"Stay happy and you'll be perfectly fine" - Jack Norris

Nice morning, little waves too

0645: it isn't much, but it's better than yesterday.
0645: it isn't much, but it's better than yesterday.

Hello Friends,

As the change came through yesterday, the skies cleared and the wind kicked up. It was chilly and onshore by the time the sun was low in the sky. The wind dropped overnight and is now WSW at around 5 knots, but it’s due to swing around to the ESE and get up into the 10-15 kt range. Meanwhile, the swell is puttering along from the SSE at a metre or so on a period of just 7 seconds.

That all means its pretty marginal where Dee Why’s concerned. However, marginal is better than flat any day and there is at least a reason for keen folk on long and buoyant objects to get in the water for a few of the waist high sets flopping over up toward the surf club. My guess is there will be similar options around the other stretches of beach with good south exposure.

While the models are currently unenthusiastic about our near-term surf prospects, there is finally something vaguely interesting out at the far end of the forecasts. Essentially, it looks as though today’s weak little pulse will fade back to near flatness as we hit the weekend, but, if those super computers are correct, we might just get a pulse of reasonably solid south swell (2-3 metres at 10 sec) with the current wind outlook being for somewhere in the ENE-NNE range at 10-15 kts. However, I must hasten to add that this is right at the outer most limits of the forecasts, so at this stage, it definitely goes into the watching brief file rather than the diary.

Speaking of forecasts, you may have noticed that I’ve been including short-form tags describing the current swell conditions with my reports. These turn up in the Tag cloud below. I’m sure some of you have been wondering why I’m bothering. Well, here’s the rationale: I figure that over the course of a year, we’ll have seen pretty much every combination of swell direction, size and period that Sydney gets. The idea is to give you a quick way to check out what I reported on those days tagged with a particular combo of values. All you have to do is click on the relevant tag and it will take you to a page that contains all our tags, down the bottom of which you’ll find links to all the reports for days with those conditions. To check out how it works, here’s what happened when we had conditions that matched the forecast for this coming Monday S-2m-10s (remember to scroll to the bottom of the page for those links). Have fun with it!

Hope you’re in for a particularly good Wednesday one and all.