there are some warm days forecast by the Bureau, so the mostly small waves will at the right times and right places provide an excuse to get wet and get some paddling exercise at the same time.

Friday: around the middle of the 1-2 metre range at places that get dead South swell at first then more coming in from East South East

Saturday: ditto size… from South East

Sunday: ditto…from North East

Monday: ditto..East

Tuesday: ditto..North East

Wednesday: and ditto..East North East

Water temp is around 21 at present…

 

 


TG’s Surf Forecast

Posted on January 19th, 2017 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 19 January 2017: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

A dull day today (just in the sky, not in the News) after the Southerly ripped through yesterday.  The Southerly brought rapid and welcome relief from the hot weather and some waves as well, which have started to go down already as the wind has turned East North East/North East.

For the week ahead … lots of wind changes and lots of wave changes ~~ and a State Premier and a US President change or two.

Friday: down at first from today, say around the low end of the 1-2 metre range at places that get dead South swell… coming up later

Saturday: coming up more to around say 2-2+ metres at places that are open to dead South swell – with southerly wind… maybe just a little might get into protected corners

Sunday: down a little, but sets still around 2 metres or so at dead South places

Monday: in the 1-2 metre range East South East (with a light Noreaster forecast)

Tuesday: down in the low end of the 1-2 metre range East North East

Wednesday: up again.. 2 or so metres at dead South spots only

Thursday: down in the 1-2 metre range dead South

Up in the Sky

MSLP Analysis for Thu Jan 19 00:00:00 2017 AUTC

Wind

https://www.windytv.com/?-33.859,151.200,5

Down in the Sea

Water temp offshore is around 22…onshore it’s been a little cooler at times but should be around that for the week ahead.

image

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2016-2017.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Max 25
Cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20%

Sydney area

Cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower, becoming less likely in the early afternoon. Winds easterly 15 to 25 km/h turning northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the evening.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 5:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 15 [Extreme]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis IconLocationMinMax
Cloudy.Sydney25
Cloudy.Penrith26
Cloudy.Liverpool25
Cloudy.Terrey Hills23
Cloudy.Richmond27
Cloudy.Parramatta25
Cloudy.Campbelltown25
Cloudy.Bondi24

 

Friday 20 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 28
Showers. Possible storm.
Possible rainfall: 6 to 15 mm
Chance of any rain: 95%

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (95%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds north to northeasterly 25 to 35 km/h shifting southerly 20 to 30 km/h in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 5:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 15 [Extreme]

Saturday 21 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 26
Windy. Cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 10%

Sydney area

Cloudy. Winds southeast to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h tending southerly 30 to 45 km/h during the morning then becoming south to southeasterly and light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 5:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 14 [Extreme]

Sunday 22 January

Summary
Min 21
Max 27
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 5%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 5:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 15 [Extreme]

Monday 23 January

Summary
Min 20
Max 30
Mostly sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 10%

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Tuesday 24 January

Summary
Min 24
Max 36
Hot. Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 6 mm
Chance of any rain: 70%

Sydney area

Hot. Partly cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. Winds north to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h shifting southerly 25 to 35 km/h later.

Wednesday 25 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 25
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 3 to 15 mm
Chance of any rain: 80%

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers. Winds southerly 25 to 35 km/h turning southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the morning.

 


TG’s Surf Forecast

Posted on January 12th, 2017 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 12 January 2017: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

On the coast, it’s basically just nice and warm now (at 7pm)… even nicer at the beach if you’ve been hot all day… with a gentle breeze that’s expected to swing to a Noreaster tomorrow…

But don’t get too settled… because the weather, wind and waves don’t plan to be too settled…

Don’t forget the Avalon Beach Surf Swim Sunday – open to everyone – proceeds to ABSLSC >>> details >>>

http://oceanfit.com.au/event/avalon-beach-surf-swim/

The Surf:

Friday: about 1 metre or so North East

Saturday: smaller North East

Sunday: 1-2 metre range at dead South places only (possibly some sets)

Monday: ditto and ditto

Tuesday: two swell directions for the price of one.. 1-2 metre range North East with sets from dead South

Wednesday: about 1 metre North East

Thursday: coming up, briefly, say around 2, 2+ metres at dead South friendly places only.

Stay safe. Have fun. Don’t get burnt in the sun.

Air

MSLP Analysis for Thu Jan 12 06:00:00 2017 AUTC

Wind

https://www.windytv.com/?-33.859,151.200,6

Ocean

Water temp is a civilised 23…pleasant for aquatic activities

image

 

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2016-2017.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds easterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 5:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 14 [Extreme]

Friday 13 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 33
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 10%

Sydney area

Hot. Partly cloudy. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h increasing to 30 km/h before shifting south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening.

Fire Danger – Very High

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 5:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 16 [Extreme]

 

Saturday 14 January

Summary
Min 26
Max 31
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 4 mm
Chance of any rain: 60%

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and early evening. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the morning.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 5:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 15 [Extreme]

Sunday 15 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 25
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 70%

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Winds southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h turning easterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 5:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 15 [Extreme]

Monday 16 January

Summary
Min 20
Max 28
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 5%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day.

Tuesday 17 January

Summary
Min 21
Max 33
Sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 10%

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 18 January

Summary
Min 27
Max 37
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 70%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. Winds northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h shifting south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Thursday 19 January

Summary
Min 23
Max 27
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 3 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 70%

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers. Winds south to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h turning east to northeasterly during the day.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on January 5th, 2017 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 5 January 2017: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Two Highs and a couple of Lows in the coming week mean a mixed bag of wind… (I think I’ve known a couple of blokes who fit that description)…Mainly light winds will at least settle round to NE NNE after tomorrow for a couple of days before a light Southerly then back to N/NW before a Southerly change Thursday.

The surf won’t be too exciting as a result, but there will be little short period waves to ride at the right tide, right places.  At least it won’t be as ordinary as it’s been the last couple of days.

Friday: lower end of the 1-2 metre range East, windblown onshore

Saturday: ditto East North East

Sunday: ditto North North East

Monday: ditto and lazy

Tuesday: about 1 metre North East

Wednesday: about the same

Thursday: starting to show a bit at dead South places.

The Sky

MSLP Analysis for Thu Jan  5 06:00:00 2017 AUTC

Wind

https://www.windytv.com/?2017-01-11-18,-33.861,151.198,6

The Sea

Water temp is around 22.

image

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2016-2017.pdf

 

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower in the west, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 5:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 14 [Extreme]

Friday 6 January

Summary
Min 21
Max 25
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers in the morning and early afternoon. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 5:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

 

Saturday 7 January

Summary
Min 21
Max 27
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 5:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 14 [Extreme]

Sunday 8 January

Summary
Min 19
Max 30
Mostly sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 5%

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 5:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 15 [Extreme]

Monday 9 January

Summary
Min 21
Max 31
Mostly sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 10%

Sydney area

Hot and mostly sunny. Slight (20%) chance of a shower in the outer west in the afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then tending north to northeasterly during the evening.

Tuesday 10 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 29
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 4 mm
Chance of any rain: 60%

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the morning.

Wednesday 11 January

Summary
Min 23
Max 37
Hot. Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 60%

Sydney area

Hot. Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. Winds north to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h shifting southerly 20 to 30 km/h later.

Thursday 12 January

Summary
Min 21
Max 27
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 50%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. Winds southerly 20 to 30 km/h decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h during the morning.

 

 


The Goat’s New Year Surf Forecast… and TG’s New Year Message

Posted on December 29th, 2016 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 29 December 2016: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

The surf should be going down from today’s conditions, but there should still be enough movement in the ocean over the next several days, to get cool and to have fun in the water, along with everyone else!

Friday: down in the 1-2 metre range North East… that means bigger at southern ends of beaches than at northern ends

Saturday: ditto East North East

Sunday New Year’s Day: about 1 metre or so East North East

Monday: coming up in the 1-2 metre range at places that like dead South swell.. and bypassing most other places

Tuesday: down a little in ditto

Wednesday: ditto and ditto

Thursday: about 1 metre dead South

And in a two for the price of one deal for you… here’s free of charge, gratis, and gratuitous:

TG’s New Year Message

Well, 2016 went by as fast as this year’s winning yachts in the Sydney-Hobart … and that was quick!

Lots of fun things happened and some less than fun things happened at the personal, local, and world levels over the past twelve months for us all I’m sure, or at least I hope the net result was mostly positive for everyone’s memory banks.  If not, then c’est la vie for 2016, and let’s hope for a better 2017!

What’s in store for 2017??  Who knows for sure.  But some things are for certain for the coming year…

The world will keep turning, the sun will come up each day (even if obscured by clouds from time to time), the winds will keep blowing, and waves will keep on rolling onto beaches around the world.  Let’s hope we can all catch plenty of them.

 

Stay well, stay safe in and out of the surf and have fun!

Happy New Year.

TG.

The Air

MSLP Analysis for Thu Dec 29 00:00:00 2016 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windytv.com/?-33.903,151.152,6

The Sea

Water temp is around 21 offshore, but as was anticipated in last week’s post the nearshore temp has dropped to freezing according to a sample of users.  The reason for the difference as explained on the MHL website is

“Local currents and other oceanographic phenomena, such as upwelling of cooler water from deeper offshore, can influence the sea temperature at the shoreline.”

Or, blame the the howling Noreasters. And add to that, the contrast with the warmish air temp. .

image

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2016-2017.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Sydney Forecast

View the current warnings for New South Wales

Forecast issued at 4:24 pm EDT on Thursday 29 December 2016.

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 0%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 16 [Extreme]

Friday 30 December

Summary
Min 24
Max 35
Hot. Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 60%

Sydney area

Hot. Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming north to northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then tending north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the evening.

Fire Danger – Very High

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 16 [Extreme]

Saturday 31 December

Summary
Min 24
Max 28
Shower or two clearing.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 60%

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, most likely in the early morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the west in the early afternoon. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then tending east to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 5:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 15 [Extreme]

Sunday 1 January

Summary
Min 23
Max 28
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 80%

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming southerly 25 to 35 km/h during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 16 [Extreme]

Monday 2 January

Summary
Min 21
Max 25
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 50%

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h turning southeasterly during the morning.

Tuesday 3 January

Summary
Min 20
Max 25
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 50%

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming east to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 4 January

Summary
Min 20
Max 24
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 50%

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. Light winds.

Thursday 5 January

Summary
Min 20
Max 26
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 3 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 80%

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.


 

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