Hello Friends,
The forecast says we have an 80% chance of rain this afternoon, but this morning the weather was just about perfect. Only problem is the swell has dried up almost completely. The MHL buoy is showing about a metre of 6 second period dribble from the NE. That translated into knee high sets for Sunday morning at Dee Why. Given those paltry numbers, I’d say there isn’t much chance of finding anything more substantial anywhere else in the Sydney region.
This morning’s run of the forecast models are showing the insubstantial conditions lasting for at least another 3-4 days. After that there is some divergence among the various riffs on the long range data. Some are showing a brief pulse around Thursday, others are showing the activity lasting for a couple days. How big? Well, again, some divergence in the interpretations, but the most optimistic is calling for 3 metres at 10 seconds Thr-Fri…
Ah well, we shall see what we shall see!
I’m off to the city shortly to do another Sunday chat session on 702 ABC’s weekend show with Simon Marnie and Rob Brander on matters beach and surf at about 1000.
TIDES: L @0700, H @1300
Weather Situation
A high near New Zealand extends a ridge to the far north coast. A cold front will cross the NSW southern and central coasts during Sunday.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Winds: Northwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending west to southwesterly by early evening. Seas: Up to 2 metres. Swell: Easterly 1 metre. The chance of thunderstorms from midday, mainly offshore.
Forecast for Monday
Winds: Northwesterly 5 to 15 knots tending northeasterly around dawn then tending north to northwesterly 10 to 20 knots during the morning. Winds tending westerly 15 to 20 knots by early evening. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing up to 1.5 metres during the morning. Swell: Easterly 1 metre. The chance of thunderstorms offshore until afternoon.
Forecast for Tuesday
Winds: West to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon. Seas: Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 2 metres during the afternoon. Swell: Northeasterly 1 metre.
