Articles tagged with "SE-2m-8s"

Marginal at best this morning

Posted by: on October 28th, 2016
dy beach

A lonely hunter waits at No Mans 0630

dy point

Maybe… with a mal… if you were keen…

Hello Friends,

Not the prettiest morning and not much in the way of wave energy, but it’s not quite as flat as yesterday. The MHL buoy is showing 2 metres of 8 sec SE wind swell, so we’re looking at waist-ish at the bigger spots I’d say. Wind was light westerly when I grabbed the snaps at 0630 but the forecast is for it to turn east to SE by late this morning. Tide was on the way to high at 0745.
And the outlook? Well, as he has for the past couple of decades now, the Goat has brought his considerable experience to bear on the models’ output to make a few predictions for the coming week.
Have a great Friday everyone and keep on smilin’!

Weather Situation
An east to southeasterly flow across the waters will tend northerly during Saturday as a high pressure system moves over the Tasman Sea extending a ridge to the north and then strengthen on Sunday ahead of a cold front and southerly change expected on the south coast early Monday.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning easterly 15 to 20 knots in the late morning.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers.
Saturday 29 October
Winds
Easterly 20 to 25 knots turning northeasterly in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of showers.
Sunday 30 October
Winds
Northeasterly 20 to 25 knots turning northerly 20 to 30 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeasterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Sticky: Scrappy again for Tuesday morning

Posted by: on October 8th, 2013

How it was at 0730

Working to get into it

Beachy shutdowns & weak point

Hello Friends,

Yesterday’s blustry conditions have abated overnight and left Dee Why with some waist to chest plus SE wind swell. It’s sorta messy and a high percentage of waves coming into the beach seemed to be a struggle to get into – and then they mostly shut down. More for the exercise than the quality this morning. Although it’s mostly sunny as I write this before 0800, the Bureau says there’s a 50% chance of a shower or two later.

A quick scan across this morning’s forecast models suggests that there could be junky little stuff in the mornings this week – although the next couple of days aren’t too flash looking. For the last few days the models have been predicting an uptick from the south on Friday and they’re sticking to that story this morning. Wind is likely to be an issue though, particularly in the morning when the current outlook is for 15-20 kts south. Size could be maybe a bit bigger because the average period is expected to be around the 10 second mark by the afternoon.

As you can see, we’ve got the perfect wave a major sponsor on board for our crowdfunding drive. Huge thanks to them, but that doesn’t mean we’re done!!! From what many have said to me, there are still lots of you hanging back, waiting for the last second to jump in. So, I’m not giving up trying to persuade you to make your pledge sooner rather than later.

A bit of a head’s up: I’m toying with the idea of bringing back the black page of doom for the final stage of the campaign… 🙂

Have yourself a top old Tuesday!

Forecast issued at 4:10 am EDT on Tuesday 8 October 2013.
Weather Situation
A high pressure system is moving towards Bass Strait extending a ridge behind a cold front crossing the southern Tasman Sea, resulting in easing southerly winds on the New South Wales coast. On Wednesday the high is expected to move over the western Tasman Sea, turning winds to the northwest to northeast.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the middle of the day then tending southerly in the early afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, tending southeasterly around 1 metre around midday.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms in the morning and early afternoon.
Wednesday 9 October
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northwesterly 15 to 20 knots in the morning then tending northerly 15 to 25 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then increasing to 2 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southeasterly around 1 metre.
Thursday 10 October
Winds
Northerly 15 to 25 knots turning northwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the morning.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Northeast to southeasterly around 1 metre.

Rainy Tuesday morning

Posted by: on February 12th, 2013

Rainy morning fun

Hello Friends,

Had to wait for the weather to lift enough to see what was going on at the beach this morning. According to the MHL data, the SE swell is around two metres at about 9 seconds apart. At Dee Why that means some waist to chest high bumps on a high tide peak at kiddies. There’s a fair amount of weed washing around on the inside and the water looks pretty ordinary thanks to the rain. But there were some hardy folk in amongst it, so if you’re really keen…

Wind is SE 10-15 kts for the next couple of days, so that will limit surf options a fair amount. Tide will be high around 1040 and the low will be just on 1700. The showers should continue off and on through to tomorrow afternoon.

The onshore pattern is set to last for at least the rest of the week, however, it should be lighter in the early morning, so with the tide situation improving, we might get the odd small fun one at most beaches from Thr to Sat.

Have yourself a fine Tuesday!

Weather Situation
A strong high pressure system south of the Bight extends a ridge along the southern New South Wales coast, while a weakening trough lies over the state’s northeast. A second low pressure trough extends through western Queensland and New South Wales, and will remain a feature of the region as the high moves gradually east during the next few days.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 1.5 metres.
Wednesday 13 February
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning easterly in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly about 1.5 metres.
Thursday 14 February
Winds
Easterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly about 1.5 metres.

Small looking

Posted by: on December 29th, 2012

Hello Friends,

It looks as though I chose a relatively good time – from a surf perspective – to be away from Sydney. The MHL Sydney buoy is showing a couple metres of 8 second SE swell whilst the wind reports indicate light SE seabreezes as of 1000. I’d say that given the numbers, the surf prospects will be biggest where the surface conditions are worst. Given the period, I imagine you might spot the odd chest to shoulder high set at the most exposed spots. Next tide is a low at 1615. THe SE’ly is set to blow all day and into tomorrow…

Gotta run! Have yourself a top old day!

Weather Situation
A trough and associated southerly change on the far north coast is moving north as a high south of the Bight extends a ridge over Victoria and northward along the NSW coast. A relatively weak cold front will cross Tasmania and move into the southern Tasman Sea today. The high will move into the Tasman Sea on Sunday and then slowly east during Monday as a trough reaches the south coast.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 10 to 15 knots, 15 to 20 knots offshore, turning southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1 metre tending southerly about 1 metre from the late morning.
Sunday 30 December
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots decreasing to easterly about 10 knots in the late afternoon then tending northeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the late evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 metre.
Monday 31 December
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning northerly 20 to 25 knots during the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning then increasing to 2 metres during the evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 metre.

Another morning of minorness

Posted by: on December 11th, 2012

Hello Friends,

Swell hasn’t really perked by much at all overnight. The energy is coming from the SE quarter, but despite being a couple metres on average, it’s still just short period, locally generated 8 second period wind swell. Wind is out of the south at 15-20 kts. At Dee Why the combo translated into waist high slop with, so far as I could tell, only a single taker in the form of a bloke astride a SUP.

Tide was high just before 0600 and will hit low at 1230.

The wind is set to track through the SE to the east today, so not exactly the brightest outlook for surfin’. Tomorrow the wind should back off a bit, but the Bureau says it’ll still be out of the east. Plus the swell energy is set to weaken. Blergh.

Another front is due through the joint on the weekend and there seems to be some hope of longer period energy with it. But I’m being only cautiously hopeful at this stage. Shoulder high for an early would be nice…

Go well with your Tuesday!

Weather Situation
A high pressure system centred east of Tasmania extends a ridge across the Tasman Sea, which will strengthen as it moves slowly east today. A trough, currently off the northern and central coasts, is forecast to approach the coast today, before it weakens later in the day. Thursday and Friday will see mostly fine conditions as the high pushes a strengthening ridge across the region. The next trough approaching from the west may bring a southerly change to the south later on the weekend.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
South to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots, turning easterly 10 to 20 knots later.
Seas
Up to 2 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly about 2 metres.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms.
Wednesday 12 December
Winds
Easterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly about 1.5 metres.
Thursday 13 December
Winds
Easterly about 10 knots tending northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 1 metre.

Fading in the heavy rain

Posted by: on June 11th, 2012

Hello Friends,

Visibility from the RealSurf crow’s nest is maybe 500 metres as I write this around 0900, so no pictures from me. yet.

The MHL buoy is showing about two metres of 8 second period SE swell. That’s about the same size as yesterday for the swell, but the period is now 20% shorter and therefore I’d expect the wave heights to be struggling to make chest high at spots picking it up.

The rain is expected to back off by late this afternoon, so it looks like a day to play inside.

Tomorrow should see the late arrival of what is currently shaping to be a 2-3 day pulse of fun size east swell. With luck we’ll have something to play on in the head high range at spots that like the swell direction.

Go well with your rainy day Sydneysiders!

Weather Situation
A low pressure system off Queensland southeast coast is deepening and extending a trough along New South Wales north and central coasts while a high pressure system near Tasmania extends a ridge across the southern Tasman Sea. The low will move slowly east away from the coast during Tuesday and Wednesday, as the high moves very slowly to the southeast strengthening the ridge across the western Tasman Sea.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 metres.
Weather
Isolated thunderstorms, mainly offshore.
Tuesday 12 June
Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Easterly 2 metres.
Wednesday 13 June
Winds
Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning east to northeasterly below 10 knots during the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 2 to 3 metres.

Posted by: on April 28th, 2012

Hello Friends,

Your correspondent is feeling slightly miffed. Here in southern California it’s a case of spring wavelessness, but Sydney looks like getting a whack of swell on Monday – albeit with a fair old serve of southerly for the early.

This morning’s outlook will be explored in greater detail by the Goat during his guest spot on ABC 702 at around 0730.

My guess is that he’ll mention the light westerly for you early risers as well as the possibility of finding something in the surfable range at most beaches – thanks to the 2 metres of 8 second period SE swell.

Have yourself a great Saturday!

TIDES low at 0710 high at 1315

Weather Situation
A high centred near the Bight will move east slowly and enter the Tasman Sea next Monday. The high will generally maintain a ridge over NSW over the next few days though winds are likely to temporarily strengthen along the coast Sunday as a cold front moves across Tasmania into the Tasman Sea. Dangerous long period swell is likely to develop along the southern parts of New South Wales coast later Sunday, extending to all NSW coast on Monday.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Northwesterly 5 to 10 knots tending northeast to northwesterly up to 15 knots around midday.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Easterly 1 metre.
Sunday 29 April
Winds
West to southwesterly 10 to 20 knots tending southerly up to 30 knots around dawn then decreasing to 20 to 25 knots around midday. Winds decreasing to southerly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Easterly 1 metre tending southerly about 2 metres from midday.
Monday 30 April
Winds
South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots decreasing to variable below 10 knots during the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 2 to 3 metres.
Weather
Large swells breaking dangerously close inshore.

PICS by Don: South Curly, Sat morning 13/8/11

Posted by: on August 15th, 2011


Saturday morning delivered a small SE swell to Sydney’s Curl Curl beach and I was on hand to shoot it from around 1015 to 1115. Waves were on the soft side it has to be said, but there were definitely a few fun little sections along with the very occasional head high plus bomb set. I set up at a position roughly 1/3 the way up the beach from South Curl Curl SLSC and focused mainly on the complex of rideable peaks to the south of me. If you were in the water and caught a wave in that time, there’s an excellent chance that I got a shot of you.

Click the pic below to jump to the complete gallery of pictures from the 1015-1115 session of 13 August 2011.

Sticky: Hey whadya know? Waves to start out the day

Posted by: on August 13th, 2011

Hello Friends,

I love being wrong when it comes to the surf. Last night it looked as though we’d have messy and tiny conditions with grey skies. But Huey had a different idea and whilst the swell energy levels and direction haven’t changed much (it’s out of the SE at about 2 metres at sea with an average 8 second period), we have light offshores to begin with, so it’s clean and surfable.

Set waves look to be in the chest to shoulder high range at the Dee Why end of the beach and around chest high at the point. Not a huge number of people in the water either as of 0700. Wind is out of the W to SW and light to begin with, but the Bureau says it’ll gradually drift around to light onshores this afternoon. At the same time the forecast is calling for the swell to weaken away as we head towards a few days of flatness. So, the plan is to hit it now if you can.

This morning’s run of the swell forecast models point to a good finish to the week though. If they have it right, Wednesday to Friday could see some solid SE to S swell for the old Sydney town. Indeed, the fun stuff could start as early as Tuesday if today’s data turns out to align well with reality. 🙂 Anyway, it’s always good to have the prospect of juicy surf in the long range forecast.

Have yourself a top old Saturday!

 

 

TIDES: H @0755, L @1335

Weather Situation
A high centred to the southwest of Tasmania extends a ridge across eastern New South Wales, while a weak trough approaches the state’s west. During Sunday the high will move to the southern Tasman Sea, where it is expected to strengthen and become very slow-moving, maintaining a ridge along the New South Wales coast until mid-week. The second half of the week is likely to see a cold front traverse the state as the high begins to weaken and move away from the region.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Winds
Southeast to southwesterly 5 to 15 knots tending east to southeasterly up to 10 knots by early evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly about 1.5 metres.
Sunday 14 August
Winds
East to southeasterly 5 to 10 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly about 1.5 metres decreasing to 0.5 metres late in the evening.
Monday 15 August
Winds
South to southeasterly 5 to 10 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly about 1 metre.

Postcard from Cali + Sydney surf thoughts

Posted by: on April 28th, 2011

Hello Friends,

Tide’s low a little after 1100 in Sydney and the wind’s supposed to be out of the SE by then. It was showing as NE at North Head when I started tapping this out at a little after 0700 – which is kinda weird since the radar’s showing a steady line of rain events streaming in from the SE. Swell was showing as a couple metres from the SE with an average period of 8 seconds. My guess is you’ll want to be pretty damn keen given all that. The Bureau’s got surf warnings posted for the next few days, but according to the charts, it looks like being SE and more SE through Saturday. But after that… well, if the forecast models turn out to have anything to do with reality, you should be able to make out a green glow off to the NE around Monday. That will be coming from me as I radiate envy at Sydneysiders’ offshore and clean surf conditions – and warm water. It looks like a classic east coast low will form up and fire the good stuff straight at ya.

Meanwhile, over here in so-cal, we’re still waiting for something like waves in the Santa Barbara region. About the only thing that’s happened since I got here is that the water has plunged back down to around 12 degrees thanks to a bout of NW wind.  That would be annoying but bearable if only we had some waves. Instead, we’re looking at dribbly junk that wouldn’t be out of place on a lake. Grumble, grumble.

Here’s a snap from the webcam located at Campus Point to give you an idea of how ordinary it is in Santa Barbara this afternoon.

Have a good one!

 

Weather Situation in Sydney

A strong high pressure system over the southwestern Tasman Sea extends a ridge to New South Wales north coast and a low pressure system is deepening over the Coral Sea. During Saturday and Sunday the low will move over the central Tasman Sea as the high moves towards New Zealand maintaining the ridge to the south and central coasts.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight

Winds: Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots. Seas: 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell: Southeasterly 2 to 3 metres. Swells breaking dangerously close inshore.

Forecast for Friday

Winds: Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots. Seas: 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell: Southeasterly 2 metres. Large swells breaking dangerously close inshore.

Forecast for Saturday

Winds: East to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots becoming southeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the evening. Seas: 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell: Easterly 2 metres. Large swells breaking dangerously close inshore.

 

 

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