Articles tagged with "17C"

Dropping away

Posted by: on September 8th, 2014

Hello Friends,

A much faded swell and sunny skies over the beaches at 0700 (but cloud lurking offshore). Outlook is for the swell to bump along at around the metre mark through the day. As of 0600 the MHL buoy was showing nearly 1.5 metres of 9-sec SE swell. Wind was minimal and the Bureau says we can expect it to be light this morning before gradually doing a summery switch to 15-20 kts of NE’ly.

Waves were infrequent at the point and not much more consistent along the beach. Average size of the catchable ones looked to be in the waist to maybe chest range. The tide was just on high when I grabbed the pictures, so maybe as it drops a bit there’ll be a slight improvement. Water still looks pretty ordinary though.

Outlook for the coming week is not too wonderful for surfing. All the models are telling the same story – namely that it’ll be tiny to flat until around Friday.

Might be a good week for catching up on the non-surfin’ parts of our lives. Anyway, ya still wouldn’t be dead for quids. Stay happy!

dee why beach surfer

Generally much smaller than this one at 0700

dee why point surfers

Point looked quiet at 0700

Weather Situation

Onshore winds are expected to turn more north to northeasterly over the next day or two as the high in the Tasman Sea drifts further east. Winds are expected to strengthen from late Tuesday ahead of a gusty west to southwesterly change extending along the coast on Wednesday.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the middle of the day then tending northerly in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon, then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.

Tuesday 9 September

Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms at night.

Wednesday 10 September

Winds
Northerly 20 to 30 knots shifting south to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the evening.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, tending northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms.

Energy on tap

Posted by: on August 9th, 2014

Hello Friends,

Waves for intermediate on up skill levels this morning at Dee Why (and most everywhere else that likes 2 metres of 16-sec SSE swell). Tide was high for the early and will get to low at 1230. Wind is going to be light and variable for the early session before gradually coming around to the N-NW 15-20 kts.

Swell looked setty when I checked the situation out a little before 0700. You sit around and then, bang, there’s a well overhead set. The in between size waves were occasionally makeable along the beach and a bit flabby (as you’d expect given the tide) at the point. Bombs were shutting the beach down, so it’ll be a good morning to exercise the paddling muscles.

The models show swell all day, but with a gradual fade toward late afternoon. Should be numerous options around.

Tomorrow doesn’t look like being flat or anything, but the models show it being smallish. Should be offshore most of the day though before we go into a southerly regime that will carry on through Monday.

That said, the models are all showing the south swell energy ramping up on Monday and basically continuing right through the week. The big issue will be the wind. It’s forecast to be both mainly southerly and pretty unrelenting.

Should be sunny all day, so get out there if you have the skill levels and score your share!

dee why beach break

0650, tide high

dee why beach breaker

0650 & clean looking

High tide offering at Dee Why

High tide offering at Dee Why

dee why point wave

Mad scrambler scrambles in

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over southern NSW will move east into the Tasman Sea today. A cold front will cross southern parts of the coast on Sunday and extend to the north coast on Monday, with a south to southeasterly airstream to follow for the next few days.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming north to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots in the morning then turning west to southwesterly in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore around midday.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Caution
Deceptively powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Sunday 10 August

Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Westerly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 30 knots in the late evening. Winds turning southerly 20 to 25 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.

Monday 11 August

Winds
Southerly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots during the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
East to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending southerly 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.

Really small this morning, maybe later

Posted by: on August 2nd, 2014

Hello Friends,

No sign of any swell just yet, but the forecast says we should get something with the change to south wind around lunch time. Yeah, great. Protected corners only, but not too protected because the ¬†swell doesn’t look like having a long enough period or enough east to really get into said spots.

As of 0700 there was a slight little line showing at Dee Why under clear skies. It was about 8 degrees with a steady WSW wind at close to 15kts. With the wind chill that probably makes it feel like about 5C when you’re pulling on your wettie in the carpark. Lovely. I’m waiting until it warms up a bit (and the swell starts to show).

Tomorrow the Bureau tells us that they expect the southerly to still be around the 15-20 kt mark with 1.5-2.5 metres of swell. The modellers say maybe shoulder to head high at magnet spots with periods in the 8-9 second range.

The rest of the week – according to (some of) the aforesaid models is for marginally small but not utterly flat conditions.

I’ll be keeping an eye on it and if the swell perks noticably, I’ll post something.

Stay happy everyone!

dee why beach

No one up for a paddle at 0700

 

Tides: L @0555, H @1220

Weather Situation

A cold front is crossing the Tasman Sea and a high pressure system is moving over southeastern Australia extending a ridge behind the front. As the ridge strengthen, gusty south to southwesterly winds along New South Wales coast will weaken during today and early on Sunday.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Southwesterly 20 to 30 knots tending southerly in the middle of the day.
Seas
2.5 to 3 metres, decreasing to 2 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre, tending southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.

Sunday 3 August

Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots turning southeasterly below 10 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres.

Monday 4 August

Winds
Variable below 10 knots.
Seas
Below 0.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon or evening.

Still very tiny at Dee Why

Posted by: on July 31st, 2014

Hello Friends,

No significant change to conditions this morning. Swell is out of the south at under a metre with an average period of close to 14 seconds. You might find a knee high something at a more exposed spot, but the earlier you go the better because tide’s coming into a high at 1130 and I can’t see that helping anything.
We’re in for a warm one too. The record hottest day for July is currently 25.9, so we could come close to breaking that if the Bureau’s forecast is right.
Gotta run, so have yourself a good one… it looks like next week could be a real improvement to these conditions!

Tiny breaker breaks

Tiny breaker breaks

Another day of waiting for the energy

Another day of waiting for the energy

Weather Situation
A ridge of high pressure lies across northern New South Wales, while a series of cold fronts are moving from the Southern Ocean across southeast Australia. This pattern is generating a vigorous westerly airstream over southern and central parts of the New South Wales coast, which will intensify today as a stronger cold front approaches. This front will reach the southern coast in the evening, continuing through remaining areas on Friday, with windy conditions remaining until later on the weekend when the next high pressure system becomes established.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 25 knots, reaching 30 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Friday 1 August
Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots turning westerly in the morning and reaching 30 knots during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres offshore.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Saturday 2 August
Winds
West to southwesterly 25 to 30 knots turning southerly 20 to 25 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 2 metres during the evening.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.

Still waiting on Huey

Posted by: on July 29th, 2014

Hello Friends,

High overcast this morning made for dull lighting conditions when I took the pic of the utter lack of activity at Dee Why. A good day to be at work or school or otherwise making yourself useful.

The 0700 MHL data shows a touch over half a metre of 13.8 second bump from 131 degrees. At Dee Why it’s barely making itself felt. Sub-knee high for the most part I’d say.

We’re headed for a windy and relatively warm, mostly sunny day.

This morning’s swell models are still showing a bump up on Saturday to (potentially) head high plus at south magnet spots. The predictions are that the energy should stick around Sunday and some models predict that it’ll still be surfable into Monday.

So, on with your Tuesday and may it go well!

Spectacularly unspectacular

Spectacularly unspectacular

Weather Situation
A ridge of high pressure across northern New South Wales is weakening, while a series of cold fronts are moving across the Southern Ocean towards southeast Australia. This pattern is expected to generate a vigorous westerly airstream over southern and central parts of the New South Wales coast from Tuesday onwards. A stronger cold front is expected sweep across the region at the end of the week, after which winds should gradually ease as the next high pressure system becomes established.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly below 0.5 metres.
Wednesday 30 July
Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Northeast to southeasterly below 0.5 metres.
Thursday 31 July
Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre.

Tiny offerings

Posted by: on July 24th, 2014

0930 update:
Hello Friends,
Just saw Manly and Curly and can report that as of 0900 there were some chest high sets at both places. At Manly it was all up the Queensie end and at Curly it appeared to be right along the beach. There seemed to be a reasonable wait for the rideable ones to turn up, but at least it’s not flat.

Curly was sparsely populated at 0900 even though there were waves.

Curly was sparsely populated at 0900 even though there were waves.

Looking promising but it sectioned

Looking promising but it sectioned

0800: Some waist high little sets along the beach at Dee Why but only the tiniest little line trickling along the rocks at the point. Swell is ESE at about a metre with a period of just under 10 seconds. Water temp out at the buoy is 17C.

There were a few people in the water along the beach where it looked to be reasonably consistent, if small. Swell is set to hang around at about this size today but to drop down another notch tomorrow – which will probably mean it goes flat. And, if the models have it right, it’ll stay that way for at least a week. Hope they’re wrong..

Keep on smilin’ everyone!

You'll need something big and floaty to catch anything

You’ll need something big and floaty to catch anything

Weather Situation

A high pressure system is centred over the western Tasman Sea, while a low near Adelaide is linked to a trough over central Australia. As this trough approaches today, coastal winds will turn more northerly, freshening in some parts. By late Friday the low is expected to be near Bass Strait, with the trough bringing a gusty west to southwesterly change Friday night or Saturday as it progresses towards the northeast. Another high pressure system is forecast to develop over the region during the weekend in the wake of the trough,

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds
Northerly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms offshore later this afternoon and evening.

Friday 25 July

Winds
North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots offshore early in the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
South to southeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms offshore from the late morning, extending throughout during the late afternoon and evening.

Saturday 26 July

Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning southwesterly during the day.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms.
It shut down a second later

It shut down a second later

Light fog at 0745

Light fog at 0745

Unexpected waves for Tuesday morning

Posted by: on July 22nd, 2014

Hello Friends,

Midday update:
Some nice waves to be had this morning at Manly, Curly and Dee Why (see pic below). I stopped at the latter to grab a snap or two and ended up sticking around for 45 minutes or so from 0900-0945. The 340 odd pics are on their way into my galleries, so if you were in the water then, you might like to check ’em out later this afternoon…
Wind has come up a touch now, but there are still shoulder plus sets at the point and along the beach at Dee Why under sunny skies. And you’ll find pretty much the same at everywhere else that likes this swell combo…

Right where he told me he'd be 10 minutes earlier... (DY beach, @0930)

Right where he told me he’d be 10 minutes earlier… (DY beach, @0930)

(From 0800 this morning)
Well there’s a nice turn up for the books. The swell models had mostly been projecting small to marginal conditions for this morning, but instead we have chest to head plus sets at the point and along the beach at Dee Why. Clean looking too and not many in the water under partly cloudy skies.

Looking at the 0600 spectral data from the MHL Sydney buoy reveals that we have a mix of 16s period SSE and smaller 10s period ESE swells. That’s a pretty good combo and I’d expect to see similar conditions across many of our beaches this morning. Wind is predicted to be s to se but less than 10 kts today.

Tide is dropping to low at 1030 and the high will be at 1710ish.

The Bureau and the models say that the swell will fade today and by tomorrow we could be into marginal sub-waist high territory at SE magnet spots. Beyond that it’s shaping up to be very small on the east coast for a good week or more.

Get out there if you can and have yourself a top old day!

Nobody caught this grinder at 0710

Nobody caught this grinder at 0710

Fun wall rolls through the point.

Fun wall rolls through the point.

Sets well into the fun range along the beach

Sets well into the fun range along the beach

Nice left zippers toward Dee Why @0710

Nice left zippers toward Dee Why @0710

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the southwestern Tasman Sea will direct light winds over southern waters and light to moderate south to southeast winds over northern waters until late Wednesday. On late Wednesday a front will enter the west of the state, with the wind turning moderate to fresh northerly throughout NSW waters on Thursday and then northwesterly on Friday as the front moves into the Tasman Sea. West to southwest winds expected by late Saturday as a low develops in the southern Tasman Sea.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Winds
South to southeasterly below 10 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
South to southeast 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre by early evening.

Wednesday 23 July

Winds
South to southwesterly below 10 knots becoming east to northeasterly in the early afternoon.
Seas
Below 0.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.

Thursday 24 July

Winds
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.

Too big to think about Dee Why

Posted by: on July 19th, 2014

Hello Friends,

Well, you can forget Dee Why for now. Close to 5.5 metres of SSE swell with an average period of around 13 seconds combined with 15-20 kts of westerly and sub-10 degree air temps as of 0700. Set wave faces would be comfortably into the triple overhead range so the point was mostly maxed out – although like lots of spots this morning, relatively clean.

Wind is expected to swing south and be up to 40 kts by late morning. That’s going to cut the surf options back pretty severely. Assuming you’re very fit and experienced, there could be a few options around.

Really not a day for beginners or cautious intermediates. Places such as Collaroy and south Steyne could be approachable but I don’t think Dee Why will really be much use until the swell drops later tomorrow.

Swell should be solid for the next 24 hours, then it’ll be dropping back into the more approachable range for Monday before fading away to nothing much by mid week – or so say the models.

I’ll get out and about with a camera today and tomorrow, so expect a few more pictures in due course!

Next tide is the low at 0745 with the high at 1415

Dee Why crazy big at 0700

Dee Why crazy big at 0700

Take off outside, go left until you get to the point, then right

Take off outside, go left until you get to the point, then right

Weather Situation

A complex low pressure system over the central Tasman Sea is very slowly moving east as a strong high pressure system moves over southeastern Australia from the west extending a ridge to the Coral Sea. As the result vigorous south to southwesterly winds along New South Wales coast will gradually ease during today and Sunday. The high is expected to move over the southwestern Tasman Sea on Monday and to continue to moving slowly east over the next few days maintaining the ridge to the north coast..

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Gale Warning for Saturday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Southerly 25 to 30 knots, reaching up to 40 knots in the morning.
Seas
3 to 4 metres, decreasing to 3 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Southerly 5 to 6 metres.
Weather
Isolated thunderstorms in the morning and afternoon.
Caution
Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Sunday 20 July

Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots in the morning. Winds decreasing to 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
2.5 to 3 metres, decreasing to 2 metres during the morning, then decreasing to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly 3 to 5 metres, decreasing to 2.5 to 3 metres around midday.

Monday 21 July

Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable below 10 knots during the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
South to southeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres during the evening.
 

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