If I was just looking at the MHL data this morning, I’d be urging you to get out there at once because it’s showing close to 2 metres of 10 sec period SE swell. However, the directional spectra reveals that we have a lot of NE-E chop from yesterday’s blow coming in as well. At Dee Why things get more chopped up and messy the further north along the beach you go. From kiddies up to the surf club is about the best of the lot. There were some chest high bowls here and there – when the two swells momentarily combined. Basically, the data notwithstanding, it looks like kinda sloppy wind swell conditions with the odd interesting little section randomly appearing.
The Collaroy-Narrabeen stretch was about 1/3 the size of Dee Why. There were a few bods chasing lumps and sections south of Marquesas, but I didn’t really see anyone from there up to Northy.
The Bureau tells us that the south swell is going to fade out today, so the plan is to hit it early if you can. Tide’s low at 0820 and will come in by less than a metre to the high at 1450 – by which time we should have a gusty SW’r.
The week ahead looks pretty paltry on the swell models. There might be a little bumpy stuff again tomorrow morning as we’re due to have another brief uptick in energy. Spots that like SW will be the best bet. Thereafter I’d say we’re facing another round of mostly marginal dribble before a fresh straight south pulse fills in around Friday.
Here’s an idea, why not get your pledge toward the RealSurf crowdfunding effort taken care of today? We’re within sight of the 70% mark on our target and if we can get 6 more folks on board, we’ll have a nice round 100 pledgers to invite to Don’s Surf Party on Weds 23 October at Deck Bar.
Have yourself a great Saturday!
Forecast updated at 5:40 am EST on Saturday 28 September 2013.
A high is centred off the North Coast as a cold front moves over the west. This front is expected to move through southeastern districts during Saturday morning, continuing to the northeast later in the day. This will generate strong and gusty winds along much of the coast. Behind this system, winds will ease as the next high drifts across from the west during Sunday, before another cold front early in the new week.
Forecast for Saturday until midnight
Northerly 15 to 20 knots shifting southwesterly 20 to 25 knots in the afternoon.
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 2 to 2.5 metres during the afternoon.
Southerly 1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning, then decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon.
Sunday 29 September
Southwesterly 15 to 25 knots becoming variable about 10 knots in the morning.
1.5 to 2 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Southerly 1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 to 1.5 metres by early evening.
Monday 30 September
Northerly 15 to 25 knots.
1 to 1.5 metres, increasing to 1.5 to 2 metres during the evening.
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.