Articles tagged with "ENE-1m-6/7s"

Foggy and small to start

Posted by: on November 27th, 2012

Hello Friends,

When I climbed aloft to the RealSurf crows nest for my first look at Tuesday morning, fog had already blanked out the city and not long after grabbing a snap, the murk descended on Dee Why. So, another grey, and murky start to what promises to be a warm day later. And the ocean? Well, you know how it was yesterday? Yep, basically identical settings.

For the record the primary swell direction is ENE. Average height at sea is about a metre and the average period is still bumping along at an utterly gutless 6 seconds.

So, nothing to tempt a surfer really. And, it looks as though the entire east coast has more or less the same issue. If you can find a waist high set anywhere, you’re doing very well.

The forecast models remain bleak for the east coast. There just isn’t much going on in our corner of the SW pacific for the next week.

My advice? Stay happy!

Weather Situation
A slow-moving high pressure system over the southeastern Tasman Sea extends a ridge to the northern New South Wales coast, while a weak low pressure trough lies near the southern and central coasts. This trough will shift to the northern coast during Wednesday.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
Northerly 10 to 15 knots shifting east to southeasterly during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 0.5 metres.
Weather
Possible thunderstorms from midday.
Wednesday 28 November
Winds
East to northeasterly about 10 knots tending southeasterly 10 to 15 knots early in the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly about 1 metre.
Weather
Isolated thunderstorms.
Thursday 29 November
Winds
East to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending east to northeasterly during the day.
Seas
1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 metre tending southerly from the morning.

Murky skies and murkier surf prospects

Posted by: on November 26th, 2012

Hello Friends,

Energy levels continue at a low ebb along the east coast this morning. From Eden to Byron the buoy data is showing no more than a metre of short period wind swell. Here in Sydney the average period is weak 7 seconds on a sub-metre ENE swell.

Consequences? As my picture shows, there’s nothing remotely surfable at Dee Why. I suppose you might find a little knee high set wave at places such as Curly, Manly, North Narra or Whaley. But you’ll want to go early because the onshores will be into it by late morning.

The forecast models are still sucking lemons. If they’re right, we have another week or more of this nonsense to endure. There might be a few little knee high things off and on, but solid swell and the east coast don’t look like being in the same present tense sentence for awhile yet.

Have yourself a great Monday!

Weather Situation
A persistent high in the Tasman Sea directs north to northeasterly winds over northern New South Wales waters. A low pressure trough on the central part of the coast will be slow moving for the next few days. This trough is bringing unsettled conditions to eastern NSW.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
Southeast to southerly 10 to 15 knots tending northeasterly 15 to 20 knots this evening.
Seas
Up to 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly 0.5 metres.
Weather
The chance of fog with reduced visibility.
Tuesday 27 November
Winds
Variable about 10 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 0.5 metres.
Weather
Isolated thunderstorms from the late morning.
Wednesday 28 November
Winds
East to southeasterly about 10 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 0.5 metres.

Sticky: It’s a marginal old Monday

Posted by: on February 27th, 2012

 

 

Hello Friends,

Not too magnificent this morning, but not totally and utterly flat. But that’s about the best you can say for the knee high sets. High tide arrives at 1130, so the time to get in is now – if you’re extra keen!

Wind’s not much of a factor as the day gets rolling, but the NEr is due later, so back to the north corners ladies and gentlemen.

This morning’s swell forecast models are still calling for some size toward the end of the week as we enter a SE wind and swell regime. From here it looks as though we may have 2-3 metres from Thursday through Friday evening, but your choices will be restricted to those very few places that are surfable in SE conditions.

We shall see…

Have a great Monday one and all!

Tides: L @0530 H @1130

Weather Situation

A slow-moving high high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea extends a ridge to New South Wales north coast. On Tuesday a cold front is expected to bring a gusty southerly wind change to the south and central coasts as the high moves east and weakens.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots tending north to northeasterly during the afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
Swell
Easterly about 1 metre.

Tuesday 28 February

Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots turning east to northeasterly 5 to 10 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Up to 2 metres decreasing to below 1 metre around midday.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 metre.

Wednesday 29 February

Winds

South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning easterly 15 to 20 knots during the evening.

Seas

Below 1 metre.

Swell

Northeasterly 1 metre.

Weather

The chance of thunderstorms.

Sticky: You may have noticed… it’s a stinker

Posted by: on January 23rd, 2010

Hello Friends,

Hard not to notice the key feature of today’s weather in Sydney. Already past the 30 mark before 0700 at RealSurf HQ high atop Collaroy Plateau. Sadly, there doesn’t seem to be any reason to take a board when you head off to the beach to cool off.

To the extent you could describe it as swell, the numbers are as follows: ENE about a metre with a period of just 6 seconds.

The only hope of a wave I can see is if the expected change arrives before dark. Should that happen, there might be some junky, onshore energy at south spots. And then, if we’re really fortunate, a tiny bit will be left for tomorrow morning. But the period is going to be so short that I don’t hold out huge hopes for anything much at all. Plus there’ll be SE wind with it (in the afternoon the breeze will go around to the NE).

Outlook for the week ahead is not great according to the models. I hope they’re wrong, because if they aren’t we’re looking at near flatness for the next seven days.

Stay cool!

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Strong Wind Warning.
Saturday until midnight: Wind: N/NW 15/20 knots, increasing to NW 20/30 knots during the morning, ahead of a S/SE change 25/33 knots during the afternoon.Sea: 1.5 to 2 metres, rising to 2.5 to 3.5 metres during the afternoon and evening.Swell: SE about 1 metre, tending NE 1 to 1.5 metres. Isolated thunderstorms with and ahead of the change. Gusts of 45 knots possible.
Sunday: Wind: S/SE 20/30 knots, easing to SE 15/20 knots early, then to SE 10/15 knots during the afternoon.Sea: 2 to 3 metres, abating to about 1 metre during the afternoon/evening.Swell: S/SE 1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Monday: Wind: E/NE 10/20 knots.

 

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