"Stay happy and you'll be perfectly fine" - Jack Norris

Clean but small under cloudy skies

Hello Friends,

Just a tiny line showing at Dee Why this morning. Swell direction has moved a touch and is now out of the SSE. It’s around the 1.5 metre mark on average with a period of 7 seconds. Windswell in a word. There were a few bods at Dee Why centre catching little things in the knee to waist high range. Given the period and swell direction, I’d say most places in the Sydney region will be a similar size or smaller.

The light winds of this morning are set to be 15-20 kts s-se by the end of the day. As they push up, the average size of the waves at exposed spots should increase a bit. Unfortunately, I can’t see any reason to think that the protected corners will benefit – the average period is just too short.

Now for the good news.

This morning’s run of the swell prediction models are more hopeful than they’ve been for awhile. The weekend is still showing a long period pulse for Saturday. Be interesting to see what the Goat says, but my guess is that we’ll get waist to chest with the odd bigger one – but many of us probably won’t bother because it looks as though it’ll be grey and south easterly. However, if the models are to be believed, from Saturday onward the swell will be in a steady upward trend to a peak around the middle of the week. If it plays out as at least a couple different interpretations suggest, Wednesday could be pretty interesting (anyone for offshores and double overhead sets?). No guarantees, but might be a plan to pencil it in just in case.

Have yourself a top old day and stay happy!

TIDES: H @0650, L @1330

Weather Situation
A trough is expected to move slowly along the north coast today before reaching the far north coast on Friday. A high south of the Bight will move slowly east over the next few days and should be over the southern Tasman Sea by the weekend.

Forecast for Thursday until midnight
Winds: Southeast to southerly 5 to 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1.5 metres by early evening. Swell: Easterly 1 metre tending southerly during the evening.

Forecast for Friday
Winds: South to southeasterly 15 to 20 knots becoming southeasterly 10 to 15 knots later in the evening. Seas: 1 to 1.5 metres. Swell: Southerly about 1.5 metres.

Forecast for Saturday
Winds: South to southeasterly 10 to 15 knots. Seas: Below 1 metre. Swell: Southerly 1.5 metres.