Hello Friends,

Did you get in the water yesterday? I’d go back there then because the swell settings have changed only very slightly since late yesterday morning. Swell is pretty much straight east and averaging about a metre or so at 10 seconds apart. The only change I can see in the MHL data is that we don’t seem to have any more 12 second stuff in the mix the way we did yesterday. When those sets arrived at Manly beach yesterday, you really knew about it because some of the wave faces were around the 2.5 metre range.

Dee Why isn’t showing much this morning. No one was in the water when I grabbed the pic a little before 0700. I’d say the somewhat infrequent sets were around the waist high mark.

The forecast has the primary swell direction moving from the east to the south east by lunch tomorrow, but for today it’s saying we can look forward to 10-15 kts of easterly sea breeze with a metre of east swell.

Yesterday may have had the size, but from what I saw of Manly, Curly and Dee Why, the swell was dead straight and shutting down – particularly on the low tide. My hunch is the best conditions will be around the mid tide because our flat spell banks are so uniform that by the tide gets to low, everything just pretty much closes out. I spent 4 hours or so at Manly yesterday and in all that time I saw only a dozen or so waves that could be ridden any distance. The south end was particularly sad. There were good size sets, but the shutdowns were relentless.

According to the BoM, swell should pick up a little later today, drop back overnight to very small for Tuesday, before rebounding into the two metre range (at sea that is) again on Wednesday.

Go well one and all!

TIDES: H @ 0815 L @1500

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the northern Tasman Sea is weakening, but is being replaced by another high, currently centred to the southeast of Tasmania. This high will strengthen over the next day or two while a trough over Western Australia draws slowly closer. This pattern will see northeasterly winds increasing along much of the New South Wales coast before the trough brings a southerly change towards the end of the week.

Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds: Easterly 10 to 15 knots. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Easterly 1 metre.

Forecast for Tuesday
Winds: East to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening. Swell: Easterly about 1.5 metres tending southeasterly about 1 metre from midday.

Forecast for Wednesday
Winds: Northeasterly 15 to 20 knots increasing to 25 to 30 knots. Seas: 1.5 to 2 metres increasing to 2 to 3 metres during the evening. Swell: Easterly 2 to 3 metres.