The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Wednesday update: Swell is slowly easing back.. still some punch at open beaches but becoming more user friendly. Still best left to fit nad experienced. Sunny blue sky Just saw someone having a swim like it was summer..sure 10 degrees feels like 6.

Sunday update: It’s currently 1 metre and plus with plenty of people out at places open to the South. Not much wind, almost glassy conditions – if you want to add to the crowd.  The Bureau has a dangerous surf warning up today.

Saturday update… Yep… like it says below… 1 metre rideable at some places, not at others.  cold offshore W/NW wind which will pick up as the day goes on.  Water temp is a coolish 18. Have Fun!

Surf forecast issued Friday 6 July 2018: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Wind’s been blowing hard WNW for a good part of the day, and the Bureau is expecting some more windy days ahead.  The initial effect has been to decrease the size of the ENE swell that was coming in earlier, but after a day or so it’ll start to come up from the South.

At first there’ll be a lot of SW in the swell so most of that will be headed out to sea.  How much then results in rideable surf on a day to day basis is always difficult to judge, but TG’s best guess is below…

Saturday: down from today but it should still be around 1 – 1.5 metres or so from North East

Sunday: starting to come up at places open to dead South swell… say around 1 metre or so, increasing with the wind turning SW

Monday: could be around 2 metres or so at places open to dead South but unfortunately accompanied by southerly winds

Tuesday: similar size surf but the wind might be better

Wednesday: easing back through the 1-2 metre range dead South

Thursday: around 1 metre or so South East

Friday: similar.

Have fun !

TG

Up in the Sky

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.889,151.216,7,m:cIJaknc

Down in the Sea

Water temp is down a tad at around 18

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Sydney Forecast

View the current warnings for New South Wales

Forecast updated at 9:44 am EST on Friday 6 July 2018.

Forecast for the rest of Friday

Summary

Max 25

Windy. Partly cloudy.

Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds northwesterly 30 to 45 km/h tending westerly 25 to 40 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the late evening.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon	Location	Min	Max
	Sydney	–	25
	Penrith	–	24
	Liverpool	–	24
	Terrey Hills	–	23
	Richmond	–	25
	Parramatta	–	24
	Campbelltown	–	23
	Bondi	–	25

Saturday 7 July

Summary

Min 8

Max 18

Windy. Partly cloudy.

Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Winds northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning westerly 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then increasing to 35 to 50 km/h in the middle of the day.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Sunday 8 July

Summary

Min 8

Max 17

Sunny.

Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds west to southwesterly 25 to 35 km/h.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Monday 9 July

Summary

Min 8

Max 18

Sunny.

Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Winds west to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h tending southeast to southwesterly during the day then becoming light during the afternoon.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Tuesday 10 July

Summary

Min 8

Max 18

Partly cloudy.

Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds.

Wednesday 11 July

Summary

Min 7

Max 17

Mostly sunny.

Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming westerly 15 to 20 km/h later.

Thursday 12 July

Summary

Min 8

Max 16

Partly cloudy.

Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm

Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Winds westerly 15 to 20 km/h.

The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:20 pm EST Friday.

TG’s Quick Thursday 5 July Forecast…For Friday 6 July 2018

Similar to today… in the 1-2 metre range from the North East

More fullish one tomorrow…fullish..not foolish got it?

The Goat’s Surf Forecast – Update

Small today, but little rideable waves at places for mals.

Surf forecast issued Thursday 28 June 2018: Seven … no, eight… no, nine day outlook for Sydney:

In an effort to give you the most full-some-est outlook he can, TG has stretched his muscles. strained his eyesight and generally got himself all wound up looking at the week ahead.

But the outlook is pretty much the same whether it’s 1, 5 or 9 days ahead… pretty small.

Now that that might be good news to some people, especially as the weather is supposed to be a little better at times than it’s been . A cruisey little mal wave can be a lot of fun, if the banks are right for those who have to watch their ticker doesn’t overdo it…and for those who don’t want to have to fall too far down off the wave.

So

Friday: smaller than today, say about 1 metre or so East

Saturday: around 1 metre or less North East

Sunday: ditto but at places open to dead South

Monday: about 1 metre or so at dead South places

Tuesday: ditto South East

Wednesday: ditto East

Thursday: ditto ditto

Friday: 1 metre or so North East

Saturday: 1 metre or less South East.

Get out and have some fun…maybe wait till it stops raining… or wait till tomorrow. The BoM says the temp at 4 pm Thursday is currently about 11 but feels like 4.

TG

Up in the Sky

Wind

https://www.windy.com/?-33.800,151.083,5,i:pressure

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 19.

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2017-2018.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Wednesday 20 June 2018: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Early forecast this week..

Why?..

Just because I can..

It feels like it’s been cold and wet and windy forever, and it’s only been a couple of days!  Surf conditions have been less than attractive for most people and, as I haven’t seen any whales at all for the last couple of days (previous days random counts 27, 15, 41..), I suspect they too are sheltering from the unpleasant ocean conditions, in protected corners or bays, before continuing their northward journey.

But with weather conditions generally improving over coming days there could be some surfable waves for the keen people, and whales might start to appear again.  The surf outlook looks like this:

Thursday: easing back from today, but still in the upper 1-2 metre range East South East

Friday: ditto (TG is a goat of few words)

Saturday: dittoish, maybe down slightly, but still with sets

Sunday: could be a little change in direction, with waves starting to come up in the 1-2 metre range from dead South at those places that are open to them

Monday: upper end of the 1-2 metre range at places open to dead South swell

Tuesday: ditto

Wednesday: ditto again.

Hope you have a good one.

TG

Up in the Air

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.889,151.216,7

Down in the Sea

Water temp is about 19, but there’s some colder water on its way…

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2017-2018.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon	Location	Min	Max
	Sydney	11	18
	Penrith	7	19
	Liverpool	7	18
	Terrey Hills	9	16
	Richmond	5	19
	Parramatta	7	18
	Campbelltown	5	19
	Bondi	12	17

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 14 June 2018: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Most people seemed to be happy that the weather and waves of the past week have passed by, judging by the number of smiling faces who turned up today at the right tide/time combination, despite the chilly wind.  The water temp was fine.

A deceptive little surf.  It looked flat to very small early on, then lines started to show, but the waves were still pleasantly sized and quality brushed by the offshore wind…

Until the sets arrived every so often, with a size and punch quite different to the average (after you left Ray).

If you were unfortunate to be under them (tick, more than once) you had a good workout today…which meant some of us had lower than desirable energy levels when more suitable waves came. Those who caught ’em had fun.  But all that wasn’t long lasting and by twilight it looked like it had calmed down a lot.

Friday: should have calmed down even more than today, say to about 1 metre or so North East, but there should be a little pulse at times from the East

Saturday: W/NW/N winds will eventually flatten it, but there maybe little NE waves.. (or maybe not)

Sunday: waves out to sea, headed toward NZ, but inshore it’ll be all calm.  Disappointing, but you won’t really be disappointed with a 14 max air temp forecast and the windchill keeping that down to an UncomfortableforanAussie level

Monday: what happens from here depends on what a Low expected to form down south does…possibly starting some SW swell.  Got that? SW swell_ not much happening inshore at first… then building up later through the day, and into the night while you’re asleep

Tuesday: Depending on the Low… could be in the 2-3 metre range , or more, at places open to dead South swell… with wind (or not, if it goes somewhere else)

Wednesday: Ditto proviso… maybe 2-3 metres South East, with wind

Thursday: could be similar South East, with some punchy sets.

The whales have started up again in earnest after the rough conditions… saw 9 today, between 5-15 ks out and moving along, keen to get to their holiday up north.

TG

Up in the Sky

Wind

Oh yess… It’s windy

https://www.windy.com/?-33.861,151.198,5

Down in the Sea

Water temp is a mild 20 – 21.

Tides… will go up and down … just pick the right time, and not too shallow

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2017-2018.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon	Location	Min	Max
	Sydney	–	19
	Penrith	–	20
	Liverpool	–	19
	Terrey Hills	–	17
	Richmond	–	20
	Parramatta	–	20
	Campbelltown	–	19
	Bondi	–	18

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 7 June 2018: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Today Thursday it’s eased back somewhat but there were but still some decent waves (2-3 metres, 6-10 sec from East South East) for those with the skills, the endurance and the desire, at the right places. And it looks like there’ll be some more waves in the week ahead. But whether they are suitable or not will depend on your abilities and inclinations.

If the waves don’t look appealing to you over the long weekend, something else for you to do, or even as well as…

The Avalon Beach Historical Society will celebrate its 35th year by holding the 9th Great Historic Photographic Exhibition in the main hall Avalon Beach Recreation Centre, 59a Old Barrenjoey Rd AB, 10am-5pm Saturday-Monday, which will include material on the introduction of the malibu at Avalon Beach in 1956.  Learn about the ancestry of the board you’re riding today, as well as seeing some great old photos of the beaches and the local area.

Friday: down a bit from today, but still in the upper end of the 1-2 metre range East South East early on, then going down through the day.

Saturday: in the 1-2 metre range East (could be OK with an offshore N/NW wind)

Sunday: coming up overnight at places that are open to dead South, 1-2, 2+ metres at those spots but with wind behind it. Places that are sheltered from the S/SW wind will also be sheltered from the swell

Monday: in the 1-2 metre range East South East, with SW wind to chop it somewhat

Tuesday: -2 metre range South East with a little punch to it

Wednesday: going down in the 1-2 metre range East South East

Thursday: 1-2 metre range East South East but with a bit of punch.

Marine wildlife is around. Don’t be mistaken for a seal.

TG

 Up in the Sky

Winds

https://www.windy.com/?-33.789,150.882,5

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 20ish

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2017-2018.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon	Location	Min	Max
	Sydney	–	20
	Penrith	–	21
	Liverpool	–	21
	Terrey Hills	–	19
	Richmond	–	21
	Parramatta	–	21
	Campbelltown	–	21
	Bondi	–	19

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 31 May 2018: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Tomorrow is the first day of Winter! and there’ll be a 17 max temp to welcome you…not to mention a big windchill to make it feel even colder.

There’s been strong SSW/S 40-50 kph winds and cold air today. It’s only reached 16 so far with an apparent temp of 7.

I see rolling swells out to sea, but inshore it’s still rather modest. Ships off Newcastle have weighed anchor and have headed out to sea to ride out some expected nasty conditions.

Some of the models aren’t automatically updating themselves.   No doubt wanting to see what a Low that forms off the coast is expected to do, which will tweak the numbers and direction.

If the Low does what TG thinks, there will be a lot of SW in it, which will keep the nevertheless sizable swell inshore, not as big as out where the ships will be.

Overall, TG doesn’t see much attraction in thinking about getting wet in the ocean and trying to ride a surfingboard over its surface for the next several days…

Friday: up from today, into the 3-4 metre range, shortish period at dead South places.. and windy and cold Yumm

Saturday: around the 3-4 metre range dead South, with bigger sets from South East.. and windy and cold

Sunday: in the 3-4 metre range, maybe bit bigger but shortish period…and windy and cold

Monday: 2-3ish metres range East South East.. with wind and cold

Tuesday: let’s say, dittoish

Wednesday: oh, and ditto

Thursday: 1-2 metre range South East.

Ok… a bit of a bummer for most normal people.

Just relax chillout chillax and listen to this week’s oldie but a goodie.

TG

Up in the Sky

Wind

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.889,151.216,7

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 20…

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2017-2018.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon	Location	Min	Max
	Sydney	–	19
	Penrith	–	19
	Liverpool	–	19
	Terrey Hills	–	17
	Richmond	–	19
	Parramatta	–	19
	Campbelltown	–	19
	Bondi	–	17

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 24 May 2108: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Had a few nice waves earlier in the week in really nice conditions.

Now… well ya never know… there may be a few more coming your way before it starts to go down and then later in the week hmm well let’s see later in the week.

Friday: If you had waves with size today, you should have some more tomorrow.. say 2-3 metre at dead South swell places, with some oomph

Saturday: down a little in the 2-3 metre range at dead South places

Sunday: around 2 metres or so South East…still watch for the sets

Monday: down into the lower  end of the 1-2 metre range South East

Tuesday: down to around 1 metre or so South East

Wednesday: starting to come up..low end of 1-2 metre range South East at first then increasing through the day at places that are open to the South

Thursday: could be a repeat performance on today, depending on… well we’ll see later on.

Stay warm, stay safe…It’s not cool to take off on critical large waves over shallow sandbanks as I saw at Queensie/North Steyne this week.  Some people need reminding, or simply don’t know, it’s not cool to end up a quadriplegic. Check how much water there is under you.

TG

Up in the Sky

Winds

https://www.windy.com/?-33.892,151.138,5,i:pressure

Down in the Sea

Water temp was nice then got cooler, then we had a couple of very pleasant for even swimming warmer days… now it looks like some of that colder water hanging just offshore in the satellite pic may start coming inshore to annoy me, if not everyone else.

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2017-2018.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

http://www.bom.gov.au/nsw/forecasts/sydney.shtml

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 17 May 2018: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

What a week! Cold, windy and messy out of control surf for most of it. Not much use to anyone except the very few people that I saw in the water at a couple of rare times: young keen kids (they have to learn sometime), very experienced (good luck to them), or the odd lunatic. For the rest of us it was doing-something-else time.

Now that it looks like it’s finally starting to calm down, you may well find that your favourite sandbank has been dredged by the constant onslaught of rips from larger waves and wind.  Sigh.  Never mind, it’ll come back – sometime in the next 6 months!

In the meantime, to help bring back the banks more quickly, you can sing along while you read the rest of the forecast. You know you want to –

Ahh, they don’t make songs like that any more, do they? !?

Singalong Surf Forecasts…  What’ll they think of next!

The surf…

Friday: down from today in the lower end of the 1-2 metre range at places that are open to dead South swell

Saturday: up in the 1-2 metre range at dead South places, with some sets showing a little oomphyness at times

Sunday: easing back in the 1-2 metre range at dead South places

Monday: coming up again! 2 – 2+ metres, with sets, at dead South spots

Tuesday: down in the 1-2 metre range at dead South places

Wednesday: in the 1-2 metre range… yes dead South

Thursday: I could speculate, but let’s not scare the horses at this early stage.

Have fun if you can find somewhere with banks… and stay safe. Surf within your abilities at suitable places.

If you can’t find somewhere, then just sing along … At least it’ll be sunny.

TG

Up in the Sky

Wind

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.889,151.216,7

Down in the Sea

Water temp is getting cooler at around 19.

Ahh that’s where the whales are… Look how nice and warm it is way out offshore.

If you were a whale wouldn’t you rather be swimming north in warmer water? If you were a people wouldn’t you too??

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2017-2018.pdf

Weather from the Bureau

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon	Location	Min	Max
	Sydney	9	20
	Penrith	6	22
	Liverpool	6	22
	Terrey Hills	8	19
	Richmond	3	22
	Parramatta	6	21
	Campbelltown	4	22
	Bondi	11	18

Saturday 19 May

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Surf forecast issued Thursday 10 May 2018: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

People at the beach are telling me: “It’s gonna be huge here tomorrow…6 or 7 metres”  Apparently that’s what other sources are saying ….

When I hear that all over the place, I’m reminded of the 1964 song “Suspicion…” that I coincidentally heard on the rad only a little while ago 🙂 Hey, maybe that’s what reminded me… (PS it’s Not Elvis)…

And so I have a little independent think about it, while I grab some grains of salt, and start rummaging around in the Goat’s Guts.

First thing to note is TG doesn’t think it will be huge tomorrow at least…

Second of all, the larger stuff forecast for Saturday etc from the computer generated material that others regurgitate, seems to TG to be pretty dependent on what a Low that’s expected to form down South does, and while it may pan out that way, be prepared to adjust your expectations.

And c) TG is just suspicious by nature about such things, having seen so many forecasts generated from computer models, and heard so many “rolled gold” guarantees on all manner of things, over the years.

On the other hand, TG doesn’t want to look like a Big Goose too, so he won’t say that can’t happen… That’s the current spit out from the models, but it wouldn’t surprise him if some of those models get revised.

Here’s his take on things… First it’ll be windy, from various directions, and it’ll likely be bigger offshore most of the time, but as far as surf goes

Friday: probably too much West and SW in the wind and swell for much to be coming in, so around 1 metre or so East

Saturday: probably still SW swell, so most will be going on past. But it could have a longish period so let’s say in the 1-2 metre range at dead South spots, with sets getting in to some corners that could be 2-3 metres

Sunday: 1-2 metre range, 2+ ,and sets at dead South spots that may be around 2-3 metres

Monday: up in the 2-3 metre range South East

Tuesday: dittoish

Wednesday: ditto at dead South places

Thursday: 2-2+ metres South East

Unique I know, not huge, but biggish at times. But there you go…  TG is unique. If there was a song ” Skeptical….” I’d have played it 🙂

Up in the Sky

Wind

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216/waves?-34.726,151.216,7,m:cIJaknc

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 21, 22.. still pleasant for a swim, or surf sans wettie… up to today.

Saw my first whale of the Up Season this week, as the warm water starts receding Northward.

Tides

http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2017-2018.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

7 day Town Forecasts

Precis Icon	Location	Min	Max
	Sydney	–	25
	Penrith	–	25
	Liverpool	–	25
	Terrey Hills	–	23
	Richmond	–	25
	Parramatta	–	25
	Campbelltown	–	25
	Bondi	–	23