Posted in: Dee Why.
1.4 metres of 10-sec SE swell and 10-15 kts of iced westerly (14 at 0900) with a fair amount of rainy looking cloud about for Sunday morning. Dee Why point had a few takers, but waves were knee high and brief at best. The beach was around the waist to chest plus range and looking very smooth. Low tide was at 0845 and will be back to high at 1500.
We have a S-SW gale warning for this afternoon and the Bureau expects the south swell to perk a little as well. There’s also some east component in the mix, so the peaky conditions should continue.
Weather Situation from the Bureau
A low pressure trough over the western Tasman Sea with a low embedded in it will deepen during Sunday increasing west to southwesterly winds along New South Wales coast. Winds will ease gradually during Monday as a strong high pressure system moves east south of the Bight extending a ridge to the northern Tasman Sea and the low moves towards New Zealand. The ridge is expected be the dominant synoptic feature over the next few days.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Gale Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast
West to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots tending south to southwesterly 25 to 30 knots in the afternoon. Winds reaching up to 40 knots during the afternoon and evening.
1.5 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
Southerly below 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Easterly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Cloudy. 80% chance of showers offshore, 40% chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore during the morning and afternoon.
Monday 27 April
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Southwesterly 20 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots offshore early in the morning. Winds turning southerly 15 to 25 knots during the afternoon and evening.
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Southerly 2 to 2.5 metres.
Easterly around 1 metre.
Partly cloudy. 40% chance of showers offshore, 20% chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore.
Tuesday 28 April
Southerly 15 to 20 knots.
1 to 2 metres.
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres.
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.
Bomb set rolls through the point
Beachy peak at 0840
No Man’s lines
Empty set looking reasonable
Posted in: Dee Why.
Getting down to the last little nub of our latest swell. It’s shifted more to the SE and as of 0500 was a touch under 1.5 metres at about 10 seconds apart. As of 0730 that was translating into waist to waist plus set wave faces at Dee Why for the small crew in the water. Wind wasn’t a factor and with the next high tide at 1120, it wasn’t too fat looking either.
The outlook is for conditions to gradually get smaller today and be pretty marginal to nearly flat for the next two or three days.
Longer range models are still projecting an uptick for late in the weekend but they seem to be less enthusiastic than a day or two ago. The most hopeful projections show solid east swell for early next week, but others are projecting only a small, wind swell bump from about Sunday. It all depends on whether or not things go nuts in the Coral Sea next weekend…
Have yourself a top old Monday and keep on smilin’!
Clean little wave to start Monday
The odd little line turnied up for the early session
A trough extends from northern New South Wales across the southeast straddled between two weak high pressure systems. This trough is expected to move slowly to the northeast by Tuesday followed by a southerly wind change as the high pressure system to the west extends a ridge over the south. This high should become established over the Tasman Sea by Wednesday bringing the return of an east to northeasterly airstream.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
- South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots becoming east to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the late afternoon. A south to southeasterly wind change of 10 to 15 knots is expected in the late evening.
- Below 1 metre.
- Southeasterly around 1 metre.
- Partly cloudy.
Tuesday 10 March
- Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots in the morning.
- 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
- Northeasterly below 1 metre.
- Cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.
Wednesday 11 March
- North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
- Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon or evening.
- Southeasterly below 1 metre.
- Partly cloudy. 40% chance of showers.
Posted in: At large.
Tags: Curl Curl, Dee Why, Long Reef, Manly, SE-1.4m-10s, South Steyne.
Running a little late this morning, apologies.
We still have a few scraps of knee to waist plus SSE swell showing along the beaches this morning. At 0700 the MHL Sydney buoy was recording energy from the south around to the east, but the most focuse stuff was at 131 degrees. It was averaging 1.4 metres with a period of 9.8 seconds, so that meant there were waves of some sort from South Steyne to Queensie, at mid-Curly and from about the Pole north along the Dee Why to Longy stretch.
Surface conditions were glassy under high overcast skies and tide will hit high a little before 1030.
This morning’s swell forecast modelling agrees with the Bureau that Weds and Thursday are not likely to be interesting. In fact, Thursday is shaping up to be flat as a tack, so I hope that isn’t your day off this week!
But then… things are looking more promising in terms of swell energy. If the forecasts are correct, we could see a very long fetch deep into the southern ocean developing from around Thursday. By Friday evening the freight train could be with us as the swell ramps into the 3-4 metre range from the south with periods potentially around 10-12 seconds.
The big issue looks to be the wind. which, according to some predictions could be pretty vigorous from the SW. Right now it looks as though the peak will be early in the swell event, but there’s hope that it will persist through to Monday.
Have yourself a great Tuesday!
Among the shutdowns, a clean face ato 0800
Yeah, sorta, but not too exciting
SUPs were the go at Dee Why point @0915
Peak near the pole was sort of working
The lully feeling up at Long Reef @0920
A high over the Tasman Sea is drifting slowly east, while a broad trough moves from central Australia into western New South Wales. This trough will cross the coast during Wednesday, with northerly winds shifting westerly in most areas as it passes. Following this, a strong cold front is expected during Friday, bringing strong to gale force southwesterly winds which may linger into the weekend.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
- Variable below 10 knots, becoming north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots later in the morning.
- Below 1 metre.
- Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Wednesday 16 July
- Northerly 15 to 20 knots, turning westerly and reaching 25 knots offshore in the late morning.
- Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres offshore during the morning.
- Southeasterly below 1 metre.
Thursday 17 July
- West to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots increasing to 20 to 30 knots during the evening.
- 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon or evening.
- Southeasterly below 0.5 metres.
- Isolated thunderstorms offshore in the evening.