Articles tagged with "ENE-2m-7s"

Good day for ducks

Posted by: on March 27th, 2014

Hello Friends,

You’ll need to be super keen to paddle out this morning. Dee Why was junky and mostly small under rainy skies. There were a few diehards in the water, but although size on sets along the beach was into the shoulder high range on the biggest ones, the utter lack of banks made it look extremely unappetizing. A day for other things I’d say.

Long term outlook has gone all blah on us as well. The models are all pointing toward a week plus of marginal to small conditions. Nothing really standing out in this morning’s collection of interpretations. Might be a little something across the next three days, but early next week is currently looking pretty tiny.

Ah well, the energy always returns, so on with other things for now eh?

Keep on smilin’!

What can ya say?

What can ya say?

Fearless surfer attempts to go one and comes unstuck

Fearless surfer attempts to go one and comes unstuck


Tides:H @0600, L @1240

Weather Situation
A strong high lies over the southern Tasman Sea while a trough extends from northern Queensland through western New South Wales. The inland trough is forecast to begin moving eastwards later today, with a transient low expected to develop off the New South Wales coast by the end of Friday. This system should move rapidly away to the east during the weekend as the Tasman Sea high weakens and a new, although fairly feeble, ridge extends across the state.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching 25 knots offshore in the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
Swell
East to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Friday 28 March
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots, reaching 25 knots offshore in the afternoon, then turning west to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Northeast to southeasterly 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore by evening.
Weather
Possible thunderstorms from the early afternoon.
Saturday 29 March
Winds
Westerly 10 to 15 knots shifting south to southeasterly during the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.

Sticky: Scrappy conditions again

Posted by: on November 30th, 2011

Hello Friends,

Tide was low around 0520 this morning and will hit the high at around 1150. Not that it’s likely to make much difference to Dee Why. As the day got started, the wind swell was lapping in at about 7 seconds apart. It was close to the 2 metre mark at sea and coming from the ENE. Wind was out of the NNE at 10-15 kts. It’s set to build up to 20-30 kts ahead of a strong 30-35 kt south change this evening. So, if you’re really keen, head to the north corners where you just might find something to grovel around on.

The change will rip the primary swell direction around to the south and while it is set to push up into the 2-3 metre range at sea, 20-30 kts of southerly will limit the options pretty severely.

Southerly conditions are set to prevail on Friday with more short period south wind swell.

Early summer… what can ya do?

Have yourself a great day!

Weather Situation

A high near New Zealand extends a ridge over the north coast of NSW. A broad trough lies over western NSW. A cold front approaches the trough from the southwest, and this will move through much of the state on Wednesday and through northeastern NSW on Thursday. Along the coast, the change is forecast to be strong during Wednesday, reaching gale force at times later in the day. It is expected to reach Gabo Island Wednesday morning and the Sydney coast Wednesday evening and the far North Coast on Thursday morning.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds
North to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots ahead of a southerly change up 30 to 35 knots later in the evening.
Seas
Up to 3 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 metre.
Weather
Isolated thunderstorms.

Thursday 1 December

Winds
Southerly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 20 to 25 knots later in the evening.
Seas
Up to 3 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms early in the morning.

Friday 2 December

Winds
Southerly 20 to 25 knots decreasing to 15 to 20 knots during the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly about 1.5 metres.

Stay in bed Saturday morning, but maybe this arvo…

Posted by: on November 26th, 2011

Midday update: Actual sunshine witnessed for the first time in days. And I can finally see the beach from the crows nest once more. Not all that fabulous looking it has to be admitted. And the water will be freshly topped up with a nice dose of street run-off. Swell has held just above the 2 metre mark from the ENE and the average period is creeping up toward the 8 second mark. So, if you don’t mind the possibility of playing host to some interesting organism or other, I’d say there should be a chance of a little something at exposed spots. Figure knee to waist with the odd bigger one.
Have fun!

Earlier I wrote:  Hello Friends,

Another thoroughly disreputable morning along Sydney’s beaches. Wind was blowing steadily and vigorously from the ENE at 20-30 kts. Visibility on the coast was about 300 metres and it was raining. If ever there was a morning to just roll over and go back to sleep, this was it.

The MHL buoy doesn’t sleep though. As the day got started, it was showing  the dominant wind swell energy coming from the east at about 7 seconds apart. Average size of the waves at sea pushed up a little overnight into the 2 metre range.

This morning’s rainy skies should clear away to a mostly sunny afternoon as the wind swings around to the north to NW. With any luck, that should mean a reasonable prospect of a wave of some sort for the late – in those semi-exposed north corners.

By then the tide will have well and truly dropped from this morning’s big high at 0830. Low’s around 1515, so there will also be a little tidal push to help things along for the late. You might want to pack the springy though because the NE’r is likely to have dropped the water temp a bit.

Looking ahead, tomorrow should see a continuation of the NW winds early, but these are due to track around to the SW and then go lightly southerly by nightfall tomorrow. Given the weak, local nature of the wind swell, I’d expect the energy levels to fade away pretty quickly too. Could be a little waist high wave early at spots that are unfazed by a very high tide.

Have yourself a top old day!

Weather Situation

A low is centred over Victoria, with an associated trough extending north through inland New South Wales and Queensland. This system is moving gradually east, and by late this evening the low is expected to be east of Bass Strait with the trough just clear of the far northeast of the state. The trough should continue to move away across the Tasman Sea during Sunday as a weak high pressure system approaches from the west. This high is forecast to reach the Tasman Sea on Monday, with another trough developing over the Bight likely to reach the east coast mid-week.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds
North to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots tending northeast to northwesterly 10 to 20 knots by evening.
Seas
Up to 3 metres decreasing to 2 metres by evening.
Swell
Southerly about 1 metre tending easterly 1.5 metres later.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms in the morning.

Sunday 27 November

Winds
West to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending southwesterly up to 15 knots around midday.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Below 0.5 metres tending easterly 1.5 metres from the morning.

Monday 28 November

Winds

East to southeasterly about 10 knots tending north to northeasterly 10 to 20 knots during the afternoon.

Seas

Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the evening.

Swell

Easterly about 1.5 metres.

Sticky: Drizzly skies but not flat

Posted by: on November 19th, 2008

Hello Friends,

Around 1800 there were a few to be had at NE spots...

Around 1800 there were a few to be had at NE spots...

Three reports in one day! How’s that for dedication? Went back to Northy for the late with about 60 other similarly inclined folks. Swell had pushed up a bit more so PB and I jumped in for a few. Pretty fun it was too, despite the crowd. It was just consistent enough that even a duffer like your correspondent could launch himself into a few. Not classic Northy, but every now and then, one held up for more than a few turns. And there was a bit of okay size. On average they were around chest high, but there were definitely a few head high plus bombs to be had. Bureau says the wind will go hard from the NE overnight but tomorrow should be more around to the NW, and then gradually it should track around to the SW. If the swell sticks around, we should definitely have numerous surf options at NE exposed stretches.

Mostly junky shutdowns, but the odd section coming through now and again.

Mostly junky shutdowns, but the odd section coming through now and again.

Midday update for ya. Was out and about on an errand, so swung by the beach for a closer look. The forecast wind (see my earlier report below) had not arrived in great strength when I got down to Northy for a squizz a little after 1100. Not too many people in the water considering the teachers’ strike earlier. There was a little size about, but the quality was only so-so. Typical short period NE windswell really, ie lumpy and messy with the usual now you see ’em now you don’t sections on offer. Watched for awhile to see if I could be tempted… but by the time the drizzle started getting persistent, I still wasn’t interested enough to go home for a board.

Fairly chaotic NE windswell, but some sizable moments in the mix.

Fairly chaotic NE windswell, but some sizable moments in the mix.

Had a nice chat with an arborist who’d also stopped by to check it out. Learnt among other things that lemon-scented gums are notorious in the trade for abruptly dropping limbs. Apparently it’s often impossible to detect which one will drop, but they do tend to fall more often when there’s rain. So now you know too! Anyway, I thought it was kinda cool to learn. After the arborist and I headed off in opposite directions, I went up to Warriewood for a scan of the condx up toward Mona. Hmmm… not as good as Murph saw earlier (see his report below)…

…earlier today I wrote…

0900: not the most attractive surf situation, but not totally flat either.

0900: not the most attractive surf situation, but not totally flat either.

Apologies for wandering in late this morning. Alarm clock, blah-blah, who cares… anyway, climbing up to the crows nest and pointing the 650 down toward Dee Why revealed rather small and junky conditions. A reasonable size crew was in nevertheless (teachers’ strike?), so if you’re keen… really, really keen… you can get a little something. From what Ross and Murph say though, it might be a plan to be looking elsewhere.

The reason is pretty obvious when you look at the latest MHL data. Since around midday yesterday, the dominant swell direction has swung around to the NNE (in line with the model predictions). Not the best for Dee Why, but should be reasonable in semi-exposed north corners (Whaley, north Av maybe, MV, Norffy, N.Curly, etc).

As I write this around 0940, the wind is out of the north to NE at anywhere from 10-15 kts. But the call is for it to ramp up 25-30 kts by this afternoon. The rain periods are expected to increase as we go along through the day.

According to the Bureau, it’s going to be fairly blasting along tomorrow morning: “Thursday: Wind: N/NE 30/40 knots tending NW 20/30 knots in morning and easing to 15/20 knots during the day.Sea: 3 to 4 metres abating 2 to 3 metres morning and 1 to 2 metres later. Swell: NE 2 to 2.5 metres. Isolated thunderstorms. ” Sounds like protected NE corners are going to be your best shot again.

Should be interesting!

Go well with your day – and stay happy!

 

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