Not a day when many folks want to go for a surf – despite the fact that there is some size around and even a few places that aren’t totally ripped to bits by the SSE wind. At 0830 there were a few folks having a go at Manly in the rather soft looking waist to chest-ish conditions. Curly was a write-off and at Dee Why you could sort of contemplate the point and the beach. Size there was similar to Manly, maybe a touch bigger. But again there was a flabbiness to the quality. At 0700 the MHL buoy was detecting 3.5 metres of 10-sec south swell. Tide was high at 0635 and will be low at 1320. As the Goat noted in his forecast last night, the Bureau has hoisted the large and powerful surf conditions warnings. These now extend to Monday – along with that wretched south wind. A well, at least there are waves of a sort if you’re really hanging out to get wet. Have a happy Friday one and all!
Queenscliff peak at 0830
Working the mal at mid-Steyne
Momentary section at Dee Why point about 0850
Contemplating the possibilities at Dee Why
Weather Situation A low pressure system lies over the central Tasman Sea while a high pressure system southeast of the Bight extends a ridge to the New South Wales coast. These two systems are directing fresh to strong southerly winds along New South Wales coastal waters. Winds will gradually ease and shift southeasterly over the next two days as the low moves further east and the high moves into the southwestern Tasman Sea, maintaining a ridge to the north coast. Winds will turn northeasterly along southern parts on Sunday and Monday whilst the ridge maintains fresh southeasterly winds along the north coast. Forecast for Friday until midnight Strong Wind Warning for Friday for Sydney Coast Winds Southerly 20 to 25 knots, reaching up to 30 knots in the morning. Seas 2 to 3 metres. Swell Southeasterly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1 to 2 metres offshore. Weather Cloudy. 50% chance of showers. Saturday 6 February Winds Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore in the morning. Seas 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres around midday. Swell Southeasterly 1.5 to 2.5 metres. Weather Cloudy. 20% chance of a shower. Caution Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing. Sunday 7 February Winds Southeasterly 10 to 15 knots. Seas Below 1 metre. Swell Southeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres. Weather Cloudy. 20% chance of a shower. Caution Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing. Please be aware Wind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. Nearby Coastal Waters
This forecast is also available via scheduled broadcasts on marine radio. Latest Coastal Observations Tide Predictions The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:05 pm EDT Friday. Product IDN11009
Made the trip to Manly this morning and grabbed a few snaps from there and Curly on the way home. As you can see, it’s really best suited to mals. Waves would perk up, look cute for a moment and then run out of puff a few seconds later. But water’s warm and surface conditions are perfect.
We still have a few scraps of knee to waist plus SSE swell showing along the beaches this morning. At 0700 the MHL Sydney buoy was recording energy from the south around to the east, but the most focuse stuff was at 131 degrees. It was averaging 1.4 metres with a period of 9.8 seconds, so that meant there were waves of some sort from South Steyne to Queensie, at mid-Curly and from about the Pole north along the Dee Why to Longy stretch.
Surface conditions were glassy under high overcast skies and tide will hit high a little before 1030.
This morning’s swell forecast modelling agrees with the Bureau that Weds and Thursday are not likely to be interesting. In fact, Thursday is shaping up to be flat as a tack, so I hope that isn’t your day off this week!
But then… things are looking more promising in terms of swell energy. If the forecasts are correct, we could see a very long fetch deep into the southern ocean developing from around Thursday. By Friday evening the freight train could be with us as the swell ramps into the 3-4 metre range from the south with periods potentially around 10-12 seconds.
The big issue looks to be the wind. which, according to some predictions could be pretty vigorous from the SW. Right now it looks as though the peak will be early in the swell event, but there’s hope that it will persist through to Monday.
Have yourself a great Tuesday!
Among the shutdowns, a clean face ato 0800
Yeah, sorta, but not too exciting
SUPs were the go at Dee Why point @0915
Peak near the pole was sort of working
The lully feeling up at Long Reef @0920
A high over the Tasman Sea is drifting slowly east, while a broad trough moves from central Australia into western New South Wales. This trough will cross the coast during Wednesday, with northerly winds shifting westerly in most areas as it passes. Following this, a strong cold front is expected during Friday, bringing strong to gale force southwesterly winds which may linger into the weekend.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Variable below 10 knots, becoming north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots later in the morning.
Below 1 metre.
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres.
Wednesday 16 July
Northerly 15 to 20 knots, turning westerly and reaching 25 knots offshore in the late morning.
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 2 metres offshore during the morning.
Southeasterly below 1 metre.
Thursday 17 July
West to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots increasing to 20 to 30 knots during the evening.
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon or evening.
After getting a few waves, I grabbed the camera and wandered along the Manly beachfront getting shots of folks on waves. Sunny skies and offshore winds made the chest to head high conditions look pretty fine.
I pulled together a dozen or so of the highlights for the slideshow below, but of course there are heaps more images in the gallery itself.
And, as always, if you see one you want, just click on it to check out the options.
Spent half an hour shooting at Manly between the constant showers. Here are a few of the snaps. If you were in the water at the peaks between North and South Steyne from about 2-230pm, you might want to have a look at the whole collection here!
Wind getting into even the most protected bits of the coast.
Even on a dull day, there are always folks on the beach at Manly.
Not even worth taking a picture at Curly as it was – predictably enough – blown out junk. So it was on to Manly. Like Curly, the Queenscliff end of the beach was just a write-off. Sadly, the situation as Big Al has already noted, was little better at the south end. There were a few people in the water testing the limits of the flaggeged area as they hunted for something worth the effort in the generally diabolically sloppy conditions.
Here’s a question: when the local SLSC broadcasts warnings to surfers to get out of the flagged area, they always do it in English. So what happens if an international visitor is the offender? I’ve heard them going off at an apparently recalcitrant surfer and wondered to myself if maybe the object of the ire was blissfully unaware of their transgression.
The Bower was definitely cleaner and bigger yesterday when I checked it. This morning it just looked shocking. Really lumpy and messy out there. On the good side there were some okay size sets (see the pic below), so there is some swell around if you are super keen.