Posts in Surf Reports

More energy for Friday

Posted on June 7th, 2019 in At large.

Hello Friends,

Light WNW wind as of 0700 this morning. Skies were cloudy as light showers queued up offshore arrived at regular intervals. Out at sea the swell was 3 metres from the south to SSE at about 10 seconds. Was out and about this morning so, had a look at Collaroy and then Dee Why (where visibility was affected by another rain shower). Sets at Collaroy looked to have faces into the shoulder high range, but it was quite inconsistent so I can’t be certain if there were occasional sets or not at the Kick. It was harder to make out what was happening at Dee Why, but it was definitely into the head high range on sets.

Next tide is a 1.4 m high at 1130, it touched a 0.36 m low at 0525. Ocean temp is still on 21C and apart from suss water at the lagoon entrances, Beachwatch is saying pollution is unlikely.

Surf conditions have a raw and bumpy look and the low tide didn’t seem to be helping much, with the beach mostly shutting down and lots of rogue sections making sets at the point more unmakeable than not.

Outlook is for the swell to hang in there at about the current intensity all day but wind will be out of the S-SE across the day, so surf options are going to be limited to a few corners.

As for the weekend and beyond, well, the mighty Goat has rolled out a fresh forecast for your consideration.

Rider gets one inside at Dee Why through the rain

Rainy morning left at Dee Why beach

Cruising a little shorey, inside Collaroy

Mals rule the soft, offshore little lines at Collaroy

And from our B! correspondent who got in for a wave…

‘Languid lumps at Collaroy… but worth a paddle.’

Weather Situation

A strong high pressure system centred over Victoria is directing generally southerly winds along the New South Wales Coast. Winds tend southeasterly later today as the high drifts east and reaches the Tasman Sea. across Victoria. As the high moves further east across the Tasman on Saturday, winds will tend northerly along the south coast and easterly in the north. Meanwhile, a large southerly swell generated from a front that is near New Zealand will impact the New South Wales coast today.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots inshore early in the morning. Winds becoming southeasterly about 10 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre around midday.
Swell
Southerly 3 to 4 metres, decreasing to 2 to 3 metres in the afternoon.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Saturday 8 June

Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Sunday 9 June

Winds
Variable about 10 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast

Posted on June 6th, 2019 in Goat's Forecast, http://twitter.com/mr_realsurf/status/634181678185889792.

The Goat’s Surf Forecast issued Thursday 6 June 2019: Seven day outlook for Sydney:

Wave size is declining somewhat though there were still some hefty ones around today.

Although it will be going down gradually there looks like being a distinct pulse through the week from time to time from the South…left overs as a result of the length of fetch of waves pushed along by the steady winds of that great big High in the pic… (some sizable swell appears to have even made it all the way up to FNQ and New Guinea)

Friday: around 2-3 metres at places that take dead South swell, maybe more with sets

Saturday: around 2, 2+ metres dead South, with sets

Sunday: down around 1, 1+ metres dead South but maybe some sets

Monday: Only 1ish metre or so but a little pulse continuing from the South

Tuesday: around 1ish metre but there could still be a little power in the waves

Wednesday: ditto

Thursday: around 1 metre or so North East.

Have a good one.

TG.

Up in the Air

MSLP Analysis for Thu Jun  6 06:00:00 2019 AUTC

Cloud/surface composite, Australia satellite image of Australia at Thu Jun  6 07:30:00 2019

Winds

https://www.windy.com/-33.855/151.216?-34.373,151.216,8,i:pressure,m:cIJaknc

Down in the Sea

Water temp is around 21

image

Tides

https://www.rms.nsw.gov.au/documents/maritime/usingwaterways/tides-weather/tide-tables-2018-2019.pdf

Weather from the Bureau:

Forecast for the rest of Thursday

Summary
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Mostly clear. Winds southerly 15 to 25 km/h turning west to southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h in the evening.

Large and powerful surf conditions in the evening are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Friday 7 June

Summary
Min 12
Max 20
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Patchy morning fog in the outer west. Slight (20%) chance of a shower. Winds southwesterly 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the morning.

Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, swimming and surfing.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

 

Saturday 8 June

Summary
Min 11
Max 19
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 20% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (20%) chance of a shower along the coastal fringe. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Sunday 9 June

Summary
Min 11
Max 22
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds.

Sun protection not recommended, UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]

Monday 10 June

Summary
Min 11
Max 23
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain: 5% 

Sydney area

Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming northwesterly 15 to 25 km/h during the day then becoming light during the evening.

Tuesday 11 June

Summary
Min 13
Max 24
Sunny.
Chance of any rain: 0% 

Sydney area

Sunny. Light winds becoming westerly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

Wednesday 12 June

Summary
Min 11
Max 23
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain: 10% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Light winds.

Thursday 13 June

Summary
Min 14
Max 24
Partly cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.2 mm
Chance of any rain: 30% 

Sydney area

Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of a shower, most likely during the morning. Winds northerly 15 to 25 km/h turning westerly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.

 

 

 

 


Another cold morning but sunny with waves

Posted on June 6th, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Messed up and posted this in the late afternoon… sorry early risers! Here’s a link to a few pictures I took down at the point right around high tide.

Around 20 keen types braving the icy wind to chase shoulder high sets at the point and along the beach before 0800 this morning. The 0600 data from the MHL buoy shows the swell has dropped quite a bit, but is still 2.6 metres from the SE (158°) at 9 seconds. At report writing time a little before 0800, the wind was 10-12 kts from the west. Ocean is 21C according to Beachwatch, who also report that water is suss from Collaroy to Freshwater, and pollution is likely from Queensie to the Bower. Tide is coming into a moderate 1.43 metre high at 1030.

The wind is expected to pick up this morning as it swings to the S-SW at 15-20 kts and then late in the afternoon goes to the south.

The Goat will be along later with his thoughts on the outlook for the week ahead, but from my quick scan of the models, I’m expecting advice along the lines of ‘get in if you can, because it’s gonna get smaller pretty soon’.

Go well with your plans for the day and check back later for news from the Goat…

Nice looking section inside

Heaps of people chasing shoulder plus sets

Another set arrives

Weather Situation

A strong high pressure system over the Bight and a strong cold front over the southern Tasman Sea are generating fresh to strong south to southwesterly winds along the New South Wales Coast. Winds will gradually ease and tend south to southeasterly as the front moves away and the high drifts across Victoria. During Saturday the high pressure centre will shift to the Tasman Sea with winds tending northerly along the south coast, and easterly in the north.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning southerly in the late afternoon. Winds reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres by early evening.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre around midday.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions in the evening are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Friday 7 June

Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots decreasing to about 10 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 3 to 4 metres, decreasing to 2 to 3 metres around midday.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Saturday 8 June

Winds
Variable below 10 knots.
Seas
Below 0.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Posted on June 5th, 2019 in Surf Reports.

Hello Friends,

When I climbed aloft to get a pic from the RealSurf crowsnest it was just starting to rain. So I grabbed a phone pic of the rainbow in front of the storm and pulled the hatch closed as the first drops hit. Fortunately, I was sent phone pictures from Warriewood and Bungan (thanks B1 and Dog Walker), which show the swell is still very solid. From the look of the radar the rain train is backed up all the way down to Kiama, so it may be awhile before I can get more pics…

Wind is currently SW 15-20 kts and out at sea, swell is a shade under the 4 metre mark. It’s coming from the SE at 11 seconds apart, so I’d expect exposed spots to be maxed out. There could be something in the corners if you don’t mind icy wind, periods of torrential rain and water that is very likely to be polluted with run off thanks to the 40 mm or so of rain we’ve had in the last 24 hours. Ocean temp is still on 22C, which is scary in its own way.

Tomorrow should see a return of the sunshine along with SW wind in the morning and more approachable (ie smaller) surf conditions. Not sure about the water though…

Friday looks like seeing the south swell pulse up again into the challenging range. Wind call is for southerlies though.

Saturday could be fun as the weather gets sunny, the wind mellows out and the swell drops into the fun range (I’m hoping chest plusses at better spots).

Sunday into the new week currently looks unpromising on the models. In fact, it looks dire from here… but we’ll see what the Goat says tomorrow afternoon.

Have a great day one and all!

Another downpour sweeping in over Dee Why


Hello Friends,

The Dog Walker’s report:
Warriewood – wild, woolly but worthwhile.

B1 report:    
Bungan – unruly and unpopulated.

 
Weather Situation
As the low pressure system moves further away from New South Wales winds will ease in response. The introduction of a high pressure system over the coming days will keep winds along the coast in a southerly regime, though substantially less intense than we have seen in past. Hazardous surf conditions will continue across much of the coastline today and for northern parts of the coast tomorrow.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots during the morning.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 4 metres, decreasing to 3 metres around midday, then tending southeasterly 2.5 to 3 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 95% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Caution
Surf conditions may be more powerful than they appear and are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Thursday 6 June
Strong Wind Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning south to southeasterly 20 to 25 knots in the evening. Winds reaching up to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 2.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
South to southeasterly 2 to 3 metres inshore, increasing to 3 to 4 metres offshore by early evening.
Weather
Mostly sunny.
Friday 7 June
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots turning southeasterly below 10 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 3 to 5 metres, decreasing to 2.5 to 3 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy.


It was a dark and stormy morning

Posted on June 4th, 2019 in Surf Reports.

Hello Friends,

Raining steadily this morning so no pictures for now. Looks from the MHL data as though the swell hadn’t arrived in Sydney as of 0600 when it was 2.4 m at 10 sec from the S-SSE. But it should be here very soon because the Port Kembla buoy was seeing 5 metres as of 0700. Wind was still westerly as of 0815, but that too should change soon to the SSW.

I’ll try to update this afternoon, conditions willing.

 

From the Bureau:

Weather Situation

A low pressure system off the South Coast is deepening, with its associated front sweeping the southern coast tonight and the rest of the coast on Tuesday. Vigorous southerly winds and heavy surf will develop along southern parts of the coast later today and extend northwards during Tuesday in response to the movement of the low and the associated front. The winds should start easing from Wednesday as a high pressure system over the Bight moves across the state from the mid week.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Storm Force Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
South to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots becoming southerly 30 to 45 knots early in the morning. Winds reaching up to 50 knots during the morning.
Seas
2 to 4 metres, increasing to 4 to 6 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 4 to 6 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm this morning.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Wednesday 5 June

Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots early in the morning. Winds turning southwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the late evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1.5 to 2 metres around midday.
1st Swell
Southerly 4 metres, decreasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Southeasterly below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon.
Caution
Surf conditions may be more powerful than they appear and are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Thursday 6 June

Winds
Southwesterly 10 to 15 knots turning southerly during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Fading rapidly

Posted on June 3rd, 2019 in Dee Why.

Hello Friends,

Dropped a bit faster than I’d hoped (having passed on the weekend crowds and big, lumpy conditions), sometimes you should take the bird in hand. This morning at Dee Why saw a small group of hopefuls at the point waiting for the infrequent rideable bumps. I watched for quite awhile and they didn’t get anything, so unless you love surfing next to the rocks, the beachies may be a better option for size. Can’t really tell from my vantage point if there’s been any change to the banks north of Dee Why, but the stretch to about No Mans looked pretty straight, albeit shoulder high on the bombs.

Wind lightly offshore under broken high cloud. The MHL 0600 data showed 1.8 metres of 10-second energy from 156° (S-SSE), which is down by more than a metre since this time yesterday. Beachwatch says the water’s 21C and the morning high tide is 1.5 metres at 0800. It drops a metre to the low at 1345. We’re going to a high of 19 with a possible shower in the cards as well.

Tomorrow promises to be a rather different story. There’s a 100% chance of rain – possibly 30-50 mm – and it’ll be 20-30 kts from the south. Swell is set to be completely nutty. First, a rapidly increasing southerly component is expected to fill in during the morning and at its peak be into the 4-6 metre range, plus there’s set to be a metre of east which will go SE at 1-2 metres in the afternoon. So, probably limited to no safe surf prospects for Tuesday…

The southerly will still be going pretty hard Wednesday morning, but both wind and swell will be on the fade. There may be some options in the corners, particularly in the afternoon. But we’ll see.

Thursday currently looks like be the best option for the coming week according to the models. If the more hopeful predictions are right, it could be sunny with offshores and fun size SSE-SE swell. Friday could see another burst of southerly wind and swell and rain, so maybe not the day to circle on your calendar. With luck next weekend turns out okay…

Have a top old Monday everyone!

 

Set arrives but doesn’t get caught

Shutdown imitating an A-frame for 0.1 second

from the BoM

Weather Situation

A front that crossed the state late yesterday will deepen into a low pressure system today near the southern half of the coast. Vigorous southerly winds and heavy surf will develop along southern parts of the coast later today and extend northwards during Tuesday in response to the low.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds
Westerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers and the chance of a thunderstorm.

Tuesday 4 June

Gale Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots turning southerly 20 to 30 knots during the morning. Winds reaching up to 45 knots during the day.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 3 to 5 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, increasing to 4 to 6 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, tending southeasterly 1 to 2 metres by early evening.
Weather
Cloudy. Near 100% chance of showers and the chance of a thunderstorm.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Wednesday 5 June

Winds
Southerly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
1st Swell
Southerly 4 to 5 metres, decreasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Southeasterly 1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

B-Line reporter

Posted on June 3rd, 2019 in At large.

Bungan small but promising.
I would definitely be out there (on something with a bit of volume) if I wasn’t on my way to the city.


20 pics from this morning at Longy and Dee Why

Posted on June 2nd, 2019 in Dee Why.

Went shooting for an hour or so and got a few to share…
Jump to the gallery page here.


Still solid but not crazy

Posted on June 2nd, 2019 in Surf Reports.

Hello Friends,

Looked to be around 30 people in the water as of 0800 this morning at Dee Why point. There were maybe a dozen inside along the beach near the club and then scattered numbers north toward the Pole. Surface conditions looked to be relatively smooth. Sets are still solidly overhead, but yesterday’s 4 metre swell offshore has dropped a metre so wave faces on the big ones are looking to be around 3 metres. That’s enough to get you into trouble beginners, so sit this one out or maybe check around at Collaroy.

The MHL buoy 0600 report showed 2.9 metres of 12-second energy from 154° (SSE), water offshore is 22C. Wind is out of the WNW at about 10 kts as of 0810.

We can expect the odd shower today, but the swell should keep going at roughly the current intensity until close of play and the wind isn’t expected to go too hard either, although it will swing south.

Outlook currently is pointing to a week of waves. Tomorrow is expected to be back into the waist to occasionally chest plus range, before ramping back up into the crazy big range for Tuesday (6+ metres dead south!) … but with blasting 25-40 kt S-SW wind as the swell peaks and rain. Wednesday looks like seeing swell drop back a little but still be big, windy and rainy. My hope is that by Thursday the sun returns, the wind goes more westerly and gets much lighter and the swell hangs in there at about waist to head high….

Have a top old Sunday everyone!

Waves at the point and along the beach

Point set

Hope the swell is making us some proper banks…

 

Weather Situation

A high pressure system near the Bight is extending a ridge towards the New South Wales coast, directing south to southeasterly winds. A front approaching from the west of Tasmania will cross the state during Sunday and deepen into a low pressure system on Monday near the southern half of the coast. Vigorous southerly winds will develop along southern parts of the coast later on Monday and extend northwards during Tuesday in response to the low.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable below 10 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, decreasing below 0.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 2.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm this evening.

Monday 3 June

Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northwesterly 10 to 15 knots turning westerly 15 to 25 knots before dawn. Winds reaching up to 30 knots in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the late afternoon and evening.

Tuesday 4 June

Winds
West to southwesterly 25 to 30 knots tending south to southwesterly 25 to 40 knots during the morning.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, increasing to 3 to 5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 3 to 5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm

 

 


A few pictures from Saturday

Posted on June 1st, 2019 in At large.

Had a look at Dee Why and Collaroy around midday. Swell has plenty of size, in fact it was maxing out both the beach and the point on the biggest sets, but it was also raw and lumpy. Around at Collaroy and Brownwater there lots of folks in the water and the bomb sets were around half the size and frequency compared to Dee Why. Waits were long and fun looking sections were few, far between and brief when they happened. Around the time I was taking the pictures below, the MHL Sydney buoy was recording 4.5 metre, 13-second swell from 150°. Wind was SSW at 12-20 kts.

Brownwater lip plant

Brownwater is such a hoax. This looks like a driving wall but was just the peak moment in a wobbly shutdown.

Rare makeable one at The Kick. Mostly they were just shutting down for the crowd of 20(!)

Sizable face

Kinda typical lumpy sectiony big set wave at Dee Why point midday

Dee Why point

Waiting for a lull

 


 

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