Articles tagged with "S-2m-7s"

Waves under cold grey skies

Posted by: on August 25th, 2016
dy point surfer

Actual waves at the point 0730

dy beach

Peak hunter searching for a wave at No Mans

Hello Friends,

For the last week the models have been predicting an uptick in swell for today. It’s come up and as of 0600the MHL buoy was showing two metres of 7-sec south swell. The point was picking it up and producing occasional sets into the chest plus range It looked to be similar size up the beach. Wind was west 10-15 kts at North Head as of 0740.
The Bureau says the wind’ll go more SW and the swell should come up during the day.
Tide was high at 0725 and is now dropping back to low at 1355. We’ve got a 90% chance of showers and Beachwatch is warning that pollution is likely at most Sydney beaches.
Have yourself a great Thursday everyone!

wrl cam south narrabeen

Swell’s showing south Narra at 0630 WRL cam

Weather Situation
A low pressure system off the central NSW coast will move rapidly east away from the coast during today, promoting south to southwesterly winds. A high pressure system will move over the Bight and then slowly move east over southeastern Australia during Friday and Saturday, extending a ridge across the Waters.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast
Winds
South to southeasterly 25 to 30 knots, reaching up to 35 knots offshore early in the morning. Turning southwesterly 15 to 25 knots during the morning and early afternoon.
Seas
2.5 to 3 metres, decreasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon, then decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
1st Swell
Easterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
2nd Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the afternoon.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Friday 26 August
Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning southerly in the middle of the day.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre by early evening.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Saturday 27 August
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon or evening.
2nd Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.

South pulse this morning

Posted by: on March 25th, 2015

Hello Friends,

The plan was to hit it early this morning before the wind kicked in. A 7-second period south wind swell of two metres was providing weak looking waist to chest high peaks along the Dee Why stretch. The short period means that it’s really not wrapping onto the point and I’d expect the magnet spots to be restricted to just a few optimally angled peaks. It also seemed to be somewhat inconsistent. But, if you were in the right spot…

Tide was low at 0715 and will be back to high at 1320.

Wind call is for southerly, but the day started with offshores. The southerly is supposed to get to 15-25kts before weakening to a light easterly late.

Beachwatch is reporting pollution likely from Curly south to Manly. Bronte and Tama are on the list as well.

Swell is expected to decrease a little across the day but to maybe still be surfable for tomorrow and Friday. Some of the models are saying that Saturday could see a little more energy at south swell spots – maybe into the chest plus range if we’re lucky.

Next week is shaping to be pretty quiet according to various long range predictions. Hope they’re too pessimistic.

Have a fine old Wednesday one and all!

Weather Situation

A a southerly change is moving up the New South Wales north coast and weakening. Winds along the coast will turn briefly northerly overnight and early Thursday ahead of another change developing on the south coast Thursday afternoon. The change will extend to Sydney Waters Thursday evening and to far north coast early Friday. Behind the change a high pressure ridge is expected to develop across the Tasman Sea by Saturday.

dy point

Point not doing much with the little south

bodyboarder at dy

Bodyboarder scores one @0745

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots turning east to southeasterly below 10 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre around midday.
1st Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending northeasterly below 1 metre around midday.
2nd Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre, tending southerly 1.5 metres around midday.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 30% chance of a shower in the morning and early afternoon.

Thursday 26 March

Winds
Northwest to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the middle of the day then becoming southwesterly 15 to 20 knots in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending southeasterly below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 40% chance of showers offshore, near zero chance elsewhere.

Friday 27 March

Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 25 knots becoming variable about 10 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
1st Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.
2nd Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Grey skies, small and junky but not totally flat

Posted by: on November 29th, 2013

Burgertown

Getting vertical

Hello Friends,

Just a quick note for now to say that there are waist plus sets to be had amongst the choppy greyness of Friday morning. Wind is south 10-20 kts, swell is mainly south (but there’s NE in it too). The south component is around 2 metres at 7 seconds though.

Next tide is a low at 1110.

Have a great Friday everyone!

Forecast issued at 4:10 am EDT on Friday 29 November 2013.
Weather Situation
A cold front will continue to move along the northern parts of the coast today, reaching the north coast by evening. Fresh to strong north to northeasterly winds are expected ahead of this front, with winds changing to a southerly direction behind and strengthening. Southerly winds moderate and then tend southeasterly into the weekend as a high pressure system, currently located over the Bight, moves east and becomes the dominant weather feature moving over the Tasman Sea into the new week.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coastal Waters
Winds
Southerly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
East to southeasterly around 1 metre, tending northeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres before dawn, then decreasing to around 1 metre around midday.
Saturday 30 November
Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots tending southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the late evening.
Seas
2 to 2.5 metres, decreasing below 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre, tending east to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres before dawn, then tending southerly 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning.
Sunday 1 December
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots decreasing to about 10 knots during the morning then tending easterly during the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.

Waves happening this morning

Posted by: on October 18th, 2013

Point activity

The situation at 0730

Nice left!

Hello Friends,

Big smile on your webmaster’s face this morning. Yesterday evening we went over the line on the crowdfunding drive. 175 generous people got us there with 6 days to spare. So now the goal is to see how far past that mark we can get before the campaign ends!

Surf situation is that there is surf!! Dee Why’s showing a mix of NE and S that is producing peaky options in the beach and waves at the point. Energy level is around the 7 second mark but because both swell directions are sending us 2 metre stuff, it’s all good. Although not for yours truly as I managed to prang my arm in the offshore shories at Manly yesterday arvo. Grr.

If you happen to be reading this in one of the fire threatened regions, I’m sure I speak for every one of the RealSurf tribe when I wish you good luck and for you and yours.

Forecast issued at 4:10 am EDT on Friday 18 October 2013.
Weather Situation
A weakening southerly change is expected to continue moving north before crossing the Queensland border later this morning. Winds are expected to ease as a high pressure ridge develops over the Tasman Sea. Next cold front is likely to affect the state early next week.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds
South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the middle of the day then becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Northeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres, tending southerly 1.5 to 2.5 metres around dawn.
Saturday 19 October
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots decreasing to about 10 knots before dawn then increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending southeasterly around 1 metre around dawn.
Sunday 20 October
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots turning northerly 25 to 30 knots during the day.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2.5 to 3 metres during the afternoon or evening.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Please be aware
Wind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
Nearby Coastal Waters

This forecast is also available via scheduled broadcasts on marine radio.
Latest Coastal Observations
Tide Predictions
The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:05 pm EDT Friday.

Southerly

Posted by: on January 19th, 2013

Wind was out of the S-SE at 10-20 kts as of 0600 and skies are forecast to be partly cloudy all day with a high around the 24 mark. Swell was coming mainly from the south. It was about two metres out at sea, but with an average period of only 7 seconds, I would not expect it to be doing much of interest in places escaping the worst of the wind. Next tide is a low at 0910, so maybe later in the morning, you might find something in the way of a dribbly onshore bump.

Looking at the various long range predictions for Sydney this morning, it looks to me as though surfers are in for more of this bland diet of marginal, mainly short period and weak wind swell. Not exactly shaping up as a classic January.

Sorry, no postcards for today, maybe tomorrow when the swell is due to arrive in Santa Barbara…

Go well!

Weather Situation
A gusty southerly is extending along the northern New South Wales coast today, as a high south of the Bight extends a ridge to the east. As this high moves to the Tasman Sea on Sunday, a ridge will strengthen along the New South Wales coast.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots turning southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Easterly about 1.5 metres.
Sunday 20 January
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning east to northeasterly below 10 knots during the afternoon and evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly about 1.5 metres.
Monday 21 January
Winds
Easterly 10 to 15 knots turning northeasterly during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 1 metre.

Sticky: Beautiful morning and tiny but not flat

Posted by: on November 19th, 2012

 

Hello Friends,

A little bit of wave energy showing at Dee Why this morning whilst the wind was still offshore. Swell at sea is out of the south at a couple metres, but the average period is still an anaemic 7 seconds. So, we’re talking knee to waist at Dee Why and probably a bit bigger at more directly exposed spots.

You better get on it though, because the southerly is due to build up soon and then to swing SE as it gets to 20+ kts later.

The good news is that the Bureau says we should see the swell go more SE and pick up a bit. The wind outlook for tomorrow isn’t red hot for tomorrow morning, but by afternoon there could be a few options in north corners as it backs off and goes NE.

Wednesday might be fun, if smallish. Swell should still be 1.5-2m from the SE and winds light with low tide around 0815. Plus it should be mostly sunny… here’s hoping!

Have yourself a top Monday one and all.

Tide is high around 1220 and despite the clear skies, the forecast is calling for a shower or two to develop and for temps to max out at a cool 21.

Weather Situation
A low pressure trough off New South Wales coast will be moving north slowly bringing a fresh to strong southwest to southeasterly airstream. The trough will weaken in the north on Tuesday as a high pressure system east of Tasmania strengthens a ridge over remainder of the coast. The next trough/front system is expected to bring another coastal southerly change on Wednesday and Thursday.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots turning southeasterly 20 to 25 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres increasing to 2 metres by early evening.
Swell
Easterly about 1 metre becoming 1 metre from midday.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms offshore this afternoon and evening.
Tuesday 20 November
Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 25 knots turning east to northeasterly below 10 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
Up to 2 metres decreasing to below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Southeasterly 2 metres.
Wednesday 21 November
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing up to 1.5 metres during the evening.
Swell
Southeasterly 2 metres.

storm seen from edgecliff blvd collaroy plateau

Not much of a morning but swell inbound

Posted by: on June 26th, 2012


Hello Friends,

Cold, rainy, onshore, small, messy… hmmm… have left anything out?

Wind was SSE for the early, so that didn’t help. And swell was south at a couple metres, but only 7 seconds apart.

Fortunately it looks as though that will change. Batemans Bay buoy is showing the average period ramping up pretty quickly. In that, it’s following the lead from Eden which also zipped up from around 7 to 11 seconds in the space of just a few hours.

The Bureau’s call is for the energy to start showing here this afternoon. I reckon it could be after 3 before the trend really becomes obvious. The SEr is supposed to stick around all day though, so not too sure if it’ll be much good.

Tomorrow on the other hand looks quite promising with light onshores and what promises to be a nice solid south swell.

Go well with your day one and all!

TIDES: 0655 L, 1315 H

Weather Situation
A strong high pressure system is moving towards the Bass Strait extending a ridge to the northern Tasman Sea while a cold front is moving across the southwestern Tasman Sea bringing southerly change to New South Wales south coast. The change will extend to the north coast during Tuesday as the high moves north of Tasmania strengthening the ridge on the north coast. An offshore trough will be gradually deepening near Queensland border until the middle of the week with an onshore airstream developing along the coast. The high is expected to move slowly towards New Zealand during Thursday and Friday maintaining the ridge to the northeast.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres decreasing to below 1 metre by early evening.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres.
Weather
Large swells breaking dangerously close inshore in the afternoon and evening.
Wednesday 27 June
Winds
East to southeasterly below 10 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres.
Weather
Large swells breaking dangerously close inshore in the morning.
Thursday 28 June
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning northerly 15 to 20 knots during the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the evening.
Swell
Southerly about 2 metres.

Sticky: South corner day

Posted by: on February 21st, 2012

Hello Friends,

From the look of Dee Why this morning, it would seem to be a good day to be getting on with one’s non-surfing life. The MHL data shows a couple metres of south wind swell out at sea, but the average period is a kitten-weak 7 seconds. That means paltry knee high sets and, as of 0800, no takers at Dee Why. Leaden skies and occasional showers set the scene for a day of mainly southerly wind (although decreasing) and minimal waves.

Tide, for those who care, was high at 0750 and will be low around 1415.

Outlook is for this nonsense to continue more or less for another week to ten days. Bah!

Have yourself a top old day anyway!

Sticky: Woeful morning in Sydney

Posted by: on December 12th, 2011


Hello Friends,

Do you like southerlies and rain? Well, you got it this morning in Sydney. Wind is pushing along at 15-20 kts right now and is due to pick up into the 20-30 kt range. Tide’s running up to the high at 0900 and Dee Why isn’t the better for it. There was a single person in the water chasing junky lumps in the corner amidst the chop and rafts of seaweed in the impact zone.

Outlook for the rest of the day is not good, and tomorrow and Wednesday look like more of the same but maybe with less rain.

Oh well, looks like a few days to get things done. Maybe later in the week we’ll see some improvement to the settings. This morning’s interpretations of the wave models is pointing toward reasonable prospects for early risers from Thursday through Saturday. We shall see!

Have yourself a top old day.

Weather Situation
A low pressure trough over eastern parts of the state will develop into a low off the Mid North Coast on Monday. The low is expected to move rapidly to the south-southeast during Tuesday and Wednesday as a high pressure system moves south of the Bight extending a ridge to the north coast.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 10 to 20 knots, reaching 25 knots at times, increasing to 20 to 30 knots during the morning.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres increasing to 2 metres during the morning then increasing to 2 to 3 metres around midday.
Swell
Easterly about 1.5 metres.
Tuesday 13 December
Winds
South to southwesterly 25 to 30 knots.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly 1 metre increasing to 2 metres late in the evening.
Wednesday 14 December
Winds
Southerly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly 2 metres.

Sticky: Southerly messiness

Posted by: on August 12th, 2011

Hello Friends,

A southerly with short period south windswell is producing messy waist high dribble at Dee Why and I can only assume that most other spots along our coast are either similar or possibly worse. Wind’s about 20 kts and there’s a 60% chance of showers through the day, plus the forecast models (and the trend on the buoys off to the south of us) are showing a downward trend. Sadly, it all adds up to a pretty ordinary outlook for surfin’ in Sydney today.

Stay well – and go well – with your Friday one and all!

Tides: H @0715, L @1250

Weather Situation
A complex low pressure system over the central Tasman Sea is moving towards New Zealand and deepening and a high pressure system system south of the Bight is moving slowly east extending a ridge to the southwestern Tasman Sea. By Sunday the high will move southeast of Tasmania extending a ridge to New South Wales north coast and it is expected remain semi-stationary there until Tuesday.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 20 to 25 knots decreasing to 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon then decreasing to 10 to 15 knots later in the evening.
Seas
Up to 2 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly about 2 metres.
Weather
Isolated thunderstorms offshore this morning.
Saturday 13 August
Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots tending south to southeasterly up to 10 knots by early evening then tending east to southeasterly later in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly about 2 metres.
Sunday 14 August
Winds
East to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending east to northeast in the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly about 1.5 metres.

 

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