Posts in Goat’s Forecast

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on March 21st, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 21 March 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Nothing too thrilling on the horizon as far as surf goes. Small to medium mostly and with various winds. There are some times when light winds or slightly offshore are forecast and you might be able to jag a rideable wave.  Otherwise… just relaaxx.

Let’s keep it simple:

Friday: somewhere in the lower half of the 1-2 metre range from the East (light winds)

Saturday: ditto (light, N,NE, light)

Sunday: down to around 1 metre East (light, SE)

Monday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range North East (light. NW)

Tuesday: ditto (SW)

Wednesday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range at dead South places (SSW)

Thursday: ditto (S)

Don’t forget to vote on Saturday.

You know those animals they say can pick the outcome of elections… Well The Goat is running around like a headless chook!  Don’t know what that means.

Up in the Sky

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Mar 21 04:30:00 2019

MSLP Analysis for Thu Mar 21 00:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8,i:pressure,m:cIJaknc

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 23, 24.

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Max 26
A few showers.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 10 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Mostly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers grading to high (80%) near the coast, more likely this morning. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h tending south to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 9:50 am to 4:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis IconLocationMinMax
A few showers.Sydney26
Shower or two.Penrith29
Shower or two.Liverpool28
A few showers.Terrey Hills24
Shower or two.Richmond28
Shower or two.Parramatta26
Shower or two.Campbelltown28
A few showers.Bondi24

Friday 22 March

Summary
Min 20
Max 26
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon. Light winds.

Sun protection recommended from 9:50 am to 4:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

Saturday 23 March

Summary
Min 19
Max 28
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:50 am to 4:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

Sunday 24 March

Summary
Min 21
Max 30
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:40 am to 4:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 8 [Very High]

Monday 25 March

Summary
Min 21
Max 31
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning.

Tuesday 26 March

Summary
Min 18
Max 25
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Winds southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h.

Wednesday 27 March

Summary
Min 17
Max 22
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower, most likely later in the day. Winds south to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on March 14th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 14 March 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

The overriding feature of coming days appears to be rain, wind, and thunderstorms and more rain and wind and thunderstorms.

The surf?  It’ll be messy and you don’t want to be in the water when the thunderstorms are around, and the water will be dirty from the rain runoff.

It’ll be somewhere variously in the 1-2 metre range all week, from the East turning South East later in the week.  There’ll be light winds at times but with residual chop and all things considered I can’t imagine that anywhere will be attractive.  But of course some people will go in anyway,

Oh well we need the rain.

Check back next week.

TG.

Up in the Sky

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Mar 14 07:30:00 2019

MSLP Analysis for Thu Mar 14 06:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8,i:pressure,m:cIJaknc

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 24, 25.

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

orecast issued at 4:20 pm EDT on Thursday 14 March 2019.

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Showers. Storm likely.
Chance of any rain: 95% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (95%) chance of showers. A thunderstorm likely with possible of heavy falls. Winds northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h, tending 20 to 35 km/h about the coast, turning southerly later at night.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 4:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 9 [Very High]

Friday 15 March

Summary
Min 19
Max 24
Showers. Becoming windy.
Possible rainfall: 6 to 30 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h tending southerly 25 to 35 km/h before dawn.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 9:40 am to 4:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 9 [Very High]

Saturday 16 March

Summary
Min 20
Max 25
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 5 to 20 mm
Chance of any rain: 90% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h tending south to southeasterly in the middle of the day.

Sun protection recommended from 9:40 am to 4:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 9 [Very High]

Sunday 17 March

Summary
Min 20
Max 24
Showers. Possible storm.
Possible rainfall: 15 to 50 mm
Chance of any rain: 90% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Heavy falls possible with thunderstorms. Winds southerly 15 to 25 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 9:40 am to 4:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 9 [Very High]

Monday 18 March

Summary
Min 19
Max 25
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 3 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light during the morning.

Tuesday 19 March

Summary
Min 19
Max 25
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds.

Wednesday 20 March

Summary
Min 20
Max 25
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds.

Thursday 21 March

Summary
Min 18
Max 27
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on March 7th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 7 March 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Looks like waves of sorts for the coming week, with the surf at times following the wind changes that are forecast, but a day behind… Could make it amusing or annoying…  Anyhoo..

Friday: somewhere in the 1-2 metre range sort of Eastish

Saturday: ditto North East

Sunday: down around 1 metre or so South East, then up a little North East

Monday: around 1 metre or so North East

Tuesday: ditto East South East

Wednesday: coming up at dead South places, say around 2 metres, but going down thru the day

Thursday: in the 1-2 metre range dead South

TG

Up in the Sky

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Mar  7 03:30:00 2019

MSLP Analysis for Thu Mar  7 00:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8,i:pressure

Down in the Sea

  • Water temp is showing on the MHL buoy as around 22.  I suspect that may be improving with the southerly change countering the effects of the recent Noreasters.

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Max 23
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds southeast to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late afternoon.

Surf conditions may be more powerful than they appear and are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing and swimming.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 9:40 am to 4:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 9 [Very High]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis IconLocationMinMax
Partly cloudy.Sydney23
Partly cloudy.Penrith25
Partly cloudy.Liverpool24
Cloudy.Terrey Hills22
Partly cloudy.Richmond24
Partly cloudy.Parramatta23
Partly cloudy.Campbelltown25
Partly cloudy.Bondi21

Friday 8 March

Summary
Min 18
Max 27
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light early in the morning then becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 4:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Saturday 9 March

Summary
Min 21
Max 28
Showers.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 6 mm
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming northeast to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then tending southeast to southwesterly during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 4:30 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 9 [Very High]

Sunday 10 March

Summary
Min 20
Max 30
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 4:40 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Monday 11 March

Summary
Min 22
Max 30
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming east to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Tuesday 12 March

Summary
Min 22
Max 32
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm during the morning. Light winds becoming south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h later.

Wednesday 13 March

Summary
Min 19
Max 24
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Winds southerly 15 to 25 km/h turning southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on February 28th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 28 February 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Time for another of TG’s patented Singalong Surf Forecasts …for the last day of Summer….Try getting this out of your head!

How cool is that…

Summer might be gone from tomorrow, but the Bureau expects the Summer weather to continue all week…

Waves~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

And there will be waves….all week 🙂

Can you (or rather TG !!) handle the pace??

Friday: down ever so slightly from today…

mainly in the 1-2 metre range East South East, but with occasional sets

Saturday: Up ever so slighly in the 1-2 metre range, Eastish

Sunday: Ditto

Monday: Ditto with sets

Tuesday: Ditto again, with sets

Wednesday: in the 1-2 metre range East North East

Thursday: coming up after Wednesday’s southerly change at places open to dead South

Surf rest surf relax, and repeat………..

Put plenty of sunscreen on… UVs are up there on the scale

TG

Up in the Sky

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Feb 28 05:30:00 2019

MSLP Analysis for Thu Feb 28 00:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds>>>>>>

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8,i:pressure

Down in the Sea

Water temp and Currents (how cool is that)

image

Tides^^^^vvvv^^^^vvvv

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h, tending 25 to 30 km/h about coast.

Sun protection recommended from 9:30 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 10 [Very High]

Friday 1 March

Summary
Min 20
Max 27
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely during the morning about the coast, and during the afternoon and evening in the west. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon, tending to 20 to 30 km/h about coast.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Saturday 2 March

Summary
Min 20
Max 27
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning about the coast, and during the afternoon in the west. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon, tending 20 to 30km/h about coast.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Sunday 3 March

Summary
Min 19
Max 27
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Monday 4 March

Summary
Min 20
Max 29
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 5 March

Summary
Min 20
Max 30
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h.

Wednesday 6 March

Summary
Min 20
Max 33
Mostly sunny.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.2 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h increasing to 25 km/h before shifting southerly 15 to 20 km/h later.

Thursday 7 March

Summary
Min 20
Max 26
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Winds southerly 15 to 25 km/h turning southeasterly during the day


TG’s Surf Forecast

Posted on February 22nd, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 21 February 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

TC Oma is up north but is affecting the weather and surf outlook depending on where she decides to go and the interaction with a High and a Low down south. At the moment she’s tracking here

  1. She can always change her mind but based on the present situation the surf outlook for here (it’ll be bigger and messier up north, but could get nasty in  a lot of places) … The weather here has that tropical feel to it but Note the direction of the main swell for us in Sydney.. mainly from the south/east south east than coming down from Oma up north. Interesting days ahead:

Friday: in the 1-2 metre range at dead South places and starting to come up from the south during the day

Saturday: 1-2 metres, 2ish metres and increasing through the day East South East

Sunday: 2-3, 3-4 metres at dead South places

Note the BoM warning: Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing. Surf Life Saving NSW recommends only swimming at patrolled beaches and between the red and yellow flags. (That’s if they’re up!)

Monday: 3-4 metres East South East

Tuesday: 2-3 metres East South East

Wednesday: 2-3 metres East North East, with sets

Thursday: 2-2+ metres East North East

ALL SUBJECT TO CHANGE as the spinning tops move around

Take care. Stay safe.

TG

Up in the Sky

Latest Colour Mean Sea-Level Pressure Analysis and Infrared Greyscale Satellite

Winds

https://www.windy.com/?-33.444,151.327,5,i:pressure

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 22

image

Tides: Highs are high with that full moon and if we get a storm surge it’ll be worse

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast issued at 4:20 pm EDT on Thursday 21 February 2019.

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Showers.
Chance of any rain: 80% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers. Winds southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Friday 22 February

Summary
Min 20
Max 24
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 1 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning. Winds southerly 25 to 35 km/h.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Saturday 23 February

Summary
Min 20
Max 25
Shower or two. Becoming windy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. Winds southeast to southwesterly 25 to 35 km/h becoming southeasterly 30 to 40 km/h in the middle of the day then tending southerly 30 to 45 km/h in the early afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 9:20 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Sunday 24 February

Summary
Min 19
Max 23
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Winds southeasterly 25 to 35 km/h.

Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing. Surf Life Saving NSW recommends only swimming at patrolled beaches and between the red and yellow flags.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Monday 25 February

Summary
Min 19
Max 25
Cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Winds east to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 26 February

Summary
Min 19
Max 26
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 27 February

Summary
Min 19
Max 26
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Thursday 28 February

Summary
Min 19
Max 27
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 5 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming east to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on February 14th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 14 February 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

While you’ve been enjoying? warm weather in Sydney I’ve been enduring cold winds coming up from Antarctica. To make matters worse the winds didn’t even bring up any surf where I’ve been.

Between the cold air, the cold water, and the .. surf… I haven’t seen any reason to take my board off the car, so far.  Maybe tomorrow?

But you don’t care about that do you?

And hey… In Victoria I’ve seen so many Goat’s Cheese this, Goat’s Cafe that, Goat’s Meat !!??!!… thank goodness I’m back in NSW !(?)

So in Sydney, I don’t think I’ve missed much surf from what I’ve been told.

Friday: easing back into the lower end of the 1-2 metre range South East

Saturday:around 1 metre or so or possibly less South East

Sunday: 1 metre or so East

Monday:coming up a little in the 1-2 metre range Eastish

Tuesday: coming up at places open the dead South after a change, say in the 1-2 metre range at those places

Wednesday: dittoish

Thursday: down to around 1 metre or so East South East.

Have a good one!

TG.

Up in the Sky

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Feb 14 10:30:00 2019

MSLP Analysis for Thu Feb 14 06:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/?-34.369,150.538,5,i:pressure,m:cNpakoE

Down in the Sea

Water temp in Sydney is around say 22ish.

Where I’ve been… mostly greenish.. see below… which just isn’t right for Summertime surfing…not that I’ve seen any surf.

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast updated at 8:16 pm EDT on Thursday 14 February 2019.

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Clear.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Clear. Winds northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Friday 15 February

Summary
Min 19
Max 27
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the evening.

Fire Danger – High

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Saturday 16 February

Summary
Min 20
Max 26
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower in the morning and early afternoon. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Sunday 17 February

Summary
Min 19
Max 27
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming northeasterly 25 to 35 km/h during the day.

Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 11 [Extreme]

Monday 18 February

Summary
Min 20
Max 29
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds northerly 15 to 20 km/h tending northeasterly 25 to 35 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 19 February

Summary
Min 21
Max 26
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 20 February

Summary
Min 21
Max 26
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Thursday 21 February

Summary
Min 21
Max 29
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 4 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers, most likely later in the day. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on January 31st, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 31 January 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

The kids are back at school, mums and dads are back at work, the weather’s been pretty good, conditions should be ideal… But then

Nothing’s been happening…and that’ll be it for the week given all the wind changes forecast.

Hot now … 39 on the coast around 4pm…but a cool change is on the way…passed through Jervis Bay around 3pm doing around 40kph with gusts around 60-70 kph.  You work out when it’ll get here 🙂 something to do in the heat.

And here’s something else for you.  I haven’t given you a singalong surf forecast for a while … close your eyes and listen.  Close your eyes I said!  Hahaha.

To stay Cool as Mungo:

Sit in the shade

Drink lots of cool liquids

Wear a hat – to dive in and out of the water.

Friday: somewhere around the upper end of the 1-2 metre range at places that get dead South waves..but will have S wind with it

Saturday: down slightly South East with onshores

Sunday: ditto again within 1-2 metre range but more East, with NE wind

Monday: ditto to that

Tuesday: ditto to that, but with a S wind change expected by the BOM from late Monday

Wednesday: in the 1-2 metre range South East

Thursday: And ditto.

Who knows.. you might be able to catch some waves you can ride if you’re not too fussy.

Have a good one!

TG.

Up in the Sky

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Jan 31 04:30:00 2019

MSLP Analysis for Thu Jan 31 00:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8,i:pressure

Down in the Sea

Water temp’s about 23ish

image

Tides

 

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Max 40
Hot. Late cool change.
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Hot. A mix of sun and cloud. Medium (40%) chance of showers late this afternoon and evening, with the risk of a thunderstorm, chiefly in the west. North to northwesterly winds 25 to 35 km/h in the morning, tending northeasterly near the coastal fringe this afternoon. A gusty southerly change 30 to 45 km/h in the late afternoon and early evening, possibly reaching 65 km/h near the coast.

Fire Danger – Very High

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis IconLocationMinMax
Hot. Late cool change.Sydney40
Hot. Late cool change.Penrith40
Hot. Late cool change.Liverpool40
Late gusty cool change.Terrey Hills37
Hot. Late cool change.Richmond40
Hot. Late cool change.Parramatta40
Hot. Late cool change.Campbelltown39
Late gusty cool change.Bondi35

Friday 1 February

Summary
Min 21
Max 25
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 5 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. Winds southerly 25 to 35 km/h decreasing to 15 to 25 km/h early in the morning then turning southeasterly during the afternoon and evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Saturday 2 February

Summary
Min 21
Max 26
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 2 to 5 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Winds east to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h tending east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Sunday 3 February

Summary
Min 22
Max 29
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Monday 4 February

Summary
Min 22
Max 30
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny morning. Medium (50%) chance of showers, most likely later in the day. The chance of a thunderstorm later in the day. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h shifting southerly 25 to 35 km/h during the morning.

Tuesday 5 February

Summary
Min 22
Max 25
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 3 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 70% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds southerly 15 to 25 km/h turning southeasterly during the day.

Wednesday 6 February

Summary
Min 21
Max 25
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 3 to 8 mm
Chance of any rain: 60% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on January 24th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 24 January 2019:

Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Nothing too exciting happening, now or through the week ahead.

Today there’s about 1 metre or so of sort of waves from the South East that are getting into places that are open to it, but it’s messy with the wind behind it.

Friday: something similar, though with a light Noreaster..could be ok for the kids at the right tide

Saturday: ever so slightly bigger say 1-1+ metres North East, but with SE wind

Sunday: much the same

Monday: about the same but with light winds

Tuesday: similar, wind turning NE

Wednesday: dittoish

Thursday: and again.

Looks like it’ll be pot luck if you find a suitable wave at the right place, right tide.

Have a good one and have a Happy Australia Day Long Weekend!

TG

Look, Up in the Sky

Clouds?

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Jan 24 04:30:00 2019

Lines on maps, all over the place

MSLP Analysis for Thu Jan 24 00:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds…will keep on blowin’

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.889,151.216,7,i:pressure

Deep Down in the Sea

Water temp, on top is currently 22ish…

PS The water isn’t really red and orangey colours

image

Tide… like Time, waits for no man

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Max 26
Morning showers/drizzle
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of light showers or drizzle, mainly in the morning. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h turning east to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the afternoon.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis IconLocationMinMax
Morning showers/drizzleSydney26
Possible morning shower.Penrith31
Morning showers/drizzleLiverpool29
Morning showers/drizzleTerrey Hills26
Morning showers/drizzleRichmond30
Morning showers/drizzleParramatta28
Morning showers/drizzleCampbelltown29
Morning showers/drizzleBondi23

Friday 25 January

Summary
Min 21
Max 30
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming northerly 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then tending northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the late afternoon.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Saturday 26 January

Summary
Min 23
Max 33
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Hot and mostly sunny. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Sunday 27 January

Summary
Min 23
Max 31
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 25 to 35 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Monday 28 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 28
Shower or two.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers, most likely during the morning. Light winds.

Tuesday 29 January

Summary
Min 23
Max 29
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 30 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 31
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on January 17th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 17 January 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

360 degree view…not a cloud in the deep blue sky. The sea is sparkling. The sun is shining. Pretty as a picture. A great day for the beach today..except for.. well, you know… waves~~~

Now you might say the surf hasn’t been great, and you might be right.

But I couldn’t help but notice – because there’s 10 of ’em right in your face whenever you go in the water – that the kids are having a ball!

They think it’s great!!

And believe it or not, there are occasional waves that you’re happy to catch, among the rubbish, if you fluke being in the right spot at the right tide and are patient. If you’re not, cool down with a swim.

For the coming week… stay cool…some more hot days are forecast. If you’re lucky enough to be able to get wet, then just getting wet is likely to be the most excitement you can expect at the beach.  Or, you could just be lucky enough to fluke that occasional freak wave – ie, one that’s rideable.

Watch out for blueys… there were a few biggies floating around today.

Stay happy!

TG

Friday: continuing North East windswell, somewhere in the 1-2 metre range depending on where you are along the beach

Saturday: an early morning southerly change – starting out at 25-40 kph according to the BoM – will knock that down and chop it up and generally make it unpleasant on the beach (kids, and visitors, and anyone else)

Sunday: small end of the 1-2 metre range at places that get dead South windblown waves, and onshore

Monday: 1 metre or less at dead South places

Tuesday: 1 metre or less East South East

Wednesday: 1 metre or less North East, then another Southerly wind change to chop that up

Thursday: back to NE wind and small waves

Up in the Sky

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Jan 17 05:30:00 2019

MSLP Analysis for Thu Jan 17 00:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.889,151.216,7,i:pressure,m:cIJaknc

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 22ish.

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Friday 18 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 33
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Very hot and mostly sunny. Slight (20%) chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the outer west in the afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h tending northwest to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming northeasterly 25 to 35 km/h in the late afternoon.

A Poor Air Quality Forecast is issued by the Office of Environment and Heritage due to elevated OZONE pollution in Sydney for Friday 18 January 2019.

Fire Danger – Very High

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Saturday 19 January

Summary
Min 23
Max 29
Wind easing. Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Hot. Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower in the outer west. Winds southerly 25 to 40 km/h turning southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day then decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Sunday 20 January

Summary
Min 21
Max 27
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower, most likely in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Monday 21 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 28
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 22 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 31
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower, most likely later in the day. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 23 January

Summary
Min 23
Max 34
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny morning. Slight (30%) chance of a shower, most likely later in the day. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Thursday 24 January

Summary
Min 24
Max 34
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. The chance of a thunderstorm later in the day. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day.


The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on January 10th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 10 January 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

All that huffing and puffing today won’t bring up much surf, but there should be waves of varying sorts all week for those still on holiday.  A few wind changes, but some more warm weather ahead to.

I can sympathise with those who had to go back to work this week. Last night I had a terrible dream. I was driving round and around and couldn’t find a damn parking spot in Manly to catch the ferry to work.

Proving that things always look better in the morning… when I woke up I remembered that I’m retired!  Haha.

Surf outlook:

Friday 11/1: in the 1-2 metre range South East/East, easing back through the day

Saturday: as a Noreaster picks up so will the surf, somewhere in the 1-2 metre range North East… might be some little sets from Eastish

Sunday: change in direction again with the wind .. somewhere in the 1-2 metre range South East, with maybe occasional sets from the East

Monday: in the 1-2 metre range at dead South places..not much elsewhere

Tuesday:  1-2 metre range East South East

Wednesday: 1-2 metre range Eastish

Thursday: 1-2 metre range East North East.

Enjoy, if you’re on holidays.

If you’ve gotta go to work… earn some money for your next holiday :

TG.

Up in the Air

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Jan 10 05:30:00 2019

MSLP Analysis for Thu Jan 10 00:00:00 2019 AUTC

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.889,151.216,7,i:pressure,m:cIJaknc

Down in the Sea

Water temp is currently pleasant…CURRENTly haha.. Get it? at around 21.

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Light shower or two.
Chance of any rain: 50% 

Sydney area

Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of light showers or drizzle. Winds southerly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the evening.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Friday 11 January

Summary
Min 21
Max 28
Possible shower.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 40% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers in the east, grading to a high (70%) chance in the west, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of afternoon thunderstorms, chiefly in the west. Light winds becoming northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h in the afternoon.

Fire Danger – Low-Moderate

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Saturday 12 January

Summary
Min 21
Max 31
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Slight (20%) chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the west during the afternoon or early evening. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:20 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Sunday 13 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 27
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Winds south to southeasterly 25 to 35 km/h.

Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Monday 14 January

Summary
Min 22
Max 28
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day.

Tuesday 15 January

Summary
Min 21
Max 31
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 16 January

Summary
Min 23
Max 35
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Winds north to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h tending northeast to southeasterly later.

Thursday 17 January

Summary
Min 23
Max 30
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds

 


 

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