Hello Friends,
The Bureau was calling for about 1.5 metres of south swell this morning, but when I woke up, I could hear it whispering under the morning bird calls. I’m a couple of kays from the beach, so that generally means a light onshore coming from the same direction as the swell, but when I climbed into the crows nest for a look, the ocean was pretty smooth. And, sure enough, there’s some chest to shoulder plus south energy getting into Dee Why. A squizz at the MHL data shows that it’s averaging close to the 3 metre mark at sea with a healthy 10+ sec period.
Tide’s high at 0900, so there is definitely a fatness factor as I write this, but the wind should be light and variable later and as the tide drops it could start to come together. The Bureau expects this stuff to fade, so as usual, timing will be all…I’d get on it ASAP because the rest of the work week looks distinctly ordinary on the modelling (however, there is still some hope of a weekend pulse…)
Hope you get your timing right today!
Weather Situation
A strong high pressure system centred near Adelaide extends a ridge across New South Wales to the northern Tasman Sea. This high will drift slowly east during the next few days, with winds easing and turning northerly along most of the coast by Wednesday. During Thursday, the high is expected to be weakening over the Tasman Sea, allowing a trough and associated cold front to move from the Southern Ocean towards western New South Wales. This frontal system is forecast to affect bring a southerly change to the coast on Friday and Saturday.
Forecast for Tuesday until midnight
Winds
Southerly 15 to 20 knots decreasing to variable about 10 knots in the middle of the day.
Seas
1.5 to 2 metres decreasing to below 1 metre during the morning.
Swell
Southerly about 1.5 metres.
Wednesday 3 October
Winds
North to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending north to northeasterly in the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Swell
Southerly 1 metre.
Thursday 4 October
Winds
West to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending north to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Below 1 metre increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon then increasing to 2 metres during the evening.
Swell
Southerly 1 metre tending easterly 0.5 metres from midday.
