Articles tagged with "SSE-1m-7s"

Wind and heat

Posted by: on September 10th, 2013

Couldn't quite get in
Hello Friends,

26 degrees by 0800. Real spring weather – in equatorial Africa that is. The gusty north wind was flattening the metre or so of 7 second south swell. There were knee high sets rolling slowly in at Dee Why, so maybe at a better exposed stretch, there’d be something approaching waist high. The wind is set to go SW around midday and then to stay that way across the next couple of days at least.

Thursday, which I’d been nurturing hopes for, looks an increasingly long shot for any really useful swell energy. A week ago it seemed that we might have a couple of metres of south pulsing in… but now maybe we’ll get a metre plus with W-SW in the morning and southerly by lunch.

We’re heading into week three of the crowdfunding effort and while we’re definitely going along pretty well, I’m going to be anxious until we reach the goal. It’d be so cool to hit it early. Anyway, lots of you have seen it now, but here’s my latest effort to get us over the all important crowdfunding line…

I hope you’ll get on board with us today. Have yourself a good one!

 

Forecast issued at 4:20 am EST on Tuesday 10 September 2013.
Weather Situation
A broad low pressure trough is moving through the south and west of the state as a high pressure ridge extends over the northeast. North to northwesterly winds ahead of the trough will shift to south to southwesterly over southern and central waters on Tuesday, and northern waters early Wednesday, as this trough progresses further eastwards. A high pressure ridge will move in over NSW behind this system during Wednesday.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Strong wind warning for Tuesday for Sydney Coastal Waters
Winds
Northwesterly 20 to 25 knots increasing to 20 to 30 knots early in the morning then tending southeast to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the afternoon, then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre.
Weather
The chance of thunderstorms later this afternoon and evening.
Wednesday 11 September
Strong wind warning for Wednesday for Sydney Coastal Waters
Winds
Southwesterly 20 to 30 knots tending west to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots in the morning then increasing to 20 to 30 knots in the late evening.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing below 1.5 metres around midday, then increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres by early evening.
Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres later in the evening.
Thursday 12 September
Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 20 knots turning southerly 15 to 25 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
1 to 2 metres.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the evening.

Sticky: What? Still flat at Dee Why? Awww…

Posted by: on August 31st, 2012

Hello Friends,

Another morning of flatness for Dee Why. Primary swell direction has gone around to the SSE. It’s about a metre at sea, but the period is just 7 seconds.

I don’t think there’s much chance of improvement today, sadly. Maybe tomorrow… but then the wind will be a factor. It’s set to be going pretty strongly from the SW tomorrow morning and then it’s supposed to go southerly. That is expected to push up the waves, but quality will not likely be too flash. Still, something is better than the whole lot of nothing we’ve had for the last week or two.

So have yourself a fine Friday, get up to some good and make someone smile!

Weather Situation
A cold front is moving across the Tasman Sea towards New Zealand and high pressure system near the Bight is slowly moving east extending a ridge behind the front. Over the next few days the high will move slowly east strengthening the ridge across the western Tasman Sea.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
Winds
Westerly 15 to 20 knots turning southwesterly 15 to 25 knots in the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the afternoon.
Swell
Easterly 1 metre tending southeasterly from the late morning.
Weather
Isolated thunderstorms in the late afternoon. Isolated thunderstorms late this evening.
Saturday 1 September
Winds
Southwesterly 20 to 25 knots turning southerly 25 to 30 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
2 metres increasing to 3 metres around midday.
Swell
Southeasterly about 1.5 metres.
Weather
Isolated thunderstorms.
Sunday 2 September
Winds
South to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots at first, abating to 20 to 25 knots in the morning, then becoming variable about 10 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
2 to 3 metres decreasing below 1.5 metres during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1.5 metres.

Non-surfing Sunday

Posted by: on July 15th, 2012


Hello Friends,

I can keep it short and not so sweet this morning: there really aren’t any waves at Dee Why.

There might possibly be something catchable around at Curly, but given how weak it was yesterday, I’d be mildly surprised if it was shortboardable.

Beautiful day though.

Tide’ll hit low at 1110 and come into a high at 1745.

The outlook is for not much to change for another couple days and then, midweek for a small but long period east pulse that might deliver some amusing diversions for the surf inclined on Wednesday. Here’s hoping on that front. This morning’s long range forecast models are showing the possibility of a perk in energy levels again early next week. But, as always, we shall see what we see!

Have yourself a great Sunday!

Weather Situation
A complex low pressure system is moving across the southwestern Tasman Sea and a high pressure system is moving north of the Bight extending a ridge to the northern Tasman Sea. The high will move over the western Tasman Sea Monday night and then it is expected to move towards New Zealand during Tuesday maintaining the ridge to the northeast.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds
Westerly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 25 knots in the afternoon.
Seas
Up to 3 metres decreasing to 2 metres around midday.
Swell
Easterly 1 metre tending southeasterly during the evening.
Monday 16 July
Winds
Westerly 15 to 20 knots decreasing to variable about 10 knots in the morning.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres decreasing to below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly 1 metre.
Tuesday 17 July
Winds
Variable about 10 knots becoming northerly 10 to 15 knots during the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly about 1 metre.

Sticky: Rainy start to Tuesday

Posted by: on February 15th, 2011

Hello Friends,

It’s all not happening this morning. Had a look at Curly, Dee Why and Northy and all up I spotted a total of four people in the water. One each at Northy and Curly and the other two at Dee Why centre. This is not surprising however. The combination of grey, periodically rainy, skies and a gutless, tiny SSE windswell being worked over by onshores does not make for the most attractive incentive to get wet.

The outlook for the remainder of the day is pretty much for more of the same. Tomorrow isn’t looking a lot better, although there is some slight hope that as the wind goes around to the NE in the late afternoon that we might get something of interest in the afternoon at north corners.

Go well with plans today and keep on smilin’!

TIDES: H @0625, L @1315

Weather Situation

A high east of Tasmania is moving slowly east, extending a ridge along the New South Wales coast, while a low pressure trough is situated off the northern coast. During today the high is expected to move further east, and the coastal trough should weaken. The approach of a cold front from the Southern Ocean towards the end of the week is likely to bring a southerly change to much of the coast.

Forecast for Tuesday until midnight

Winds: Easterly about 15 knots. Seas: 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell: Southeasterly about 2 metres. Isolated thunderstorms offshore late this evening.

Forecast for Wednesday

Winds: East to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots tending northeast to southeasterly up to 10 knots around midday then becoming northeasterly 10 to 15 knots later in the evening. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Easterly 2 metres.

Forecast for Thursday

Winds: Northerly 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots during the morning then tending north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Up to 1.5 metres. Swell: Easterly about 2 metres. The chance of thunderstorms offshore, extending throughout from midday.

Sticky: Little waves about for the keen

Posted by: on December 15th, 2010

Hello Friends,

Well whadya know. There were a few small wave like things around this morning. It’s really not much different from yesterday but there were a few more people in the water at Dee Why and North Narrabeen chasing the occasional knee to waist high set. The Bureau is saying the swell ought to be coming from the east at a metre, but the MHL buoy is showing the direction as closer to SSE. The average and peak period components are both bumping along in the 7-8 second range. I.e., solidly into the wind swell range. Tide’s low at 0930 and it’ll hit the high around 1510.

We have a pretty standard summer setting on the wind forecast (light early, swing NE later and getting up to 15-20kts by this afternoon), so the average wave heights should push up toward the end of the day. With a little luck there should be at least as much tomorrow morning as there was today.

While there’s not much prospect of  a dramatic improvement in our surf prospects immediately, it shouldn’t be quite as wretchedly awful over the next three days or so.  We might have waves into the chest high range on Friday at south spots, but it looks like the wind could be with it, so I’m not hopping up and down with excitement.

However, for the first time in weeks, some of the long range models are showing a brief, but potentially juicy little pulse turning up for us early next week. One really shouldn’t be too excited about it, but it just might be worth taking a strategic position apropos the diary and therefore penciling in a gap in the schedule for Monday arvo or Tuesday morning. If the models have it right, we could pick up some straight south swell into the head high plus range. The usual caveat applies: it’s right out at the limit of the model’s prediction range and is therefore highly conditional. But gee, it’s good to see something like that in the forecast after so many weeks of micro conditions.

Weather Situation

A cold front will reach New South Wales far south coast tonight and then it will move along the central coast during Thursday and weaken. During Friday a deep low pressure system will move south of Tasmania with a weak trough developing across the central Tasman Sea.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds: North to northwesterly 5 to 10 knots tending north to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots around midday then increasing to 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres by early evening. Swell: Easterly 1 metre. Isolated thunderstorms this morning, mainly offshore.

Forecast for Thursday

Winds: Northeasterly 10 to 20 knots. Seas: Up to 2 metres. Swell: Easterly 1 metre. Isolated thunderstorms from midday, contracting inshore late in the evening.

Forecast for Friday

Winds: Southerly 10 to 15 knots. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Easterly 1 metre.

Sticky: Corker of a morning, tiny though

Posted by: on December 19th, 2009

Hello Friends,

The conditions could hardly be better. Sparkling day after yesterday’s grey and rain. But if you’re looking for a wave, you’ll be needing something pretty floaty. There’s only a tiny E- ESE windswell showing along the beaches of Sydney. The most exposed spots are just barely producing waist high sets. And there are long stretches of smooth water in every direction.

There were only two or three folks in the water between the pole and Dee Why, a little clutch up toward Marquesas and the usual contingent at Northy.

Wind is set to go around to the SE this afternoon. It’s due to be into the 20-25 kt range, so just maybe it’ll push some junky little things in for us by around lunch time tomorrow. I’d be hoping for waist high or a touch bigger at low tide at south-east facing spots.

Tides: H @1042 L @1725

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Saturday until midnight: Wind: NW/SW 10/15 knots increasing to S/SE 20/25 knots in the afternoon.Sea: 1 metre, rising to 2 to 2.5 metres later.Swell: SE 1 to 1.5 metres.
Sunday: Wind: E/SE 13/18 knots, tending E/NE 13/18 knots later in the day. Sea: about 1.5 metres Swell: S/SE 1.5 to 2 metres.
Monday: Wind: N/NE 10/15 knots, freshening to 15/25 knots

One click above flat at Northy for the early.

 

Working it all the way to the sand at far north Collaroy.

 

Very infrequent and just barely catchable at Dee Why beach around 0630.

 

Oh dear

Posted by: on June 29th, 2009

Long, long wait in the cold for this little line.

Long, long wait in the cold for this little line.


Hello Friends,

Late yesterday there was a little spike in the period into the ten second range and if you were in the right place there were waves into the chest high range. But we’re back to 7 seconds average for the metre or so of SSE windswell. What that means for Dee Why is a very occasional knee high set, followed by another long, long wait.

Speaking of waits, it looks as though that’s what we’ll be doing over the next day or so. The models are showing little of interest until around Weds, when there are indications that we could get a brief but fun sized SE pulse with wave faces into the shoulder high plus range.

Today and tomorrow on the other hand is not looking terribly hopeful for a decent size wave. Dunno about you, but I’m going head down bum up to knock over chores over the next couple days…

Go well with your day’s plans!

Here’s the Bureau’s call.

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Monday until midnight: Wind: W’ly 10/15 knots, reaching 15/20 knots at times during the morning and then again tonight.Sea: 1 to 2 metres.Swell: S/SE about 1 metre.
Tuesday: Wind: NW 15/20 knots, increasing to 20/25 knots during the day and 20/30 knots later.Sea: 1 to 2 metres, rising to 2 to 3 metres. Swell: SE 1 to 2 metres.
Wednesday: Wind: W/NW 15/25 knots, easing to 10/20 knots late.

Sunshine & little waves

Posted by: on February 27th, 2009

Hello Friends,

It’s awful small, but it ain’t quite flat. Pretty much in line with expectations really. The Collaroy-Narra stretch was damn puny, but there were a few bods in anyway. Warm water and a sunny morning will do that. Biggest waves I saw were struggling to get to waist high, although I’m sure there would the odd bigger one if you stuck around longer than I did.

Around at Dee Why the situation was slightly better. There didn’t seem to be much of anything up at the Longy end, but down near the surf club there were a couple peaks at least for the reasonable size crew in enjoying it.

Here’s the latest outlook from the Bureau:

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Friday until midnight: Wind: S/SE 8/13 knots, turning E/NE 8/13 knots in the late afternoon.Sea: to 1 metre.Swell: SE 1 to 1.5 metres.
Saturday: Wind: NW 8/13 knots tending N/NE 13/18 knots in the afternoon.Sea: to 1 metre. Swell: SE 1 to 1.5 metres.
Sunday: Wind: Early S/SE change 20/25 knots.

Small wave folds over attractively near Marquesas.

Small wave folds over attractively near Marquesas.

Not too many waves escaping the crew at Dee Why beach this morning.

Not too many waves escaping the crew at Dee Why beach this morning.

 

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