Articles tagged with "E-2m-9s"
Posted by: Don on January 18th, 2012Posted in: Dee Why.Tags: E-2m-9s.
Hello Friends,
Light offshores and a scrappy but bigger than yesterday east wind swell at about 9 seconds apart and nearly two metres at sea. There was even a bit of watery sunshine about at 0700 when I first looked at it. But the skies have clouded over again as I write this. Looks like the possible morning showers could possibly put in an appearance.
From the shape of the swell forecast models, the waist to shoulder high sets showing up at Dee Why this morning should continue through the day before rolling off from tomorrow. It doesn’t look as though we’re headed toward flatness though. Instead, a summer pattern of junky waist high stuff with lots of onshores seems likely to prevail for the next week. In fact some of the interpretations of the data are pointing toward a solid ESE pulse around about Monday, but it also looks as though there’ll be strong ESE onshores with it.
Looks like an opportunity for honing those junk riding skills.
Have yourself a fun Wednesday!
Tides: L @1000, H @1550
Weather Situation for the Sydney coast
A high pressure system near New Zealand is extending a ridge the the New South Wales central coast, while a low pressure trough lies off the northern coast. The ridge will decay today as a weak cold front moves into the far south of the state, bringing a southerly change to the south overnight. Another high pressure system, currently south of the Bight, is expected to drift slowly east during the next few days, strengthening as it reaches the Tasman Sea during the weekend and maintaining a generally onshore airstream. There are indications that the trough will remain off the north coast throughout the period, although it’s exact movement remains uncertain.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
East to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly 2 metres.
Thursday 19 January
Winds
Northeasterly 5 to 10 knots becoming south to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly about 2 metres.
Friday 20 January
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly about 1.5 metres.
Posted by: Don on September 29th, 2011Posted in: Dee Why.Tags: E-2m-9s.
Hello Friends,
Once again you’d have to say of Dee Why that it would better to look elsewhere. It can be okay, even good, with the right east swell, but not always, or even often. The MHL buoy off Sydney is showing a couple metres of 9 second near east swell, but Dee Why is looking fat, inconsistent and mostly small under Thursday morning’s dull grey skies.
Winds were light early and expected to swing around to offshore later. That probably won’t help the weakening east swell, but on the other hand, it could mean that there are still some clean if inconsistent little set waves at exposed spots.
The forecast models have been gyrating around this week and the latest run of the interpretations sees them going cold again on our prospects for next week. There might be a little something late Friday-early Saturday if a south pulse develops in the way the models forecast. The Bureau says we should have light SW winds for the early too, so here’s hoping we get something…
Go well!
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TIDES: H @ 0910 L @1530
Weather Situation
A vigorous cold front which entered western New South Wales late Wednesday will cross the coast today before moving across the Tasman Sea. A weaker front is expected to cross the coast on Saturday, before a low pressure system deepens over the western Tasman Sea during the weekend.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
- Winds
- Northerly 25 to 35 knots tending westerly 25 to 30 knots around midday.
- Seas
- Up to 4 metres.
- Swell
- Southerly 2 metres tending easterly later.
- Weather
- Possible thunderstorms this morning.
Friday 30 September
- Winds
- Westerly 25 to 35 knots decreasing to 20 to 30 knots around dawn then tending west to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots around midday.
- Seas
- Up to 4 metres decreasing to 3 metres around dawn then decreasing to 2 metres during the morning.
- Swell
- Northeasterly about 1.5 metres tending southerly 1 metre in the afternoon and evening.
- Weather
- Isolated thunderstorms offshore during the evening.
Saturday 1 October
- Winds
West to southwesterly 5 to 15 knots, reaching 20 knots at times, tending east to southeasterly during the afternoon. Winds tending south to southeasterly up to 15 knots during the evening.
- Seas
Below 1 metre.
- Swell
Southerly 1 metre.
Posted by: Don on August 24th, 2011Posted in: Dee Why.Tags: E-2m-9s.
Hello Friends,
Ocean looks much better this morning. Swell is around to the east now. It was close to two metres out at the MHL buoy and the average period is about 9 seconds. We’re heading into a sunny Wednesday with light offshores for the early which are expected to wander around to SE later, but not get up to much above the 10 kt mark.
Outlook is for the swell energy to gradually decrease over the rest of the week, but as of this morning the wave forecast models are calling for it to hold around the waist to chest high range through to Saturday.
Get out there and enjoy!
TIDES: L @0920, H @1610
Weather Situation
A strong, slow-moving high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge to the NSW south coast. A low pressure trough lies over the Coral Sea and a vigorous east to southeast airstream, between these systems, lies over the northern Tasman Sea and northern NSW coast. The trough is likely to gradually contract east across the Tasman Sea on Thursday and Friday with winds easing in the north. A weakening southwest to southerly change is expected to affect NSW coastal waters late Thursday through Friday as a cold front enters the southern Tasman Sea. Another weak southwest to southerly change may affect the coast during the weekend.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Southeasterly 5 to 10 knots, although west to southwesterly inshore this morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 2 metres.
Thursday 25 August
Winds
North to northeasterly 5 to 10 knots tending north to northwesterly around dawn then tending north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots around midday.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly about 2 metres.
Friday 26 August
Winds
West to northwesterly about 10 knots tending south to southwesterly during the morning then tending south to southeasterly during the afternoon. Winds tending east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 metres.
Posted by: Don on August 23rd, 2011Posted in: Dee Why.Tags: E-2m-9s.
Hello Friends,
Just a quick note, will follow up later. This morning sees light onshores and a couple metres of east windswell are combining to deliver so-so but surfable conditions at Dee Why. Average wave height looks to be around the waist to chest high mark.
Weather Situation
A strong slow-moving high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea extends a ridge to northwestern New South Wales and a low pressure trough lies over the Coral Sea. A vigorous east to southeast airstream over the northern New South Wales coast, between these systems, is expected to persist until about Wednesday. Along the southern half of the coast winds will tend east to northeast at first under the dominating high pressure ridge. A weak cold front may bring a southerly change to the southern half from late Thursday.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
Easterly 10 to 15 knots decreasing to 10 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 2 metres.
Wednesday 24 August
Winds
Southeasterly 5 to 10 knots, although mainly northwest to southwesterly inshore during the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly about 2 metres.
Thursday 25 August
Winds
Northeasterly 5 to 10 knots tending northwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 metres.
Posted by: Don on March 24th, 2011Posted in: Don's surfin' pics, Manly, Top stories.Tags: 8/10, E-2m-9s.It was a beautiful morning with lashings of solid ESE swell and from Queensy to South Steyne there were peaks aplenty for the frothing punters. I rocked up with the shooting rig and spent over an hour pointing the lens at very photogenic waves. As always my goal was to get shots of typical surfers at their best. If you click the top pic, it’ll take you to the gallery and once there, if you click on any picture to see the larger version, you’ll see the buying link top left. Enjoy!
And here’s another shot from the session…
Posted by: Don on March 23rd, 2011Posted in: Don's surfin' pics, North Narrabeen, Top stories.Tags: 7/10, E-2m-9s.Solid east swell lit up North Narrabeen and I was there to catch some of it with the camera in the morning and again in the afternoon. I’ve put all the pics into a gallery for anyone who may have been in the water! Enjoy, and remember, it’s easy to buy a high res version of any image in the gallery. Just click on the pic you want and look for the link top left…
Here’s a sample of some of the 200+ pics in the gallery.
Posted by: Don on November 1st, 2010Posted in: Dee Why.Tags: E-2m-9s.Hello Friends,
Southerly will limit the surf options this morning, but if you can find a protected corner, there should be enough east swell to provide something of interest.
Sets at Dee Why were making an effort to get to chest high, while around at the more protected Collaroy you needed every cm of length you could get. The average period was nudging up over the 8 second mark this morning, so it’s not quite as gutless as it’s been the last few days (weeks?). The good news is that it looks from the buoy data up north as though we can expect the average period to climb toward 10 seconds.
The problem is that the southerly is expected to build through today, so surf options are likely to be restricted to the protected corners. A couple days ago the forecasts were talking about westerlies for tomorrow, but the Bureau is now saying we’ll be lucky to see strong S-SW instead. I guess we have to hope for the swell to hang in there through to Weds am when the wind could be around into the good (W) quarters…
Have yourself a great day!
Weather Situation
A high near New Zealand extends a ridge to the New South Wales north coast. A trough of low pressure is bringing a gusty southerly change to the southern and central coasts this morning, and is expected to stall near Newcastle during the afternoon. A low will deepen off the southern coast later today, maintaining vigorous southerly winds along the southern and central coasts, extending to the north coast on Tuesday as the low moves away to the Tasman Sea.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Inshore:
Winds: Southerly 10 to 20 knots, increasing to 20 to 30 knots during the morning. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning and 2 to 3 metres around midday. Swell: Easterly 1 to 2 metres.
Offshore:
Winds: Northwest to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots. Seas: Up to 1.5 metres increasing up to 2 metres around midday. Swell: Easterly 1 to 2 metres. The chance of thunderstorms.
Forecast for Tuesday
Winds: South to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots tending southerly up to 25 knots by early evening. Seas: Up to 3 metres decreasing to 1.5 metres later in the evening. Swell: Easterly about 2 metres.
Forecast for Wednesday
Winds: West to northwesterly 5 to 15 knots then tending southeasterly up to 20 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the evening. Swell: Easterly 1.5 metres.
Posted by: Don on May 26th, 2010Posted in: Dee Why.Tags: E-2m-9s.Hello Friends,
As I write this, the expected gale has not yet arrived. But the leaden skies and occasionally heavy rain have turned up as expected and as a consequence the beach isn’t looking too attractive at all. The swell has picked up a bit though and that should mean places with a wave last night should have one again this morning – until the gale arrives.
Hope to get a picture later when the light levels improve.
The weather promises to be pretty ordinary for the next couple days but we seem to have some prospects for swell. Estimates vary, but there seems to be a consensus amongst the model interpretations that our region should see at least a couple metres of SE swell from this afternoon through to Saturday. It may lull back a bit (but not go flat) on Sunday before kicking up in a major way on Monday. We had a call like this a week or so ago and it didn’t play out to be quite as big as expected. When one sees 5-6 metres at the outer end of the forecast range, it’s worth taking on board, but probably not something one would bank on just yet…
TIDES:H @0645, L @1230
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Gale Wind Warning.
Wednesday until midnight: Wind: Northwest to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots early ahead of an east to southeasterly change 25 to 35 knots late morning, easing to 20 to 30 knots at night.Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres rising 2.5 to 3.5 metres late morning.Swell: Easterly 1.5 to 2 metres increasing 2 to 3 metres. Isolated thunderstorms.
Thursday: Wind: South to southeasterly 20 to 25 knots decreasing to 15 to 20 knots during the morning then decreasing to 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.Sea: 2 to 2.5 metres abating to 1 to 1.5 metres in the afternoon. Swell: East to southeasterly 2 to 2.5 metres.
Friday: Wind: East to southeasterly 5 to 10 knots tending northwest to northeasterly during the afternoon then increasing north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Posted by: Don on July 12th, 2009Posted in: Big Picture, Dee Why.Tags: 5/10, E-2m-9s.
The first worshippers have arrived at the point to contemplate the infinite mystery of the interaction between brain and ocean waves...
Hello Friends,
Since around midnight the swell period setting has started to shoot upward. As of about 0900 it had increased to nearly 10 seconds. The same pattern is showing on the buoys north of us. Average period up at Byron is getting close to 11 sec. Size of the swell at sea is still a touch under 2 metres off the Sydney coast. It’s up to 3 metres at Byron though.
Dee Why point is looking relatively marginal, but then again it’s not one of the first spots you’d check when the swell’s out of the east. One such that is worth a look usually is Manly, but I’ve had a text message in this am that says the middle of the beach is around the 3 foot mark and “a bit messy”.
As many of you know, I’ve got my mitts on a Nikon D3 professional DSLR and a fast 300mm telephoto lens, so I’m going to head out shortly and grab some more pics from around the place.
Wind’ll be offshore through the day and the next morning tide is a high at 1123. Sadly for my photographic aspirations, the skies are set to be overcast and periodically showery.
Looks as though we should have waves for the next week, but if you had to pick a peak day or days it’d be tomorrow into Tuesday I’d say.
Now here’s the kind of thing I like to see in the Marine forecast:
Synoptic Situation
A high pressure system to the east of Tasmania extends a ridge along the New South Wales coast. A deep low near Norfolk Island is moving southeast and will generate an increasing SE ocean swell Sunday and Monday particularly over northern parts of the coast. A complex low system over the Bight will move slowly east bringing westerly winds to coastal parts for the forecast period.
And for those of us in Sydney, this looks okay
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Sunday until midnight: Wind: NW 10/15 knots, increasing to 15/20 knots in the afternoon.Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres rising to 1.5 to 2 metres.Swell: E/SE 2 to 2.5 metres.
Monday: Wind: W/NW 13/18 knots.Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell: E 2 to 2.5 metres, decreasing
Tuesday: Wind: W’ly 10/20 knots.
Posted by: Don on June 24th, 2009Posted in: Fairy Bower.Tags: 7/10, E-2m-9s.Hi evening folk,
Hope you got a wave or two today. I had one of those will-I-won’t-I days. Finally gave into that familiar itch. You know the deal, I’m sure. You know there are waves and you could go… but for whatever reason you put it off. But the antsy feeling finally wins out and you toss the board into the car…
I got there about half an hour before the northerly breeze turned into wind and the little chop turned into big chop. Still, I got wet and I got a few snaps. Very friendly crew out there too. A number of people said “hi”, a couple had a yarn (I always like a yarn!) about this and that. Saw a pod of porpoises too, and a little penguin and a gannet. I’m one of those folks who just digs seeing the creatures who live out their entire lives in and around the sea.
Not great conditions for picture taking, but I have the test sample Panasonic FT-1 waterproof camera to play with for a bit longer, so I figured I might as well grab a few snaps. I still haven’t figured out how to get clean shots every time with this camera. When it’s good, it’s very good, so I’m persisting.
BTW, a few of the folk in the water asked if there would be pics available on the site. The answer is yes, but I have to nut out an easy way to do it first…
Here are a few snaps for you. Have a top old evening!
Not huge, but they were worth the long paddle out.
Photo of a photog!
Porpoise has a look around at the Bower.
Lining up a section
Little section at the Bower.
Before the wind got into it (around 1400)
