All over bar the shouting this morning at Dee Why. Swell has dropped to less than a third of yesterday’s peak and as of 0600 was 1.2 metres from the ESE at 8 seconds apart. Translation: wave faces were knee to waist at 0700. Surface conditions were glassy and skies mostly clear, so it was a beautiful start to proceedings. However, it was quite inconsistent when I watched with only the a single wave (no sets) turning up at intervals of over 5 minutes. Gonna be a relaxing session for those getting involved.
Tide’s low at 0820 and the Bureau says wind should stay light for a few hours yet before eventually getting around to the south by lunch time and coming up into the 15-20 kt range. Swell may come up a touch with it, but the real boost comes tomorrow when a very brief 2-4 metre south pulse hits around lunchtime. Period’s are projected to be in the 15 second range, and although the height fades overnight into Tuesday, it could be pretty good because the wind call is for relatively light south and even briefly offshore in the morning. With luck it’ll still be surfable for Wednesday am. Beyond that is currently shaping to be small to zip for a stretch.
If you’re looking for something useful to do with yourself this morning, why not throw an hour of your time at helping the Surfrider crew beach clean at Freshie? It’s all pretty informal. Front up, look for our tent, grab a bucket and off you go.
Have a top old Sunday!
After a long wait, a moment of riding
Finally, a wave (very long waits this morning at Dee Why)
Weather Situation A fresh southerly wind change moves up the New South Wales coast today associated with a strong high pressure system southwest of Tasmania. This high will become the dominant weather feature into the new week extending a ridge over the eastern then northeastern parts of the state as it weakens and moves over the southern Tasman Sea. Forecast for Sunday until midnight Winds West to southwesterly below 10 knots shifting southerly 15 to 20 knots in the middle of the day. Seas Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres around midday. Swell Southeasterly around 1 metre. Weather Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers. Monday 13 April Winds Southerly 10 to 15 knots decreasing to about 10 knots in the evening. Seas 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning. Swell Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2.5 to 4 metres during the morning. Weather Partly cloudy. 30% chance of a shower in the morning. Caution Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing. Tuesday 14 April Winds South to southeasterly about 10 knots becoming east to northeasterly during the afternoon. Seas Below 1 metre. Swell Southerly 3 to 4 metres, decreasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning. Weather Partly cloudy.
Although the Bureau’s hoisted at gale warning for the next two days, as of 0630 wind was lightly out of the NW and there really weren’t any waves to speak of at Collaroy and Dee Why. The forecast says we can look forward to the wind arriving by early afternoon. It’ll be coming from the southerly quarters and is expected to be ripping along at 35 kts by around dusk.
Swell outlook is somewhat confused. The gales will obviously push up something, but it looks to me as though we’re talking locally generated (ie short period) waves with the wind straight behind them. My hunch is that this afternoon and tomorrow will be messy and not all that interesting in the protected corners. Saturday looks like being similarly wind affected and messy, but there seems to be some hope for lighter winds and some residual 8-9 sec wind swell energy (maybe knee to waist plus at east swell magnets).
Have yourself a great Thursday!
Looking east from Collaroy
Weak and crumbly little lines at 0630
Foggy and tiny
A trough across inland NSW extends off the NSW south coast towards Tasmania. To the north of the trough general northerly winds prevail. On Thursday morning a low is expected to deepen within this trough off the NSW South Coast before tracking north to be located off central coasts in the afternoon and then moving out into the Tasman Sea on Friday. The low will bring strengthening southerly winds that will reach Sydney waters by about midday Thursday and extend to the Queensland border during Friday.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Gale Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast
Northerly 15 to 25 knots turning west to northwesterly in the morning then tending southeast to southwesterly 25 to 30 knots in the early afternoon. Winds reaching up to 35 knots in the evening.
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 4 metres around midday.
Northeast to southeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres offshore by early evening.
Cloudy. 90% chance of rain. A thunderstorm likely.
Friday 12 December
Gale Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Southeasterly 25 to 30 knots, reaching up to 35 knots offshore early in the morning.
2.5 to 3 metres, increasing to 2.5 to 4 metres offshore.
Southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, tending southeasterly 2.5 metres during the morning.
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers.
Saturday 13 December
Southeasterly 20 to 30 knots.
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
South to southeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres, tending east to southeasterly 2.5 to 3 metres during the afternoon.
What a perfect Sunday morning. Light winds, smooth seas, sunny skies and a high of 23 in prospect. Sadly surfing options appear to be just about – but not quite – nil. There’s only a faint metre or so of ESE windswll lapping into Dee Why. At only 8 seconds apart, it was struggling to produce knee high wave faces up the beach at Dee Why. A high tide at 1030 isn’t helping either.
Outlook for tomorrow and Tuesday is not too interesting but from about Wednesday onward the models are showing some potential. And, in at least one case, there’s a prediction for quite a long period and large south pulse for overnight Friday into Saturday morning.
Don’t let the tininess put you off. Go for a paddle anyway and have yourself a top old Sunday!
A high pressure system centred off the New South Wales coast is extending a ridge across the state. This high will be the dominant feature in the region today as it drifts eastwards, directing north to northeasterly winds along the coast. A cold front is expected to reach the state’s southwest late today, but is expected to decay as it progresses to the northeast during Monday. Another front will follow bringing a southerly change on Wednesday.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast
North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending north to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots in the late morning and early afternoon. Winds reaching up to 30 knots in the evening.
Below 1 metre, increasing to around 1 metre during the morning, then increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres around midday.
Southerly around 1 metre.
Monday 29 September
Northerly 15 to 25 knots tending north to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the morning then turning east to northeasterly in the middle of the day.
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning, then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres by early evening.
East to northeasterly below 1 metre.
Tuesday 30 September
Variable about 10 knots becoming northerly and increasing to 15 to 25 knots during the morning then tending northwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the evening.
As expected, it’s very small this morning. Set wave faces at Dee Why are (infrequently) around the waist high mark. But that smooth sea bottom is making almost all of them close out. The city was fog shrouded but along the beaches skies were clear and winds were light. So, a nice morning for a paddle and who knows, you might even jag a wave.
According to the swell forecast models this morning, today and tomorrow are looking uninspiring. There could be a little bump up on Friday and from Saturday onward into the new week, there should be a bit more energy again as we get a run of small but steady south swell in the 7-8 second range. Knee to waist plus I’d guess, but it could be a bit bigger at optimally exposed spots.
Have yourself a top Wednesday everyone!
Tiny closeouts and that’s about it at 0730
Displacement makes all the difference.
Weather Situation A high over the western Tasman Sea extends a weak ridge over coastal New South Wales. The ridge will contract to the northeast later today as a trough and associated cold front approach from the southwest. This system is expected to bring a southerly change to southern and central parts of the coast during Thursday, before stalling north of Sydney on Friday. There are indications that low is likely to develop off the south coast later on Friday, deepening and moving eastwards during the weekend under the influence of a passing upper-level feature. Forecast for Wednesday until midnight Winds Variable around 10 knots inshore at first, otherwise north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots, reaching 20 knots inshore in the evening. Seas Around 1 metre. Swell Easterly below 1 metre. Thursday 3 April Winds North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots, before a southerly change 15 to 20 knots in the evening. Seas Around 1 metre. Swell Easterly below 1 metre. Weather The chance of thunderstorms during the late afternoon and evening. Friday 4 April Winds Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the morning then becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots during the day. Seas 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell Easterly around 1 metre.
The barest trickle of ESE east swell showing on the MHL buoy data this morning. It’s around a metre out at sea with an average period of 8 seconds. Set waves were just nudging the waist high range at Dee Why beach. So, you might get a touch bigger around at Curly. Wind is set to be light and variable all day and the forecast is for a partly cloudy day.
Tide was low at 0520 and will hit high at 1130. So if you have a lunch thing on, you can rest easy that you won’t be missing anything.
Not liking the look of this morning’s swell models. Apparently we’re in for a week of microness. This morning could be the best of it until late next weekend… it looks as though the paltry conditions will affect the entire east coast for the duration of the forecast period.
Been a great start to winter, so maybe Huey will give us another helping in a week or two…
Keep on smilin’!
Weather Situation A strong, slow-moving high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge across the New South Wales coast. Forecast for Saturday until midnight Winds Variable below 10 knots. Seas Below 0.5 metres. Swell Easterly around 1 metre. Sunday 14 July Winds Variable about 10 knots becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the late evening. Seas Up to 1 metre. Swell East to southeasterly around 1 metre. Monday 15 July Winds Northerly about 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots during the morning. Seas Around 1 metre. Swell East to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Glassy before 0900 this morning at Dee Why, but the little east swell is, well, little. Only one real peak at the southern end of the beach was picking anything up. Sets, which were breaking pretty close to shore, were about waist high. Tide’s not high until 1020 or so, which means the current conditions should prevail through noon. Swell is set to stay at about a metre or so but average period is between 7 and 8 seconds, so there’s just not much energy around. Beaches with better east exposure might be a touch bigger.
Tomorrow looks like being a bit smaller again but there might be a little pulse from the SE on Wednesday morning.
Have yourself a great day!
Tides: H @1020, L @1550
Weather Situation A high pressure system near New Zealand is moving east maintaining a ridge to New South Wales north coast. Later on Monday a cold front will bring west to southwesterly change to the far south coast. The change will extend to the north coast during Tuesday as a low associated with the front slows down and deepens near Tasmania. This low is expected to move very slowly east across the southern Tasman Sea over the next few days. Forecast for Monday until midnight Winds Northerly 15 to 20 knots turning northwesterly in the middle of the day. Seas 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell Northeast to southeasterly around 1 metre. Weather The chance of thunderstorms during the evening. Tuesday 14 May Winds West to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending west to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots early in the morning. Seas 1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1.5 metres around midday. Swell East to northeasterly around 1 metre. Wednesday 15 May Winds West to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots during the morning. Seas Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning. Swell Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Given the average period of the metre or so of ESE swell is around the 8 second mark, I’m a little surprised that Dee Why looks as dire as it does. I thought there should be at least the occasional little thing in the knee to waist range. But nothing like that was evident when I grabbed the snap at around 0730. It could be that the high tide was swamping it. Tide peaked at 0735 or so. By the time the low arrives at 1400, the onshores should be up and going pretty hard. So, maybe look around at better exposed spots and try to get something before the wind’s an issue.
The outlook is little changed in the last 24 hours – at least as far as the remainder of the work week is concerned. As the Goat would say, up a bit and down a bit, but basically only into the barely surfable range at the right tide and spot.
Some of the swell modelling is predicting a longer period east pulse toward next weekend. They aren’t all agreeing on it right now, so we’ll just keep an eye on things in the meantime – while keeping our fingers crossed.
Go well with your Monday!
Weather Situation A high pressure system near New Zealand is maintaining a ridge towards southeast Queensland, while a low pressure trough lies over northeastern New South Wales. Another high pressure system, approaching from the west, will move to the Tasman Sea early in the week, generating east to northeasterly winds along the coast. The next cold front is forecast to bring a gusty southerly change later Thursday and Friday. Forecast for Monday until midnight Winds Variable about 10 knots becoming easterly 15 to 20 knots in the middle of the day. Seas Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening. Swell Easterly about 1 metre. Tuesday 26 March Winds Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots. Seas Below 1 metre increasing to 1.5 metres in the evening. Swell Easterly about 1 metre. Wednesday 27 March Winds Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots. Seas 1 to 1.5 metres increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the evening. Swell Easterly about 1 metre.
All’s quiet in Sydney this morning with barely a metre of ESE wind swell lapping listlessly along our beaches. Wind was offshore early at Dee Why, but no one was in the water that I could see. Waves might have been waist high on the very biggest ones, but the line is indistinct, so I’m not sure you could even longboard it.
The swell modelling this morning continues to show a substantial east pulse filling in from late Thursday – but with relentless SE wind and showers. The only bright spot is the apparent possibility of a briefly favourable period of sideshores late on Saturday afternoon, before coming back around to the south on Sunday morning.
The onshore regime looks like it may last into the middle of next week at least. But, on the bright side, there should be a reasonable amount of swell activity right through the period – and beyond. Plus, this morning’s offshore water temp reading showed it’s currently 24.
Have yourself a fun Tuesday!
Tides: L @1050, H @1635
Weather Situation A strong high pressure system near New Zealand extends a ridge towards the New South Wales coast, and is bringing east to northeasterly winds. A weak trough will bring a southerly change to the southern coast later today before dissipating over central parts. Meanwhile, a low is developing within a another trough, off the Queensland coast, and is forecast to move slowly southwards during the following few days. This low is expected to generate vigorous winds and large seas in the north from today onwards. Forecast for Tuesday until midnight Winds Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots. Seas Up to 1.5 metres. Swell Easterly 1 metre. Weather Isolated thunderstorms. Wednesday 20 February Winds Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning east to southeasterly in the morning. Seas Below 1 metre. Swell Northeasterly about 1.5 metres. Weather The chance of thunderstorms from midday. Thursday 21 February Winds Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots. Seas Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon. Swell Easterly about 2 metres.
At 0500 the breeze was lightly out of the NNW and a tiny 1 metre, 8 second period wind swell was lapping at the MHL Sydney buoy. The wind should turn NE’ly and push up through the day to be around 15-20 kts in the afternoon. Not a recipe for fine surfing conditions. Indeed, I’d be surprised if there was much more than a knee high bump showing at NE spots.
It’s looking interesting for the long weekend still, although the picture is a bit mixed as at least one of the models is predicting a couple of swells to be in play at the same time (from the south and from the east). One way or another, there should be a fair amount of energy around from tomorrow-ish through to next weekend (when yours truly returns to Sydney).
Have yourself a good one!
Weather Situation A strengthening high over the southern Tasman Sea directs humid east to northeasterly winds across the region. A trough, currently over South Australia, will move into western parts of the state during Friday and reach the southern coast on Saturday before decaying. Meanwhile, a tropical low is slowly moving along the Queensland coast towards New South Wales, and is expected to generate strong to gale force winds about northern coastal areas late on the weekend. Forecast for Friday until midnight Winds Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 20 to 25 knots in the late evening. Seas Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres later in the evening. Swell Easterly 1 metre. Weather The chance of thunderstorms offshore this morning. Saturday 26 January Winds Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots. Seas 1 to 2 metres. Swell Easterly 1 metre. Weather The chance of thunderstorms during the evening. Sunday 27 January Winds Northeasterly 15 to 25 knots. Seas Up to 2 metres. Swell Easterly 2 to 3 metres. Weather Isolated thunderstorms.
Stopped by Curly this morning not really expecting to find much. Surprisingly interesting looking before the high tide and wind became issues. I only had a short time to take pictures, but I managed to get about 60 of at least ten different people. As usual all pics are available without the watermark for a very reasonable fee. Just double click on the one you want and find the add to cart link. It should all be pretty obvious!