Articles tagged with "E-2m-9s"

Smallish but sets

Posted by: on February 20th, 2015

Hello Friends,

The 0500 MHL directional spectra chart for Sydney was showing 1.9 metres of 9-second E-ENE energy. Two hours later when your servant climbed aloft for a squizz at Dee Why it was, as the pictures show, around the chest mark on sets. Wind was very light so the surface was smooth, if lumpy. Wave quality was so-so. That is there were a few sections of interest, but rides were generally brief.
Marcia is way too far away for us to see any sort of effect this far down the coast. Indeed, the Bureau says the swell will back off a little today as it moves more NE.
Tide’s high at 0920 and back to low at 1545 and beachwatch says our water temp is a balmy 24.
Looking at the Coastalwatch cam for snapper there’s size up that way but it looks pretty lumpy despite the favourable wind early. So, we’re not really missing out down this way.
The Goat’s call from yesterday is lining up well with the more conservative of the models. At the other end of the spectrum, there are some predictions pointing to sizable east (3+ metres @ 10s) for Mon-Tue with lightish winds for the early…
Once again, apologies to those of you getting a red warning page from Google. There really isn’t an issue now because we’ve shut the attackers’ door, but until the big G rescans our site, they’re still flagging us as evil doers. I’ve not heard about anyone being hit with malware during the attack which is a good sign too. Hope this will all have blown over in the next day or so.
Have yourself a fine old Friday one and all and just stay happy!

dy point

Short but fun rides on sets at 0700

dy beach

Beachy not super impressive but not flat either

Weather Situation

A slow-moving high pressure system near New Zealand extends a ridge to the northwest and is directing east to northeasterly winds along the New South Wales coast. while Tropical Cyclone Marcia over the Coral Sea is moving south-southwest. The cyclone will cross the central Queensland coast this morning and is expected to bring strong to gale force winds along the New South Wales north coast.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending northerly in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the afternoon.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres around midday, then tending northeasterly 1.5 metres by early evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers.

Saturday 21 February

Winds
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming east to northeasterly below 10 knots in the middle of the day then increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres, tending easterly 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning, then decreasing to 1.5 metres around midday.
Weather
Cloudy. 50% chance of showers.

Sunday 22 February

Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning easterly 15 to 20 knots during the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 40% chance of showers.

Sticky: South wind, but some bumps for the keen

Posted by: on March 15th, 2013

 

 

Hello Friends,

Mix of east and south swell this morning under gloomy skies. The surface is a bit chopped up but since it’s coming from the SSW at 15-20 kts, the bump wasn’t that bad at Dee Why this morning.

The wind will probably go more around to the south as we head toward noon. Tide hits high around 1130 and then will be back to the low at 1630. Protected south corners should be the go as the swell is supposed to steadily increase. At 0800, the sets were getting to around chest high at the point. They seemed to be a bit smaller at the beach, but I only sussed it out for a few minutes today, so your mileage may vary.

I’m really liking the look of tomorrow. Should be solid east swell with mostly clear skies and light winds early, plus an incoming tide…

Keep on smilin’!

Weather Situation
Tropical Cyclone Sandra over the central Tasman Sea is expected to weaken and move to the southeast. A high pressure system south of WA extends a ridge across the Bight to the NSW coast. Winds will tend northeast on Saturday before a cold front and strong southerly change extends north late Saturday and Sunday.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 to 3 metres.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms this morning, mainly offshore.
Weather
Large swells breaking dangerously close inshore.
Saturday 16 March
Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots before dawn then becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 to 3 metres.
Weather
Large swells breaking dangerously close inshore in the morning.
Sunday 17 March
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots, increasing to 25 to 30 knots during the morning.
Seas
Up to 3 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms during the morning.

Waves!

Posted by: on November 21st, 2012

Hello Friends,

Fun looking, if not super clean, 9 second period east swell of a couple metres lighting up the joint. Set waves are in the head high plus range at Dee Why point and it seemed to be pretty consistent too. Tide is low at about 0815 and winds were light for the early. The Bureau says they’ll go around to the north to NE as the day unfolds, so I’d expect surf options to contract to the usual NE spots by lunch time.

From the shape of the buoy data, it looks as though the swell hasn’t peaked yet either.That said, the Bureau says it’ll be back to a metre tomorrow. And we’re due to have another south change through late, so Thursday morning will be south wind spots only.

So, get out there early if you can because this morning looks like being the peak for at least another week.

Weather Situation
A trough will cross western and southern NSW today then become slow moving over the northeast during Thursday before another high moves east into the Tasman Sea on Friday. This will bring a southerly change to southern parts of the coast today, then central parts of the coast on Thursday.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 25 to 30 knots in the evening, ahead of a southerly change 25 to 30 knots around midnight.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon then increasing to 2 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Easterly about 2 metres.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms later this evening.
Thursday 22 November
Winds
Southerly 25 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 25 knots in the morning.
Seas
Up to 3 metres decreasing to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Easterly 1 metre.
Weather
Isolated thunderstorms in the morning.
Friday 23 November
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots easing to southeasterly about 10 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 metres decreasing to 1 metre during the evening.

Waves about this morning

Posted by: on July 25th, 2012

 

 

 

 

Hello Friends,

Still a couple metres of more easterly swell around this morning. Sets at exposed spots are shoulder high plus. At Dee Why that meant bigger and more consistent in the beachy than at the point. Around at Collaroy-Narra stretch, the southern extent had its share of picturesque looking shutdowns while at Northy a good size crew were grabbing anything that came through the joint.

Wind is light NW.

oops, running late, gotta go

Weather Situation
A low pressure system over the eastern Tasman Sea is moving away from Australia, while a high lies across southeast New South Wales. By Wednesday the high will have moved to the Tasman Sea as a trough enters western New South Wales. Northerly winds will develop ahead of this trough, which will bring a south to southwesterly change to the coast during Thursday and Friday.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northerly 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon, possibly reaching 25 knots offshore late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southeasterly about 2 metres.
Thursday 26 July
Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending northwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon, then becoming westerly in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly about 1.5 metres.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms.
Friday 27 July
Winds
Westerly 10 to 15 knots turning southwesterly during the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the evening.
Swell
Easterly about 1 metre.

PICS: Friday late morning, North Narrabeen

Posted by: on July 1st, 2012

Friday the 29th of June saw a couple metres of 9-10 sec period east swell rolling into Sydney’s beaches. I took an hour out to shoot the action at North Narrabeen from about 1110 to 1210. At that stage there were a few tasty rights coming in at Carparks as well as the standard high quality lefts doing their thing.

See all 191 pictures from this shooting session here.

 (Don Norris)
 (Don Norris)
 (Don Norris)
 (Don Norris)
 (Don Norris)
 (Don Norris)

See all 191 pictures from this shooting session here.

Saturday funday

Posted by: on June 30th, 2012

 

 

 

 

Hello Friends,

Yep, waves again this morning everybody. Get thee to an east swell spot and prepare to enjoy the occasional head high set for your efforts.

There were 50 plus in the water at Dee Why from the No Man’s to Kiddies. The real energy was more to the north along that stretch. Around at Collaroy Narrabeen, the swell was showing from about Mactier Street north to North Narrabeen and Little Narrabeen. Given the swell direction, pretty much everywhere will be showing something, but the more exposed places will be significantly bigger.

From the shape of the swell forecast models, it looks as though the swell peaks this morning and then fades gradually across the next 24 hours or so before really running out of gas on Monday morning. But, by Tuesday it looks as though the next south pulse could start to develop as it builds to a solid peak on Wednesday. This morning’s run of the forecasts (in some cases anyway) is pointing toward the energy lasting through to Friday. Weather may be on the ordinary side (cloudy off and on) but the wind should generally be out of the SW (strongishly). So all and all not a bad looking prospect.

Have yourself a spiffing Saturday!

TIDES: L @1030, H @1710

Weather Situation
A complex slow moving low near Tasmania will direct a few troughs across southern New South Wales over the weekend with associated freshening westerly winds. On Monday and Tuesday, the low will shift to the southern Tasman Sea, bringing strengthening southwesterlies. By the middle of the next week, a broad high pressure ridge will strengthen over New South Wales with an airstream easing and tending southerly.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Northwesterly 10 to 15 knots turning west to southwesterly in the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly 2 to 3 metres.
Sunday 1 July
Winds
Southwesterly 10 to 15 knots turning westerly 15 to 25 knots early in the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon then increasing to 2 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Easterly about 2 metres.
Monday 2 July
Winds
Westerly 25 to 30 knots turning southwesterly during the day.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 metres tending southerly 2 metres from midday.

Sticky: Up a bit this morning

Posted by: on January 18th, 2012


Hello Friends,

Light offshores and a scrappy but bigger than yesterday east wind swell at about 9 seconds apart and nearly two metres at sea. There was even a bit of watery sunshine about at 0700 when I first looked at it. But the skies have clouded over again as I write this. Looks like the possible morning showers could possibly put in an appearance.

From the shape of the swell forecast models, the waist to shoulder high sets showing up at Dee Why this morning should continue through the day before rolling off from tomorrow. It doesn’t look as though we’re headed toward flatness though. Instead, a summer pattern of junky waist high stuff with lots of onshores seems likely to prevail for the next week. In fact some of the interpretations of the data are pointing toward a solid ESE pulse around about Monday, but it also looks as though there’ll be strong ESE onshores with it.

Looks like an opportunity for honing those junk riding skills.

Have yourself a fun Wednesday!

Tides: L @1000, H @1550

Weather Situation for the Sydney coast
A high pressure system near New Zealand is extending a ridge the the New South Wales central coast, while a low pressure trough lies off the northern coast. The ridge will decay today as a weak cold front moves into the far south of the state, bringing a southerly change to the south overnight. Another high pressure system, currently south of the Bight, is expected to drift slowly east during the next few days, strengthening as it reaches the Tasman Sea during the weekend and maintaining a generally onshore airstream. There are indications that the trough will remain off the north coast throughout the period, although it’s exact movement remains uncertain.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
East to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly 2 metres.
Thursday 19 January
Winds
Northeasterly 5 to 10 knots becoming south to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly about 2 metres.
Friday 20 January
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly about 1.5 metres.

Cool, breezy, cloudy and small at Dee Why

Posted by: on September 29th, 2011

Hello Friends,

Once again you’d have to say of Dee Why that it would better to look elsewhere. It can be okay, even good, with the right east swell, but not always, or even often. The MHL buoy off Sydney is showing a couple metres of 9 second near east swell, but Dee Why is looking fat, inconsistent and mostly small under Thursday morning’s dull grey skies.

Winds were light early and expected to swing around to offshore later. That probably won’t help the weakening east swell, but on the other hand, it could mean that there are still some clean if inconsistent little  set waves at exposed spots.

The forecast models have been gyrating around this week and the latest run of the interpretations sees them going cold again on our prospects for next week. There might be a little something late Friday-early Saturday if a south pulse develops in the way the models forecast. The Bureau says we should have light SW winds for the early too, so here’s hoping we get something…

Go well!

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TIDES: H @ 0910 L @1530

Weather Situation

A vigorous cold front which entered western New South Wales late Wednesday will cross the coast today before moving across the Tasman Sea. A weaker front is expected to cross the coast on Saturday, before a low pressure system deepens over the western Tasman Sea during the weekend.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds
Northerly 25 to 35 knots tending westerly 25 to 30 knots around midday.
Seas
Up to 4 metres.
Swell
Southerly 2 metres tending easterly later.
Weather
Possible thunderstorms this morning.

Friday 30 September

Winds
Westerly 25 to 35 knots decreasing to 20 to 30 knots around dawn then tending west to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots around midday.
Seas
Up to 4 metres decreasing to 3 metres around dawn then decreasing to 2 metres during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly about 1.5 metres tending southerly 1 metre in the afternoon and evening.
Weather
Isolated thunderstorms offshore during the evening.

Saturday 1 October

Winds

West to southwesterly 5 to 15 knots, reaching 20 knots at times, tending east to southeasterly during the afternoon. Winds tending south to southeasterly up to 15 knots during the evening.

Seas

Below 1 metre.

Swell

Southerly 1 metre.

Tidier and some chest high sets too

Posted by: on August 24th, 2011


Hello Friends,

Ocean looks much better this morning. Swell is around to the east now. It was close to two metres out at the MHL buoy and the average period is about 9 seconds. We’re heading into a sunny Wednesday with light offshores for the early which are expected to wander around to SE later, but not get up to much above the 10 kt mark.

Outlook is for the swell energy to gradually decrease over the rest of the week, but as of this morning the wave forecast models are calling for it to hold around the waist to chest high range through to Saturday.

Get out there and enjoy!

TIDES: L @0920, H @1610

Weather Situation
A strong, slow-moving high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge to the NSW south coast. A low pressure trough lies over the Coral Sea and a vigorous east to southeast airstream, between these systems, lies over the northern Tasman Sea and northern NSW coast. The trough is likely to gradually contract east across the Tasman Sea on Thursday and Friday with winds easing in the north. A weakening southwest to southerly change is expected to affect NSW coastal waters late Thursday through Friday as a cold front enters the southern Tasman Sea. Another weak southwest to southerly change may affect the coast during the weekend.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Southeasterly 5 to 10 knots, although west to southwesterly inshore this morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 2 metres.
Thursday 25 August
Winds
North to northeasterly 5 to 10 knots tending north to northwesterly around dawn then tending north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots around midday.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly about 2 metres.
Friday 26 August
Winds
West to northwesterly about 10 knots tending south to southwesterly during the morning then tending south to southeasterly during the afternoon. Winds tending east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 metres.

Sticky: Hazy skies early, fluffy looking waves as the wind fades

Posted by: on August 23rd, 2011


Hello Friends,

Just a quick note, will follow up later. This morning sees light onshores and a couple metres of east windswell are combining to deliver so-so but surfable conditions at Dee Why. Average wave height looks to be around the waist to chest high mark.

Weather Situation
A strong slow-moving high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea extends a ridge to northwestern New South Wales and a low pressure trough lies over the Coral Sea. A vigorous east to southeast airstream over the northern New South Wales coast, between these systems, is expected to persist until about Wednesday. Along the southern half of the coast winds will tend east to northeast at first under the dominating high pressure ridge. A weak cold front may bring a southerly change to the southern half from late Thursday.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
Easterly 10 to 15 knots decreasing to 10 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 2 metres.
Wednesday 24 August
Winds
Southeasterly 5 to 10 knots, although mainly northwest to southwesterly inshore during the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly about 2 metres.
Thursday 25 August
Winds
Northeasterly 5 to 10 knots tending northwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 metres.

 

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