Not pouring with rain this morning. Odd. In fact there was a watery sun and steamy temps when I sat down to write this around 0915.
Looks like there might be some little waves to be had thanks to a slight increase in period and a favourable dominant direction from the ESE.
Will duck out for a look around and plan to report back later.
Forecast for Sunday Rain periods, increasing during the day. Chance of thunderstorms and heavy rain later. Light winds tending moderate north to northeasterly.
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards: Sunday until midnight: Wind: Variable 5/10 knots, tending NW/NE 15/20 knots in the afternoon, reaching 20/25 knots offshore. Sea: to 1 metre, rising to 1.5 to 2.5 metres. Swell: SE 1 to 1.5 metres. Isolated thunderstorms later. Monday: Wind: W/NW 10/15 knots tending W/SW 10/20 knots, increasing to 20/30 knots offshore late.Sea: 1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres offshore late. Swell: SE 1 to 1.5 metres. Tuesday: Wind: SW 25/35 knots.
Leisurely start for your correspondent this morning and it seems I haven’t missed much – at least where Dee Why’s concerned. Yesterday arvo I joined the crowds near No Man’s and though it was small, I managed to get quite a grovellers in the waist high range. There was some 12 second stuff in the mix then, but this morning it’s gone, plus the swell heights have dropped a touch and the primary direction is getting close to east.
The expected southerly change has just arrived and the wind’s now racked around and picked up to 15-20 kts.
Tide’s just gone high as I write this and from the look of the folks in the water at Dee Why, you’re going to need a rescue board or longer to catch anything much. Plus, I think you’re going to have to walk a fair distance to get to the sand as the carpark is practically spilling into the lagoon this morning.
Outlook is for this afternoon to be pretty much as it is now – ie near flat. There might possibly be a little bump in the semi-protected east exposed corners.
Monday and Tuesday look set to be dominated by SW winds and a small but gradually rising SE swell. The models are looking a bit more optimistic for the middle of the week than they were a day or two ago. It currently appears that we could have something into the interesting range from late Tuesday through (maybe) Thursday early. The models are showing 2 metres dead south at 11 seconds, so it’s not likely to be big, but some spots could be into the head high range.
Here’s hoping…
Go well with your day and stay happy!
Tides: H @1020, L @1700 Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards: Sunday until midnight: Wind: NW 15/20 knots, ahead of a S’ly change 20/25 knots in the morning. Easing to S/SE 15/20 knots in the evening.Sea: 1.5 to 2 metres.Swell: E/SE increasing 1.5 to 2 metres. Isolated thunderstorms. Monday: Wind: S/SW 15/20 knots increasing to 25/33 knots in the afternoon. Sea: about 1.5 metres rising to 2 to 3 metres in the afternoon. Swell: SE 1.5 to 2 metres. Tuesday: Wind: S/SW 20/30 knots easing.
SUP rider sets up a short glide to the sand at Longy.
Hello Friends,
Fog was so thick along the northern beaches this morning that visibility was down to only a few hundred metres. Not that there’s all that much to see. I wandered down to Longy to scope the ESE windswell options and grab a pic or two.
As you can see, set waves are struggling to make the waist high mark. Plus, they’re really slow and weak, so if you don’t have a decent rider weight to craft length ratio happening, well, it ain’t happening.
The outlook for the next few days where Sydney’s concerned, seems to be about where it was yesterday, ie small to flat through the weekend. Your best shot this morning is spots that can do something with the weak E to ESE windswell. By this afternoon, the dominant direction could be going more to the NE and come tomorrow, that looks like being the setting for the next 48-72 hours.
Could be a good week for catching up on things. Speaking of which, yesterday afternoon we launched our new merchandise shop. For some time now I’ve been getting asked when we’d do some RealSurf tee shirts again and so after looking around at the various options, I came across an on-demand printing site called zazzle.com.
They recently opened an Australian office to build on their US success. What’s cool about it is that you can put designs (such as our logo!) on all kinds of stuff – and you only make the shirts or cups or whatever when an order comes in. Much better than the old way where you had to guess demand for styles, sizes, etc and then make a bunch and hope they’d sell.
In coming weeks, I’ll be adding more products to the shop, but for now you’ll find various Friends of RealSurf clothing options – and a couple different FoRS coffee cups too. Check it out below…
Synoptic Situation A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea will remain slow-moving during the next few days. Northerly winds will increase on Thursday ahead of a weak front which should cross the coast Thursday evening or Friday. A low is expected to deepen over Bass Straight during Saturday, with an associated cold front expected to bring a more vigorous southerly change to NSW later on the weekend.
Sydney Coastal Waters,Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards: Wednesday until midnight: Wind: Variable 5/10 knots at first, tending NE 10/15 knots during the afternoon and increasing to 15/20 knots later.Sea: less than 1 metre, rising to 1 to 2 metres in the afternoon/evening. Swell: E/SE about 1 metre. Thursday: Wind: N/NE 10/15 knots, strengthening to NE 20/30 knots in the afternoon. Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres, rising to 2 to 3 metres later. Swell: E/NE 1 metre. Friday: Wind: NW 15/25 knots, easing later.
Made a quick circuit at around 0700. Looked amazingly uncrowded everywhere. What goes on?? Saw a surprisingly large set wave at Dee Why (see the pic), but I really can’t believe that is anything like the average size one. Everything else seemed to be closer to waist high. Speaking of which, there were a couple of bods up at Longy finding some diversion in conditions of the aforesaid size. Around at the Collaroy Narra stretch it looked to be smaller than yesterday, but not bad at all. Seemed to be more waves down the southern end of Gardens than up at the Northy end, but I’m guessing there will be little peaks along the entire stretch.
Bodes well for elsewhere it has to be said…
Amazing bomb set hits Dee Why beach just after sunrise.
That looks rather fun.
Little one rolls into the inside at Longy bombies around 0700.
Grabbed a few pictures as soon as it got light enough…
Swell is back to the ESE at a metre by 8sec. More thoughts later today.
The Bureau says:
Sydney Coastal Waters,Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards: Monday until midnight: Wind: E/SE 10/15 knots tending NE in the afternoon and reaching 15/20 knots later chiefly offshore.Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell: E’ly to 1 metre. Isolated thunderstorms. Tuesday: Wind: N/NW 10/15 knots. Sea: about 1 metre.Swell: E’ly to 1 metre. Isolated thunderstorms. Wednesday: Wind: W/NW 10/15 knots, turning SW 10/20 knots later.
Set wave manages to get going after a fashion.
The only man in the water from Longy to Dee Why.
Little one peels gently in toward the seaweed and sand.
Usual crowd in attendance on one of the few peaks around.
Hmmm. Thought it would be bigger this morning. But it isn’t. You’re going to have to hunt around this morning. The Collaroy-Narrabeen stretch has two or three very small and inconsistent (but at 0700, glassy) peaks. Size is struggling to get to chest high on the takeoff before rapidly slumping to sup waist high as you go along. An incoming tide (high at 0915) is not going to do it any favours.
Situation along the Dee Why to Longy stretch was pretty much the same. Great long stretches of smooth, still waters separating the little episodic peaks. Nothing happening at the point and nothing doing at the bombies. But it was glassy and the sunny. Nice day for a walk along the sand up the north end away from the rotting cunji and seaweed down toward kiddies.
Here’s the latest call from the Bureau:
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards: Saturday until midnight: Wind: variable to 10 knots, tending N/NE 10/15 knots in the afternoon and freshening to 15/20 knots later, chiefly offshore. Sea: less than 1 metre rising to 1 to 1.5 metres later. Swell: E/SE about 1 metre. Sunday: Wind: N/NW 10/15 knots. Sea: about 1 metre.Swell: E about 1 metre. Monday: Wind: SE/NE 10/15 knots.
At this stage, I don’t see any reason to hope for a major divergence from the Goat’s forecast. But I do like the look of some of the swell forecast interpretations for late in the coming week. We aren’t talking huge or anything, but there is at least a prospect of shoulder to head high plus E to ENE swell with light SE wind from around Thursday into the weekend.
Hope those super computers are right!
(Speaking of forecasts, it looks as though Tuesday and Thursday could be pretty interesting down at Bells.)
Go well!
The devout have assembled and are waiting patiently for their blessings.
Showers to come later, waves few and far between, but he's found one.
Long wait, and a long way to the next peak, but payoffs do happen.
Had a look at Freshy and Curly around 0830-0930 this morning and grabbed you a few pics on the way through.
Everywhere I looked was crowded from 0830. Hardly surprising given the glassy little waves and sunny skies. Fresh’s crowd had to put up with mostly shutting down, mostly waist high dribblers. Every now and then though a more interesting looking set would turn (see pic below)
Three fun ones stack into Freshwater around 0845
There were upwards of a hundred folks in the water from one end of Curly to the other. The south end looked kinda beat up and ordinary, but was accordingly less busy. The north end looked a picture, but the easterly angle to the windswell was just pushing past for some reason. The centre was where it was all happening – lotsa bods and a few pretty fun looking sections.
Caring and sharing Curly style this morning.
Even on the busiest days you can get lucky sometimes.
North Curly not as interesting as the middle of the beach.
Just look for the crowd - middle Curly around 0900
Get out there and get amongst it if you can, but be realistic about your chances of anything like solitude!
