Articles tagged with "SSE-1m-10s"

Micro morning in Dee Why

Posted by: on March 30th, 2015

Hello Friends,

Brace yourselves Sydney surfers. The ocean is going quiet and finding any sort of wave this morning will be a major accomplishment. There’s a tiny south line showing, but unless you have something like a two-person racing ski (see picture) you won’t be catching anything at Dee Why point. A kayak or similar might be the best option along the beach as it’s only knee high on sets (at best).

Not that it matters too much given the energy levels, but tide was high at 0545 and will be back to low at 1220.

Outlook this morning for the week ahead remains much as it has for the last week or so – pretty ordinary. The next few days look like being in the knee high range at south swell spots. There’s still some prospect of a tiny improvement into maybe the waist high range at the end of the week, but it’s not exactly looking spectacular. The real long range models are continuing to show heaps of activity in the southern ocean but it seems unlikely to get into our swell window until mid next week at the earliest. Sooner or later though…

Have a great Monday and go well with your plans!

dee why point

Team work the only way to catch a wave

Weather Situation
A high pressure system is centred over the western Tasman Sea and is extending a ridge across New South Wales, where it will remain for much of the new week, bringing east to northeasterly winds to the coast. Winds may briefly turn southerly inshore on southern and central parts of the coast on Monday morning before the northeasterly returns in the afternoon. The next cold front is not expected to reach New south Wales waters before Thursday.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
East to northeasterly about 10 knots tending east to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots in the early afternoon then tending east to northeasterly in the evening. Winds reaching up to 20 knots inshore in the late afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm during this afternoon and evening.
Tuesday 31 March
Winds
East to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 70% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Wednesday 1 April
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots turning northerly 15 to 20 knots during the evening.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 20% chance of a shower.

Sticky: Pretty marginal but pretty

Posted by: on December 2nd, 2013

Bomb set, 0720

Hello Friends,

Beautiful morning out there. Would be perfect if we had something reasonable in the way of waves. It wasn’t flat at Dee Why when I first pointed the telephoto lens at the joint from high atop RealSurf HQ. That was at around 0720, just ten minutes after the tide peaked. Swell is coming from the SSE at 10 seconds apart but with an average height of a metre out at sea. For the folks in the water, the numbers translated into occasional waist high sets with longish waits between.

The morning shift enjoyed light winds and sunny skies for their dip, but while the skies won’t change much (it’s due to reach around 24), the NE’r will be along soon.

Outlook for surf tomorrow morning isn’t too fabulous, but there might be a tiny little something before the NE’r kicks back in. Some of the swell modelling this morning is projecting a small improvement again on Wednesday and Thursday mornings, but at this stage I’m not seeing anything too remarkable for us in the cards. Of course it is summer, so it’s not much of a surprise that the outlook is so-so.

Have yourself a great Monday everyone!

Forecast issued at 4:10 am EDT on Monday 2 December 2013.
Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the central Tasman Sea is maintaining a ridge into eastern New South Wales and directing southeast to northeasterly winds along the coast. The high will remain the dominant synoptic feature until mid-week, with northerly winds increasing ahead of the next low pressure trough. This trough is forecast to bring a southerly change to southern coastal districts later Wednesday, continuing to the north during Thursday.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
Northeasterly 10 to 15 knots, reaching 20 knots inshore in the late afternoon and evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres inshore by evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Tuesday 3 December
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Northeast to southeasterly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres offshore during the morning.
Wednesday 4 December
Winds
North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots, increasing to 25 to 30 knots during the evening.
Seas
1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the evening.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.

Not quite flat to start

Posted by: on August 22nd, 2013

Glassy

Brief section

Hello Friends,

A metre of 10 sec SSE swell and light winds mixed with an incoming tide (high at just before 0900) to deliver a patient little group of surfers with the occasional waist high set at Dee Why beach. The waits were longish, but not bad and although full, the better waves at least stood up long enough for a turn or two.

From the shape of the forecasts, it looks as though the swell energy is going to fade through the day and go to flat tomorrow before coming back up into the solidly surfable range on Saturday. While the Bureau also says the wind’ll be swinging south with it as the day goes along, the morning session could be alright at spots that can deal with the high tide.

No major news on the crowdfunding project for you this morning really. At the moment my informal brains-trust is having a look at my final draft of the project description. Once they get back to me and I’ve put a final polish on the proposal, it will go to the folk at Pozible for review. If they give it the thumbs up, I should be able to launch early next week. Here’s hoping!

Have yourself a top old Thursday!

Weather Situation
A broad low pressure system will drift south of Tasmania today deepening as it moves over the southern Tasman Sea on Friday. A series of frontal systems associated with this broad low are expected to pass over the southern parts of NSW before moving away to the east on the weekend. Otherwise a weak high pressure ridge extends over the far northern parts of NSW, forming a weak high over the Queensland coast late on Thursday.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Strong wind warning for Thursday for Sydney Coastal Waters
Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending west to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots in the morning then becoming westerly 20 to 30 knots in the evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms offshore later this afternoon and evening.
Friday 23 August
Strong wind warning for Friday for Sydney Coastal Waters
Winds
Westerly 20 to 30 knots.
Seas
2 to 3 metres.
Swell
Southerly below 1 metre.
Saturday 24 August
Winds
Southwesterly 20 to 30 knots turning southerly 15 to 20 knots during the morning.
Seas
2 to 3 metres, decreasing below 2 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the morning.

Sticky: Perking up

Posted by: on July 22nd, 2013

New swell showing...
Hello Friends,

A metre or so of south swell has appeared this morning in Sydney and where Dee Why was concerned, there didn’t seem to be anyone in the water to meet it. When I climbed aloft to the RealSurf crow’s nest for the first time this morning, it coincided with a chest high set arriving at Dee Why beach. Longer contemplation however suggests that there could be a wait between such sets and that may in part account for the fact that no one was in the water yet. Of course the icy air temps may have been a factor too!

According to this morning’s forecast from the Bureau, the model predictions of an uptick in swell energy midweek are likely to happen. They’re calling for three metres or so of 10 second south swell on Wednesday. Unfortunately, the wind looks like spoiling the party fairly quickly as it goes from SW to S.

Thursday may be smaller, but better thanks to a shift around to offshores.

Have yourself a great Monday!

Tides: H @0740, L @1320

Weather Situation

A complex low pressure system over the southwestern Tasman Sea with a trough to the northwest moves slowly to the south-southeast and weakening. On Tuesday a high pressure system is expected to move west of the Bass Strait extending a ridge to the southwestern Coral Sea and the low is expected to weaken further.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds
Westerly 20 to 25 knots.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres.
Swell
Easterly around 1 metre.

Tuesday 23 July

Strong wind warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coastal Waters

Winds
Westerly 20 to 25 knots turning southwesterly 25 to 30 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres, increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres later in the evening.

Wednesday 24 July

Winds

Southwesterly 25 to 30 knots turning southerly 20 to 30 knots during the morning.

Seas

2 to 3 metres.

Swell

East to southeasterly 2 to 4 metres, tending south to southeasterly 2 to 3 metres during the afternoon or evening.

Caution

Dangerous surf conditions expected, hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.

Out and about

Posted by: on July 22nd, 2013

Had to run an errand early and came home via Warriewood, Northy and Longy-Dee Why.

As of 1030 the little south swell was still looking pretty lully, but every now and then a set appears and the fun can begin. Don’t be in a rush and I’m sure you’ll jag something!

Long Reef

The right board

Winding up

Northy

Cruisy set at DY

Sticky: Fading swell but not flat yet

Posted by: on April 23rd, 2013

Busy little DY peak

Dontals section

Sth Narra close out

Shuttydowny at the Pole

Hello Friends,

Despite being in a haze of jetlaggness yesterday, I knew the swell was going to fade fast, so I joined the large crew at Dee Why point to sample a few of the 12 sec period SE sets. This morning I won’t be in a position to repeat the experience because there’s nothing happening at the point. As expected, the swell’s faded quite a bit overnight and as of about 0700, it was out of the SSE at around the 10 second mark with an average height at sea of about a metre – half the size of yesterday. Tide’s heading to low at about 1215. Skies should be sunny all day and the wind should stay offshore.

So get out there and enjoy because tomorrow looks like being smaller again and by Thursday we could be into a week plus of flatness on the east coast.

Go well!

Weather Situation
A high pressure ridge over the western Tasman Sea is weakening and a cold front will bring a west to southwesterly change along New South Wales coast on Tuesday. Behind this front another slow-moving ridge will develop across the Tasman Sea from Wednesday.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
Westerly 15 to 20 knots turning south to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the day.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 metres.
Wednesday 24 April
Winds
West to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending south to southwesterly below 10 knots in the late morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southeasterly 1.5 metres, tending southerly 1 to 1.5 metres before dawn, then decreasing to around 1 metre later in the evening.
Thursday 25 April
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming southerly 10 to 15 knots during the morning then becoming variable about 10 knots during the day.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.

Postcard: SoCal (+ Syd summary)

Posted by: on April 21st, 2011

Hello Friends,

After a quick and unusually smooth 13 hr flight, I’m jetlagged in California. I’ll try to make myself useful from afar. So, according to the latest from the MHL buoy, Sydney’s looking at around a metre of SSE swell with an average period of 10 seconds and light westerly wind as of about 0750. Next tide is a high around 1045. Sadly, that combo is not likely to be producing much of note. South exposed spots might get the odd waist high set I’d guess.

Meanwhile, over on this side of the pond the situation in southern California is similarly uninspiring. Tis the season of fog. The skies were grey and the surf was weak and small – but not flat. I saw people chasing waist high slo-mo rollers at Trancas and Malibu as we headed north on PCH. About the biggest was at County Line where every now and then a chest high set would move slowly in through a lightly wind textured sea. I took a couple pics for you to add to the postcard collection.

Have yourself a good one!

 

 

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea is slowly moving east. A weak southerly change on the south coast, gradually extending to the north coast by Thursday night. Winds are expected to freshen from the west to southwest on Friday ahead of another southerly change over the weekend.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds: West to southwesterly about 10 knots tending south to southwesterly during the afternoon then tending west to northwesterly later in the evening. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Southeasterly about 1 metre. Isolated thunderstorms offshore this morning and afternoon.

Forecast for Friday
Winds: West to southwesterly 10 to 20 knots. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing up to 1.5 metres around dawn. Swell: Southerly 0.5 metres.

Forecast for Saturday
Winds: South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending east to southeasterly up to 10 knots during the afternoon. Seas: 1 to 1.5 metres decreasing to below 1 metre during the morning. Swell: Southerly about 0.5 metres.

Little waves to be had

Posted by: on June 8th, 2009
Quite a crew on Dee Why's only peak.

Quite a crew on Dee Why's only peak.

Hello Friends,

Up late watching the tennis, so not the earliest start for your correspondent this morning. As anticipated by the models, we’ve had an uptick in period and the SSE swell is therefore doing a little something. The period is averaging 10 seconds, but the Manly buoy is showing some 13 second component. Sets at Dee Why beach are pushing shoulder high* on the biggest ones – quite an improvement over the last few days.

*1000: have been watching since I posted this an hour ago, and am wondering if maybe I got a shot of the wave of the day. It looks for the most part to be considerably smaller than my shot. And if you’re at a beach with poor exposure to the swell direction, I’d say you can count on microness.

Of course being a sunny holiday morning with light offshore winds, it isn’t uncrowded. The call is for those winds to increase through the day and be going along pretty hard by late afternoon. So, despite the tide, I’d say the time to go is asap.

Next tide is a low at around 1400.

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Strong wind warning
Monday until midnight: Wind: W/NW 15/25 knots reaching 25/30 knots offshore Sea: 1.5 to 2.5 metres, reaching 2.5 to 3 metres offshore Swell: SE about 1 metre
Tuesday: Wind: W’ly 20/30 knots increasing to 25/33 knots.Sea: 2.5 to 3.5 metres. Swell: S/SE 1 to 1.5 metres.
Wednesday: Wind: SW 20/30 knots.

 

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