Posts in Goat’s Forecast
The Goat’s Surf Forecast
Posted on February 8th, 2018 in Goat's Forecast.Surf forecast issued Thursday 8 February 2018: Seven day outlook for Sydney:
Some more warmish days ahead… See, Summer hasn’t really gone away. And that means more Summer wave conditions.
The Bureau expects the wind to be chopping and changing directions from day to day, so that won’t help bring swell.
But there should be small waves for the right equipment at the right tides in the week ahead.
There should also be a little uptick, briefly, on Sunday.
Friday: about 1 metre or so East
Saturday: ditto
Sunday: up, briefly, into the 1-2 metre range East, then South East later
Monday: eased back say 1-1+ South South East
Tuesday: about 1-1+ East South East
Wednesday:about 1 metre or so North East
Thursday: around 1-1+ metres South East
Have a good one!
TG
Up in the Sky
Down in the Sea
Water temp when I was in earlier this week was beautiful…around 23. The Noreaster has really been honking today, which has kept the coastal temperature to a pleasant level, but if it continues as expected over the next couple of days I wouldn’t be surprised if the water drops a degree or so before the next southerly change.
Weather from the Bureau:
http://www.bom.gov.au/nsw/forecasts/sydney.shtml
The Goat’s Surf Forecast
Posted on February 1st, 2018 in Goat's Forecast.Surf forecast issued Thursday 1 February 2018: Seven day outlook for Sydney:
Where did January go??…
Where did Summer go???….
Well like the 60’s song said “That was yesterday,…and yesterday’s gone….” An oldie and a goodie. 🙂
Don’t fret… There’s been a lot of Summers since then. And there should be some more of it later in the week.
Surf
Currently 2-4 outside from SSE, with periods from 6-11 seconds so only getting into places open to dead South swell.
I do wish the BoM would give the swell direction or likely impact areas in their large surf warnings, as TG helpfully suggested to them some time back. Had a positive initial response, but clearly it hasn’t been taken on board, yet. Might help confused punters who can see it’s flat at Manly when there’s a large surf warning. But with the swell from Dead South and a shortish period, nothing is going to get in there.
Friday: about 2-3 metres at places open to dead South swell, with sets
Saturday: around 2, 2+ metres from more South East (so it’ll get into more places), with sets
Sunday: upper end of the 1-2 metre range South East, with sets
Monday: down slightly in the 1-2 metre range but still with some oomph in the sets
Tuesday: coming up from dead South and with a big period, so let’s call it 3-4 metres at places open to dead South swell, with some sets getting into sheltered corners
Wednesday: easing slightly into the 2-3 metre ange Dead South, with sets
Thursday: around 2 metres or so South East , with sets.
Stay safe. Know your limitations.
TG
In the Sky
Wind
https://www.windyty.com/
In the Sea
Water temp is around 23
Weather from the Bureau
Forecast for the rest of Thursday
- Summary
- Cloudy.
- Chance of any rain: 30%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower near the coast. Winds south to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late evening.
Large and powerful surf conditions in the afternoon and evening are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing.
Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]
Friday 2 February
- Summary
- Min 17
- Max 24
- Shower or two.
- Possible rainfall: 1 to 2 mm
- Chance of any rain: 70%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers, more likely near the coast. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late evening.
Fire Danger – High
Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]
7 day Town Forecasts
Precis Icon | Location | Min | Max |
---|---|---|---|
![]() | Sydney | 17 | 24 |
![]() | Penrith | 15 | 28 |
![]() | Liverpool | 14 | 26 |
![]() | Terrey Hills | 15 | 23 |
![]() | Richmond | 14 | 27 |
![]() | Parramatta | 14 | 25 |
![]() | Campbelltown | 13 | 26 |
![]() | Bondi | 18 | 21 |
Saturday 3 February
- Summary
- Min 18
- Max 23
- Showers.
- Possible rainfall: 4 to 10 mm
- Chance of any rain: 90%
Sydney area
Cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Winds southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning south to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning then becoming light in the late evening.
Sun protection recommended from 9:10 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]
Sunday 4 February
- Summary
- Min 19
- Max 25
- Shower or two.
- Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
- Chance of any rain: 50%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the morning then becoming light during the afternoon.
Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]
Monday 5 February
- Summary
- Min 19
- Max 26
- Mostly sunny.
- Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
- Chance of any rain: 30%
Sydney area
Mostly sunny. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming east to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon then becoming light during the evening.
Tuesday 6 February
- Summary
- Min 19
- Max 25
- Possible shower.
- Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
- Chance of any rain: 40%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.
Wednesday 7 February
- Summary
- Min 19
- Max 26
- Partly cloudy.
- Chance of any rain: 20%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds.
Thursday 8 February
- Summary
- Min 19
- Max 27
- Mostly sunny.
- Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
- Chance of any rain: 30%
Sydney area
Mostly sunny. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.
The Goat’s Australia Day Long Weekend Surf Forecast
Posted on January 25th, 2018 in Goat's Forecast.Saturday update
Practically nothing at the moment as the tide is too high but there might be a very small wave at lower tide.
Couple of SUPs, paddlers and hopefuls just bobbing around. But with the humidity at 95% being in the water is probably the best place to be. A light Noreaster is helping freshen up the air.
Tomorrow might be a bit better.
The Low in the Coral Sea (below) doesn’t look at this stage like it will bring much swell down our way, but there could be some up the coast around Tuesday.
Have a good one.
TG
Surf forecast issued Thursday 25 January 2018: Seven day outlook for Sydney:
The surf has been small Noreast windswell for most of the week, but at the right tides and right places there’s been just enough movement in the water to give kids on school holidays and other people some exercise while escaping the humidity.
And that situation looks like continuing through Monday~~~~~~~~~~~~at least it’s not flat.
After that it depends on what track a Low expected to form out in the Coral Sea takes… before a Southerly change cancels out whatever swell might be coming from that. It’s a dynamic atmosphere and ocean.
At this stage
Friday: around 1 metre East North East
Saturday: ditto maybe slightly more or less at times
Sunday: lower end of the 1-2 metre range East North East
Monday ditto
Tuesday: take your pick… either lower end of the 1-2 metre range East… or 2-3 metre range East
Wednesday: either ditto… or 3-4 metre range… before it’s impacted by a southerly change
Thursday: around the 1-2 metre range at places open to dead South with some larger sets.
Hope that helps with your planning 🙂
Have a Happy Australia Day!
TG.
Up in the Sky
Wind is here
https://www.windyty.com/
Down in the Sea
Water temp is around 22ish
Tides are here
https://www.windyty.com/
Weather from the Bureau:
Sydney Forecast
View the current warnings for New South Wales
Forecast issued at 4:20 pm EDT on Thursday 25 January 2018.
Forecast for the rest of Thursday
- Summary
- Partly cloudy.
- Chance of any rain: 10%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly in the west. Winds east to northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h.
Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]
Friday 26 January
- Summary
- Min 22
- Max 29
- Partly cloudy.
- Chance of any rain: 5%
Sydney area
Cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the outer west. Winds northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day.
Fire Danger – High
Sun protection recommended from 9:00 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]
7 day Town Forecasts
Precis Icon | Location | Min | Max |
---|---|---|---|
![]() | Sydney | 22 | 29 |
![]() | Penrith | 22 | 36 |
![]() | Liverpool | 21 | 33 |
![]() | Terrey Hills | 21 | 29 |
![]() | Richmond | 21 | 35 |
![]() | Parramatta | 20 | 32 |
![]() | Campbelltown | 21 | 34 |
![]() | Bondi | 23 | 26 |
Saturday 27 January
- Summary
- Min 23
- Max 29
- Partly cloudy.
- Chance of any rain: 5%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm in the outer west in the afternoon. Winds east to northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h.
Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]
Sunday 28 January
- Summary
- Min 23
- Max 28
- Partly cloudy.
- Chance of any rain: 0%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. Winds northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h becoming light during the evening.
Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]
Monday 29 January
- Summary
- Min 22
- Max 28
- Mostly sunny.
- Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.2 mm
- Chance of any rain: 30%
Sydney area
Mostly sunny. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.
Tuesday 30 January
- Summary
- Min 21
- Max 29
- Shower or two.
- Possible rainfall: 0 to 3 mm
- Chance of any rain: 60%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, most likely later in the day. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.
Wednesday 31 January
- Summary
- Min 21
- Max 24
- Showers.
- Possible rainfall: 2 to 6 mm
- Chance of any rain: 80%
Sydney area
Cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers. Winds southerly 15 to 25 km/h.
Thursday 1 February
- Summary
- Min 19
- Max 22
- Shower or two.
- Possible rainfall: 1 to 5 mm
- Chance of any rain: 70%
Sydney area
Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. Winds southerly 20 to 30 km/h.
The Goat’s Surf Forecast
Posted on January 18th, 2018 in Goat's Forecast.Saturday update
Great conditions for the early… blue skies, no wind, waves around 1 metre or so with some a little bigger.
The tide is rising so bets to get in sooner rather than later. Longboards SUPs best but energetic shortboard riders should be able to catch a few rides.
Surf forecast issued Thursday 18 January 2018: Seven day outlook for Sydney:
The surf is finally starting to ease back after a week of large surf and onshore conditions that were not much use to most people… ‘all dressed up but no place to go’ springs to mind.
There’ll still be more (moderate) waves around for the coming week, albeit with light to stronger onshores on some days.
The water’s all been churned up and around, with garnishings of weed, gunk and whatever. Is it polluted?? TG’s simple rule is ‘if it looks dirty, it is dirty’.
Maybe your fave banks have been destroyed, or maybe improved…
Several things for you to discover for yourselves…
Friday: still going down but still likely around 2 metres or in the upper end of the 1-2 metre range South East, with some oomph there too, at places open the the South and smaller in corners sheltered from the South
Saturday: lower end of the 1-2 metre range South East
Sunday: in the 1-2 metre range South East
Monday: ditto but North East
Tuesday: around 1 metre or so North East
Wednesday: in the 1-2 metre range North East
Thursday: ditto
The Bureau is expecting some warmer days coming up, especially out in the western suburbs
So over the weekend there’ll probably be more people looking for somewhere to cool off along the coastline = more swimmers unfamiliar with surf conditions and looking to get into trouble, more parking space competition etc . On the other hand, they might all stay home! Just another variable for you to consider in your plans, and for surf lifesaving people to consider in theirs…
Up in the Sky:
Winds
https://www.windyty.com/
Down in the Sea
Water temp is around 22.
Tides
http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2017-2018.pdf
Weather from the Bureau:
Forecast for the rest of Thursday
- Summary
- Max 28
- Sunny.
- Chance of any rain: 0%
Sydney area
Sunny. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening.
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing.
Fire Danger – Very High
Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 14 [Extreme]
7 day Town Forecasts
Precis Icon | Location | Min | Max |
---|---|---|---|
![]() | Sydney | – | 28 |
![]() | Penrith | – | 38 |
![]() | Liverpool | – | 34 |
![]() | Terrey Hills | – | 28 |
![]() | Richmond | – | 37 |
![]() | Parramatta | – | 33 |
![]() | Campbelltown | – | 35 |
![]() | Bondi | – | 24 |
Friday 19 January
- Summary
- Min 17
- Max 31
- Sunny.
- Chance of any rain: 0%
Sydney area
Hot and sunny. Light winds becoming easterly 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening.
Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 14 [Extreme]
Saturday 20 January
- Summary
- Min 19
- Max 31
- Sunny.
- Chance of any rain: 0%
Sydney area
Hot and sunny. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.
Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]
Sunday 21 January
- Summary
- Min 22
- Max 31
- Partly cloudy.
- Chance of any rain: 0%
Sydney area
Hot. Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.
Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]
Monday 22 January
- Summary
- Min 22
- Max 35
- Hot. Possible shower.
- Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
- Chance of any rain: 40%
Sydney area
Very hot. Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the west later in the day. Light winds becoming north to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the morning.
Tuesday 23 January
- Summary
- Min 22
- Max 27
- Shower or two.
- Possible rainfall: 0 to 4 mm
- Chance of any rain: 50%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, most likely later in the day. Winds northwest to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h tending south to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the morning.
Wednesday 24 January
- Summary
- Min 21
- Max 27
- Shower or two.
- Possible rainfall: 0 to 4 mm
- Chance of any rain: 50%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.
TG’s Surf Forecast
Posted on January 13th, 2018 in Goat's Forecast.
Sunday Update
Don’t think you’re getting this treatment all the time… It’s just cause Don’s clearly busy on the other side of the Pacific.
When I first looked at my own little weather station at home it read 16 outside. I thought it must be wrong, but the BoM says Sydney Airport on the coast right now is 17.8 with an apparent temp of 9.8!
While the sky is patchy as is the wind, at the airport it’s registering 52 kph gusts from SW.
The surf’s coming up but is messy. Offshore it’s 3-6 metres from due South with 6-8 second periods.
The wind and the wave size will increase through the day. Showers, max 23 and ‘becoming windy’.
Have a good one doing something else.
TG
Saturday Update
Friday Update
No significant change to the outlook below, so if you want a weekend surf I’d be looking at Saturday early on in the day.
The planned ‘Around the Bends’ Newport to Avalon, and annual Avalon Beach ocean swims scheduled for this Sunday by Avalon Beach SLSC, have been postponed to Sunday 8 April 2018, due to water safety concerns with the deteriorating weather and surf outlook for Sunday.
There’ll be some solid swell pushing up along the NSW coast from mid week onwards, but it will be for experts and the experienced only!
Stay safe everynone.
TG
Surf forecast issued Thursday 11 January 2018: Seven day outlook for Sydney:
Well, we’ve had some changeable weather, wind and smallish waves that were pleasant for some at times over the past week.
It looks like we’re going to get some more changeable weather and wind over the coming week with smallish waves at first.
But then, depending on what a Low that’s expected to form over Bass Strait does when it goes into the Tasman, we look like getting weather, wind and waves that’ll be not so pleasant for most people till possibly later in the week.
Lows have a habit of not doing what may be expected. You just can’t tell Mother Nature what to do. We’ll know more over coming days. At this stage TG can only go with what’s in his fogged up crystal ball.
Entries are open for the Around the Bends Swim from Newport to Avalon, and Avalon Beach Surf Swims this Sunday…
Details here for all you dedicated ocean swimmers…http://avalonbeachslsc.com.au/
Surf
Friday: around 1 metre South South East
Saturday: in the lower end of the 1-2 metre range South East/North East
Sunday: IF the expected Low moves as it’s expected and when it’s expected, then let’s say in the 1-2 metre range short period near to shore at places open to dead South at first, (bigger swell out offshore), with SSW swell and wind to start with, and then building into say the 2-3 metre range later on at dead South places …But all accompanied by windy S/SSW wind… so as it comes up the coast from way down South, NG for Sydney or the South Coast, and probably not much getting into the North Coats points.
Monday: ditto again re the Low(‘s) expectations… could be in the 2-3 , 3+ metre range with increasing wave period at dead South spots, (with SW/S/SE wind expected by the BoM)…still probably NG Sydney and South Coast; maybe North Coast?
Tuesday: ditto re Lowdown, say 3-4 metres of big period dead South swell (with SE wind)…probably NMG for most Sydney, South Coast; North Coast prospects looking better
Wednesday: ditto downLow, 4+ metres dead South (with light NE wind expected)… experts, experienced only for Sydney, South Coast, North Coast
Thursday: easing back to around 2-3 metres South East but still with solid wave periods
There you go.. Those glum people who weren’t looking forward to going back to work next week, now have something to smile about!
The rest of you: Try to enjoy!
TG
Forecast for the rest of Saturday
- Summary
- Max 33
- Shower or two.
- Possible rainfall: 1 to 4 mm
- Chance of any rain: 70%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers, most likely during this afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm during this afternoon and early evening. Winds north to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h shifting south to southeasterly 25 to 35 km/h in the late afternoon then decreasing to 15 to 25 km/h in the evening.
Fire Danger – Very High
Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]
Sunday 14 January
- Summary
- Min 17
- Max 23
- Showers easing. Windy.
- Possible rainfall: 3 to 10 mm
- Chance of any rain: 90%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning. Winds southerly 25 to 35 km/h, reaching 50 km/h along the coast.
The Goat’s Surf Forecast
Posted on January 11th, 2018 in Goat's Forecast.Saturday Update
Friday Update
No significant change to the outlook below, so if you want a weekend surf I’d be looking at Saturday early on in the day.
The planned ‘Around the Bends’ Newport to Avalon, and annual Avalon Beach ocean swims scheduled for this Sunday by Avalon Beach SLSC, have been postponed to Sunday 8 April 2018, due to water safety concerns with the deteriorating weather and surf outlook for Sunday.
There’ll be some solid swell pushing up along the NSW coast from mid week onwards, but it will be for experts and the experienced only!
Stay safe everynone.
TG
Surf forecast issued Thursday 11 January 2018: Seven day outlook for Sydney:
Well, we’ve had some changeable weather, wind and smallish waves that were pleasant for some at times over the past week.
It looks like we’re going to get some more changeable weather and wind over the coming week with smallish waves at first.
But then, depending on what a Low that’s expected to form over Bass Strait does when it goes into the Tasman, we look like getting weather, wind and waves that’ll be not so pleasant for most people till possibly later in the week.
Lows have a habit of not doing what may be expected. You just can’t tell Mother Nature what to do. We’ll know more over coming days. At this stage TG can only go with what’s in his fogged up crystal ball.
Entries are open for the Around the Bends Swim from Newport to Avalon, and Avalon Beach Surf Swims this Sunday…
Details here for all you dedicated ocean swimmers…http://avalonbeachslsc.com.au/
Surf
Friday: around 1 metre South South East
Saturday: in the lower end of the 1-2 metre range South East/North East
Sunday: IF the expected Low moves as it’s expected and when it’s expected, then let’s say in the 1-2 metre range short period near to shore at places open to dead South at first, (bigger swell out offshore), with SSW swell and wind to start with, and then building into say the 2-3 metre range later on at dead South places …But all accompanied by windy S/SSW wind… so as it comes up the coast from way down South, NG for Sydney or the South Coast, and probably not much getting into the North Coats points.
Monday: ditto again re the Low(‘s) expectations… could be in the 2-3 , 3+ metre range with increasing wave period at dead South spots, (with SW/S/SE wind expected by the BoM)…still probably NG Sydney and South Coast; maybe North Coast?
Tuesday: ditto re Lowdown, say 3-4 metres of big period dead South swell (with SE wind)…probably NMG for most Sydney, South Coast; North Coast prospects looking better
Wednesday: ditto downLow, 4+ metres dead South (with light NE wind expected)… experts, experienced only for Sydney, South Coast, North Coast
Thursday: easing back to around 2-3 metres South East but still with solid wave periods
There you go.. Those glum people who weren’t looking forward to going back to work next week, now have something to smile about!
The rest of you: Try to enjoy!
TG
Up in the Sky
Down in the Sea
Water temp is around 22 in Sydney, 25 Byron, 23 Eden
Tides
http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2017-2018.pdf
Weather from the Bureau:
Forecast for the rest of Thursday
- Summary
- Max 26
- Mostly cloudy.
- Chance of any rain: 20%
Sydney area
Mostly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower in the morning. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h in the afternoon.
Fire Danger – Low-Moderate
Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]
7 day Town Forecasts
Precis Icon | Location | Min | Max |
---|---|---|---|
![]() | Sydney | – | 26 |
![]() | Penrith | – | 31 |
![]() | Liverpool | – | 30 |
![]() | Terrey Hills | – | 26 |
![]() | Richmond | – | 30 |
![]() | Parramatta | – | 29 |
![]() | Campbelltown | – | 30 |
![]() | Bondi | – | 23 |
Friday 12 January
- Summary
- Min 21
- Max 28
- Partly cloudy.
- Chance of any rain: 20%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm in the outer west in the afternoon and early evening. Light winds becoming northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day.
Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 14 [Extreme]
Saturday 13 January
- Summary
- Min 23
- Max 31
- Showers increasing.
- Possible rainfall: 1 to 5 mm
- Chance of any rain: 80%
Sydney area
Hot. Cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon. Winds northerly 15 to 25 km/h shifting west to southwesterly during the afternoon.
Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]
Sunday 14 January
- Summary
- Min 18
- Max 23
- Shower or two. Becoming windy.
- Possible rainfall: 1 to 4 mm
- Chance of any rain: 60%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Winds southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning southerly 20 to 30 km/h during the morning then increasing to 25 to 40 km/h during the day.
Sun protection recommended from 8:50 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]
Monday 15 January
- Summary
- Min 17
- Max 25
- Shower or two.
- Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
- Chance of any rain: 50%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Winds southwesterly 20 to 30 km/h turning south to southeasterly during the morning.
Tuesday 16 January
- Summary
- Min 19
- Max 25
- Possible shower.
- Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
- Chance of any rain: 40%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Winds southerly 20 to 30 km/h turning southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.
Wednesday 17 January
- Summary
- Min 18
- Max 27
- Mostly sunny.
- Chance of any rain: 10%
Sydney area
Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the day.
The Goat’s Surf Forecast
Posted on January 4th, 2018 in Goat's Forecast.Surf forecast issued Thursday 4 January 2018: Seven day outlook for Sydney:
There were some rideable waves in the lower reaches of the 1-2 metre range this morning for keen punters at some places open to pretty much dead South as a result of the strong SSE wind we had over the past couple of days, before the tide got into it. Boy that’s a long sentence for you to get stuck into if you want. Lower reaches ??? He’s talking in riddles.
But they’ve already eased back. See… Shorter sentences make more sense and are easier to read. But I don’t have time to rewrite it more nicer.
What’s that you say?? …Just get on with it???
Quick summary for you… Small waves. Possibly some mal rides at the right tides, right places. Keep your eyes open for opportunities. Enjoy the warm water and warmer weather. Watch the extreme UVs, plus a couple of days when the Bureau says there might be Tstorms, and take precautions. Stay cool. And keep smiling. (I know they aren’t sentences… Just consider them to be bullet points to start preparing you for the working and study world soon). Keep smiling I said!
Friday: maybe around 1 metre or so or less at places open to dead South
Saturday: ditto
Sunday: around 1 metre or so of North East windswell
Monday: ditto
Tuesday: ditto but a little bit bigger
Wednesday: about the same as Tuesday, maybe a touch more
Thursday: about 1 metre or so North East
In the Sky
Winds
https://www.windyty.com/
In the Sea
Water temp is around 22,23… nice
Lots of nice warm water up and down the East Coast, from Byron 26 to Eden 22.
Tides
http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2017-2018.pdf
The king tides (Highs over 2 metres) we’ve had over the past few days will gradually start to ease back. But they will still be high Highs and low Lows (say that quickly) for a while.
Weather from the Bureau:
Forecast for the rest of Thursday
- Summary
- Max 25
- Cloudy.
- Chance of any rain: 20%
Sydney area
Cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers in the morning and early afternoon. Light winds.
Fire Danger – High
Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]
7 day Town Forecasts
Precis Icon | Location | Min | Max |
---|---|---|---|
![]() | Sydney | – | 25 |
![]() | Penrith | – | 31 |
![]() | Liverpool | – | 29 |
![]() | Terrey Hills | – | 25 |
![]() | Richmond | – | 31 |
![]() | Parramatta | – | 28 |
![]() | Campbelltown | – | 29 |
![]() | Bondi | – | 22 |
Friday 5 January
- Summary
- Min 18
- Max 28
- Sunny.
- Chance of any rain: 0%
Sydney area
Sunny. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late evening.
Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]
Saturday 6 January
- Summary
- Min 20
- Max 31
- Mostly sunny.
- Chance of any rain: 0%
Sydney area
Hot and mostly sunny. Light winds becoming northeasterly 25 to 35 km/h during the day.
Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 14 [Extreme]
Sunday 7 January
- Summary
- Min 23
- Max 37
- Hot and mostly sunny.
- Chance of any rain: 20%
Sydney area
Very hot and mostly sunny. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming west to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the morning then shifting south to southeasterly 25 to 35 km/h during the day.
Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:10 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]
Monday 8 January
- Summary
- Min 21
- Max 33
- Shower or two.
- Possible rainfall: 1 to 5 mm
- Chance of any rain: 70%
Sydney area
Hot. Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers, most likely later in the day. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 25 km/h tending northwest to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the morning.
Tuesday 9 January
- Summary
- Min 21
- Max 24
- Showers.
- Possible rainfall: 2 to 6 mm
- Chance of any rain: 80%
Sydney area
Cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h shifting south to southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the morning.
Wednesday 10 January
- Summary
- Min 21
- Max 26
- Showers.
- Possible rainfall: 3 to 10 mm
- Chance of any rain: 80%
Sydney area
Cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.
The Goat’s New Year Forecast
Posted on December 28th, 2017 in Goat's Forecast.Surf forecast issued Thursday 28 December 2017: Seven day outlook for Sydney:
Christmas drinks, Christmas dinner, Christmas Day, Boxing Day drinks and dinner, grandkids’ birthday parties, surfing, cricket, the Sydney Hobart, and now New Years Eve coming up… a veritable cornucopia of Summer Fun! Hope you’re all keeping up OK.
The surf’s been mostly small, but there have been waves enjoyed by many, perhaps too many at times! at some places where the banks aren’t too bad, at the right tides. And the weather has been perfect(ly hot) on some days, to spend time in the warmish water.
It looks like more of the same into the first part of 2018… which ain’t all that bad ’cause you’ve got enough going on without over-exerting yourself in the surf.
A couple of gratis, gratuitous messages:
Watch out for extreme UV levels even on cloudy days at the beach… we don’t want the kids or you getting too much of it.
And
Watch out for people doing breaststroke going backwards in a rip, even on small days. There are lots of visitors around who haven’t any experience with the surf or rips, so you might like to share some of your knowledge with them, and you might even get a buzz out of helping them out of trouble.
Friday: in the 1-2 metre range North East windswell
Saturday: around 1 metre or so North East
Sunday: up a little at places facing dead South, say in the 1-2 metre range but onshore, so you can rest up for New year’s Eve
Monday: about 1 metre or so South East, so you can rest up after New Years Eve
Tuesday: about 1 metre or less dead South places
Wednesday: ditto
Thursday: ditto again
Have Fun! Stay safe on the roads and in the surf.
Happy New Year!
TG
Up in the Sky
Wind
https://www.windyty.com/
Down in the Sea
Water temp is a pleasant 23, so you can comfortably stay in for hours, whether you want to or not waiting for a wave. Plenty of wind variations ahead so it shouldn’t get colder.
Tides
http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2017-2018.pdf
Weather from the Bureau:
Forecast for the rest of Thursday
- Summary
- Partly cloudy.
- Chance of any rain: 0%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. Winds east to northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the late evening.
Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]
Friday 29 December
- Summary
- Min 21
- Max 29
- Partly cloudy.
- Chance of any rain: 20%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower from the afternoon, most likely in the evening. Winds northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the morning then becoming northeast to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon.
Fire Danger – High
Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 14 [Extreme]
7 day Town Forecasts
Precis Icon | Location | Min | Max |
---|---|---|---|
![]() | Sydney | 21 | 29 |
![]() | Penrith | 20 | 39 |
![]() | Liverpool | 20 | 36 |
![]() | Terrey Hills | 19 | 30 |
![]() | Richmond | 19 | 38 |
![]() | Parramatta | 19 | 35 |
![]() | Campbelltown | 19 | 36 |
![]() | Bondi | 21 | 27 |
Saturday 30 December
- Summary
- Min 22
- Max 30
- Rain easing. Possible storm.
- Possible rainfall: 10 to 20 mm
- Chance of any rain: 95%
Sydney area
Cloudy. Very high (95%) chance of rain in the morning. Medium (40%) chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon and early evening. Light winds becoming west to northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then tending southeast to southwesterly 25 to 40 km/h in the afternoon or evening.
Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 14 [Extreme]
Sunday 31 December
- Summary
- Min 20
- Max 24
- Shower or two clearing.
- Possible rainfall: 1 to 3 mm
- Chance of any rain: 70%
Sydney area
Mostly cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers in the morning, clearing during the afternoon or evening. Winds south to southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h shifting east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon.
Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]
Monday 1 January
- Summary
- Min 20
- Max 29
- Partly cloudy.
- Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
- Chance of any rain: 30%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. Light winds becoming southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon.
Tuesday 2 January
- Summary
- Min 21
- Max 25
- Shower or two.
- Possible rainfall: 1 to 3 mm
- Chance of any rain: 70%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers. Winds south to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h turning southeasterly during the morning.
Wednesday 3 January
- Summary
- Min 20
- Max 25
- Shower or two.
- Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
- Chance of any rain: 60%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. Light winds.
Thursday 4 January
- Summary
- Min 20
- Max 26
- Shower or two.
- Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm
- Chance of any rain: 60%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.
The Goat’s Christmas Surf Forecast
Posted on December 21st, 2017 in Goat's Forecast.Surf forecast issued Thursday 21 December 2017: Seven day outlook for Sydney:
Will it be cold? Or will it be hot??
Will the surf be up? Or will it not???
Should I eat a little? Or should I eat the lot??
Should I go for a surf? Or stay in the cot???
There’ll be a bit of everything for you in the lead up to, during, and after Christmas… but not necessarily in the order you might desire them.
For the surf: in short it’ll be mostly small, except for a small pop up surf day on Christmas day !!! Yay, you sayl
But that looks like being accompanied by a cool southerly wind with occasional showers …
So if you want to… after seeing what Santa has left you under the Christmas tree, you can flail about in the wind and the water on your new toys without concern that they or you are not performing (“because of the conditions”), before getting stuck into the full traditional Christmas day of overeating, then zonking out. Perfect.
Friday: 1 metre or less South East
Saturday: pretty much ditto
Sunday: about the same but East North East. Bureau says chance of Thunderstorms so even though it’ll be a hot one, don’t stay in or on the ocean, or out in the open at the beach if they are near you
Monday, Chrissy Day: up, with wind and a shower or two, into the 1-2 metre range at places open to dead South
Tuesday, Boxing Day: down to 1 metre or less dead South, with wind and a shower or two, so you can relax some more
Wednesday: maybe 1 metre or so East/South East
Thursday: about 1 metre East
Have a Great Christmas!!.. Try not to overdo it.
And stay safe, in and out of the water.
TG
In the Ocean
Water temp has settled down to a comfy 21, 22
Tides
http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2017-2018.pdf
In the Sky
Weather from the Bureau:
Forecast for the rest of Thursday
- Summary
- Max 24
- Shower or two.
- Chance of any rain: 60%
Sydney area
Mostly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers, becoming less likely in the evening. Winds southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the evening.
Fire Danger – Low-Moderate
Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]
7 day Town Forecasts
Precis Icon | Location | Min | Max |
---|---|---|---|
![]() | Sydney | – | 24 |
![]() | Penrith | – | 27 |
![]() | Liverpool | – | 26 |
![]() | Terrey Hills | – | 23 |
![]() | Richmond | – | 27 |
![]() | Parramatta | – | 25 |
![]() | Campbelltown | – | 26 |
![]() | Bondi | – | 21 |
Friday 22 December
- Summary
- Min 20
- Max 26
- Partly cloudy.
- Chance of any rain: 5%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming easterly 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then tending northeasterly in the evening.
Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]
Saturday 23 December
- Summary
- Min 20
- Max 29
- Partly cloudy.
- Chance of any rain: 20%
Sydney area
Mostly sunny morning. Slight (20%) chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.
Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]
Sunday 24 December
- Summary
- Min 22
- Max 33
- Shower or two developing.
- Possible rainfall: 0 to 4 mm
- Chance of any rain: 50%
Sydney area
Hot. Mostly sunny morning. Medium (60%) chance of showers in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Winds northwest to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h tending southeast to southwesterly during the afternoon then tending northwest to northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h during the evening.
Sun protection recommended from 8:40 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]
Monday 25 December
- Summary
- Min 19
- Max 22
- Shower or two.
- Possible rainfall: 1 to 3 mm
- Chance of any rain: 70%
Sydney area
Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm during the morning. Winds southerly 25 to 35 km/h.
Tuesday 26 December
- Summary
- Min 18
- Max 23
- Shower or two.
- Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
- Chance of any rain: 50%
Sydney area
Cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers. Winds southeast to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h tending southeasterly during the morning.
Wednesday 27 December
- Summary
- Min 19
- Max 25
- Possible shower.
- Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm
- Chance of any rain: 40%
Sydney area
Cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers. Light winds becoming east to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.
The Goat’s Surf Forecast
Posted on December 14th, 2017 in Goat's Forecast.Surf forecast issued Thursday 14 December 2017: Seven day outlook for Sydney:
School hols have started for some, and start for the rest from tomorrow.
So mums and dads want to know for the week ahead…
Can I say: Go surfing! to get the kids out of the house!?… Or even: Can I go surfing myself!!??
Well, make of this what you will… But make sure the kids…and you… stay safe in the surf.
Friday: despite a southerly change expected by the Bureau overnight, there should still be waves in the 1-2 metre range East North East , which of course will be poor quality at places open to the south but kids never notice that
Saturday: dittoish re wave size and direction
Sunday: down a little in the 1-2 metre range East North East, feeling the effects of more southerly wind
Monday: ditto re waves
Tuesday: dittoish, more Nor East
Wednesday: ditto East North East
Thursday: smaller East North East
Stay calm in the Lead up to Christmas Spirit. No more carpark parking rage eh Col? Stay cool … Relaax …Everyone. Have fun! Or Else!!
TG.
Up up in the Sky
Winds
https://www.windyty.com/
Down down in the Sea
Water temp was beautiful today (Thursday) at around 22, despite the persistent Summer Noreasters we’ve had with the nice weather… it hasn’t been consistently NE though. If the wind was going to continue strong from the NE for another day or so I’d say we could get some cold water. But the Bureau is forecasting a southerly change, then a bit of chopping and changing wind directions, so the water should stay warm enough.
Some friends asked me the other day, what is the technical reason the water can get colder in Summer?
Technical reason!? Why ask me??… 🙂
To help you all out, let’s see how the experts explain it:
http://media.bom.gov.au/social/blog/1244/the-ekman-transport-effectcold-water-upwelling-on-australian-coastlines/
My Simple Rule of Thumb for Sydney and most of the NSW coastline: After 3 days of Strong Nor Easters expect Cold, Green, Darker, Plankton laden, Uncomfortable/Hypothermia-inducing-if-immersed-in-it-for-too-long, Cold Water.
Tides
Watch out for those shallow low tides. We don’t want you to become a paraplegic or worse from misjudging a wave or from a dumping shorebreak for that matter.
http://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2017-2018.pdf
Weather from the Bureau:
Forecast for the rest of Thursday
- Summary
- Max 32
- Afternoon cloud developing.
- Possible rainfall: 0 mm
- Chance of any rain: 10%
Sydney area
Hot inland. Partly cloudy. The slight chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and early evening. Winds west to northwesterly 25 to 35 km/h, with northeasterly winds 20 to 30 km/h near the coast extending inland during the late afternoon and evening.
Fire Danger – Severe
Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 5:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]
7 day Town Forecasts
Precis Icon | Location | Min | Max |
---|---|---|---|
![]() | Sydney | – | 32 |
![]() | Penrith | – | 42 |
![]() | Liverpool | – | 41 |
![]() | Terrey Hills | – | 36 |
![]() | Richmond | – | 41 |
![]() | Parramatta | – | 41 |
![]() | Campbelltown | – | 41 |
![]() | Bondi | – | 30 |
Friday 15 December
- Summary
- Min 21
- Max 26
- Cloudy.
- Chance of any rain: 20%
Sydney area
Cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm in the outer west in the afternoon and early evening. Winds south to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming southerly 25 to 35 km/h before dawn then becoming light in the early afternoon.
Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]
Saturday 16 December
- Summary
- Min 21
- Max 32
- Partly cloudy.
- Chance of any rain: 20%
Sydney area
Hot. Mostly sunny morning. Slight (30%) chance of a shower in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the west in the afternoon and evening. Winds northwest to northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h tending northeast to southeasterly during the day then tending south to southeasterly 15 to 25 km/h during the evening.
Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]
Sunday 17 December
- Summary
- Min 21
- Max 26
- Cloudy.
- Chance of any rain: 10%
Sydney area
Cloudy. Winds southerly 15 to 25 km/h turning southeasterly during the morning.
Sun protection recommended from 8:30 am to 4:50 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]
Monday 18 December
- Summary
- Min 21
- Max 30
- Shower or two.
- Possible rainfall: 1 to 3 mm
- Chance of any rain: 70%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers later in the day. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.
Tuesday 19 December
- Summary
- Min 22
- Max 30
- Partly cloudy.
- Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
- Chance of any rain: 30%
Sydney area
Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower during the morning. Winds south to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light during the morning then becoming easterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.
Wednesday 20 December
- Summary
- Min 24
- Max 34
- Shower or two.
- Possible rainfall: 1 to 3 mm
- Chance of any rain: 70%
Sydney area
Hot. Partly cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers, most likely later in the day. Light winds.