Posted in: Dee Why.
What a relief. Change came through mid afternoon and the temperature at my joint dropped about 14 degrees. Depending on where you were along the coast, the southerly was whipping along at anywhere from 25 to 40 kts on gusts. Not surprisingly this has coincided with the primary swell direction swinging south. Average size at sea is an impressive 3 metres, but the period is just 7 seconds, so the folks waiting in the water at Dee Why point were doing just that – waiting. I didn’t see anything surfable come in for them although I have to admit not wanting to spend much time in the crows nest with the wind blasting away.
Tomorrow doesn’t look too hopeful for the early. The southerly’s going to be going hard and the Bureau says it’ll swing to the SE from early. The Bureau’s swell model is showing the average swell height dropping into the metre range too. That being the case, I’m not too confident we’ll see much of anything wrapping into the protected corners. As usual, I hope to be proven wrong…
Go well with your Sunday evening, and catchya again tomorrow!
Here’s the latest official forecast:
A cold front and associated gusty southerly change will continue to move along the central coast overnight and through the north coast Monday morning. A high pressure system is expected to move towards Tasmania in the wake of the front with a ridge extending to the north coast. The high should reach the Tasman Sea on Wednesday with a southeast airstream along the coast tending northeasterly in the south later in the week.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds: Southerly 30 knots decreasing to 25 to 30 knots later in the evening. Seas: 3 metres. Swell: Southerly 1.5 metres.
Forecast for Monday
Winds: Southerly 20 to 25 knots tending south to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots around dawn then becoming southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the morning. Seas: 1.5 to 2 metres decreasing to below 1 metre during the morning. Swell: Southerly about 2 metres.
Forecast for Tuesday
Winds: South to southeasterly 5 to 10 knots becoming southerly 10 to 15 knots around midday then increasing to 15 to 20 knots by early evening. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1.5 metres later in the evening. Swell: Southeasterly 0.5 to 1.5 metres.
Forecast for Wednesday
Winds: South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots tending east to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon. Seas: 1 to 1.5 metres decreasing to below 1 metre during the evening. Swell: Southerly 0.5 to 2 metres.
Posted in: Dee Why.
Had a look at Collaroy and Whiterock as well as Dee Why this morning and can report that the south swell has just too brief a period to really get around into the corners. The swell went south before daybreak and by 0830 had ramped up to three metres at sea, but the period is just 7-8 seconds. And that means sets at semi-surfable spots were struggling to get much above the waist high range. If you don’t mind hunting waves in the teeth of a fierce onshore, you could get some bigger faces. However, I didn’t see anyone trying!
Outlook is for the wind to abate during the day and as it does so, I’d expect the swell to subside along with it. From the look of the models, it should hit a peak around midday.
Keeping it brief because I’m getting into we love waves conference mode now and there are lots of little chores to do ahead of the event. If you’d like to come along, you can register at the door. However, we’re really hoping most people will use the online rego instead. Catchya later!
A cold front will move north along the coast today, with a fresh to strong southerly change spreading throughout. A high will move to the west Tasman Sea in the wake of the front. Another cold front is expected to pass Tasmania on Saturday. High pressure will then build over the southern Tasman Sea and become semi-stationary, with a ridge extending to the north coast of New South Wales through the week.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds: Southerly 25 to 30 knots decreasing to 20 to 25 knots during the afternoon then decreasing to 15 to 20 knots later in the evening. Seas: 2 metres increasing to 3 metres during the morning. Swell: Easterly 1 metre. Isolated thunderstorms this morning, mainly offshore.
Forecast for Saturday
Winds: South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending east to southeasterly up to 10 knots during the afternoon then tending northeasterly later in the evening. Seas: Up to 1.5 metres. Swell: Southeasterly about 1.5 metres.
Forecast for Sunday
Winds: Easterly and light tending east to northeasterly up to 15 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Southeasterly about 1 metre.
Posted in: Dee Why.
Tags: 4/10, S-3m-7s.
Hadn’t looked at the beach in a few hours when a message came in from mate Barry to tell that things were changing. And so they have. Swell has gone more south and jumped from about a metre at less than 6 seconds on average to around 3 metres at about 7-8 seconds. Wind is out of the SW at 15-20kts and the combo is producing waist to shoulder high waves in the corner at Dee Why. As you can see from the pic, the quality is pretty ordinary, but they can be caught, they can be ridden – and are being.
Posted in: Dee Why.
Wind blowing steadily, grey skies and could be as big as it gets for the next week.
When did the change come through your place last night? It hit Warringah shire around 1250 according to my alarm clock. It’s pushed up the swell a reasonable amount, but the direction is of course the same as the wind. So, that means the biggest stuff is where the onshores are strongest.
I couldn’t see any sign of people in the water when I climbed up into the crows nest for a look at Dee Why earlier this morning. From the look of it, the sets are probably into the head high range up the beach. The point is sideshore and beaten up enough not to have attracted any punters for the early.
By the look of the forecast models, this is as big as it’ll get for the coming week. The prospect is for small (and getting smaller) short period windwaves over the work week in Sydney. As the SE weakens today, the windswell will drop with it, so if you’re extra keen, you’d better get out there asap.
Have yourself a top old day!
Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Strong Wind Warning.
Monday until midnight: Wind: S/SE 20/30 knots, easing to 15/20 knots in the afternoon.Sea: 2 to 3 metres abating 1 to 2 metres later. Swell: NE 1.5 to 2 metres, tending S/SE in the afternoon. Chance morning thunderstorms.
Tuesday: Wind: E/SE 20/25 knots.Sea: 1.5 to 2.5 metres. Swell: SE 1 to 2 metres.
Wednesday: Wind: Variable 05/10 knots tending NE 10/15 knots during afternoon
Posted in: Big Picture, Dee Why.
Tags: S-3m-7s, Snapper, W, Whiterock, WRL.
AFTERNOON UPDATE: Wind is howling along quite nicely up here in the hills behind Dee Why. The Bureau says it’s up to 20-30 kts along the coast. We’re still getting showers through the joint at regular intervals and it hasn’t warmed up at all either. Around 3 pm, we had a ten minute break between showers, so I quickly climbed up into the crows nest and pointed the Century 650mm down toward Dee Why. It looked reasonably protected, considering, but while there were a few bods in the shories, the point must not be doing much because no one seemed to be haning around out there. The period has gone up to around 9 seconds and the average height of the primary south swell at sea is up to 4 metres. But add in the windswell and sailors are looking at some potentially huge moments as the peaks hit 8 metres. Still looks as though this morning’s estimates for the next couple days are about right (see below)
3pm: Dee Why showing some sets, but the cold is keeping it uncrowded.
You know what? It’s cold in the old Sydney this morning. At around 0800 it was only 12 outside the RealSurf wheelhouse. Yikes! Depending on where you’re standing along the coast of our region, the wind is out of the SW at anywhere from 15-30 kts. This morning’s rain should become more occasional through the day says the Bureau.
So, what’s happening with the swell? I can’t take a picture yet because of the aforementioned rain, but it looks as though there are some small (waist to chest high) sets as you move north along the beach at Dee Why. But I didn’t see anyone in the water. Funny that. Overnight the swell came back to dead south and the average size bumped up into the 3 metre range (with the seas on top of it hitting 5m). The key power setting hasn’t moved much though. It’s still around the 7-8 second mark.
The wind is set to rage along at the present speeds right through about lunchtime tomorrow in Sydney.
0830: pretty ordinary looking conditions for Long Reef.
Had to run an errand, so I grabbed a couple snaps for you. Not outstandingly interesting it has to be said. Long Reef was sideshore and messy, but a little bit cleaner down toward the lagoon. But by a little bit, I mean a very little bit. The conditions are utterly horrid and uninviting in the extreme – cold, windblown and raining steadily.
Around the corner, out of the wind, there are some very tiny things coming into Whiterock. Maybe if you were a keen bodyboarder, or a super keen boardrider, you might be able to make something of the knee to waist high things getting there. If the period was a bit longer and if the swell was more around to the SE, it would be interesting.
0830: tiny but perfectly formed little left briefly stands up in the wind and rain.
The forecast models are showing the south swell building toward a peak sometime early tomorrow morning. Of course that’s when the marine forecast says it’ll still be very windy. With luck though it won’t disappear before the wind backs off and the weather improves on Friday morning.
0600: not big, but definitely tasty looking at Snapper.
Next order of business for me is to see if I can find something interesting for today’s editor’s picks. I might have a look up SE Qld way to see how things are shaping along those surf zones. The WRL cam at Snapper shows some nice lines, so I wonder if that’s a fluke or not…
Speaking of pics, how ’bout Dee Why Rob’s amazing kite shots this morning? We should get him to explain how he rigged it up…
Have yourself a top old day!