Not a day when many folks want to go for a surf – despite the fact that there is some size around and even a few places that aren’t totally ripped to bits by the SSE wind. At 0830 there were a few folks having a go at Manly in the rather soft looking waist to chest-ish conditions. Curly was a write-off and at Dee Why you could sort of contemplate the point and the beach. Size there was similar to Manly, maybe a touch bigger. But again there was a flabbiness to the quality. At 0700 the MHL buoy was detecting 3.5 metres of 10-sec south swell. Tide was high at 0635 and will be low at 1320. As the Goat noted in his forecast last night, the Bureau has hoisted the large and powerful surf conditions warnings. These now extend to Monday – along with that wretched south wind. A well, at least there are waves of a sort if you’re really hanging out to get wet. Have a happy Friday one and all!
Queenscliff peak at 0830
Working the mal at mid-Steyne
Momentary section at Dee Why point about 0850
Contemplating the possibilities at Dee Why
Weather Situation A low pressure system lies over the central Tasman Sea while a high pressure system southeast of the Bight extends a ridge to the New South Wales coast. These two systems are directing fresh to strong southerly winds along New South Wales coastal waters. Winds will gradually ease and shift southeasterly over the next two days as the low moves further east and the high moves into the southwestern Tasman Sea, maintaining a ridge to the north coast. Winds will turn northeasterly along southern parts on Sunday and Monday whilst the ridge maintains fresh southeasterly winds along the north coast. Forecast for Friday until midnight Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast Winds Southerly 20 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots in the morning. Seas 2 to 3 metres. Swell Southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1 to 2 metres offshore. Weather Cloudy. 50% chance of showers. Saturday 6 February Winds Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the morning. Seas 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday. Swell Southeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres. Weather Cloudy. 20% chance of a shower. Caution Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing. Sunday 7 February Winds Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots. Seas Below 1 metre. Swell Southeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres. Weather Cloudy. 20% chance of a shower. Caution Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing. Please be aware Wind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. Nearby Coastal Waters
This forecast is also available via scheduled broadcasts on marine radio. Latest Coastal Observations Tide Predictions The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:05 pm EDT Friday. Product IDN11009
Sorry to run late. Had a chance to see the activity from Manly up to Long Reef and the general picture is of flabby, waist high but still glassy wind swell lumps left over from yesterday’s blow.
There were folks in the water from south Steyne to Queenscliff at Manly, but the biggest and most energetic waves were up at Queensie. Best I saw might have had a chest high wave face, so there was enough to be getting on with.
Around at Curl Curl there were only a couple of people in the water chasing lumpy, sectiony junky things. The biggest was potentially into the shoulder high range (see pic). Looked like a fair amount of work for marginal stuff. But hey, at least they were in the water having a go!
Around at Dee Why there were more surfers taking a cut at the slow-mo, fat waist plus stuff Huey was serving up. There were also a few people up at the Long Reef end where the waves looked both smaller still and pretty inconsistent.
As of 0700, the MHL buoy was recording 2 metres of 8-second SSW wind swell. There’s some 10-sec component in there maybe, but no sign of any long period east. The Bureau is forecasting a metre of east to NE fwiw. And they expect the southerly component to fade.
Tomorrow they’re again calling for a mix of east and south with a peak of activity toward the middle of the day. As usual, they don’t offer any period estimate, so for that we turn to the models and they’re projecting the arrival of long period (14-15 wec) energy from the NE as early as mid-afternoon today. They generally seem to be holding to the same projections as the last few days, ie, a peak in long-period stuff gradually fading as we get into Wednesday.
Bureau says the wind will go SE later today and be variable for the early tomorrow before going NE in the afternoon.
Tide is high @1700 and low at 1100
Queenscliff activity @0830
South Curly whack
Under Long Reef @0855
Nice finish at Dee Why
Weather Situation A high is expected to be centred over the southern Tasman Sea today. A trough of low pressure and associated cold front is expected to affect the south on Wednesday, moving to the north coast on Thursday. Forecast for Monday until midnight Winds Southerly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots offshore early in the morning. Winds tending southeasterly early in the morning. Seas 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning. 1st Swell Southeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning, then decreasing to 1.5 metres during the afternoon. 2nd Swell East to northeasterly around 1 metre. Weather Partly cloudy. Tuesday 17 March Winds Variable about 10 knots becoming northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the evening. Seas Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening. 1st Swell Southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending easterly 1.5 metres during the morning, then decreasing to around 1 metre by early evening. 2nd Swell Easterly around 1 metre. Weather Partly cloudy. Wednesday 18 March Winds North to northeasterly 20 to 30 knots shifting west to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the evening. Seas 1.5 to 2.5 metres. Swell East to southeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Don’tcha hate it when you sleep in and miss out? That was your correspondent this morning. Doing the run to Manly and back this morning revealed beautiful, if tiny offshore conditions along the beaches.
Manly was knee to waist plus, inconsistent and kind of weak looking. Swell was out of the SE at about 1.5 metres with a 9-second period, so there the biggest waves were up the Queenscliff end.
Curly was sorta fat and full looking as the 0750 tide was just past high when I checked it out. About the same size as Queensie, but maybe a touch bigger up the north end.
Dee Why was offshore and really pretty. Maybe I saw the set of the day, but just up from the surf club I got a pics of a couple lucky pups on chest-ish high waves that were the pick of anything I’d seen to that point. No one was out at the Pole or the lugga, but there seemed to be a few way up at the north end of Long Reef beach. However, I never saw them catch anything. The point was unoccupied although with a fat long board you mighta been able to make something of the sets.
Swell is predicted to fade out as the tide drops and wind is due to spring up from the NE soon. I snoozed and I loozed.
The next few days look like being small, particularly tomorrow. Thursday should see the energy level come up from the south east, but it’ll be a side-effect of 20-30 kts of southerly. Boo.
If the wind relents, Friday has some potential according to most of the modelling and there may even be a little going on for Saturday morning too.
Have yourself a great Tuesday!
Queensie crowd @0830
South Curly peak @0840
DY beachy at 0850
Glide at Dee Why
Empty Pole peak
Empty point teaser
Weather Situation A high pressure ridge over the western Tasman is weakening and a low pressure trough will bring a weak and brief southerly change along New South Wales south coast today. A stronger southerly change associated with a cold front is expected to develop along the coast on Thursday. Forecast for Tuesday until midnight Winds North to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending east to northeasterly in the early afternoon. Seas Below 1 metre, increasing to around 1 metre around midday. Swell Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning. Weather Mostly sunny day. 20% chance of a shower later tonight. Wednesday 4 March Winds East to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending north to northeasterly in the afternoon. Seas Around 1 metre, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning, then increasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon. Swell Easterly below 1 metre. Weather Partly cloudy. 30% chance of a shower. Thursday 5 March Winds North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots shifting southerly 20 to 30 knots during the day. Seas Around 1 metre, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning. Swell Southerly around 1 metre, tending southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres during the evening. Weather Partly cloudy. 40% chance of showers. The chance of isolated thunderstorms in the morning.
On again off again light showers and cool temps seem to have dissuaded the crowds this morning along the beaches between Manly and Dee Why. Of course knee to waist high conditions don’t help much either. Swell, such as it is, is out of the east mainly at about a metre with an average period of 7.5 seconds (wind swell, really). Next tide is a high at 1120. Wind was light early, but as the skies clear later, it should go westerly.
Tomorrow promises to cog down again to really marginal, if not flat levels.
Friday will see the arrival of our next pulse, but there’ll be very strong W-SW winds as it fills in after lunch. The Bureau says 25-40 kts, with a south swell ramping into the 2-3 metre range in the afternoon.
The new pulse looks like peaking early Saturday according to the modelling. Some of the interpretations are saying 3-5 metres at 12 seconds from the south – but with those strong SW winds.
The power looks like sticking around through to Monday afternoon before the microness returns.
Have yourself a great Wednesday everybody!
Queenscliff about the best of Manly @ 0830
More waist high options near the lugga
The bigger board and paddle helped.
Getting the most out of the knee to waist high conditions
Not a great deal going on at Curly @0840
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea is slowly moving east, while a broad trough of low pressure in crossing New South Wales. This trough will bring a westerly change to the coast today, before continuing towards New Zealand. Following this, a stronger cold front from the Southern Ocean is expected to generate vigorous southwesterly winds as it sweeps over the region during Friday.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast
Variable below 10 knots inshore at first, otherwise northerly 15 to 20 knots turning westerly in the middle of the day. Winds reaching 30 knots offshore in the evening.
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres by evening.
East to southeasterly around 1 metre.
The chance of thunderstorms offshore this morning and afternoon.
Thursday 17 July
Strong Wind Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast
Westerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching 30 knots offshore in the evening.
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres by evening.
East to southeasterly below 1 metre.
Friday 18 July
Westerly 20 to 30 knots tending southwesterly 25 to 40 knots during the morning.
2 to 3 metres, increasing to 3 to 5 metres during the afternoon.
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon.
First surfer picture galleries I’ve posted in absolute yonks. We finally had good shooting conditions and sizable swell on the weekend of the the 16-17th. On Saturday morning I started at Gardens, then moved up to North Narrabeen and finished up at Mona Vale. Next day, I spent an hour or so shooting between North Steyne and Queenscliff before the wind got just too crazy! SATURDAY morning, 16 March 2013 (above) Gardens, Narrabeen. 3-4 metres of east swell, incoming tide and light winds. Thumping sets that you mostly needed a tow to get into.
(above) North Narrabeen. Big sets, kinda all over the place, but some nicely weighty sections to be had by the crew.
(above) Mona Vale. Big too, but tide really starting to affect it. In half an hour only got a few shots… still, if you were out there, they might be of interest!
SUNDAY (above) Between North Steyne and Queenscliff SLSC’s seemed to be about the best of it. Wind was picking up steadily as I shot between about 1000 & 1100. Quite consistent and lots of folks, so I got a reasonable number of shots…
After getting a few waves, I grabbed the camera and wandered along the Manly beachfront getting shots of folks on waves. Sunny skies and offshore winds made the chest to head high conditions look pretty fine.
I pulled together a dozen or so of the highlights for the slideshow below, but of course there are heaps more images in the gallery itself.
And, as always, if you see one you want, just click on it to check out the options.
On Thursday morning I decided to wander down to Manly for a look at the last of the big south swell. Wave faces on the bigger ones were still into the head high range, but you could see the swell was backing off pretty quickly. I shot for half an hour between 1000 and 1030 at Queenscliff. The skies were rather smoky but there wasn’t much wind, and the waits for sets weren’t too long. If you took off on a wave during the sesh, I probably got a shot of ya!
Click the pic below to go to the gallery of almost 200 shots Tearing the top off a set at Queensy on Thursday morning.
0900 and some tasty sets on offer along Manly stretch.
Whilst sitting at Freshie writing report stuff earlier, I couldn’t help but notice how much white water was bouncing off the cliff line at North Head. So, I headed over the hill to the land of Big Al for a quick look-see…
And what did I see but actual, real live, waves. The swell, which is hardly evident elsewhere seems to be heading straight in to the already well populated sands of fair Manly.
Although I didn’t have time to drive down to the south end, it looked to me as though that was where the real action was. I saw a couple sets that were definitely shoulder high.
The tide was right on high, so things should only improve…
With the wind beginning to blow pretty hard out to sea, I’m thinking it’s only going to get a lot more crowded at one of the few surf options around…
Had a meeting down at Clontarf, so on the way back I took the opportunity to check out a few beaches and to grab some snaps with Nikon’s whizzy new D700 digital SLR. Manly was relatively small, but from about North Steyne up to Queenscliff, there were some rather clean and fun size sets getting in. It was moderately busy, but by Manly standards, relatively uncrowded. Wind was straight offshore too. It was pretty inconsistent (as was Dee Why beach where I surfed this morning), but there’d be a few people with happy memories from a partly cloudy winter’s afternoon at Manly.
Around the corner at Curly, there were only a few folks scattered along the beach. Again, the consistency was a problem, but the sets looked okay up toward the middle and there were a few into the shoulder high plus range.
A small group of whale watchers (and a helicopter) were checking out a mother and calf who were lazing about around 200 metres due east of south Curly pool.
Dee Why looked about the same as this morning, but the point definitely seemed smaller. However, I didn’t stop to check it out properly…
According to the MHL buoy, our swell has dropped down to around 2 metres. It’s still SSE and 10 seconds apart. The trend is likely to continue overnight, with sub 2 metre, sub 10 sec period stuff for tomorrow.
(BTW, if you’d like to see what my tech editor at Photo Review thinks of the Nikon D700, click here. I’ll be writing up a few thoughts on both the D700 and D300 from a surf photography perspective in the next week or so.)
Okay, here are a few piccies…
230ish Monday afternoon and they aren’t all makeable.