Hello Friends,
Much, much better than the models were making out for this morning. Swell is out of the south and averaging 4 metres at sea with an average period of close to 9 seconds. Many of the sets seem to be missing the point, but the beach was doing just fine at 0700. Plus the wind was straight offshore! Tide was high at about 0650 and is now dropping to a moderate low at 1240 or so. Wind is strong and going to get stronger as it comes around to the SW and gets into the 20-30 kt range.
From the shape of this morning’s swell prediction model interpretations, we should have solid swell through Monday and possibly even Tuesday. This could be about as big as it gets though. Wind should be SW today and tomorrow, but the Bureau says southerly is the likelihood for Monday.
Water temp is around the 17 mark out at sea and the forecast is for a high of only 16 under partly cloudy skies (although it was clear when I dashed off these lines)
Sets at Dee Why looked to be around the head high mark, but given the numbers, I reckon there will be bigger than that at more exposed spots – and on the bombs too of course.
Have a great Saturday!
Weather Situation
A low pressure system is deepening over the western Tasman Sea increasing winds along the New South Wales Coast. During today the low is expected to move rapidly towards New Zealand as a strong high pressure system moves into the Bight extending a ridge to the northern Tasman Sea and a cold front moves east of Tasmania. Winds are expected to ease gradually on Sunday as the high moves east strengthening the ridge across the Tasman Sea.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
- Winds
- Southwesterly 20 to 30 knots.
- Seas
- Up to 4 metres decreasing to 3 metres during the afternoon.
- Swell
- Southerly 1.5 to 3 metres.
- Weather
- Isolated thunderstorms offshore this morning and afternoon.
Sunday 11 September
- Winds
- Southwesterly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 25 knots during the morning then decreasing to 10 to 20 knots during the afternoon. Winds tending south to southwesterly 20 to 25 knots later in the evening.
- Seas
- Up to 3 metres decreasing to 2 metres around midday.
- Swell
- Southerly 2 to 3 metres.
Monday 12 September
- Winds
-
Southerly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon then tending southeasterly up to 10 knots during the evening.
- Seas
-
3 metres decreasing to 2 metres during the morning then decreasing to below 1 metre during the afternoon.
- Swell
-
Southerly 2 to 3 metres.
