"Stay happy and you'll be perfectly fine" - Jack Norris

Grey grey go away

Hello Friends,

Can’t see much to be excited about for surfers at Dee Why this morning. Admittedly, it’s not necessarily the first spot you’d look for waves when the energy is coming from the ENE at a feeble 7 second interval. But, I don’t reckon it’ll be too fabulous anywhere else either. I couldn’t see anyone in the water when I climbed aloft to the RealSurf crow’s nest for a squiz at the new day. Tide was coming in to a high at around 1050, so that probably wasn’t helping much. And the very low cloud was adding a gloomy aspect to proceedings. The wind wasn’t an issue, but with bomb sets struggling to a feeble knee to waist high, it was almost beside the point.

Hey, what can ya do? It’s spring idin’it?

A few thoughts on the outlook as we hit the midweek mark.

From the shape of the models, we’re settling into a protacted period of 6-8 sec NE wind swell in the 1 to 1.5 metre range. Said models are showing activity in the southern ocean and off to the east of NZ over the next week, but at this stage it looks unlikely that we’ll see any significant fetch zones pointing our way for the time being. Maybe this time next week we might get a slight upward bump into the chest to head high range at east to ne spots. I don’t have high confidence on that right now, but it at least looks plausible.

Go well with your plans today and have a good one.

Weather Situation

A semi-stationary high over the eastern Tasman Sea extends a ridge to southeast Queensland. This pattern will persist for several days.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds: North to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots tending northerly 15 to 25 knots later in the evening. Seas: 1 to 2 metres. Swell: Northeasterly 1 metre. Isolated thunderstorms.

Forecast for Thursday

Winds: Northerly 10 to 20 knots, reaching 25 knots at times, decreasing to 10 to 20 knots around dawn then decreasing to 10 to 15 knots during the morning. Seas: Up to 2 metres decreasing to below 1 metre around midday. Swell: Northeasterly 1 metre. Isolated thunderstorms.

Forecast for Friday

Winds: Northerly 10 to 15 knots tending north to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon then increasing to 20 to 25 knots during the evening. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon then increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the evening. Swell: Northeasterly 1 metre.

Commonwealth of Australia 2010, Bureau of Meteorology