Hello Friends,
Late last night at around the time Federer was faltering in the last set, my wife mentions that she can hear the beach (we’re a km away). Dee Why Rob has skyped me too. There’s a spike in the long period component on the MHL buoy. And ‘lo, he’s right.
And then I woke up this morning. And the spike looks like a picture of Batman (see below). Curious.
But what we have instead is a metre of 6 sec period windswell from the east. And that makes for just about flat conditions where beaches like Dee Why are concerned. I’m not too hopeful that it will be much better than that anywhere else in our region. About the best looking conditions where the buoys concerned, are up on the far north coast. But the numbers aren’t too exciting; maybe a couple metres at about 8 seconds.
Interesting news on cyclone Ellie. It’s now turned into a rain depression, but the weather people think the resulting trough could move back offshore and spin back up into a cyclone. Given its location though, I’d say we’d have to be lucky for it to actually become a surf generator.
The long range forecasts which looked kind of interesting at the weekend, now seem slightly less so. For starters, none of the interpretations I’ve looked at are showing our region getting much more than a metre or so of windswell for the next 4-6 days. However, my speculation yesterday about a possible shift in the dominant pattern still seems at least a little plausible. Both the monsoon trough and the southern ocean storms look as though they might start sucking a little of the intensity out of the accursed trans-Tasman high. As the high weakens, then we’ll get at least a bit more variety in the outlook.
Another day of magazine proofing coming for me. So just as well the surf prospects aren’t too flash (he says selfishly). Go well with whatever you have on today and if you’re into twitter and so inclined, stay in touch via my slot at mr_realsurf!
