"Stay happy and you'll be perfectly fine" - Jack Norris

Bump, bump, bumping along near flatness

Hello Friends,

In line with expectations, we have another morning of marginal to flat conditions in Sydney. There’s about a metre of ENE 7 second period wind swell out at sea, but it was too small at Dee Why to attract any punters at around 0700.

To the extent it matters, the wind was light early but it should go NE this afternoon and push up to 20-30 kts ahead of a late, gusty south change. The wind will drop off to 10-15 kts SW by tomorrow morning, so there just might be a little bump around the place if we’re lucky.

Looking ahead, the swell models are still pointing at a small but very long period south pulse late Weds into Thursday. The wind outlook isn’t too flash, but maybe we’ll get lucky…

Have yourself a great Monday!

Weather Situation
A stationary high pressure system over the northern Tasman Sea extends a ridge into northern New South Wales. This high pressure ridge is weakening ahead of a cold front that is currently situated to the west of Tasmania. This front is forecast to sweep across southeast Australia during Monday and Tuesday, bringing a southerly change to most of the New South Wales coast before it weakens into a trough over the north. Following this, the next high is forecast to move from the Bight to the southern Tasman Sea mid-week, establishing an onshore airstream.
Forecast for Monday until midnight
Winds
Northerly 10 to 20 knots tending north to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots during the afternoon and to 20 to 30 knots by early evening. Late gusty southerly change 25 to 30 knots.
Seas
1 to 1.5 metres increasing to 2 metres by early evening then increasing to 3 metres later in the evening.
Swell
Northeasterly 1 metre.
Tuesday 25 October
Winds
South to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 10 to 20 knots around dawn then becoming southeast to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon. Inshore sea breezes.
Seas
Up to 3 metres decreasing below 1.5 metres around dawn.
Swell
Easterly 1 metre tending southeasterly about 2 metres from the late morning.
Wednesday 26 October
Winds
Southeasterly 15 to 20 knots.
Seas
Up to 1.5 metres.
Swell
Southeasterly about 2 metres.