Articles tagged with "NE-1.5m-5s"

Looks interesting early

Posted by: on November 14th, 2014

Hello Friends,

Interesting combo swell this morning in Sydney. The MHL buoy is showing 2 metres at 12 seconds from the SE along with 1-1-5 metres of 6+ sec NE wind bump. Tide’s low around 0800 and the day promises to be abnormally warm (again). Wind’s north early and will pick up as the day goes along, so that’ll likely bump out the sth corners. I reckon waist to chest plus at bigger spots.

Tomorrow is supposed to be southerly and the south component is set to dial back while the short period NE bumps slightly. I bet it won’t be so red hot. Maybe knee to waist-ish at standout spots.

Still playing the waiting game in Santa Barbara but it’s beginning to look hopeful for at least something maybe late this arvo and definitely tomorrow. My fingers are crossed for waist to chest plus around here (further south and up north it’ll be into the head plus to 2x overhead potentially at magnets around Santa Cruz).

A couple of postcards for you this morning, first was snapped a few hours ago at Mesa Lane where a little long period line was showing every 10 mins or so, and the second is a picture yesterday arvo of a spot called El Capitan which can, on rare occasions, fire up in a serious way (think Angourie inside).

Have a great day!

Mesa Lane showing a perfect little west line probably knee to waist high

Mesa Lane showing a perfect little west line probably knee to waist high

El Capitan slumbering in the afternoon wind

El Capitan slumbering in the afternoon wind

Weather Situation

A high pressure system is slowly moving east across the southern Tasman Sea maintaining a ridge to the New South Wales north coast. Northerly winds will increase during Friday ahead of a gusty southerly change associated with a cold front developing on the south coast in the afternoon, extending to Sydney Waters late evening and to the far north coast during Saturday morning. Winds are expected to briefly turn northerly during Sunday ahead of another south to southwesterly change and east to northeasterly on Monday and Tuesday as another high moves over southeastern Australia.

Forecast for Friday until midnight

Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast

Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots inshore in the late evening. Winds shifting south to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Mostly sunny.

Saturday 15 November

Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots turning east to southeasterly below 10 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning.
1st Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 40% chance of rain in the late afternoon and evening.

Sunday 16 November

Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming west to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots during the morning then turning south to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of rain.

Signs of activity

Posted by: on September 16th, 2014

Hello Friends,

Interesting combo of short period NE wind chop and a SSE swell. According to the MHL data, the SSE is close to a 2 metres at 10+ seconds, but looking at Dee Why this morning, there’s minimal evidence of the south component. Kinda weird. Wind at the RealSurf crows nest as of 0700 was pushing along at 5-10kts. As you can see from the pictures, it was making surface conditions fairly choppy. I didn’t see anything above about knee to waist high showing at the beach (the point was smaller still). Tide was just about low at that point and will be high just on 1400.

There’s definitely more activity this morning, but that said, you’ll be doing very well to find something worth the effort. The various forecast models are in general agreement that surf prospects aren’t good for today but there might be a slight improvement tomorrow and Thursday could see another step up in energy levels – potentially into the surfable range.

There are indications that this coming weekend could see a south wind affected southerly pulse into the shoulder-head high range at exposed spots. And, it might last into Monday.

Get through those obligations today I’d say.

Go well!

dee why beach

A bit more activity, but not quite surfable

dee why point

…but not finding anything yet

Weather Situation

A relatively weak low pressure system over western Victoria extends a trough northwards over eastern NSW. This system will move steadily east today with the trough crossing NSW coastal waters later this afternoon and evening and the low moving through eastern Bass Strait and deepening somewhat during this time. The low is expected to move slowly to the southeast and intensify further during Wednesday while a cold front moves northeast from the Southern Ocean across Tasmania then southeast NSW. Fresh to strong southwest winds are expected for southern and central waters on this day. Another cold front or trough is likely to pass near southeast NSW on Thursday and Friday, and combined with a slow moving high south of Adelaide, is likely to bring fresh to strong southwest to southerly winds to much of the coast, particularly southern and central areas. A southerly swell is also expected to increase late in the week.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 25 knots shifting westerly in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1.5 metres during the afternoon, then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms until later tonight.

Wednesday 17 September

Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore early in the morning and again in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1.5 metres around midday, then increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre around midday.

Thursday 18 September

Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the afternoon then becoming westerly 15 to 20 knots during the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the morning.

Please be awareWind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.