Grey skies, no wind, incoming tide, 1.5 metres of 8-sec period wind swell out at sea and that all adds up to an as-expected morning of marginal surf conditions. Magnet spots (mid-Manly, north Curly and the Pole) were picking up knee to waist wave faces on the quite infrequent sets. You’ll want a mal or fish for the conditions as waves were looking slow and weak.
The decrease in energy is right in line with the forecasts, and those tell us that if anything, we can expect it to drop further today, before coming up weakly a touch tomorrow morning, but fading back across the afternoon. We’re expected to have light S-SE wind tomorrow morning along with a mix of east and SE wind swells. I don’t see the latter producing much of interest, but maybe from around midday Wednesday there’ll be a few slightly more interesting waist plus options here and there – tide willing.
Speaking of tides, low tide was at 0730 today and will be high at 1335.
Longer range outlook still holds out hope of something a bit better than today for Friday morning – thanks to a possible longer period NE pulse. The models are currently suggesting any pulse will be shortlived, so maybe there’ll still be some activity on Saturday morning, but thereafter it looks like we’re back to short period metre and thereabouts stuff.
Have yourself a fantastic day!
A slow-moving high pressure system near New Zealand extends a ridge toward southeast New South Wales, while a low off the southern Queensland coast is moving northeast. A front passing through southeastern New South Wales will bring a southerly change to the south and central coasts today before stalling and weakening.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Variable about 10 knots becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the late afternoon. Winds reaching up to 25 knots inshore in the evening.
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm during this afternoon and evening.
Wednesday 25 February
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending east to southeasterly in the morning then becoming variable about 10 knots in the middle of the day.
Around 1 metre.
Northeasterly 1.5 metres, tending easterly around 1 metre around midday, then increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday.
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.
Thursday 26 February
North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Below 1 metre.
Easterly to northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
South to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Partly cloudy. 40% chance of showers.