Hello Friends,
As expected, there’s really nothing much going on at Dee Why this morning. The MHL buoy is reporting about a metre of 7 second period mainly east wind swell. Wind was around 10-15 kts from the south, so there were a few white horses to be seen just off the beach. They were gathering in bigger numbers (herds?) out at sea. Really no surf to speak of at Dee Why.
It looks as though today’s likely to be a write-off wave wise. And tomorrow’s not looking much better. The Bureau expects the swell to move around more to the SE (ie, lining up with the wind direction) but while it’s set to build into the two metre range, I think the opportunity for a clean one will be minimal. My expectation is for more junky, onshore conditions anywhere the waves are big enough to be of interest.
Both the wind and the swell are forecast to fade back for Tuesday, but with a bit of luck, we might get a little something for the first session of the day.
The charts are showing a broad area of big seas coming across under Tasmania early in the week. But they show the energy staying outside of our swell window. However, I’m hoping that it will be big enough to maybe send us the odd long period bump Tue-Wed. Likelihood? Dunno really, 10%?
Have yourself a happy and healthy Sunday.
Weather Situation
On Sunday a high pressure system will move eastwards across the Bight extending a ridge over NSW. A cold front moving across the southern Tasman Sea is bringing a southerly change along the coast. The high is expected to reach New South Wales coast by Tuesday with winds weakening along the coast and turning north to northeasterly along the southern half of the coast.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
- Winds
- South to southwesterly 10 to 20 knots tending east to southeasterly 10 to 20 knots later in the afternoon and evening. Inshore sea breezes.
- Seas
- Up to 1.5 metres.
- Swell
- Easterly about 1.5 metres.
Monday 17 October
- Winds
- South to southeasterly 15 to 25 knots becoming southerly 10 to 15 knots later in the evening.
- Seas
- 1 to 2 metres decreasing to below 1 metre later in the evening.
- Swell
- Southeasterly about 1.5 metres tending southerly 1.5 metres from midday.
Tuesday 18 October
- Winds
-
South to southeasterly 5 to 10 knots tending northeasterly up to 10 knots during the afternoon.
- Seas
-
Below 1 metre.
- Swell
-
Southerly 1.5 metres.
