Articles tagged with "NE-1.5m-7s"

Grey skies, grey seas, no energy

Posted by: on September 25th, 2014

Hello Friends,
The Sydney MHL buoy was only detecting about 1.5 metres of 7-second period NE windswell as of 0600. An hour later when I grabbed a snap of the point, it was looking unsurfably small. Tide will be high at 0910, so the extra fatness isn’t helping things along. Wind was light from the north but is expected to ramp up into the 20-30 kt range this afternoon.
Tomorrow’s forecast is still calling for a southerly in the morning along with a tiny east-ne wind swell. Swell should move more to the south as the day goes along and the winds gradually back off. Whether or not there’d be an opportunity late in the afternoon is an open question. I’m not overly hopeful on that front. Let’s see what the Goat has to say later…
Have a great Thursday one and all!

dee why point

Looks like a layday at Dee Why

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the central Tasman Sea extends a ridge towards northeast New South Wales, with generally northwest to northeast winds along the coast. A low pressure trough approaches today and is forecast to bring a strong southerly change to southern and central parts of the coast during Thursday, extending to the north coast early Friday. Another high is forecast to move in behind the trough later Friday and should remain the dominant feature in the region through the weekend, with winds gradually easing before shifting more northerly again.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots shifting southwesterly 20 to 30 knots in the early afternoon. Winds reaching up to 30 knots during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms until this evening.
Friday 26 September
Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots early in the morning. Winds decreasing to 10 to 15 knots in the late evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
Swell
East to northeasterly below 1 metre, tending southerly 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Saturday 27 September
Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots turning east to southeasterly below 10 knots during the afternoon then becoming east to northeasterly during the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.

A few little offerings from Huey this morning

Posted by: on January 29th, 2014
Soft little left around 0700

Soft little left around 0700

You're such a tease Huey.

You’re such a tease Huey.

Sunny morning, little bumps, who'd complain?

Sunny morning, little bumps, who’d complain?

Hello Friends,

Warm one coming up but at least there was a little waist to plus NE wind swell coming in for the early. Wind’s set to be northerly this morning and then NE later. Tide was a high high at 0730 and will be back to a low 1415. Dee Why looked kinda lumpy and bumpy and a bit weak (thanks to the high tide swamping it and the short period of the wind swell). But, you could definitely catch ’em and I can’t think of a better way to get the 29th of January started.

Outlook is for this pattern to repeat more or less for the next few days.

The long range models once again are projecting some solid east swell from late next week. The problem is, they’re also saying we’ll have a fair amount of wind from the southerly quarters. Still, one would rather have plenty of swell and lots of wind than lots of wind and no swell!

Have yourself a great Wednesday everyone and go well with your plans.

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the southern Tasman Sea extends a ridge along the New South Wales coast. This high will move very slowly east over the next few days while maintaining a ridge to the north coast. A weak low pressure trough is expected to move up the southern coast on Wednesday, before stalling.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots turning northeasterly in the middle of the day.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Thursday 30 January
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Friday 31 January
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1.5 metres during the evening.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.

Sunday smooth early but tiny

Posted by: on January 19th, 2014

SUPster snags small one

Hello Friends,

High tide’s at 1055 this morning, so from that perspective, the early was ok. But from the perspective of actual, rideable waves, well, it was not so ok. According to the MHL specra from 0400, we had about 1.5 metres of 7 second period NE wind bump. For Dee Why this meant knee to maybe thigh high on the bigger ones. It helped to have some leverage (ie be on a SUP or a ski) to get into the smooth but feeble little bumps. If you weren’t so equipped, you were just sitting around.

Wind was light early but it should going SE soon – and the Bureau says the wimpy little swell should weaken with it.

This morning’s swell model interpretations are generally pointing to marginal to flat for tomorrow and then maybe a little improvement to size mid week – but with onshores pretty much as far ahead as the models project. It does at least look like our ambient wind swell size could bump up a bit from midweek and then stay that way for an extended period – opening up possibilities for the early sessions.

Have yourself a fun Sunday!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea has moved away toward New Zealand, ahead of a weak cold front and associated trough. This trough has been moving slowly across New South Wales and is expected to stall over central parts of the state on Sunday. Another surge of south to southeasterly winds is expected to move along southern and central parts of the coast during Monday.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots turning east to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms offshore tonight.
Monday 20 January
Winds
East to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending south to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning, then increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms early in the morning.
Tuesday 21 January
Winds
East to northeasterly about 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres inshore during the evening.
Swell
East to northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Isolated thunderstorms offshore during the afternoon and evening.

Sticky: Not so nice

Posted by: on August 17th, 2013

Sweeping around

Hello Friends,

If you didn’t get up for the early, no need to fret; there really wasn’t anything going on at Dee Why. As the day got started, we had light NNE wind and about 1.5 metres of short period NE wind swell. Not the combo for Dee Why, but just maybe there’d be a little something around at north Curly. I’d be stoked to find a waist high wave this morning.

Tide’s going to be low at 1010 and then back to high at 1650.

The Bureau is calling for gusty northerlies today, shifting SW in the afternoon. It should be sunny and warm too.

If you read the Goat’s latest forecast, you’ll know what comes next… the outlook is dour. The offshores of August are against us and apart from a faint uptick tomorrow morning and again around midweek, all is gloom on the surf outlook for Sydney. Winter water temps will stick around for awhile yet, but the regular supply of fun waves is another matter.

Ah well, patience has always been a major part of this game, so make the most of your landlubber life for now because one day the waves will return.

Have a top old Saturday!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the western Tasman Sea is weakening while a vigorous cold front moves across New South Wales, bringing gusty conditions to many parts of the coast today. Behind the front, a weak ridge is expected to develop over the state’s north during Sunday, although the southern coast will remain windy as a second cold front approaches from the Southern Ocean. This next front is forecast to reach the coast on Monday, maintaining fresh to strong southwesterly winds in most parts. A high is likely to strengthen across the state during Tuesday and Wednesday, promoting an easing of winds in the region.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots shifting west to southwesterly in the early afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1.5 metres in the evening.
Swell
Southeasterly below 1 metre.
Sunday 18 August
Winds
Westerly 10 to 15 knots turning northwesterly 15 to 20 knots in the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by evening.
Swell
Southeasterly up to 1 metre.
Monday 19 August
Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning west to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots during the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.

Sticky: Swell from NE but small

Posted by: on July 19th, 2013

15-second ride
Hello Friends,

The MHL buoy spectral data is showing a very distinct NE origin for the little wind swell showing along our beaches this morning. Dee Why was delivering the odd knee to waist set, but the energy levels are low and the surface conditions looking choppy thanks to the steady north breeze. As a consequence, the surfer population at the Dee Why end of the beach was in the low single figures. Still, the person in my picture this morning was on that wave for a good 15 seconds, so some of them are running a reasonable distance (albeit slowly).

Will you find something similar? Maybe… the swell’s supposed to come up a bit over the next 24 hours and to swing more east…

Have yourself a great Friday one and all!

Tides: L @0420 H @1025

Forecast issued at 4:11 am EST on Friday 19 July 2013.
Weather Situation
A strong high pressure system near New Zealand extends a ridge to the northern New South Wales coast, while a deep low south of the Bight is moving steadily east. Vigorous northerly winds generated between these systems are expected during Friday as a cold front approaches from the west, and are likely to remain fresh to strong in many areas as the front crosses the coast during the weekend.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
Strong wind warning for Friday for Sydney Coastal Waters
Winds
Northerly 20 to 30 knots tending northwesterly in the evening.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing below 2 metres later in the evening.
Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Weather
Isolated thunderstorms.
Saturday 20 July
Winds
West to Northwesterly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre around midday.
Sunday 21 July
Winds
Westerly 15 to 25 knots turning northwesterly 20 to 30 knots during the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.

Check the NE spots

Posted by: on March 22nd, 2013

Hint of NE

Hello Friends,

An autumnal NW greeted me as I climbed aloft to the crows nest to see what the ocean was doing this morning. Not much at Dee Why as you can see from my picture. A little cluster of mal riders near the rocks at the point and another hopeful punter inside at the beachy. But nothing surfable came in while I was watching. The MHL spectra page for Sydney shows a NE wind swell of about 1.5 metres at 7 seconds. The remnants of yesterday arvo’s powering NE’r no doubt. So, if you are keen, I’d be making for my fave NE spot this morning to see if I could pick up a little something. It’s going to be a warm one in Sydney today, and there could be an afternoon storm. The NW should become more northerly and back off a bit as the day goes along.

The next week continues to look pretty ordinary surfwise, so if you can score a little something today, that’d be a good thing.

Go well!

Tides: L @noon, H @1805

Weather Situation
A high pressure system near New Zealand is slowly moving to the southeast maintaining a ridge to New South Wales north coast. A southerly change associated with a cold front will develop on the south coast Friday morning, extending to the central coast during Saturday morning and weakening.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds
Northerly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 25 knots in the morning.
Seas
Up to 3 metres decreasing to 2 metres around midday.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 metre.
Weather
Isolated thunderstorms from midday.
Saturday 23 March
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots tending west to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the morning then tending easterly in the early afternoon.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 metres.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms, contracting offshore by early evening.
Sunday 24 March
Winds
East to southeasterly 5 to 10 knots becoming light during the morning then tending north to northeasterly up to 10 knots during the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 metre.

Small sunny Sunday

Posted by: on December 9th, 2012

Hello Friends,

Light north wind and a 7 second period NE wind swell of about 1.5 metres washing in for the Sunday early crew. It’s sunny as I write this, but the Bureau says we have an 80% chance of rain thanks to the arrival of a vigorous south change packing 20-30 kts of wind. The directional spectra from the Manly buoy isn’t showing anything out of the south and only modest and broadly diffuse energy from the NE. Translation: the change doesn’t look like improving matters at all.

Not much of a surf week coming up for Sydney according to this morning’s models. Still, it should be possible to find little scrappy stuff here and there. Polish up the mal I reckon.

Have yourself a good Sunday!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the western Tasman Sea extends a weakening ridge to the far north coast of New South Wales. A cold front is moving across the southwestern Tasman Sea with an associated southerly change advancing along the southern half of the coast. The change is expected to reach central parts of the coast by late Sunday morning or early Sunday afternoon before weakening on the north coast early Monday. A high will develop near Tasmania early next week strengthening a ridge along the coast.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Northerly 20 to 30 knots ahead of a southerly change 20 to 30 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
Up to 3 metres decreasing to 2 metres around midday then increasing to 3 metres by early evening.
Swell
Easterly 1 metre tending northeasterly about 1.5 metres from midday.
Weather
Isolated thunderstorms offshore this afternoon and evening.
Monday 10 December
Winds
Southerly 25 to 30 knots decreasing to 20 to 25 knots before dawn.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Easterly about 1 metre becoming 1 metre late in the evening.
Tuesday 11 December
Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots turning easterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly up to 1.5 metres.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms from midday.

Sticky: Surf situation dire

Posted by: on March 13th, 2011

Hello Friends,

That big old high over the Tasman just doesn’t want to go anywhere and it’s not helping the surf situation at all. While the size of the NE swell at sea is still around the 1.5 metre mark, the average period is a weak 7 seconds. Admittedly Dee Why isn’t the ideal indicator for NE windswell, so there may be slightly more energy at NE magnets, but I reckon it’ll be struggling to make waist high for the most part. Certainly there wasn’t anything above that level when I checked at about 0900. Huey’s expected to dial the wind up to 15-20 kts later this afternoon, so that might bump the energy levels up a touch.

A S-SW change is expected tomorrow and as a consequence we may see a small improvement to the surf prospects. But I’m not seeing anything dramatic on this run of the models for tomorrow. They are showing a big system forming in the southern ocean in about five days. The forecasts show the main energy staying largely clear of the east coast, but by the weekend the situation could possibly change and we might have some smallish but long period swell pushing in by Sunday.

Have a good one!

 

 

TIDES: L @0930, H @1520

Weather Situation

A semi-stationary high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge to the New South Wales far north coast. A cold front will bring a southerly change to the south and central coasts during Monday.

Forecast for Sunday until midnight

Winds: Northerly 10 to 20 knots tending north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning then increasing to 15 to 20 knots by early evening. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing up to 1.5 metres during the morning. Swell: Easterly 1 metre. Isolated thunderstorms this afternoon and evening.

Forecast for Monday

Winds: Northerly 10 to 20 knots tending north to northwesterly up to 10 knots around dawn then tending northwest to southwesterly up to 20 knots during the morning. Winds tending south to southwesterly up to 25 knots around midday. Seas: Up to 1.5 metres increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon. Swell: Easterly about 1.5 metres.

Forecast for Tuesday

Winds: South to southeasterly 10 to 20 knots becoming southerly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon then decreasing to 10 knots during the evening. Seas: Up to 1.5 metres. Swell: Easterly 1 metre. Isolated thunderstorms offshore from the morning.

 

 

Small offerings from Huey

Posted by: on March 9th, 2011

Hello Friends,

Dull start this morning as Huey dresses the joint in La Nina grey. Apparently there’s only a small chance of rain, but it’s going to be a sultry one later. Yesterday’s small but catchable waves look to be another notch smaller this morning. The swell’s gone around to the NE and although it’s about 1.5 metres, the average period is down to 7 seconds. This combo is producing mostly knee to waist high conditions, with the odd slightly bigger one where Dee Why’s concerned.

The outlook for this weekend has soured since yesterday when the models were projecting a useful little pulse for the weekend in Sydney. But this morning’s calculations are pointing toward energy levels over the next few days to be  not dissimilar to what’s out there right now.  It should be coming from the east, so at least that means most places will have a little something to work with. Figure knee to waist with the odd chest high set this morning and again tomorrow and Friday.

Have yourself a great day!

TIDES: H @1140, L @1740

Weather Situation

A slow moving high centred over the southern Tasman Sea maintains a ridge over eastern New South Wales. A low pressure trough to the west is slowly approaching the New South Wales coast and is likely to bring a southerly change to the southern and central parts of the coast on Thursday. The trough will become slow moving on Friday and weaken on Saturday. North to northeast airstream will dominate during the weekend on the western flank of a slow moving high in the Tasman Sea.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds: North to northeasterly 10 to 20 knots becoming northerly 20 to 25 knots later in the evening. Seas: 1 to 2 metres. Swell: Easterly 1 metre.

Forecast for Thursday

Winds: Northerly 15 to 25 knots decreasing to 10 to 20 knots around dawn then tending north to northeasterly up to 15 knots during the morning. Winds tending northeast to southeasterly up to 15 knots by early evening. Seas: Up to 2 metres. Swell: Easterly 1 metre.

Forecast for Friday

Winds: Northeast to southeasterly 5 to 15 knots, although south to southeasterly inshore until late afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Easterly 1 metre. Isolated thunderstorms.

 

Early risers’ little fun

Posted by: on November 27th, 2010

Hello Friends,

Beating the NE’r this morning is the plan for Saturday. Either that, or just taking it head on and waiting until the wind is really blasting (around lunchtime). Exposed stretches such as the north end of Collaroy-Narrabeen stretch are showing waist high sets with the odd chest high bomb. Less optimally aligned stretches such as Dee Why are knee high with bombs making it to waist high.

If you’re willing to brave onshore conditions, you might want to leave it until this afternoon when the wind is supposed to be up to 30 knots, so that should mean the odd head high plus face in exposed locations. And remember, although the ocean will be pretty torn up, the faces are actually relatively clean so if you pick your section, it can be kinda fun.

Tide is high at around midday.

When it comes to the outlook, I’m with the Goat. If you had to pick a day this weekend for maximum size potential, I’d say it’d be today. Tomorrow is setting up to be more northerly and that means that there probably won’t be quite as much energy in the system as compared to later today. That said, it doesn’t look like being flat either.

On current reckoning Monday could offer similar size to later today with a more easterly swell direction lighting up a wider variety of spots. So, all and all, a marginal, but not woeful outlook.

Have yourself a great day!
Postcard from lovely Bilgola at about 1045 this morning…

Weather Situation

A semi-stationary high pressure system near New Zealand extends a ridge to to New South Wales far north coast. A cold front front is expected to move across the southwestern Tasman Sea during Sunday bringing brief southerly change to the south coast.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds: North to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots becoming northeasterly up to 30 knots around midday. Seas: 1.5 to 2 metres increasing to 3 metres around midday. Swell: Northeasterly 1 metre.

Forecast for Sunday

Winds: Northerly 20 to 30 knots. Seas: Up to 3 metres decreasing to 2 metres during the morning. Swell: Northeasterly about 1.5 metres. Isolated thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening.

Forecast for Monday

Winds: Northwesterly 10 to 20 knots. Seas: Up to 1.5 metres increasing up to 2 metres during the morning. Swell: Easterly 1 metre.

 

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