Hello Friends,

Another messy and junky day with steady SE wind from early. Swell’s around 2 metres at 9 seconds apart and is coming from pretty much the same direction as the wind. Dee Why point was entertaining a few punters even so. Sets looked to be in the chest high plus range and while pretty chaotic looking, it was clear that you could catch something if you tried.

Have yourself a great day!

Tides: H @0820, L @1450

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds

East to southeasterly 10 to 20 knots.

Seas

Below 1 metre.

Swell

Easterly 1.5 metres.

Thursday 9 February

Winds

Easterly 15 to 20 knots.

Seas

1 to 1.5 metres.

Swell

Southeasterly 1.5 metres.

Hello Friends,

What can you say? We’re back to this summer’s pattern of unseasonably cool conditions, cloudy skies and unrelenting south to SE winds. As I tapped out these words, the swell was coming from the SE at close to three metres with an average period of 9 seconds (some 12 sec stuff in the mix too). But the wind was out of the SSE from 15-20 kts across most of Sydney. To the extent it matters, high tide was at 0740 and low will be around 1415.

The Bureau says we’re in for a shower or two through the day. And guess what? That’s pretty much the forecast for the next week. If this goes on much longer, we’ll all come down with Seasonal Affective Disorder.

If you’re super keen, you should be able to find something in the protected south corners. But the more east in that wind, the more junk even in those places.

Ah well, this too will pass friends. Have yourself a good Tuesday!

Weather Situation
A low pressure trough lies across the western Tasman Sea. The trough will move east during Wednesday and Thursday as a high pressure system moves south of The Bight extending a ridge to New South Wales north coast.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly about 2 metres.
Wednesday 8 February
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres.
Thursday 9 February
Winds
East to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming easterly 15 to 20 knots during the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 metres.

Hello Friends,

Swell was still happening this morning. The settings are not much changed from yesterday. It’s still east at a couple metres, but the period has bumped up a touch to 11 seconds. Wind was light early, but the southerly was already chewing into spots south of Sydney as of 0700, so it’ll be here before much longer.

Tide hit high at 0700 and will be back to low at 1340.

It looks as though this is the peak of the swell energy for us this week, but then again, the swell model riffing this morning generally points to a steady supply of surfable size conditions – but with so-so to ordinary wind settings.

Gotta run to see if I can get a snap or two before it all goes pear-shaped and the dull grey skies return…

Weather Situation
A trough bringing a southerly change to the southern and central coasts this morning is linked to a low pressure system south of Tasman, while a second low lies over the central Tasman Sea. The trough is expected to remain over the northeast of the state during the next few days, while a slow-moving high near Western Australia extends a ridge to the east. Later in the week the trough is expected to deepen and move west.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
North to northwesterly 5 to 10 knots shifting southerly 20 to 30 knots in the morning then tending south to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres increasing up to 3 metres by midday.
Swell
Easterly 2 metres.
Tuesday 7 February
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots turning southeasterly during the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 to 3 metres.
Wednesday 8 February
Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres.

Hello Friends,

First, apologies for running so late, but a bunch of stuff hit the desk early and I couldn’t get to it to tell you that it was/is much cleaner this morning and that we had/have swell. The MHL buoy is showing the main swell coming from the south at a couple metres with an average period of  close to 9 seconds. However, there’s also some 13 second stuff in the mix and that seems to be delivering the odd chest high plus wave face.

Not much happening on the tidal front today. There’s barely half a metre difference between the 1125 low and the 1710 high.

The wind may not get up to too much today as it’s set to wander around to various points of the compass. Swell trend looks to be heading gradually downward but with luck it may actually work out okay because the mix of short period south and longer period east is set to see the latter become more dominant. Anyway, I reckon there’ll be waves of some sort all day.

Have yourself a good one!

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds

Northwest to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots tending northwest to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the middle of the day then tending south to southwesterly 5 to 10 knots in the late afternoon.

Seas

Up to 1.5 metres decreasing to below 1 metre later in the evening.

Swell

Southeasterly about 2 metres tending easterly about 1.5 metres from midday.

Saturday 4 February

Winds

Southerly 5 to 10 knots shifting east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.

Seas

Below 1 metre.

Swell

Easterly about 1.5 metres.

Hello Friends,

The numbers from the MHL buoy look better than the reality at Dee Why this morning. It’s showing 3 metres from the SE with an average period of around 9-10 seconds. But there was only a solitary player in the water at the point around 0800 and the waves looked to be maybe chest high with the odd bigger one. Wind was out of the SSE-SE at 10-15 kts, so the open stretches would be junky and unappetising in the extreme.

The wind forecast is calling for 20-25 kts of SE’r – and then it should go east. Blergh.

Next tide is a little before 1030 and then there’s only a small change between it and the low at 1600.

It was lightly drizzly at 0800, but the Bureau tells us we’re going to see heavy rain at times by this afternoon.

I’m not sure if he’ll have time to compose a forecast today, but I’ll be interested to see what the Goat thinks of the weekend prospects because some of the computer modelling interpretations are pointing toward potentially interesting conditions from late Saturday into Sunday. However, other interpretations are calling for it to be small and weak… so, on the one hand… and on the other… we’re looking a bit uncertain here.

Ah well, it will be what it is, so here’s to you having a top old day and getting up to some good on the way through!

Weather Situation

A slow-moving high pressure system near New Zealand extends a ridge to the west across the Tasman Sea and a low pressure trough with a small low embedded in it lies off New South Wales north coast. The trough and the low are slowly moving south and are expected to weaken on the south coast during Friday morning.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds
East to southeasterly 20 to 25 knots becoming easterly 15 to 20 knots later in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly 2 to 3 metres.
Weather
Large swells breaking dangerously close inshore.

Friday 3 February

Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots decreasing to below 10 knots during the evening.
Seas
Up to 2 metres decreasing to below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Easterly about 1.5 metres.

Saturday 4 February

Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots tending southeasterly 5 to 10 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly about 1.5 metres.

Hello Friends,

Not a good look for surfing in Sydney. Grey, lowering skies with on again off again rain and 18-22 kts of SSE wind are not providing the best arena for the 2-3 metres of 8 second period south swell.

Outlook is for unrelenting onshores for the next three days.

Sigh.

Some of the swell modelling this morning is pointing toward something potentially happening at the weekend. The onshores might back off a touch so that we can get a little cleanness to play with…

Anyway, have yourself a great Tuesday and keep on smilin’!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system near New Zealand is weakening while a low moves across the southern Tasman Sea. This low is associated with a trough extending over northeast New South Wales, which has brought a southerly change to the southern and central coasts. The trough is expected to remain near the northern coast during the next day or two, becoming detached from the Tasman low as a high moves eastwards from the Bight.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Southeasterly 20 to 25 knots decreasing to 15 to 20 knots around midday.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly 2 to 3 metres tending southerly from midday.
Weather
Large swells breaking dangerously close inshore.
Thursday 2 February
Winds
East to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres around midday.
Swell
Southeasterly about 2 metres.
Friday 3 February
Winds
Northeast to southeasterly 10 to 20 knots.
Seas
Up to 2 metres decreasing to below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Easterly about 1.5 metres.

Hello Friends,

Light WSW breezes to kick off Tuesday along the beaches of Sydney. Swell is same-old, same-old – ie, it’s out of the east, averaging around 1.5 metres at sea and packing a less than impressive 8 second period. This was delivering knee to waist high little weak things along the beach and out at the point in Dee Why for the early risers.

The Bureau tells us that we can expect the wind to come around to the south before long and by the time we get to lunch, it could be in the 25-30 kt range. Anybody for a south corner? Would you like extra lumpiness with your puniness? Oh, and there’s a 70% chance of raindrops falling on your head too.

Tidal range is small today, with only around half a metre of variation between the low at 0755 and the high at 1340.

This morning’s run of the swell models pretty much restates the predictions of the last few days – ie some longer period south stuff tomorrow (but with lots of southerly wind), then messiness and much of what we’ve had for Thursday, before a possible improvement at the weekend with the arrival of some NE energy and some weakening of the onshores.

Here’s hoping eh?

Go well with your day!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system near New Zealand is weakening as a trough moves across western and southern New South Wales. This trough, and an associated cold front and southerly change on the southern coast, will continue to the central coast during Tuesday before slowing. A trough is then likely to remain near the northern coast through the next few days, as another high moves from the Bight to the Tasman sea.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
Southwesterly 10 to 20 knots tending southerly 20 to 25 knots during the morning then increasing to 25 to 30 knots around midday.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres increasing to 2 to 3 metres around midday.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Isolated thunderstorms.
Wednesday 1 February
Winds
Southerly 20 to 25 knots turning southeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the morning.
Seas
2 to 3 metres decreasing to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres tending southeasterly 2 metres during the evening.
Thursday 2 February
Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly about 2 metres.