Articles tagged with "SE-1m-14s"

Your knees might get wet

Posted by: on May 20th, 2015

Hello Friends,

Light NW winds, partly cloudy skies, relatively mild temps, but very close to flat at Dee Why this morning. The MHL buoy is showing a little under a metre of 14-second period south swell. So, there might be a knee high bump at spots with optimal exposure to the swell direction. Tide’s high at 0955, so there’s that issue too.

Outlook is for the surf prospects to remain, shall we say, muted for the rest of the day. The models are pretty much lined up on the prospects for the next three days. Tomorrow should be just as tiny and the same looks likely for Friday morning. But at some point on Friday afternoon, there should be obvious signs of a fresh south pulse. Unfortunately, it’s going to coincide with showers and 20-30 kts of southerly…arggh!

As we get closer, we’ll find out if there’s much hope for the southerly to fade back so we can enjoy the dropping south swell on Sunday…

Have a great day one and all!

DY point

All’s quiet at the point

dy beach

Waiting for something, anything



Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge over northeastern NSW. A low and associated cold front is moving across NSW with winds tending northwest to northerly and freshening. The front will bring a southwest to southerly change on the south coast later today, reaching central coastal parts on Thursday morning.
Forecast for Wednesday until midnight
Winds
Northwesterly 10 to 15 knots, reaching up to 20 knots offshore early in the morning and again in the late evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre around midday.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Becoming cloudy. 60% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore during this afternoon and evening.
Thursday 21 May
Strong Wind Warning for Thursday for Sydney Coast
Winds
West to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots turning south to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots in the morning. Winds reaching up to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then increasing to 2 to 3 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres later in the evening.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm offshore.
Friday 22 May
Winds
Southerly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon.

So pretty, so tiny

Posted by: on May 10th, 2015

Hello Friends,

Beautiful Sunday for Mother’s Day, unless Mum’s a surfer (hi Amy and Eve!). Swell’s faded right away to just about nothin’ this morning. The MHL buoy was detecting 13.8-sec energy from 130 degrees at well under a metre. There’s also some shorter period, slightly bigger stuff from both the south and the east, but when you add it together at Dee Why, you’re struggling to get wave faces into the waist high range. Pretty much mals and similar only today.

Tide was low at 0700 and will be back to high at 1305. At 0830, wind was out of the NNW 6-10 kts and it’s due to be 20-30kts by lunchtime. That won’t help the already feeble swell.

Outlook for the next couple of days is more offshores and only tiny waves – if that. Given the wind, I wouldn’t be surprised if it gets blown flat for the front half of the week.

But…

We should see a south pulse from late Wednesday through to the weekend. Thursday and Friday mornings look potentially quite interesting particularly if the models have it right on the wind front. I’m hoping for a couple of metres at least at spots that like dead south swell.

Have a great day; particularly all you Mums out there!

Just about unsurfably tiny at 0800

Just about unsurfably tiny at 0800


Weather Situation
A high pressure ridge lies over northern NSW while a cold front approaches from the southwest. This front will bring strong to gale-force westerly winds to southern and central waters as it crosses the state today. Winds should ease slightly during Monday in the wake of this system, although another vigorous cold front will affect the region later Tuesday and Wednesday.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Strong Wind Warning for Sunday for Sydney Coast
Winds
West to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots increasing to 20 to 30 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres in the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy.
Monday 11 May
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
Westerly 15 to 25 knots, reaching 30 knots offshore during the day.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Weather
Sunny.
Tuesday 12 May
Winds
Westerly 15 to 25 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres offshore.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
Weather
Sunny.

Micro Saturday

Posted by: on July 26th, 2014

Hello Friends,

Lightly drizzling at daybreak. Out at the Sydney buoy there as about a metre of SE swell with an average period of close to 14 seconds. Tide was heading to a high at 0750 and there was only a faint WNW breeze. Surf? You want surf? Well… naw… there was really next to nothing doing. And, sadly, there’s no real prospect of an improvement either.

Wish I had better news folks, but, there it is. We seem to be in for a week of nothing much at all along pretty much the whole east coast according to the models.

There seems to be some hope of a south pulse toward the end of the week, but right now the models are predicting it will be accompanied by heaps of south wind and cool, cloudy conditions.

Have yourself a great Saturday anyway!

Hunting for something, anything, to catch

Hunting for something, anything, to catch

Micro at Dee Why at 0700

Micro at Dee Why at 0700

Weather Situation

A high pressure system over the central Tasman Sea is moving east maintaining a ridge to New South Wales north coast. Later on Saturday a low pressure trough will bring west to southwesterly change along the southern half of the coast extending to the far north coast Sunday morning. Behind the change another high will move over the Tasman Sea by Monday.

Forecast for Saturday until midnight

Winds
Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning southwesterly in the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the morning, then increasing to 1.5 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Isolated thunderstorms this morning, more frequent offshore.

Sunday 27 July

Winds
Southwesterly 15 to 20 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the late afternoon.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre by early evening.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre offshore.

Monday 28 July

Winds
West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending west to northwesterly during the day.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
South to southeasterly below 1 metre.

Late Sunday morning waves

Posted by: on June 22nd, 2014

Hello Friends,

Had to do an airport run before the report today, hence the lateness…

Had a look at Curly and Dee Why on the way back and grabbed the pics below. Curly was well attended and while the banks were mainly pretty so-so, there were set wave faces into the shoulder high range. For the most part it was just a quick take off and maybe a turn or two before you needed to straighten out.

Around at Dee Why the situation was broadly similar, although it was maybe 30% smaller and while it was all shutdowns in front of the club, it did seem as though there might be the odd interesting peak up toward No Man’s.

Swell is showing at a metre from the SE witha juicy 14 second period. Tide was just going low when I was grabbing the snaps.

Outlook remains very much in line with the Goat’s call, ie marginal to near flat for the coming week.

Oh well, get some work done I guess. Have yourself a top old Sunday!

One-turn-wonder wave @ 1000

One-turn-wonder wave @ 1000

That'd be a quiet day at superbank

That’d be a quiet day at superbank

Longboardables at Dee Why beach

Longboardables at Dee Why beach

The right equipment for the conditions

The right equipment for the conditions

No Man's @ 1015

No Man’s @ 1015

Weather Situation
A weak southerly change is moving along the southern half of the New South Wales weakening as a high pressure ridge extends from the Tasman Sea to the northern part of the coast. Northwesterly winds along the coast will strengthen on Monday as a cold front approaches from the west, This front is expected to bring strong west to southwesterly across the western Tasman Sea on Tuesday.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Southwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Isolated thunderstorms offshore late in the morning.
Monday 23 June
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Sydney Coast
Winds
North to northwesterly about 10 knots increasing to 15 to 25 knots early in the morning. Winds reaching up to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Tuesday 24 June
Winds
Northwesterly 20 to 25 knots turning westerly 20 to 30 knots during the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres offshore.
Swell
South to southeasterly below 1 metre.

Swell fading away…

Posted by: on May 15th, 2014

Hello Friends,

Tapping the keys while mate drives us south to Sydney after a few days at Cresco. Waves never got big, but we had some fun ones up to chest high in the beach break north of the point. It was smaller and less consistent this morning, but still worth getting wet. We took a detour at Old Bar for a look as we headed home, but it was micro and NE at the point. The back beach still had the odd chest plus, but no one in the water at low tide, so can’t be totally certain on that.

As of 1300 the MHL Sydney buoy was showing less than a metre of SE swell. Average period was still close to 14 seconds though, so it could be that there are some knee to waist high bumps at stand out spots still.

The outlook is not too flash for the coming week. The next few days are shaping to be very marginal to flat most places as we line up for a week of summery warmth. There’s really very little showing in the current crop of swell forecasts sadly. Unseasonably warm with no waves – great.

This high can’t persist forever though. The waves will return!

Swell dying away at Crescent but still the odd set early

Swell dying away at Crescent but still the odd set early

Pandanas, rocks, fisherman, surfers.

Pandanas, rocks, fisherman, surfers.

Sea eagle scoping Crescent this morning

Sea eagle scoping Crescent this morning

We hit a major hold up south of Kempsey and eventually discovered that a car carrier heading to Sydney had toppled and caught fire. The flames were long out and they were using a huge crane to lift the burnt out cars away from the wreckage. Just south of Nabiac there was another smashed up semi. Yikes.

Vintage mustang being lifted away from burnt out car carrier south of Kempsey

Vintage mustang being lifted away from burnt out car carrier south of Kempsey

Weather Situation
A over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge across central New South Wales. This high is expected to remain very slow moving until at least early next week. As a result, cold fronts crossing the Southern Ocean during this time will have little or no effect on New South Wales as they slip away to the southeast past Tasmania.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds
Northerly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
East to southeasterly around 1 metre.
Friday 16 May
Winds
North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly below 1 metre.
Saturday 17 May
Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre.

Sticky: Biding our time, waiting for the next pulse to arrive

Posted by: on September 13th, 2010

Hello Friends,

Went for a beach walk this morning and as usual had the camera with me. I was mildly surprised to see a dozen or so folks hanging out at the northern extent of no man’s because it looked nearly flat. But then a soft little waist high set wave appeared and a couple people got into it – high tide notwithstanding. On my walk back up the beach I saw a couple locals sitting off the beach waiting. Again, it looked hopeless and then after 15 or 20 minutes, another small but catchable thing perked up and actually threw out enough for a quick cover. Tremendous patience will be required, but if you don’t mind only three or four opportunities an hour, it could be worth the effort…

 

 

earlier I wrote…
As expected, we’re still looking at small to near flat conditions this Monday morning. Swell is about a metre from the south and although this morning’s MHL data shows an average period of 14 sec, there’s nothing much showing at Dee Why. And from the shape of the forecasts, it’ll pretty much stay that way for the remaining daylight hours.

From tomorrow the models reckon we start to move in a more promising direction. The Bureau says we Sydneysiders can expect a little south pulse to be evident by midday.

Those same models are still showing us settling into southerly regime for the next week. And the various riffs on the WAM data continue to point to big to very big conditions from Friday through to Saturday across the NSW coast as a very long fetch forms up in the southern ocean. This morning the guesstimate is for 3-4 metre plus faces at south spots from around Friday morning, with the peak energy arriving sometime overnight and into Saturday.

Looking like a week for frontloading responsibilities into the first couple days in order to leave the decks clear from Thursday onward…

Go well with your plans today!

 

Weather Situation

A high pressure ridge lies over the northern Tasman Sea. A trough is expected to cross the state during Monday and Tuesday, before a low deepens off the southern coast later on Tuesday and early Wednesday. Winds during this time are likely to increase, with the direction dependant on the development and position of the low.
Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds: West to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots becoming northwesterly 10 to 20 knots around midday then decreasing to 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing up to 2 metres around midday then decreasing to below 1 metre later in the evening. Swell: Northeasterly about 1 metre.
Forecast for Tuesday

Winds: North to northwesterly 5 to 15 knots tending north to northeasterly 10 to 20 knots around dawn then tending northerly 20 to 25 knots around midday. Winds tending west to northwesterly 25 to 30 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the morning then increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon. Swell: Easterly about 1 metre tending southeasterly about 2 metres from midday.
Forecast for Wednesday

Winds: Southwesterly 20 to 30 knots tending west to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Up to 4 metres decreasing to 2 metres during the afternoon. Swell: Southerly about 2 metres.

 

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