"Stay happy and you'll be perfectly fine" - Jack Norris

Grey old day but not flat

Hello Friends,

Conditions are distinctly ordinary. Wind was out of the NW to NE at around 0700, but I think the fact that it was SE yesterday (and overnight) has ensured that we have a junky start. In fact it’s only going to get messier as the day goes along because the wind is set to kick up into the 20-25 kt range by this afternoon.

Meanwhile, the swell settings have taken a turn for the worse. The latest info from the MHL buoy is showing the average size has dipped very slightly, but the period has dropped around a second to around 9.

What this means at semi-exposed spots is you’re looking at waist to chest high sets. And as the pictures show, they’re not too pretty. Naturally enough the less than lovely conditions mean that there aren’t too many people in the water. It was kind of like this yesterday when I went for a splash at the point. At one point (1-2 pm) I was the only one in the water for close to an hour.

One could probably duplicate that experience at numerous places around Sydney today.

Outlook for coming days remains interesting; not because we’re likely to have great conditions, but because it could get pretty big. At least one of the models is calling for east swell to get into the 4-6 metre range from late Friday into early Saturday. Sadly, wind will be 20-30 kts from the east to ESE, so there’s not likely to be any clean options for a wave along the beaches of our fair city. Here’s what we wrote last time we had such conditions.

Here’s the call from the Bureau:

Sydney Coastal Waters, Broken Bay to Port Hacking and 60nm seawards:
Tuesday until midnight: Wind: E/NE 10/15 knots increasing to 20/25 knots in the afternoon.Sea: 1 to 1.5 metres rising to 2 to 2.5 metres.. Swell: SE about 2 metres.
Wednesday: Wind: E’ly 20/30 knots.Sea: 2 to 3 metres. Swell: SE 1.5 to 2 metres.
Thursday: Wind: E’ly 20/30 knots.

Dee Why for desperates.
Dee Why for desperates.
Not too attractive this morning.
Not too attractive this morning.

Go well with your day!