Articles tagged with "SE-1.4m-11s"

Downtick after the uptick

Posted by: on March 26th, 2015

Hello Friends,

Offshore early under partly cloudy skies and the 0500 MHL buoy was showing 1.4 metres of 11-sec SE swell out at sea. That’s translating into knee to waist high waves at the south end of Dee Why beach and knee high at the point. Sets aren’t exactly pouring in, so patience will be essential.

It’ll be interesting to see what the Goat thinks, but my reading of the modelling is that we could have a few more days of marginal to mildly interesting (Saturday am) before Huey turns off the tap for an extended period.

Hope to post a few extra pics later, but in the meantime, have yourself a great Thursday!

Tides: L @0820, H @1415

dy beach surfer

Beachy action at Dee Why, 0740

DY point

Point wave 0740

Weather Situation

A weak ridge of high pressure has developed along the New South Wales coast in the wake of a trough and southerly change. Winds along the coast will turn more northerly early today ahead of a second trough and cold front, linked to an intense low pressure centre to the south. This system will bring a gusty west to southwesterly change to the southern coast later today, extending to the north early Friday. Another high is forecast to drift across from the west after this, and should bring an easing of winds as it becomes the dominant feature in the region through the weekend.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds
Variable about 10 knots, reaching up to 20 knots inshore in the late evening. Winds becoming southwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 20% chance of a shower offshore in the morning and early afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere.

Friday 27 March

Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore early in the morning. Winds turning south to southeasterly below 10 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning, then decreasing below 1 metre around midday.
Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Sunny.

Saturday 28 March

Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming east to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy.

Seek and ye shall find

Posted by: on July 23rd, 2014

Hello Friends,

Really didn’t expect to see much of anything this morning, but happily for those who can get away for a dip, there are still a few fun looking little waves around. The point at Dee Why was lull-y at 0730, but as the picture below shows, there were waist to chest high wave faces every now and then. It looked bigger along the beach, but those banks are still inclined to shutdown more often than not.

Swell is out of the SE but with a mix of smaller, more easterly stuff as well. At 0600 the average height at sea was 1.4 metres with a typical period of 11 seconds. Out at the MHL buoy the water temp is 17C.

With luck the swell will stick around at about this size through the day. Wind is set to be light SW, but then turning NE in the late afternoon.

Latest run of the swell prediction models looks pretty bleak. Nothing in prospect for the east coast for the next week at least. Here’s hoping it doesn’t turn out to be that bad…

Never mind, the swell always returns, so keep on smilin’ and have yourself a top old day.

Still the odd little set turning up at 0730

Still the odd little set turning up at 0730

Weather Situation

A high pressure system is currently centred over Bass Strait, while a weak low pressure system is moving slowly eastwards over the Nullarbor Plain. Winds over New South Wales coastal waters will be generally northerly until Friday as the low moves slowly southeast to the vicinity of Bass Strait, while an associated pressure trough will move across New South Wales from Wednesday night. On Friday night and Saturday the low will move into the southern Tasman Sea, and a more west to southwesterly wind shift will extend along coastal waters.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds
South to southwesterly about 10 knots becoming variable in the early afternoon then becoming northeasterly in the late afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
South to southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres.

Thursday 24 July

Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.

Friday 25 July

Winds
North to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
South to southeasterly below 1 metre.

Tuesday waves

Posted by: on July 8th, 2014

Hello Friends,

A brisk 9 degrees outside RealSurf  HQ as the day got started. Throw in 10 kts of westerly and you have a recipe for brrrr. On the other hand, the skies are blue and there’s 1.4 metres of SE swell at close to 11 seconds apart. Plus tide’s dropping to a low at 1010.

Dee Why isn’t amazingly consistent, but the beachy was producing chest plus sets as of 0730 and the point was periodically showing waist to chest high sets. Neither location was crowded, even though it’s school hols for many. Shows how off-putting that cold air is I guess.

From the shape of the models, it would seem we can look forward to these conditions being sustained all day – so no need, apart from the tide, to be in a rush.

Outlook is for the swell to fade back tomorrow, but then to bump back up to a similar level again for Thursday. I say “similar” because some interpretations of the data are showing not much of anything Thursday, while others are predicting solid overhead wave faces at many spots. So, I guess the prediction is nothing much to really good. 🙂

Yours truly won’t be getting in the way for another couple of weeks, so get one for me if you jump in the water today!

Some quick fun looking lefts

Some quick fun looking lefts

Crisp wave for a crisp morning

Crisp wave for a crisp morning

Somehow this escaped getting caught

Somehow this escaped getting caught

You'd be smiling

You’d be smiling

w

Weather Situation

A low pressure system is moving east/northeast over the central Tasman Sea, and is combining with a high pressure system over central Australia to direct a west to southwesterly airstream across New South Wales coastal waters. The high will move across northern NSW and into the northern Tasman Sea on Tuesday and gradually weaken, with winds along the coast tending north to northwesterly. A strong cold front will reach the New South Wales coast on Wednesday night/early Thursday morning, bringing strengthening northwest winds ahead of a gusty, strong to gale force westerly change on Wednesday to most waters.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Winds
Westerly 10 to 15 knots turning north to northwesterly in the late morning. Winds reaching up to 20 knots offshore in the late evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres, tending southeasterly 1.5 metres around dawn.

Wednesday 9 July

Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coast

Winds
North to northwesterly 20 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots during the afternoon and evening. Winds turning westerly in the late evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 metres later in the evening.

Thursday 10 July

Winds
Westerly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres offshore.
Swell
East to southeasterly 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the evening.

 

Grey and glassy morning

Posted by: on February 18th, 2014

Hello Friends,

Small south swell showing this morning and although skies were overcast, the wind was light and if you were in the right spot you could score a waist high set – or better.

The wind should come up soon though. According to the Bureau, we should see 15-20 kts of NE’r later this morning. So, south swell/NE wind spots that don’t mind high tide are your best shot.

Tomorrow the NE’r is expected to be going harder and the swell is set to have backed off overnight. So it may be kinda marginal. From around Thursday onward though it still looks like we should see a generally rising trend in swell energy levels, but the wind outlook isn’t too good – more S to SE stuff basically. I reckon there could be a few early morning opportunities.

Very long range forecasts are shaping up pretty nicely – at least in terms of the ambient swell energy. Now, if only the wind will cooperate…

Have a top old Tuesday!

Tides: H @1110, L @1620

Fun peak up the beach at 0745.

Fun peak up the beach at 0745.

Weather Situation
A low pressure trough will deepen over eastern NSW Tuesday and Wednesday as a strong cold front approaches southeastern Australia. North to northeasterly winds will strengthen over coastal waters, particularly in the south, before a southwest to southeasterly change crosses most coastal waters on Thursday.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
Easterly about 10 knots tending northeasterly 15 to 20 knots in the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms offshore from the late morning until this evening.
Wednesday 19 February
Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coastal Waters
Winds
Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots turning northerly 20 to 25 knots until evening. Winds reaching up to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
South to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms.
Thursday 20 February
Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots shifting east to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
East to northeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the morning.

Sticky: Are you patient?

Posted by: on July 27th, 2013

Beautiful

Rideable Dee Why

Morning light

Hello Friends,

Nice winter’s morning in Sydney. About a metre and a half of inconsistent but very clean – if chilly – early. Wind should be light and variable today and this morning we’re looking at an incoming tide. It’ll be high at just before noon, so optimal surf will likely be early and then from mid-afternoon onward.

Sets are in the waist to chest range and the waits are long. Swell’s getting into most places this morning too.

So get out there and have yourself some fun!

ps: looks like we should have little waves for the next week!

Tides: H @1150, L @1750

Forecast issued at 4:10 am EST on Saturday 27 July 2013.
Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge over eastern New South Wales with generally light winds for coastal waters. The next cold front is expected to reach the state’s western border during Sunday, continuing across to the coast on Monday and Tuesday with northerly winds developing ahead of the front.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Variable about 10 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 metres.
Sunday 28 July
Winds
Northerly below 10 knots, increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the early afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1 to 2 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 metres, tending easterly 1.5 metres before dawn.
Monday 29 July
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Easterly 1 to 1.5 metres.

 

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